Tarik Abou-Chadi
@tabouchadi.bsky.social
Professor of European Politics at Nuffield College, University of Oxford. Elections, parties, social democracy & the radical right. he/him. 🏳️🌈
Pinned
New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
With the Progressive Politics Research Network, we have published 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. What does a progressive agenda on housing look like? Which elements are important? What the hurdles are and how can they be overcome?
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
November 27, 2025 at 8:02 AM
With the Progressive Politics Research Network, we have published 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. What does a progressive agenda on housing look like? Which elements are important? What the hurdles are and how can they be overcome?
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
For the Guardian, @bjoernbremer.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social and I write about how building new homes is not enough to tackle the housing crisis. Housing is a redistributive issue and progressive policy solutions need to acknowledge that.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
To halt the far right, Europe’s progressive parties must fix its housing crisis. Our research shows how | Tarik Abou-Chadi, Björn Bremer and Silja Häusermann
The mantra of ‘build, build, build’ misses something crucial: that few can afford these new homes, say Tarik Abou-Chadi, Silja Häusermann and Björn Bremer
www.theguardian.com
November 27, 2025 at 12:57 PM
For the Guardian, @bjoernbremer.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social and I write about how building new homes is not enough to tackle the housing crisis. Housing is a redistributive issue and progressive policy solutions need to acknowledge that.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
For the Guardian, @jonhenley.bsky.social reports on our new research briefs on the politics of housing. Current policies too often treat housing as an asset. Housing as a social right has nearly disappeared from the agenda of even progressive parties.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
European progressives must tackle housing crisis to beat far right, say researchers
Centre left can win broad support by addressing soaring house prices and rents, according to data analysis
www.theguardian.com
November 27, 2025 at 9:17 AM
For the Guardian, @jonhenley.bsky.social reports on our new research briefs on the politics of housing. Current policies too often treat housing as an asset. Housing as a social right has nearly disappeared from the agenda of even progressive parties.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
With the Progressive Politics Research Network, we have published 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. What does a progressive agenda on housing look like? Which elements are important? What the hurdles are and how can they be overcome?
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
November 27, 2025 at 8:02 AM
With the Progressive Politics Research Network, we have published 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. What does a progressive agenda on housing look like? Which elements are important? What the hurdles are and how can they be overcome?
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
Am Wochenende will sich in Gießen die neue Jugendorganisation der AfD gründen – begleitet von großen Gegendemonstrationen.
Ideologisch wie auch personell zeigen sich Kontinuitäten zu der Jungen Alternativen, analysiert ANNA-SOPHIE HEINZE (@asheinze.bsky.social).
verfassungsblog.de/afd-jugendor...
Ideologisch wie auch personell zeigen sich Kontinuitäten zu der Jungen Alternativen, analysiert ANNA-SOPHIE HEINZE (@asheinze.bsky.social).
verfassungsblog.de/afd-jugendor...
November 26, 2025 at 4:07 PM
Am Wochenende will sich in Gießen die neue Jugendorganisation der AfD gründen – begleitet von großen Gegendemonstrationen.
Ideologisch wie auch personell zeigen sich Kontinuitäten zu der Jungen Alternativen, analysiert ANNA-SOPHIE HEINZE (@asheinze.bsky.social).
verfassungsblog.de/afd-jugendor...
Ideologisch wie auch personell zeigen sich Kontinuitäten zu der Jungen Alternativen, analysiert ANNA-SOPHIE HEINZE (@asheinze.bsky.social).
verfassungsblog.de/afd-jugendor...
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
November 25, 2025 at 9:26 AM
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
🔔Job Alert 🔔
Thrilled to share that @stefaniebailer.bsky.social and I have been awarded 1.5 million CHF in SNSF funding for our new project: “Electoral choice: Which role does legislators’ quality play?”
We’re recruiting 1 postdoc and 2 PhD candidates to join us in Basel and Geneva!
Thrilled to share that @stefaniebailer.bsky.social and I have been awarded 1.5 million CHF in SNSF funding for our new project: “Electoral choice: Which role does legislators’ quality play?”
We’re recruiting 1 postdoc and 2 PhD candidates to join us in Basel and Geneva!
November 25, 2025 at 9:33 AM
🔔Job Alert 🔔
Thrilled to share that @stefaniebailer.bsky.social and I have been awarded 1.5 million CHF in SNSF funding for our new project: “Electoral choice: Which role does legislators’ quality play?”
We’re recruiting 1 postdoc and 2 PhD candidates to join us in Basel and Geneva!
Thrilled to share that @stefaniebailer.bsky.social and I have been awarded 1.5 million CHF in SNSF funding for our new project: “Electoral choice: Which role does legislators’ quality play?”
We’re recruiting 1 postdoc and 2 PhD candidates to join us in Basel and Geneva!
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
@brendannyhan.bsky.social is right: young people are reluctant to come to the defense of institutions that have excluded them, ignored them, and crushed their movements
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/24/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/24/o...
November 25, 2025 at 3:37 AM
@brendannyhan.bsky.social is right: young people are reluctant to come to the defense of institutions that have excluded them, ignored them, and crushed their movements
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/24/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/24/o...
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
We have a new tenure-track job in @lsegovernment.bsky.social at AP level (empirical political science, open subfield): jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/... Please apply and share with colleagues who might be interested!
Assistant Professor in Political Science
Assistant Professor in Political Science,
,
<p style="text-align: center;"><em><span>LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university</span></em></p>
<p style="text-ali...
jobs.lse.ac.uk
November 24, 2025 at 7:43 PM
We have a new tenure-track job in @lsegovernment.bsky.social at AP level (empirical political science, open subfield): jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/... Please apply and share with colleagues who might be interested!
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
New Publication with @lhaffert.bsky.social in @ejprjournal.bsky.social!
We study the role of generations in the urban-rural divide, which is increasingly shaping the politics of many democracies.
Studying Switzerland, we show: The urban-rural divide is stronger among younger generations. (1/10) 🧵👇
We study the role of generations in the urban-rural divide, which is increasingly shaping the politics of many democracies.
Studying Switzerland, we show: The urban-rural divide is stronger among younger generations. (1/10) 🧵👇
November 24, 2025 at 9:48 AM
New Publication with @lhaffert.bsky.social in @ejprjournal.bsky.social!
We study the role of generations in the urban-rural divide, which is increasingly shaping the politics of many democracies.
Studying Switzerland, we show: The urban-rural divide is stronger among younger generations. (1/10) 🧵👇
We study the role of generations in the urban-rural divide, which is increasingly shaping the politics of many democracies.
Studying Switzerland, we show: The urban-rural divide is stronger among younger generations. (1/10) 🧵👇
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
Happy that our paper with @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, and @lstoetze.bsky.social found a home at @thejop.bsky.social. You can read it here 👇
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
November 22, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Happy that our paper with @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, and @lstoetze.bsky.social found a home at @thejop.bsky.social. You can read it here 👇
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
Thank you for writing this @casmudde.bsky.social saves me to have to explain this every other week to journalists and politicians! This plus the great work by @tabouchadi.bsky.social et al & @turnbulldugarte.com et al should now hopefully settle this issue.
November 22, 2025 at 12:25 PM
Thank you for writing this @casmudde.bsky.social saves me to have to explain this every other week to journalists and politicians! This plus the great work by @tabouchadi.bsky.social et al & @turnbulldugarte.com et al should now hopefully settle this issue.
Cas Mudde spells out what has become largely the consensus among researchers: moving right on immigration will not weaken the far right nor strengthen social democracy. If your reaction is "but in Denmark" please at least familiarize yourself with Danish politics
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
The ‘Danish model’ is the darling of centre-left parties like Labour. The problem is, it doesn’t even work in Denmark | Cas Mudde
This week’s local elections are the latest reminder that when social democrats move rightwards, they’re making a mistake, says academic and author Cas Mudde
www.theguardian.com
November 22, 2025 at 11:44 AM
Cas Mudde spells out what has become largely the consensus among researchers: moving right on immigration will not weaken the far right nor strengthen social democracy. If your reaction is "but in Denmark" please at least familiarize yourself with Danish politics
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
🎉 New publication 🎉 Why do #youngpeople vote for the #AfD? This question has kept our research project busy for quite some time, so I'm beyond excited that our first article - co-authored with @timonscheuer.bsky.social - is now out in #GermanPolitics! 🤩 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
November 22, 2025 at 9:36 AM
🎉 New publication 🎉 Why do #youngpeople vote for the #AfD? This question has kept our research project busy for quite some time, so I'm beyond excited that our first article - co-authored with @timonscheuer.bsky.social - is now out in #GermanPolitics! 🤩 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
A fascinating scene to understand how personalistic regimes work. First, there is an in-or-out decision by the leader. This is always in flux, deliberately uncertain and essential to extract rents and exert power. When you are on the inside the substance of what you say and do becomes secondary.
Q: “Are you affirming you think Trump is a fascist?”
TRUMP: “That’s ok, you can just say yes.”
ZOHRAN: “Ok. Yes.”
TRUMP: “That’s ok, you can just say yes.”
ZOHRAN: “Ok. Yes.”
November 22, 2025 at 9:29 AM
A fascinating scene to understand how personalistic regimes work. First, there is an in-or-out decision by the leader. This is always in flux, deliberately uncertain and essential to extract rents and exert power. When you are on the inside the substance of what you say and do becomes secondary.
Labour is desperately trying to appeal to Reform supporters. In October, we asked people in the UK if they perceive a party as a "party for someone like them". Only very few people say this for both Labour and Reform. The correlation is negative. Labour is chasing an electorate that does not exist.
November 21, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Labour is desperately trying to appeal to Reform supporters. In October, we asked people in the UK if they perceive a party as a "party for someone like them". Only very few people say this for both Labour and Reform. The correlation is negative. Labour is chasing an electorate that does not exist.
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
New article out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Tabea Palmtag and @dpzollinger.bsky.social 📝
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
November 20, 2025 at 3:35 PM
New article out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Tabea Palmtag and @dpzollinger.bsky.social 📝
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
The far right will be the dominant force on the right in Europe within the next 5-10 years. Most focus is still on how to prevent this but imho too many mistakes have been made that have created path dependencies. We need to focus more on what it means for our democracies when we reach this stage.
Strongly suspect that this is what will happen here in 28/9. Tories will replace Badenoch with a leader prepared to try it and Farage (as per 2019 but this time as the senior partner) will continue to deny he'll do a stand-down deal - right up until the point he does one.
French conservatives are inching towards a pact with Le Pen that could enable a far-right takeover of the country | Paul Taylor
In trying to woo Le Pen’s voters, Les Républicains risk destroying France’s Gaullist legacy and putting Paris on a collision course with the EU, says Paul Taylor of the European Policy Centre
www.theguardian.com
November 20, 2025 at 9:38 AM
The far right will be the dominant force on the right in Europe within the next 5-10 years. Most focus is still on how to prevent this but imho too many mistakes have been made that have created path dependencies. We need to focus more on what it means for our democracies when we reach this stage.
Next week, with the Progressive Politics Research Network, we are going to publish 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. While housing has become a huge grievance across Europe, it is often absent from progressive parties‘ agendas. Our group of experts discusses different aspects of this
November 18, 2025 at 11:33 AM
Next week, with the Progressive Politics Research Network, we are going to publish 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. While housing has become a huge grievance across Europe, it is often absent from progressive parties‘ agendas. Our group of experts discusses different aspects of this
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
Im EU-Parlament wurde letzte Woche erstmals ein relevantes Gesetz mit den Stimmen der extremen Rechten beschlossen.
Das ist ein guter Anlass, sich diese Woche dieses unheimlich kluge Gespräch zwischen @tabouchadi.bsky.social und @emcke.bsky.social anzuhören.
www.sueddeutsche.de/meinung/podc...
Das ist ein guter Anlass, sich diese Woche dieses unheimlich kluge Gespräch zwischen @tabouchadi.bsky.social und @emcke.bsky.social anzuhören.
www.sueddeutsche.de/meinung/podc...
SZ-Podcast: Tarik Abou-Chadi über Rechtspopulismus und die Fehler der Demokraten
Haben SPD und CDU mit ihrer Rhetorik den Aufstieg der AfD begünstigt? Abou-Chadi sagt: Ja. Warum, erklärt er im Podcast.
www.sueddeutsche.de
November 18, 2025 at 8:19 AM
Im EU-Parlament wurde letzte Woche erstmals ein relevantes Gesetz mit den Stimmen der extremen Rechten beschlossen.
Das ist ein guter Anlass, sich diese Woche dieses unheimlich kluge Gespräch zwischen @tabouchadi.bsky.social und @emcke.bsky.social anzuhören.
www.sueddeutsche.de/meinung/podc...
Das ist ein guter Anlass, sich diese Woche dieses unheimlich kluge Gespräch zwischen @tabouchadi.bsky.social und @emcke.bsky.social anzuhören.
www.sueddeutsche.de/meinung/podc...
Fascinating how often political commentary in the UK still refers to the median voter. In a multi-dimensional space with salience endogenous to positions, it‘s unclear to me who that should be. In a multi-party system, winning the median voter is of course not necessarily a vote-maximizing strategy.
November 17, 2025 at 9:32 AM
Fascinating how often political commentary in the UK still refers to the median voter. In a multi-dimensional space with salience endogenous to positions, it‘s unclear to me who that should be. In a multi-party system, winning the median voter is of course not necessarily a vote-maximizing strategy.
Do people in the Labour party think that you can recover from this? Is there any historic precedent for turning something like this around? Starmer has tied himself to a strategy, that strategy has failed. The consequence should be quite clear.
NEW from Ipsos
Satisfaction with the PM remains unchanged since September, continuing to be the worst ever recorded by Ipsos for a Prime Minister, going back to 1977…
Satisfaction with the PM remains unchanged since September, continuing to be the worst ever recorded by Ipsos for a Prime Minister, going back to 1977…
November 16, 2025 at 1:22 PM
Do people in the Labour party think that you can recover from this? Is there any historic precedent for turning something like this around? Starmer has tied himself to a strategy, that strategy has failed. The consequence should be quite clear.
Research on this is clear: the uncertainty created by this policy will lead to people integrate less into British society. It is trading-off the reasonable policy goal of integration for the useless symbolism of immigration numbers. Bad policy to appease the far right.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
UK set to limit refugees to temporary stays
Shabana Mahmood is expected to say the era of permanent protection for refugees is over, in major changes to the UK's asylum and immigration system.
www.bbc.co.uk
November 15, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Research on this is clear: the uncertainty created by this policy will lead to people integrate less into British society. It is trading-off the reasonable policy goal of integration for the useless symbolism of immigration numbers. Bad policy to appease the far right.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
Those claiming Dems should retreat on racial justice aren't hard-headed realists, they're pushing against the electoral tide rather than leaning into it. The story of Gen Z isn't about racist backlash or red-pilled young men. It's the most racially progressive generation in American history. 🧵
November 14, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Those claiming Dems should retreat on racial justice aren't hard-headed realists, they're pushing against the electoral tide rather than leaning into it. The story of Gen Z isn't about racist backlash or red-pilled young men. It's the most racially progressive generation in American history. 🧵
Reposted by Tarik Abou-Chadi
On Wednesday, the brilliant @krausewe.bsky.social will join us in Münster to present work w @christinagahn.bsky.social on opinion polls and elections! We are so thrilled!
You can join via Zoom: uni-ms.zoom-x.de/j/62265873291
co-organized @danbischof.bsky.social + @mwegemann.bsky.social y.social
You can join via Zoom: uni-ms.zoom-x.de/j/62265873291
co-organized @danbischof.bsky.social + @mwegemann.bsky.social y.social
November 13, 2025 at 1:50 PM
On Wednesday, the brilliant @krausewe.bsky.social will join us in Münster to present work w @christinagahn.bsky.social on opinion polls and elections! We are so thrilled!
You can join via Zoom: uni-ms.zoom-x.de/j/62265873291
co-organized @danbischof.bsky.social + @mwegemann.bsky.social y.social
You can join via Zoom: uni-ms.zoom-x.de/j/62265873291
co-organized @danbischof.bsky.social + @mwegemann.bsky.social y.social