Jake Grumbach
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jakemgrumbach.bsky.social
Jake Grumbach
@jakemgrumbach.bsky.social
policy, $, political economy of race // 70-80s soul, 90s hip hop // #DubNation // proud product of miscegenation // Berkeley prof (formerly: Princeton CSDP, UW)
Correct link here dynamicdemocracy.us
January 6, 2026 at 10:52 PM
🚨 the best state policy & public opinion database is now online. ~200 (!!!) state policies and 80 public opinion series on abortion, labor, taxes, environment, guns, education…

dynamicdemocracy.shinyapps.io

Massive public goods provision from @devincaughey.bsky.social & @chriswarshaw.bsky.social
January 6, 2026 at 10:18 PM
Another theory I have is oligarchy: owners of capital don’t care. They’re investing more in xAI even after the child p*rn and Naziism, likely because of Musk’s influence in the administration.

This is a real pic from my twitter timeline today (I censored it, Grok used the real hard r)
January 6, 2026 at 10:06 PM
Reposted by Jake Grumbach
Worth reading Bacon, formerly of Post Opinions, on how his old perch launched the trend that CBS 'We Love America' News just followed:
"We love America" is one of the mantras of Bari Weiss' CBS News. "Unapologetically patriotic" is the term the Washington Post's newly right-wing editorial board uses for its ethos. But "America" isn't billionaires/Trump and good journalism isn't always patriotic. newrepublic.com/article/2049...
Bari Weiss Is Dead Wrong—Good Journalism Isn’t About Being Pro-America
The CBS boss and her new evening anchor have released new “principles.” Among them: “We Love America.” They have no understanding of journalism—but they sure know where their bread is buttered.
newrepublic.com
January 6, 2026 at 6:05 PM
Reposted by Jake Grumbach
January 6, 2026 at 9:02 PM
Centrists: it’s not that bad ❌; bring back the establishment ❌

Normie libs: it’s that bad ✅; bring back the establishment ❌

Low trust leftists: it’s that bad ✅ and it’s always been this way ❌; we need new regime ✅
January 6, 2026 at 8:06 PM
Reposted by Jake Grumbach
I believe the original sin Democrats, and especially the Biden administration, made after January 6th was viewing January 6th as the *end* of something, rather than the *beginning* of something. My post on how to remember this somber anniversary for democracy: www.doomsdayscenario.co/p/five-ways-...
Five Ways To Remember January 6th
Too many people saw January 6th as the final aggrieved death throes of Trumpism. We can now understand it was the start of something much darker.
www.doomsdayscenario.co
January 6, 2026 at 4:57 PM
It's the video attached to the encyclopedia entry for "authoritarian oligarchy." Couldn't make it up
Reporter: Did you speak with the oil companies before the operation? Did you tip them off?

Trump: Before and after. They want to go in and they’re going to do a great job.
January 6, 2026 at 2:55 AM
We underestimate how impactful harassment and threats of violence are on politicians. Clear, large uptick in the number of major incumbent politicians not running/retiring specifically due to harassments and threats of violence. The harassers are like 0.1% of the population but hugely impactful.
January 6, 2026 at 2:50 AM
US artist visas are now given based on your number of social media followers
January 5, 2026 at 11:22 PM
What you need today is this DJ Marie Kimishima vinyl set (I don't make the rules). Mostly underrated jazz funk instrumentals

www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZoKS...
Marie Kimishima 君嶋麻里江 / Soul / Rare Groove / Vinyl Mix【JAM DJ SESSION vol.6 RSB GALLERY 溝の口】
YouTube video by JAM from RIVERSIDE BASE
www.youtube.com
January 5, 2026 at 6:41 PM
AI videos, videos from Chile, videos from Florida… the top Twitter accounts shamelessly sharing misinfo.

I still think social media’s negative effects aren’t mainly from straight up misinformation like this, but times might be changing as it gets more widespread
January 4, 2026 at 6:40 PM
Reposted by Jake Grumbach
It might be a coincidence, but I’m afraid it might be a tell.

6/21/25: Windmill rant ➡️ Bombs Iranian nuclear sites.

1/2/26: Windmill rant ➡️ Invades Venezuela/Captures Maduro.
January 4, 2026 at 6:13 PM
January 4, 2026 at 6:17 PM
A side story is there’s a ton of insider trading on these prediction markets. New accounts making hundreds of thousands on their first and only trade, that maduro would be ousted. Seems like insider trading is legal if not encouraged on these platforms
January 3, 2026 at 5:29 PM
Incredible
This is a thread of major media outlets falsely anthropomorphising the "Grok" chatbot program and in doing so, actively and directly removing responsibility and accountability from individual people working at X who created a child pornography generator (Elon Musk, Nikita Bier etc)

#1: Reuters
January 2, 2026 at 11:43 PM
This is quickly becoming the talking point, that 2/3 of tax revenue is eaten by fraud. Even after the whole DOGE saga. Hard to know if people like this AI startup CEO below sincerely believe it.
January 2, 2026 at 5:54 PM
Lying to smear a minority group, being caught lying, and saying the ends justify the means for the sake of saving the nation or whatever is fascism 101. Obvious to anybody who knows anything about the 20th century. And musk and the entire tech right is doing it
January 2, 2026 at 5:40 PM
Social media is in some ways more ‘democratic’ than traditional media, but it manufacturers consent even more powerfully because elites and grifters can light a fuse and then the mob runs with it in a cycle of anger and engagement farming
January 2, 2026 at 5:24 PM
Reposted by Jake Grumbach
this is why I think publications that focus almost solely on culture war issues are so empty. The genuine economic, health, welfare etc impacts of policy are much more important than Ivy League coursework discourse but become sideshows to these people.
December 30, 2025 at 6:28 PM
Reposted by Jake Grumbach
I am serious about the invite - especially if you are junior or a grad student

I enjoy schmoozing with the future of econ
Taking the train to Philly tomorrow for the #ASSA2026

Reach out if you want to get a coffee or drink!

I’ll be on this cheery panel about the future of higher ed on Sunday
January 1, 2026 at 11:12 PM
Reposted by Jake Grumbach
I tried a version of this—muting the color down about 75%, rather than going entirely black & white— and Julia Angwin is on to something.
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/25/o...
Opinion | I Killed Color on My Phone. The Result Shocked Me.
www.nytimes.com
January 1, 2026 at 11:02 PM
me and some masked friends went to a SpaceX testing facility with cameras and said “where the rockets at, I don’t see any rockets” and they didn’t let me in so you know what that means (fraud by a foreigner from south africa )
Demanding to see all the rockets at SpaceX bc I have a 60k follower YouTube channel and a camera.
January 1, 2026 at 11:17 PM
According to the new rules, if you and a few friends go to a defense contractor’s testing facility and you say “where are the missiles” and they don’t let you in then all federal funds for defense contractors will be frozen
January 1, 2026 at 10:44 PM
Reposted by Jake Grumbach
What the data revealed about American democracy in 2025. And a path forward for 2026.
On Data and Democracy 2025 Year-in-Review Visualized
Tracing the money, the ideological purges, the strategic debates, and the court battles: A visual deep-dive into the data of 2025 and charting an empirical roadmap for a more resilient democracy.
open.substack.com
January 1, 2026 at 5:18 PM