Jane Green
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profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green
@profjanegreen.bsky.social

Nuffield College, Oxford
Co-Director, British Election Study
Director, Nuffield Politics Research Centre
President, British Polling Council
Voting, surveys, explanation, singing …

Jane Green FAcSS is a British political scientist and academic. She is Professor of Political Science and British Politics at the University of Oxford and a professorial fellow of Nuffield College. She is a specialist in public opinion and electoral behaviour, and has co-directed the British Election Study. She is the president of the British Polling Council. .. more

Political science 77%
Economics 5%
Pinned
"...because growth is the pound in your pocket, it is more money for trips, meals out, the little things that bring joy to our lives...the peace of mind that comes from economic security." 💪

@jrf-uk.bsky.social @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social @zackgp94.bsky.social

….”the price of putting a roof over your head and food on the table has tremendous electoral potency when people are struggling to do both. Zohran Mamdani may be a shiny new thing, but the moral of these elections is as old as the Appalachian mountains.”

Reposted by Jane Green

Reposted by Alexander Wuttke

If my network is anything to go by, the first EPSS conference is going to be a massive, enthusiastic success!
‼️Last chance to submit your paper or panel proposal to EPSS 2026 conference in Belfast is TODAY!

Don’t miss out - it will be full of great political science and fun social events! 👩‍🏫🥳

epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
🚨 EPSS Belfast 2026 Call for Papers - One week to go! 🚨

Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
‼️Last chance to submit your paper or panel proposal to EPSS 2026 conference in Belfast is TODAY!

Don’t miss out - it will be full of great political science and fun social events! 👩‍🏫🥳

epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
🚨 EPSS Belfast 2026 Call for Papers - One week to go! 🚨

Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
epssnet.org

Every woman's rage wish (kidding)

Just checking back in because I'm all caught up and: Kate Wyler and Ross Poldark?!! Didn't expect that ;-)

Really pleased to see this. So many people, being told that Reform are appealing to young alienated men, think that's a successful appeal. Not so far!
"The most common response among men aged 18-25, as with their female peers, is to state that they would never consider voting for Reform."

Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte & Emilia Belknap argue that most British young men reject the right

https://ukandeu.ac.uk/most-british-young-men-reject-the-far-right/
Most British young men reject the far right - UK in a changing Europe
Emilia Belknap and Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte explain their analysis on the demographics of Reform UK voters in the UK. They argue that while the dominant narrative is that young men are the most likely to turn to the party, the evidence does not support this.
ukandeu.ac.uk

🥺
🚨 Earth's vital signs are flashing red.

🌡️ 2024 was the hottest year in recorded history.

Read the latest Climate report from @williamripple.bsky.social and Christopher Wolf's team, published in BioScience.

oxford.ly/47i6K5j
🚨 Earth's vital signs are flashing red.

🌡️ 2024 was the hottest year in recorded history.

Read the latest Climate report from @williamripple.bsky.social and Christopher Wolf's team, published in BioScience.

oxford.ly/47i6K5j
Government has published one of those quiet but important documents that might get overlooked as it is not 'newsy'. The headline finding is that £1 of public R&D investment generates £8 in net economic benefits for the UK over the long term
www.gov.uk/government/p...
The value of public R&D
www.gov.uk

One thing I find really curious is the combination of ‘we can’t risk the triple lock because…voters’ while literally haemorrhaging mid-life voters and not having much more than….’wait for some growth’.
It's increasingly obvious that Labour's strategy - call it Starmerism, Blue Labour, whatever - has got it badly wrong. It has alienated the party's core vote while failing to win over those leaning to Reform. There was no shortage of people warning them they were getting it wrong either.
Three years ago, Labour was polling in the 50s.
It's increasingly obvious that Labour's strategy - call it Starmerism, Blue Labour, whatever - has got it badly wrong. It has alienated the party's core vote while failing to win over those leaning to Reform. There was no shortage of people warning them they were getting it wrong either.
Three years ago, Labour was polling in the 50s.

Thanks for reading it

Thanks!

Thanks Nick!

Sorry cant fix atm

Brilliant. It was the contortions, the hair, the face. Been there.

And on a more superficial level, but still loved it, just watched the scene with Kate trying to get into the skin tight sequin dress. Somehow we put up with putting ourselves through these kind of things and then still go and kick a***.
There is no way these relationships would have been written 20 years ago. Not between Kate and Eidra, Eidra and Austin, Kate and Austin, Kate and Hal. None of these things would be a thing. And you’re telling me I’m in a worse world

Reposted by Jane Green

There is no way these relationships would have been written 20 years ago. Not between Kate and Eidra, Eidra and Austin, Kate and Austin, Kate and Hal. None of these things would be a thing. And you’re telling me I’m in a worse world

Now we may have an anti-Reform mood, but also an anti-Labour mood (as the incumbent party), so its not clear yet that left voters will be as motivated. Is the Reform threat to the left bigger than the desire to oust the Tories? Probably, but Labour would do well to also more to the left.

For the 2024 election, @martamiori.bsky.social and I showed that the left bloc was much more coordinated. This led to extremely efficient votes-seats ratios for Labour and the Liberal Democrats (something that has had far too little attention). But that was in the context of an anti-Tory mood....

Yes I think it would show my expectation but not giving a fair chance to it not being right.

Yes. And they show a
Bit more mobilisation from
2024. But are these 2017 and 2019
Conservatives? That’s trickier, because panel data is not ideal for representative measures of turnout and will overstate voters.

Reposted by Jane Green

Caerphilly shows Nigel Farage’s Achilles heel – tactical voting could lock Reform out of power. www.newstatesman.com/politics/202...
Caerphilly shows Nigel Farage’s Achilles heel
Tactical voting could lock Reform out of power
www.newstatesman.com

Reposted by Jane Green

It is tempting to over-analyse the result in Caerphilly, but one thing it does demonstrate is the potential power of tactical voting.
That is something very difficult for polling to take account of at any stage, but particularly more than three years out from a general election.

Reforms rise is really about the collapse of the Tories. Agree their long term potential is there in Wales, but political identities matter too.

Reposted by Jane Green