Ed Hill
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edmhill.bsky.social
Ed Hill
@edmhill.bsky.social
3K followers 970 following 1.1K posts
Researcher in mathematical epidemiology & infectious disease modelling.

Affiliations: Civic Health Innovation Labs (CHIL) @livunichil.bsky.social, @thepandemicinst.bsky.social, @livuni-phps.bsky.social‬, @livuni-iph.bsky.social, @liverpooluni.bsky.social.
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edmhill.bsky.social
Ed Hill @edmhill.bsky.social · 4d
1/ ✨ In March 2025, we launched a Civic Health Innovation Labs (CHIL; @livunichil.bsky.social) podcast – Health Data Decoded!

📹 YouTube channel: www.youtube.com/@HealthDataD...

🎧 Spotify show page: open.spotify.com/show/1kbSyvI...

🔟 episodes released in 2025 - a 🧵with episode summaries & links 👇
Reposted by Ed Hill
adamjkucharski.bsky.social
How likely is ‘likely’? Does ‘likely’ have a higher probability than ‘probable’? I put together a quick quiz so you can see how you interpret probability phrases, then see how you compare with others: probability.kucharski.io
January 3, 2026 at 4:15 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 31 Dec 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 H5N1 confirmed in commercial poultry unit at premises near Newark-on-Trent, Nottinghamshire

📊 81 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 66
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 4
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
December 31, 2025 at 10:38 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
1/ ✨ In March 2025, we launched a Civic Health Innovation Labs (CHIL; @livunichil.bsky.social) podcast – Health Data Decoded!

📹 YouTube channel: www.youtube.com/@HealthDataD...

🎧 Spotify show page: open.spotify.com/show/1kbSyvI...

🔟 episodes released in 2025 - a 🧵with episode summaries & links 👇
December 31, 2025 at 10:35 AM
edmhill.bsky.social
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 30 Dec 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Suspected case in commercial poultry premises near Newark-on-Trent, Nottinghamshire.

📊 80 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 65
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 4
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
December 30, 2025 at 10:54 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 29 Dec 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐦 Non-commercial captive birds near Bridgwater, Somerset.

📊 80 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 65
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 4
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4

🔗: www.gov.uk/government/n...
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
December 29, 2025 at 11:10 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 27 Dec 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Commercial poultry flock near Alvechurch, Worcestershire.

📊 79 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 64
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 4
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4

🔗: www.gov.uk/government/n...
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
December 28, 2025 at 11:39 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 26 Dec 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Commercial poultry at a premises near Newark-on-Trent, Nottinghamshire.

📊 78 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 63
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 4
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
December 26, 2025 at 11:03 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 24 Dec 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Two commercial poultry units (near York, North Yorkshire; near Penicuik, Scotland)

📊 77 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 62
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 4
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
December 24, 2025 at 11:09 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
1/ Seasonal influenza summary from latest @ukhsa.bsky.social surveillance report. #IDSky #EpiSky 🧪

🗓️ Based on data up to week 51 2025 (15-21 Dec 2025)

📊 Influenza activity has decreased. Influenza circulating at medium levels in England.

Report 🔗: www.gov.uk/government/s...
National flu and COVID-19 surveillance report: 24 December 2025 (week 52)
www.gov.uk
December 24, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
helenbranswell.bsky.social
The US #measles count for this year has topped 2,000 cases for the first time since 1992. These are confirmed cases only, ie there have been more. 3 reported deaths.
The vast majority of the cases are in unvaccinated kids & adults. 11% needed hospitalization. www.cdc.gov/measles/data...
December 23, 2025 at 10:06 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
🦆 High Pathogenicity Avian Influenza – WOAH Sit Rep 77 #IDSky #IDEpi 🧪

🗓️ Covers Nov 2025

📊 Outbreaks reported in Africa, Americas, Asia & Europe: 267 in poultry; 660 in non-poultry birds & mammals.

▶️ Reported 4,728,159 poultry birds died or culled, most in Europe.

🔗: www.woah.org/app/uploads/...
HPAI key figures for the current seasonal wave (Oct 2025 - Sep 2026) and the two previous waves (Oct 2023 - Sep 2024; Oct 2024 - Sep 2025). 01 Oct 2023 – 30 Sep 2024. Countries and territories reporting HPAI in poultry: 39 No. of HPAI outbreaks in poultry: 851 Countries and territories reporting HPAI in wild birds: 55 No. of HPAI outbreaks in wild birds: 1076 01 Oct 2024 – 30 Sep 2025 Countries and territories reporting HPAI in poultry: 50 No. of HPAI outbreaks in poultry: 1402 Countries and territories reporting HPAI in wild birds: 54 No. of HPAI outbreaks in wild birds: 1905 01 Oct 2025 – 30 Nov 2025 Countries and territories reporting HPAI in poultry: 26 No. of HPAI outbreaks in poultry: 496 Countries and territories reporting HPAI in wild birds: 34 No. of HPAI outbreaks in wild birds: 1937 Number of new outbreaks, associated cases and losses by geographical region (losses include animals dead and killed and disposed of within outbreaks – they do not include culling around outbreaks). It should also be noted that some countries or territories are unable to provide a precise number of cases and leave this field blank in the report. New Outbreak statistics. Americas: 45; Asia: 5; Europe 217. Cases statistics. Americas: 17,383; Asia: 633; Europe: 794,375. Losses statistics. Americas: 1,135,984; Asia:1,188,412; Europe: 2,403,763. Vaccination statistics. Europe: Approximately 3100. During November 2025, 267 new outbreaks in poultry were notified by 20 countries and territories (Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Germany, Hungary, Iraq, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Lithuania, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Sweden, United Kingdom, United States of America). During November 2025, 660 new outbreaks in non-poultry were notified by 31 countries and territories (stria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Latvia, Lithuan ia, Luxembourg, Mongolia, the Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Ukraine, the United Kingdom, the United States of America). This list corresponds to countries and territories that have notified cases in wild birds, mammals or domestic birds other than poultry. This explains why their numbers are different from those presented in the ‘HPAI key figures for the current seasonal wave and the two previous waves’ table, which does not cover domestic birds other than poultry. The number of HPAI new outbreaks in non-poultry animals reported through WAHIS by geographical region during November 2025: Africa: 1 (all in in non-poultry birds). Americas: 9 (all in in non-poultry birds). Asia: 10 (all in in non-poultry birds). Europe: 640 (all in non-poultry birds).
December 23, 2025 at 10:42 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
thepandemicinst.bsky.social
Read about what we've achieved in 2025 in our latest news item, or watch the video below:

www.thepandemicinstitute.org/news/year-in...
December 21, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
runningmadprof.bsky.social
I’ve been doing a bit of reflecting as the year winds down, on leadership, research, public health, and what feels most urgent going into next year: linkedin.com/pulse/leader...

Do let me know if any of it resonates. And “Follow” me if you want to hear more.
Leadership, Research, and Public Health: Reflections from 2025
As the year winds down, I’ve found myself looking back over some of the things I’ve been involved with over the past 12 months. Here are some reflections on leadership, public health, and some of the ...
linkedin.com
December 21, 2025 at 6:57 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 22 Dec 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Two commercial poultry units (near Dereham, Norfolk; near Penicuik, Scotland)

📊 75 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 61
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 3
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
December 22, 2025 at 10:22 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 21 Dec 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Commercial poultry flock near Market Rasen, Lincolnshire.

📊 73 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 60
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 2
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4

🔗: www.gov.uk/government/n...
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
December 21, 2025 at 10:41 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 20 Dec 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Backyard flock near Bicester, Oxfordshire

🐔 Commercial poultry flock near Dereham, Norfolk

📊 72 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 59
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 2
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
December 20, 2025 at 11:51 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
helenbranswell.bsky.social
1. It's Friday. Time for a #flu update:
The #CDC has been informed of 2 more pediatric flu deaths this year, bringing the toll now to 3. Sadly, there will be more.
CDC says only 42.3% of kids under 17 yo have been vaccinated against flu this year. That's down markedly from before the pandemic.
December 19, 2025 at 8:23 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
1/ 🎙️ New 'Health Data Decoded' episode! #SciComm

❓ What does it take to bridge clinical practice, data science and public health innovation?

👤 Guest: Iain Buchan (@profbuchan.bsky.social), Director of CHIL (@livunichil.bsky.social).

📹 YouTube: www.youtube.com/watch?v=vHA9...

🎧 Spotify👇
Health Data Decoded | CHIL director – Iain Buchan [Ep. 10]
open.spotify.com
December 19, 2025 at 9:35 AM
edmhill.bsky.social
1/ Seasonal influenza summary from latest @ukhsa.bsky.social surveillance report. #IDSky #EpiSky 🧪

🗓️ Based on data up to week 50 2025 (08-14 Dec 2025)

📊 Influenza activity is stabilising in most indicators. Influenza circulating at medium levels in England.

Report 🔗: www.gov.uk/government/s...
National flu and COVID-19 surveillance report: 18 December 2025 (week 51)
www.gov.uk
December 18, 2025 at 9:07 PM
edmhill.bsky.social
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 18 Dec 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Two commercial poultry flocks (near Brockworth, Gloucestershire; near Penicuik, Scotland)

📊 70 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 57
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 2
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
December 18, 2025 at 9:05 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
sbfnk.bsky.social
Two more fully funded PhDs in real-time infectious disease modelling & forecasting — developing methods for operational use by @ukhsa.bsky.social and others in outbreak response. UK home students, starting April or September 2026.

www.lshtm.ac.uk/study/fees-a...
PhD Studentships in Health Analytics and Modelling | LSHTM
The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), Imperial College London and the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) are pleased to invite applications for two PhD studentships in real-time
www.lshtm.ac.uk
December 17, 2025 at 10:27 AM
Reposted by Ed Hill
thepandemicinst.bsky.social
2025 was a year of action for @thepandemicinst.bsky.social. From rapid research funding to global partnerships and community engagement. Watch our Year in Review video below, and download our brochure for more info: www.thepandemicinstitute.org/app/uploads/...

#PandemicPreparedness #GlobalHealth
December 17, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Reposted by Ed Hill
emiliefinch.bsky.social
New study out in Nature Communications! In this paper, we disentangle the impact of climate variation and serotype changes on dengue dynamics in Singapore and present a forecasting framework able to predict outbreaks up to two months ahead 🦟
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Climate variation and serotype competition drive dengue outbreak dynamics in Singapore - Nature Communications
Dengue early warning systems integrating climate information are an important tool for epidemic preparedness and response. Here, the authors develop a prediction model that incorporates clim...
www.nature.com
December 16, 2025 at 11:58 AM
Reposted by Ed Hill
rozeggo.bsky.social
Symposium & workshop on inequalities in infectious disease dynamics at LSHTM in April 2026. We aim to will bring together leading researchers and practitioners to share ideas, discuss recent advances, and reflect on future directions. Details & application: iddconf.org/lshtm-sympos... Closing 21 Jan
Social Inequalities in Infectious Disease Dynamics: a Symposium and Workshop
iddconf.org
December 16, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
adamjkucharski.bsky.social
What happens when exponential problems - and exponential opportunities - hit a world that’s been taught to think linearly?

And how can we do better?

New video, made with the support of the TED Fellow program: www.youtube.com/watch?v=AdKx...
How to handle growth that accelerates
YouTube video by Adam Kucharski
www.youtube.com
December 15, 2025 at 3:46 PM