Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
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paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
@paulgp.com

Yale SOM professor & Bulls fan. I study consumer finance, and econometrics is a big part of my research identity. He/him/his

Economics 47%
Mathematics 9%
Whether you think this game handles it well or not (I think it largely does!) there's SO much to unpack in here about mothers! Daughters! Sisters! Adoption! an entire abortion side quest! Women nurturing and women fighting and women fucking shit up! WE DESERVE MORE WRITING ON THIS.

Just base game for now. We’ll expand to frozen throne next.

Here me out but have you considered an 8 computer garage lan with Warcraft 3 installed.

We can save America one RTS at a time
Pirro: "Mr President, there is in this room a group of people who love you, who believe in you, and who are so proud to be in this Oval Office and to be part of this amazing day because you have changed the course of America."

Man you dumb idiots

Fall in New Haven
📣 New NBER Working Paper out today 📣

"The Consequences of Faculty Sexual Misconduct"
Sarah Cohodes & Katherine Leu
I came across the following very useful looking search tool by @paulgp.com by chance: paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
Well worth a browse.
Economics Literature Search
Full-text search across 15,000+ papers from top economics journals and NBER working papers. Track how empirical methods have evolved over time.
paulgp.com

Did a block bake-off and my son was devastated that we took third with our “cookie brownie sandwich”
Coupling this, fertility that.

Why don't you academics actually do something about it?!? 😂
pre-writing a devastating obituary for your enemy is god-tier hating of a kind you don’t often see anymore. renaissance haterism. beautiful stuff.
A Sharon Begley byline, almost 5 years after her death.

Upon hearing the news James Watson had died, a STAT reporter said in our Slack, "I wish I could read what Sharon would have written."

Incredible news: Sharon in fact did pre-write a Watson obit. And it is masterful and excoriating.
🧪🧬🧫
James Watson, dead at 97, was a scientific legend and a pariah among his peers
James Watson, the co-discoverer of the structure of DNA who died Thursday at 97, was a scientific legend and a pariah among his peers.
www.statnews.com

Agreed 👍🏻

I’m not sure there’s much we can do — fragmentation of social media seems like the norm now
Just got the best out-of-office message I've ever seen from a fellow academic:

"I am currently away on leave. If this is an emergency... well, I doubt it. What could possibly be an emergency in my line of work?"
A Sharon Begley byline, almost 5 years after her death.

Upon hearing the news James Watson had died, a STAT reporter said in our Slack, "I wish I could read what Sharon would have written."

Incredible news: Sharon in fact did pre-write a Watson obit. And it is masterful and excoriating.
🧪🧬🧫
James Watson, dead at 97, was a scientific legend and a pariah among his peers
James Watson, the co-discoverer of the structure of DNA who died Thursday at 97, was a scientific legend and a pariah among his peers.
www.statnews.com

Yeah very top-heavy (and quieter!) here. Shockingly see more folks on LinkedIn now than here.
and if you *are* a ghoul, faking decency is the price of admission into polite society. seethe about it on your own time
thank you Anthony Scaramucci for this extremely relatable analogy about people buying bitcoin on margin
Haha, this from the New Yorker is getting passed around the math dork community. I did a comic about this kind of thought a few years ago: www.smbc-comics.com/comic/commut...
photos of Trump sleeping through yesterday's Oval Office event via Andrew Harnik of Getty

Your mileage may vary, but if the instruments are weak as you say, and you correctly specify the estimators (modulus the desk drawer problem, which I don’t view as particularly worse here than other IV settings), then it should reduce the number of implausible claims.
It’s been a while since we’ve had a pointless fight over the Star Wars sequels. I’ll throw a discourse rock at the proverbial window for something to do.

*ahem*

Luke Skywalker did nothing wrong scaring the shit out of his punk nephew for having a Nazi phase except not going far enough.

Sure but that’s a concern you could flag with any research design, and if that’s your primary concern there’s other nice papers trying to address that. If anything, our suggestions will tend to be more honest in estimating correct standard errors
Had to dig this up.
Beautiful article on Ali Riley who has retired after an amazing career in soccer.

(If her last name sounds familiar to you as an economist, then that's no surprise. She's the daughter of UCLA auction theorist John Riley.)
www.nytimes.com/athletic/678...
Angel City's Ali Riley used her voice for others while playing. She hopes to do more in retirement
www.nytimes.com

Correct!
The takeaway seems to be:

Keep calm and UJIVE (unbiased jackknife instrumental variables estimator) on!
Excited to post a new working paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár: arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572

Will post a thread on it soon, but if you're interested in judge/examiner designs, I think you'll find this guide very helpful!
The takeaway seems to be:

Keep calm and UJIVE (unbiased jackknife instrumental variables estimator) on!
has anyone seeing this purchased the corelogic climate scores product, or worked on it? or know someone who has done either? and is willing to chat about it?

This is a hell of a chart.
Americans are still experiencing sticker-shock when it comes to housing, with mortgage payments about double pre-covid levels.

My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart
Americans are still experiencing sticker-shock when it comes to housing, with mortgage payments about double pre-covid levels.

My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart