Tarik Abou-Chadi
tabouchadi.bsky.social
Tarik Abou-Chadi
@tabouchadi.bsky.social

Professor of European Politics at Nuffield College, University of Oxford. Elections, parties, social democracy & the radical right. he/him. 🏳️‍🌈

Political science 85%
Business 5%
Pinned
New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
I have spoken with Secretary of State Marco Rubio and our Ambassador in Caracas. The EU is closely monitoring the situation in Venezuela.

The EU has repeatedly stated that Mr Maduro lacks legitimacy and has defended a peaceful transition. (1/2)

I think it was even banned from the radio for a while

Coincidentally, also a depiction of a perfect NYE

(Happy new year, everyone!)

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yem_...
My wish for 2026 is that politicians and political analysts realize that public opinion is endogenous to elite behavior, that polling single issues tells us nothing about electorally successful strategies, that politics means shaping public opinion and that popularism is the death of progressivism.
Articles about Brigitte Bardot after her death on Sunday have referred to her far right sympathies, which supposedly emerged later in the film star's life. Here she is, though, in 1958 with Jean-Marie Le Pen and Pierre Lagaillarde, future founder of the extremist OAS terror group
Brigitte Bardot has been fined for racism multiple times, she called muslim immigrants "filthy", she openly supported the far right like few other celebrities in Europe. She was not "controversial," she was a hateful homophobe, racist and bigot.

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

7/ "Economic and cultural concerns are deeply intertwined among the supporters of far-right parties and across the broader electorate."

# 4️⃣ of EG's top 2025 stories is @tabouchadi.bsky.social's essay discussing economic sources of threats to status.

More:
equitablegrowth.org/threats-to-s...
Threats to social status and support for far-right political parties
How economic threats to social status in the form of unemployment risk and rental market risk affects support for the far right in Europe.
equitablegrowth.org

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

Wie digitaler Hass und Ressentiment geschürt und geschützt werden, lässt sich hier exemplarisch sehen....wer noch nicht weiß, wohin zum Jahresende spenden: einfach an @hateaid.org www.sueddeutsche.de/politik/usa-...
USA sanktionieren Führung der deutschen Organisation Hate Aid
Die beiden Geschäftsführerinnen Anna-Lena von Hodenberg und Josephine Ballon dürfen nicht mehr in die USA einreisen.
www.sueddeutsche.de

The extreme right, authoritarian, white supremacist US government uses its power to push exactly this agenda. Or simply: fascists do fascist things. The refusal of large parts of European politics (esp. in security circles) to accept this truth remains a massive hurdle to deal with this new reality.
Krass: Die US-Regierung hat Sanktionen gegen Anna-Lena von Hodenberg und Josephine Ballon von @hateaid.org erlassen, dazu trifft es auch den früheren EU-Kommissar Thierry Breton, weil "These radical activists and weaponized NGOs have advanced censorship crackdowns by foreign states". Einreiseverbot
Krass: Die US-Regierung hat Sanktionen gegen Anna-Lena von Hodenberg und Josephine Ballon von @hateaid.org erlassen, dazu trifft es auch den früheren EU-Kommissar Thierry Breton, weil "These radical activists and weaponized NGOs have advanced censorship crackdowns by foreign states". Einreiseverbot

Durch die einseitige, oberlehrerhafte Debatte zur Wehrpflicht verliert man eine ganze Generation politischer engagierter junger Menschen, die wir im Kampf gegen radikal rechts dringend benötigen. Wenn wir sie nicht schon eh durch die Politik in Gaza verloren haben.

Mit liebe Grüßen auch an @emcke.bsky.social. Bildnachweis zum Podcast.

Lesekreis Weihnachtsfeier. Wir besprechen Judith Butler „Who’s Afraid of Gender?” - Angriffe auf sogenannte „Gender-Ideologie“ sind zentraler Bestandteil der globalen radikalen Rechten geworden und werden zusätzlich bis tief in die Mitte der Gesellschaft legitimiert.

Ja, absolut. Es ist ja auch ein sehr kruder Vergleich. Aber eben nicht kruder als das was eigentlich wöchentlich im Bezug auf Dänemark gemacht wird. Und es zeigt schon, dass die SP Schweiz für den Wettbewerb in einem stark fragmentierten System besser aufgestellt ist als andere imho
Ich freue mich sehr: Ich habe gestern einen Rechtsstreit mit Ahmad Mansour gewonnen. Ich hatte auf X in Zusammenhang mit einem Kommentar von ihm in der Welt mit der Überschrift „Menschen, die vor Unfreiheit flüchten, importieren Unfreiheit nach Europa“ (siehe Screenshot) geschrieben, dass 1/
New publication with @turnbulldugarte.com in @psrm.bsky.social! 🧵

We study whether citizens’ liberal values are selective: do people support policies based on who promotes them?

Short answer: Yes, and it's driven by ethnic out-group disidentification. (1/11) 👇

doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

h/t to @indubioproreto.bsky.social who made me think about this when mentioning the striking fact that for the first time in the parties' history the Swiss SP has a higher vote share than the German SPD. So instead of the "Danish strategy" more people may want to chat to @cedricwermuth.bsky.social

"Winning" of course is an awful concept to measure the success of party strategies and to construct meaningful counterfactuals. But even vote shares are tricky as in fragmenting party systems vote shares have very different consequences.

What should our quantity of interest be when we compare election success? It's a surprisingly complicated question and especially people in politics do not seem to scrutinize this. The category often is "winning" and strategies are ex post rationalized as successful when elections have been won.

Reposted by Jonathan Hopkin

Vote shares are often used to compare social democratic party success and to decide who to learn from. However, SD parties operate in very different socio-structural contexts. If we e.g. compare today's vote shares with those in the 90s, the Swiss SP stands out as having lost the least votes.
Radical right parties in Europe have not moderated. Their positions and rhetoric have entered the mainstream. They have become normalized and legitimized. Unless we understand this, we have little chance of countering their success.
In many parts of Europe populist-right parties have moderated as they have grown, shedding unpopular policies and personnel. If anything, the AfD in Germany is growing more radical econ.st/3KSptMm

Illustration: Javier Palma
In many parts of Europe populist-right parties have moderated as they have grown, shedding unpopular policies and personnel. If anything, the AfD in Germany is growing more radical econ.st/3KSptMm

Illustration: Javier Palma

Must be that famous left-progressive bias of the media elite that let's the BBC pretend that "cultural erasure" (i.e. the extreme right racist idea at the heart of contemporary and historic fascism) is a serious starting point for discussion. Why not "Do Germans need more Lebensraum in the East?"
WTF are we doing here, BBC?

Thanks to @youngvulgarian.marieleconte.com this is playing in my head every time I read the words "trade war"
WTF are we doing here, BBC?

Heute sicher nochmal ein guter Tag diesen äußerst informativen Podcast mit @annewill.bsky.social und Christina Berndt zu hören. Der Umfang des Schadens und das Ausmaß der Fahrlässigkeit und Überheblichkeit. Und Fahrlässigkeit ist schon die großzügige Interpretation.

open.spotify.com/episode/3gFx...
Wie schwer wiegen Spahns Fehler? Mit Christina Berndt
open.spotify.com

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

Now out in QMMR (Notes from the Field): I reflect on my PhD fieldwork in informal camps of migrant farmworkers in Italy, and on how the slow work of building trust in a challenging field environment radically reshaped my research questions and methods
doi.org/10.5281/zeno...
Like a CCTV in an Informal Migrant Camp: Rethinking Research While Building Trust in the Field
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doi.org

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

DPIR's @tabouchadi.bsky.social has co-authored a new paper in @thejop.bsky.social on 'The electoral effects of state-sponsored anti LGBTQ measures': www.journals.uchicag...
This is a brilliant piece on the restructuring of political competition in Western Europe and goes far beyond the question of populism. Great also for teaching.
The 1️⃣article of our 5️⃣0️⃣Anniversary Special Issue "Debating European Politics: Advances and Perspectives" is out!🎉

"The rise of populism and the new cleavage" by Hanspeter Kriesi, describing contemporary populism is likely to be a temporary phenomen.

🔗https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2025.2591874

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

The 1️⃣article of our 5️⃣0️⃣Anniversary Special Issue "Debating European Politics: Advances and Perspectives" is out!🎉

"The rise of populism and the new cleavage" by Hanspeter Kriesi, describing contemporary populism is likely to be a temporary phenomen.

🔗https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2025.2591874