Every woman's rage wish (kidding)

Just checking back in because I'm all caught up and: Kate Wyler and Ross Poldark?!! Didn't expect that ;-)

Thanks for reading it

Thanks!

Thanks Nick!

Sorry cant fix atm

politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/news-and-eve...

Brilliant. It was the contortions, the hair, the face. Been there.

Now we may have an anti-Reform mood, but also an anti-Labour mood (as the incumbent party), so its not clear yet that left voters will be as motivated. Is the Reform threat to the left bigger than the desire to oust the Tories? Probably, but Labour would do well to also more to the left.

Yes I think it would show my expectation but not giving a fair chance to it not being right.

Yes. And they show a
Bit more mobilisation from
2024. But are these 2017 and 2019
Conservatives? That’s trickier, because panel data is not ideal for representative measures of turnout and will overstate voters.

Reforms rise is really about the collapse of the Tories. Agree their long term potential is there in Wales, but political identities matter too.