Prof Christina Pagel
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chrischirp.bsky.social
Prof Christina Pagel
@chrischirp.bsky.social

Prof Operational Research , @UCL_CORU, passionate about health care, women in STEMs, defending liberal democracy (!). Member of @independentsage, posts personal. https://www.trumpactiontracker.info/

Christina Pagel FMedSci HonFFPH is a German-British mathematician and professor of operational research at University College London (UCL) within UCL's Clinical Operational Research Unit (CORU), which applies operational research, data analysis and mathematical modelling to topics in healthcare. She was Director of UCL CORU from 2017 to 2022 and is currently Vice President of the UK Operational Research Society. She also co-leads, alongside Rebecca Shipley, UCL's CHIMERA research hub which analyses data from critically ill hospital patients. .. more

Public Health 39%
Medicine 29%

Reposted by Christina Pagel

🔥 The row between Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana gets even more bitter tonight as the two row over hundreds of thousands of pounds’ worth of donations.

www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Your Party row erupts over hundreds of thousands of pounds in donations
Clash the latest in months of political infighting between the camps of Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana
www.theguardian.com
The idea of a $1 billion lawsuit from Donald Trump is utter nonsense

www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cd...
Trump threatens $1bn legal action against BBC over 6 January speech edit
The BBC chair earlier apologises for the
www.bbc.co.uk
“When I was [at the BBC], at the height of Boris Johnson’s strength, that fear was ubiquitous. Scripts were sometimes written with a view not solely to their impartiality or truth, but the management of perception of impartiality from one side of the spectrum.“ @lewisgoodall.com
The truth about impartiality at the BBC
And the hysteria of the current "crisis"
goodallandgoodluck.substack.com

Reposted by Christina Pagel

"SARS-CoV-2 is too well-adapted to humans [hence, insert your favorite conspiracy theory]".

That was never right because, for one, SARS-CoV-2 is a pandemic virus so it necessarily had to be "well-adapted".

Now, a new study shows the same is true for BANAL-236 - a related virus isolated from bats.
SUPERB and angrily unvarnished response, by former BBC chairman, Lord Patten.

"I don't think that we should allow ourselves to be bullied into thinking that the BBC is only any good, if it reflects the prejudice of the last person who shouted at it." ~AA

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Three people who’d be expected to be Your Party bigwigs have largely walked away from Corbyn’s project: former NE mayor Jamie Driscoll, former Labour MP Beth Winter, and former ANC MP Andrew Feinstein.

I have some new intel on the fall-out, if you’re interested in that sort of thing… 🧵

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Breaking News: The Supreme Court said that it would hear a challenge to a Mississippi law that could upend mail-ballot rules in many states before the midterm elections.
Supreme Court to Hear Major Challenge to Mail-In Ballot Laws
The justices agreed to hear a challenge to Mississippi’s law, a case that could upend similar measures in dozens of states before the 2026 election.
nyti.ms

Reposted by Christina Pagel

What an absolute travesty: Sarkozy got 5 years and served just 3 weeks of his sentence.

Is it any wonder people believe there are a different set of rules for elites?
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
Former French president Nicolas Sarkozy is released from prison
Sarkozy, who told court his three weeks in jail had been a ‘nightmare’, will serve rest of sentence at home pending appeal
www.theguardian.com
This (not from that piece) is one of those charts where I am completely aware of the data but my mental map of how the global economy works still almost refuses to update to the new reality. Because the pace of change has been so rapid.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

quick rundown of some classic autocratic behaviours over the past few days in America Covering attacking enemies, helping allies, cowing institutions and purging the military

All actions and more on www.trumpactiontracker.info?

youtu.be/Mx4c4JfgLeU
9th November: quick rundown of some classic autocratic behaviours over the past few days in America
YouTube video by Professor Christina Pagel
youtu.be

Reposted by Christina Pagel

A reminder of our great event with Professor @chrischirp.bsky.social about her Trump Action Tracker. Watch the video below
bbkbritpol.substack.com/p/watch-what...
Watch: What Is Trump Doing to Democracy? In conversation with Professor Christina Pagel, creator of the Trump Action Tracker
Recorded 30th October 2025
bbkbritpol.substack.com
Depressing that the BBC has so little inherent institutional strength, it is kicked about so easily.

This is not good sign for our polity.
To back up their (incorrect) argument that COVID vaccines didn't affect transmission of the early variants, someone just sent me a paper showing that vaccines 'only' prevented infection...

The thing is, it's pretty hard to transmit COVID if you don't get infected in the first place.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

I can't imagine a job i'd like to do less. Managing an organisation held to a ludicrous standard by roaring idiots on a daily basis, while the main mediums it uses are all in decline and it's starved of resources.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Tim Davie reportedly to resign as BBC director general this evening.
Tim Davie to quit as BBC director-general
The corporation has faced accusations of bias after broadcasting a doctored clip of a speech by President Trump
www.thetimes.com
So the oldest person ever to become president keeps falling asleep in his office during public events and there’s no big public discussion on how this is a coverup or how republicans are lying to us about how this government is running?

Reposted by Christina Pagel

If they only knew how to zoom in, they might just be able to make out the red poppy too....

Reposted by Christina Pagel

I offer to pay for all my staff to have it done. How many have I paid for? Yep just me.

They need a bigger health campaign to promote the vaccine. (And to explain to the vaccine sceptics why they are wrong)

Reposted by Elizabeth Stokoe

Definitely worth paying for a flu jab this year, about £15 at pharmacies!

www.bbc.com/news/article...
Thinking only of Rosalind Franklin today, and what was stolen from her (and so many other female scientists alongside her).
Rosalind Franklin and the damage of gender harassment
Spurred by a recent report on sexual harassment in academia, our columnist revisits a historical case and reflects on what has changed—and what hasn’t
www.science.org
It’s been 45 days since Adelita Grijalva was elected by the people of Arizona.

Mike Johnson is still refusing to swear her in because she’s the final vote for the discharge petition to release the Epstein files.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Catherine Blaiklock, the first leader of the Brexit Party, is a Rupert Lowe ally who wants 10 million people to leave.

Fewer than 5 million people born abroad are neither naturalised British citizens (2.5m) nor EU settled status (3-4m)

But there are another 5 million UK born ethnic minorities.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Oh, I think there is an explanation. A wildly unpopular government can’t have ethical, competent military leadership www.nytimes.com/2025/11/07/u...
Hegseth Is Purging Military Leaders With Little Explanation
www.nytimes.com
Completely beyond why people try to defend Labour record on treatment of asylum seekers. They are awful.
They have done terrible things the Tories never even thought of, like denying any refugee who came here through irregular means from EVER becoming a citizen & ENDING FAMILY REUNIFICATION. demons.
It's hard to convey my disgust & moral outrage at Trump & Rubio for killing hundreds of thousands

My team at Duke has spent almost a decade studying the pros & cons of health aid, which has undoubtedly saved millions of live but has down sides. We have a policy paper out soon on the topic.

1/n

amazing! super congratulations
Putting this together was actually a HUGE amount of fun.

Feel free to share it - here or on whatever platform and with whichever friend or family member you think would enjoy our vibe and the gorgeous community we have become.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Putting this together was actually a HUGE amount of fun.

Feel free to share it - here or on whatever platform and with whichever friend or family member you think would enjoy our vibe and the gorgeous community we have become.

this stuff really matters
I want to spell this out in case the implications aren't clear:

This means all public tools/webapps of GISAID data (all the ones you've been used to seeing thru the pandemic, as far as we can tell) are prohibited.

The file allowed this. Cut that - cut off all tools the public & others were using.
On Oct 1, 2025, GISAID informed us that they had ended updates to the flat file of SARS-CoV-2 genomic sequences and associated metadata that we had used to update Nextstrain analyses since Feb 2020. GISAID's stated rationale was that their "resources are limited". 1/5