Peter Williams
pd-williams.bsky.social
Peter Williams
@pd-williams.bsky.social

Climbing, skiing, rates’ musing economist

Peter Williams was a prominent leader of Welsh Calvinistic Methodism in the eighteenth century, best known for publishing Welsh-language bibles and bible commentary.

Source: Wikipedia
Physics 20%
Computer science 20%

Rational brain: “early snow often sets up dangerous backcountry conditions all winter”

November skier brain: “I got a fever and the solution is more powder”
Then, by late week, pronounced ridge-trough pattern over continental U.S. will shift eastward & partially break down--likely opening the "storm door" along the West coast. A pretty wet period is likely thereafter, with moderate to even heavy rain extending all the way into SoCal.

Reposted by Peter Williams

Then, by late week, pronounced ridge-trough pattern over continental U.S. will shift eastward & partially break down--likely opening the "storm door" along the West coast. A pretty wet period is likely thereafter, with moderate to even heavy rain extending all the way into SoCal.

Totally fair. I just feel like I’ve seen some people saying to ignore it not “we haven’t really learned anything since 10/1”

I mean we know where it stood at end-Sept with two months of pretty complete data for the quarter’s inputs. The minimal changes since then not really telling us much new either way.

Reposted by Peter Williams

Also, maybe we come up with, like, two more holidays, say in the early and late spring, that involve walking around the neighborhood and talking to your neighbors?

IME, it’s simply too much material to cram in the ‘in one ear right out the other’ way a shorter single topic exam allows for. You still study like mad but there’s a reason revision periods are 2-6 weeks not a few days.

The UK approach I experienced of modest weight placed on work done across the year (essays, short quizzes, etc) with vast majority placed on a single end of year encompassing exam seems much more robust to AI challenges. Always thought by preventing cramming it was better anyway.
Grid scale batteries are changing our electricity system. Excellent new visual story on batteries in FT today shows just how far this technology has evolved.

Fasten your seatbelts, this is just the beginning.

ig.ft.com/mega-batteri...

Cash never lived in greater NYC therefor…

In recent years yes

Haven’t had an electric setup since I first moved to DC 10+ years ago but happiness would be an ES-330 into a Fender

Also that video makes me want to get a 000-style quite badly

I was thinking this more than radio country (agreed on how formulaic it is)

youtu.be/sc5RFpYge1Y?...
Colter Wall - 1800 Miles (Live Performance Video)
YouTube video by ColterWallVEVO
youtu.be

The moment begs for a garage band punk (and country?) resurgence

Best of lucky buddy! Am sure you’ll crush it

In fairness 90% of my exercise happens with running shoes or skis on so I very much am too

I don’t see the words “deadlifting” or “carrying heavy crap a long way” anywhere in there. What gives?!??

I feel like having that thought suggests the personality type for whom it likely is irrelevant

This looks absolutely amazing Preston! Heck of trip and route. I have little urge to get into most forms of biking but then I see some awesome bikepacking like this and wonder…

I see that and raise you ‘the chipotle by the Verizon center on a busy night’

We live in a small boom town so big caver but within 1 mile radius of my house there are ~150 SF and a ton of multifam in various phases of construction
This is huge: “A drug that provides near-perfect protection against H.I.V. with shots just twice a year will be made available at $40 per patient annually in low- and middle-income countries, offering new hope… making lenacapavir a realistic choice in countries with constrained resources.”
Philanthropies Strike a Promising Deal to Turn Back H.I.V.
www.nytimes.com

Oh so sorry buddy! I live in knee-related anxiety all fall for ski season’s sake

I think most consider that a completely separate thing

“Structurally we’ve been screwed by (low rates leading to) expensive down payments, now we’re wrecked by the mortgage and the down payment. Job prospects only make that worse not better”

I feel like the Atlantic has done some good writing on this, which is both my cultural prior and one that ties nicely into the story in a way

Source: The Atlantic share.google/A6U485SHqogM...
The New Divide in American Marriage
College graduates are marrying at high rates. Everyone else isn’t.
share.google

Well the answer for a huge swath of the people who are currently most animated on this subject is “I was in college and/or 26”

And it ties into other trends many people inclined to boost this consider negative such as later marriage, the skewed likelihood of marriage by edu & income, and the gap between fertility rates across married vs not couples