Jason Lyall | Lightnews

Jason "Red5" Lyall

@jaylyall.bsky.social

16K followers 500 following 1.3K posts

Prof @Dartmouth. Director, FieldLab. Carnegie Fellow. Diversity and military effectiveness, war, humanitarian aid, USAID, sci fi. Author, DIVIDED ARMIES (2020, http://amzn.to/2Y80f25). 🇨🇦 #FirstGen #VermontZen

Website: www.jasonlyall.com .. more

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Political science 44%

Sociology 18%

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Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 1d

I will literally walk from one end of NH to the other to support anyone who primaries Hassan

Acyn @acyn.bsky.social · 1d

Hassan: With the government reopening shortly, Republicans now finally have to come to the table. Or make no mistake, Americans will remember who stood in the way.

Reposted by Joe R. Feagin, Rosemary A. Joyce, Jason Lyall

Acyn @acyn.bsky.social · 1d

Hassan: With the government reopening shortly, Republicans now finally have to come to the table. Or make no mistake, Americans will remember who stood in the way.

Reposted by Jason Lyall

Anjali Dayal @anjalikdayal.bsky.social · 1d

look I know being an engaged citizen IS the work of democracy but it is also the work of elected officials not to create situations where everyone has to be mobilized all the time to prevent them from allowing some kind of Dickensian horror on a Sunday night while you're in between loads of laundry

Reposted by Jason Lyall, Anne Hilborn

Skye Kilaen @skyekilaen.bsky.social · 1d

If you have a Dem senator and you're seeing this right now, CALL THEM RIGHT NOW and tell them NO. If you don't know anyone who would be affected by this, call them for my friend Lisa. She cannot afford insurance without ACA subsidies and without health insurance I'm terrified she will die.

Steven T. Dennis @steventdennis.bsky.social · 1d

! A key group of Senate Democrats is leaning toward voting for a deal to end the shutdown, provided final details can be worked out like worker protections (Gift link)

(Deal does NOT include an ACA extension.)
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Thune Plans Test Vote on Shutdown, Saying Deal Is Getting Closer

Senate Republican leader John Thune said a deal is “coming together” as he planned a test vote Sunday on a narrow spending package that would end the 40-day government shutdown.

www.bloomberg.com

Reposted by Ben H. Ansell, Nicholas A. Christakis, Brendan Nyhan , and 3 more Ben H. Ansell, Nicholas A. Christakis, Brendan Nyhan, Scott A. Imberman, Jason Lyall, Dan Immergluck

Gregory Pratt @royalpratt.bsky.social · 1d

Here’s video of federal agents doing a drive by pepper spraying that hit a father and his one-year old on Saturday when the Feds were hitting Little Village and Cicero

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Jacob Montgomery, Cathy N. Davidson , and 2 more Anna O. Law, Jacob Montgomery, Cathy N. Davidson, Smith, Jason Lyall

Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 1d

Call the United States Capitol switchboard at (202) 224-3121 and they will connect you with your senator's office.

If you're represented by one of the squishier centrists, be sure to make a call. Now.

Josh Marshall @joshtpm.bsky.social · 1d

Sounds like the squishes in the senate caucus are ready to pull the plug with no ACA changes. This is real. If you want to register your opinion you shld call yr senator in the next hour. They not only want to reopen w/nothing. They want cover from their colleagues who still want to hold out.

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Rebecca Solnit, Jacob Montgomery , and 4 more Anna O. Law, Rebecca Solnit, Jacob Montgomery, Smith, Caroline T. Schroeder, Jason Lyall, Dan Immergluck

Josh Marshall @joshtpm.bsky.social · 1d

Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 1d

Imagine how all of this looks from Beijing or Moscow

Reposted by Jonathan Portes, Anna O. Law, Kim L. Scheppele , and 40 more Jonathan Portes, Anna O. Law, Kim L. Scheppele, Simon Hix, Norbert Schwarz, Jon Pierre, Steve Peers, David Feldman, Rosemary A. Joyce, Philip N. Cohen, Martin Paul Eve, Andrew Curry, Lesley A. Hall, Robert J. Spitzer, Juan Cole, Trevon D. Logan, Gerald Friedman, Alison Johnson, Victor Galaz, Will Lowe, Claudia Diehl, C. Kirabo Jackson, Michael H. Whitworth, Michael D. McDonald, Anne Norton, Brian Keegan, Jason Lyall, Mark Robinson, Tom Stoppard, Karen L. Cox, Julie Novkov, Brooke Harrington, Rebecca Zorach, David S. Tanenhaus, Nancy M. Wingfield, Magda Teter, Seth Frey, Aidan O’Sullivan, Virginia Sapiro, Dunlap, David Darmofal, Peter Jacobs, Kristina McElheran

ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 1d

1/ The US Government has quietly removed a memorial to Black soldiers who died in World War II from the Netherlands American Cemetery in Margraten, South Limburg. The move follows a complaint from the right-wing Heritage Foundation to the American Battle Monuments Commission. ⬇️

Reposted by Will Jennings, Peter Thorne, Linda J. Skitka , and 5 more Will Jennings, Peter Thorne, Linda J. Skitka, Lesley Bartlett, Jason Lyall, Christina Ho, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Colin Carlson @colincarlson.bsky.social · 3d

OVER A MILLION USERS

DISCUSS SUICIDE WITH CHATGPT

EVERY *WEEK*

what the fuck are we DOING here

Ryan Marino, MD @ryanmarino.bsky.social · 3d

Panera’s moderately caffeinated lemonade was loosely associated with 2 deaths before it was taken off market.

This article alone has 4 examples of ChatGPT encouraging young people to commit suicide, and OpenAI’s own public stats estimate over a million users discuss suicide with ChatGPT each week.

Jonathan Cohn @jonathancohn.bsky.social · 4d

I fully believe in the corporate death penalty and believe we would be a better world if OpenAI lost its corporate charter and was forcibly dissolved.

www.cnn.com/2025/11/06/u...

Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 3d

Thanks, Aidan! Hope all is well (as can be)

Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 3d

Bitterly disappointed in my alma mater. We hang together or we hang separately.

The New York Times @nytimes.com · 3d

Breaking News: Cornell University reached an agreement with the Trump administration that would restore hundreds of millions in funding to the university. It's expected to pay a $30 million fine to the government and to invest $30 million in agriculture and farming programs.

Cornell Reaches Deal with Trump Administration to Restore Research Funds

The Ivy League university had warned of layoffs after the Trump administration stripped it of funds this year. The cuts were among the deepest in higher education.

nyti.ms

The New York Times @nytimes.com · 3d

Cornell Reaches Deal with Trump Administration to Restore Research Funds

The Ivy League university had warned of layoffs after the Trump administration stripped it of funds this year. The cuts were among the deepest in higher education.

nyti.ms

Reposted by Joe R. Feagin

Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 3d

"One was a fisherman struggling to eke out a living on $100 a month. Another was a career criminal. A third was a former military cadet. And a fourth was a down-on-his-luck bus driver."

So far, the U.S. military has blown up 17 vessels, killing more than 66 people

Trump has accused boat crews of being narco-terrorists. The truth, AP found, is more nuanced

One was a fisherman struggling to eke out a living on $100 a month. Another was a career criminal. A third was a former military cadet.

apnews.com

Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 3d

oh no there goes my alt-ac plan

Palantir CEO Alex Karp calls his company the first to be 'completely anti-woke'

Palantir sees "accelerating and otherworldly growth" as CEO Alex Karp highlights working with ICE and supporting Israel on an earnings call.

www.businessinsider.com

Reposted by David Darmofal

Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 3d

🚨New paper🚨: Are you interested in key debates about civil war and counterinsurgency? Like questions about causal inference but wish you had a better method for dealing with spillover and carryover effects? Then check out our new paper:

arxiv.org/abs/2504.03464

Spatiotemporal causal inference with arbitrary spillover and carryover effects: Airstrikes and insurgent violence in the Iraq War

Social scientists now routinely draw on high-frequency, high-granularity ''microlevel'' data to estimate the causal effects of subnational interventions. To date, most researchers aggregate these data...

arxiv.org

Reposted by Marc Lynch, Paul Goldstein, Bonnie Honig , and 2 more Marc Lynch, Paul Goldstein, Bonnie Honig, Jason Lyall, Alice Marwick

John Pfaff @johnpfaff.bsky.social · 3d

There had better be trials. And not just for the low-level thugs carrying out these orders, but for everyone up the chain of command.

If we get past this, the solution isn’t to pretend it never happened and invite Stephen Miller to Harvard’s Institute of Politics.

It’s trials w real punishments.

Lynda Lopez @lyndab08.bsky.social · 4d

A family friend was telling us about what her husband shared about his experience in Broadview before he was deported back to Mexico. She's been sharing to friends and family because she's just in disbelief & horror what her husband told her. She wasn't able to talk to him until he was in Mexico.

Reposted by Steve Peers, Cathy N. Davidson, Smith , and 8 more Steve Peers, Cathy N. Davidson, Smith, Scott A. Imberman, Anne Norton, Jason Lyall, Anders Sundnes Løvlie, Jelena Subotić, Mark Rice, Olivier Mannoni, Southern Africa

Lynda Lopez @lyndab08.bsky.social · 4d

Reposted by Stephen M. Walt, Joanna Bryson, James Q. Wilson , and 12 more Stephen M. Walt, Joanna Bryson, James Q. Wilson, Nancy Kanwisher, Will Jennings, Brendan Nyhan, David Rothschild, American Library Association, Rebecca Sear, David R. Miller, Erol Akçay, Jessica A. Gephart, Jason Lyall, Jon Dean, Stella M. Rouse

Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 4d

The elimination of USAID was an unforgivable moral atrocity that should haunt Trump, Elon Musk and Marco Rubio for the rest of their days and beyond

The New Yorker @newyorker.com · 4d

One analytical model shows that, as of November 5th, the dismantling of U.S.A.I.D. has already caused the deaths of 600,000 people, two-thirds of them children. https://newyorkermag.visitlink.me/jUzNSc

The Shutdown of U.S.A.I.D. Has Already Killed Hundreds of Thousands

The short documentary “Rovina’s Choice” tells the story of what goes when aid goes.

newyorkermag.visitlink.me

Reposted by Anne Applebaum, Stephen M. Walt, Michael E. Mann , and 68 more Anne Applebaum, Stephen M. Walt, Michael E. Mann, Shannon Vallor, Richard S.J. Tol, Jonathan A. Eisen, Simon L. Lewis, Stephan Lewandowsky, Axel Bruns, Jocalyn Clark, Will Jennings, Ken Caldeira, Benjamin Mason Meier, Michael A. Clemens, Evelyne de Leeuw, David Johnson, Caroline Krafft, Amir Attaran, Ian Hall, Ralf Michaels, Rupert Read, Richard Waite, Juan Cole, Johan P. Olsen, Cathy N. Davidson, Gernot Wagner, Robin Celikates, Daniel W. Drezner, Michael Kevane, Devon Greyson, Smith, Robert C. Richards, Michael W. Kraus, R. M. Wilson, Aaron Sojourner, Gary D. Rawnsley, Rachael Garrett, Caroline T. Schroeder, Stephen D. Murphy, Nazita Lajevardi, Stacy D. VanDeveer, Amy W. Ando, Michael D. McDonald, James Goodwin, Brian Keegan, David C. Kimball, Jason Lyall, Graham Dutfield, Cailin O’Connor, Erin O’Donnell, Aurélien Mondon, Mark Rice, Peter Stegmaier, Claire L. Adida, Raúl Pacheco-Vega, Massimo Faggioli, Klaus Oschema, Christina Pagel, Césari Laurent, Philip Bell, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, Tom Chevalier, Aidan O’Sullivan, David Stott, Virginia Sapiro, Maria Sobolewska, Dunlap, David Darmofal, Peter Jacobs, Elise Thomas, Pieter Vantieghem

The New Yorker @newyorker.com · 4d

The Shutdown of U.S.A.I.D. Has Already Killed Hundreds of Thousands

The short documentary “Rovina’s Choice” tells the story of what goes when aid goes.

newyorkermag.visitlink.me

Reposted by Michael E. Mann, Cas Mudde, Shibley Telhami , and 28 more Michael E. Mann, Cas Mudde, Shibley Telhami, Jan W. Mueller, Joe R. Feagin, Will Jennings, Peter Thorne, Patrick A. Jansen, Scott L. Greer, John McLaren, Andrew Scott, Mark D. White, Melissa Johnson, Smith, Jonathan Hopkin, Alan Richardson, David R. Miller, Andrew Jacobs, Stephen Ryan, Michael D. McDonald, James Goodwin, Jason Lyall, Tom Louwerse, Olivier Jourdan, Matthew P. McAllister, Christina Pagel, Claire Sécail, Rogério Christofoletti, Pádua Fernandes, Dunlap, David Darmofal

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 4d

incredible photo that's definitely worth at least 1,000 words from Andrew Harnik of Getty

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Nicholas A. Christakis, A. E. Dessler , and 8 more Anna O. Law, Nicholas A. Christakis, A. E. Dessler, Guy Grossman, Markus Wagner, Stacy D. VanDeveer, Jason Lyall, Victor Pickard, Anna Grzymała-Busse, Leah Stokes, Simon Lester

Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 5d

I’ll keep pushing this line of analysis because I’m increasingly convinced the clearest path out of this mess is for Dems to adopt a relentless anti-corruption, anti-inequality, anti-oligarchy, pro-democracy platform. The Dem leadership hasn’t realized it yet, but they’re now a reform party.

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Jacob Montgomery, Kevin Carey , and 5 more Brendan Nyhan, Jacob Montgomery, Kevin Carey, Karen Benjamin Guzzo, Aaron Sojourner, Clark Gray, Kristina McElheran, Jesse R. Lasky

Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 5d

By this time next week, the estimated deaths due to the illegal destruction of USAID and the shuttering of its aid efforts will breach 400,000.

More than 260,000 will be children.

Source: www.bu.edu/sph/news/art...

Tracking Anticipated Deaths from USAID Funding Cuts

Brooke Nichols has launched online tracking tools that capture estimated increases in mortality and disease spread for HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and other diseases as a result of the near-total...

www.bu.edu

Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 5d

Hegemonic suicide

404 Media @404media.co · 5d

NEW: The US Army website for its bases in Bavaria, Germany told its soldiers and employees that it might need to obtain free food from the German government during the US government shutdown.

The Army later altered publication to remove a list of food banks, but we have the original text here:

US Army Tells Soldiers to Go to German Food Bank, Then Deletes It

The initial 'Shutdown Guidance' for the US Army Garrison Bavaria included instructions to go to German food banks.

www.404media.co

Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 5d

This sounds like the opening of a bad sci fi movie

Ars Technica @arstechnica.com · 5d

Google's ambitious Project Suncatcher intends to deploy swarms of solar panel-equipped satellites in low-Earth orbit, each carrying AI accelerator chips designed for training, content generation, synthetic speech and vision, and predictive modeling.