Ed Hill
edmhill.bsky.social
Ed Hill
@edmhill.bsky.social
Researcher in mathematical epidemiology & infectious disease modelling.

Affiliations: Civic Health Innovation Labs (CHIL) @livunichil.bsky.social, @thepandemicinst.bsky.social, @livuni-phps.bsky.social‬, @livuni-iph.bsky.social, @liverpooluni.bsky.social.
Pinned
1/ 🎙️ New 'Health Data Decoded' episode! #SciComm

❓ How can we use AI and open data to help uncover and prevent harm in healthcare? #DataScience #PublicHealth

👤 Guest: Sam Osian, Doctoral Researcher in Health Data Science at the University of Liverpool!

📹 YouTube: youtu.be/hHEHfuobnB0

🎧 Spotify👇
Health Data Decoded | Health Data Science Doctoral Research – Sam Osian [Ep. 8]
open.spotify.com
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 16 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 Large commercial poultry unit near Thorne, South Yorkshire.

📊 45 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 35
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 6
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3

🔗: www.gov.uk/government/n...
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 16, 2025 at 9:32 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
"..the first known human H5N5 infection has captured a good deal of attention, but the `other' flu story we've been following this week has been the rapid spread of a new seasonal H3N2 subcade (K) virus, which emerged in the Southern Hemisphere"

afludiary.blogspot.com/2025/11/cdc-...
CDC FluView, ECDC CDT & Canada Announce Early H3N2 Subclade K Prevalence Numbers
Credit NIAID   #18,947 Yesterday's announcement for the first known human H5N5 infection has captured a good deal of attention, but the `ot...
afludiary.blogspot.com
November 15, 2025 at 8:40 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 15 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 Large commercial poultry unit in Norfolk

🐦 2 x small group of captive birds (Norfolk,Devon)

📊 44 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 34
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 6
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 15, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
1/ The US CDC has restarted influenza reporting!

The data support what we've seen in the wastewater, Walgreens, & genome sequencing data.

Flu rates are low, but rising (especially in kids).

70% of subtyped viruses were H3 and 50% of those were the "K" variant.

Now is the time to get vaccinated.
1/ A expected, the latest data update from Walgreens shows rising levels of general respiratory infections and also the first signs of influenza activity in the US!

We're also seeing wastewater signals in Georgia rising, in support of what Walgreens is report.
1/ A concerning flu "variant" may be driving an early rise in cases in the UK.

The virus is an H3N2, but has mutations that suggest it may evade some prior immunity.

We're not seeing much activity in the US, but that may be changing.

A 🧵 on what signals I'm watching.

www.bbc.com/news/article...
November 14, 2025 at 5:01 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 14 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐦 Small backyard flock of captive birds near Pontyberem, Carmarthenshire, Wales.

📊 41 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 31
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 6
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 15, 2025 at 12:25 AM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 13 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Commercial poultry flock in Norfolk

🐦 Small backyard flock of captive birds in Cumbria

📊 40 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 31
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 5
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 13, 2025 at 11:56 PM
1/ Seasonal influenza summary from latest @ukhsa.bsky.social surveillance report. #IDSky #EpiSky 🧪

🗓️ Based on data up to week 45 2025 (03-09 Nov 2025)

📊 Unusually early start to influenza season in England. Circulation remains high in children & young adults.

Report 🔗: www.gov.uk/government/s...
National flu and COVID-19 surveillance report: 13 November 2025 (week 46)
www.gov.uk
November 13, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
Our lab's paper describing the North American H5N1 epizootic is out now in Nature! So thrilled to have this out, and congratulations to @lambod50.bsky.social for all the fantastic work on this: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Ecology and spread of the North American H5N1 epizootic - Nature
The panzootic of highly pathogenic H5N1 since 2021 was driven by around nine introductions into the Atlantic and Pacific flyways, followed by rapid dissemination through wild migratory birds, primaril...
www.nature.com
November 12, 2025 at 7:33 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 12 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Commercial poultry unit in Suffolk.

🐔 Commercial poultry flock near Lanark, Scotland.

📊 38 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 29
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 5
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 12, 2025 at 11:51 PM
📣 Call for contributions at ECMTB 2026 in Graz 🇦🇹

🗓️ Taking place 13-17 July 2026

❓Planning to attend ECMTB 2026 & interested in speaking at a minisymposium on epidemiological-behavioural modelling? #IDsky #EpiSky 🧪

✍️ Express that interest by signing up here: forms.cloud.microsoft/e/bBjFjRD3Wd
November 12, 2025 at 12:14 AM
Reposted by Ed Hill
Flu activity has risen unusually early this season, driven by a new subclade.

On the bright side, our data shows that this year's vaccines offer good protection against the virus - to both children and adults.

Details here: https://bit.ly/47LEXZW
November 11, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
1/ A expected, the latest data update from Walgreens shows rising levels of general respiratory infections and also the first signs of influenza activity in the US!

We're also seeing wastewater signals in Georgia rising, in support of what Walgreens is report.
1/ A concerning flu "variant" may be driving an early rise in cases in the UK.

The virus is an H3N2, but has mutations that suggest it may evade some prior immunity.

We're not seeing much activity in the US, but that may be changing.

A 🧵 on what signals I'm watching.

www.bbc.com/news/article...
New flu virus mutation could see ‘worst season in a decade'
Leading flu experts say they will not be surprised if this year's is the worst flu season for a decade.
www.bbc.com
November 10, 2025 at 6:50 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
As expected, Canada has lost its measles-free status because of the long-running outbreak there. With it goes the #measles elimination status of the entire zone of the Americas, the only division of the #WHO to ever have achieved measles elimination. www.statnews.com/2025/11/10/m...
Canada loses measles elimination status — as does the entire Americas region
Canada has formally lost its measles elimination status, the country’s public health agency announced, triggering the loss of that status throughout all of the Americas.
www.statnews.com
November 10, 2025 at 2:49 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 09 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Commercial poultry at premises near Welshpool, Wales.

📊 36 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds in UK from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 28
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 0
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 5
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3

🔗: www.gov.uk/government/n...
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 9, 2025 at 11:32 PM
📰 HPAI H5N1 confirmations in UK on 08 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Commercial poultry near Hallow, Worcestershire.

📊 35 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds in UK from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 28
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 0
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 4
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3

🔗: www.gov.uk/government/n...
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 8, 2025 at 11:56 PM
📰 Multiple HPAI H5N1 confirmations in UK on 07 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

4️⃣ commercial poultry premises in England

2️⃣ commercial poultry premises in Northern Ireland

📊 34 confirmed cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 27
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 0
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 4
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 7, 2025 at 11:55 PM
1/ 🎙️ New 'Health Data Decoded' episode! #SciComm

❓ How can we use AI and open data to help uncover and prevent harm in healthcare? #DataScience #PublicHealth

👤 Guest: Sam Osian, Doctoral Researcher in Health Data Science at the University of Liverpool!

📹 YouTube: youtu.be/hHEHfuobnB0

🎧 Spotify👇
Health Data Decoded | Health Data Science Doctoral Research – Sam Osian [Ep. 8]
open.spotify.com
November 7, 2025 at 3:50 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 confirmations on 06 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Large commercial poultry flock in Pembrokeshire

🐔 Small non-commercial poultry flock in Lancashire

📊 28 confirmed cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 23
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 0
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 4
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 1
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 7, 2025 at 12:18 AM
1/ Seasonal influenza summary from latest @ukhsa.bsky.social surveillance report. #IDSky #EpiSky 🧪

🗓️ Based on data up to week 44 2025 (27 Oct – 02 Nov 2025)

📊 Unusually early start to influenza season in England. Influenza activity at low levels & increasing.

Report 🔗: www.gov.uk/government/s...
National flu and COVID-19 surveillance report: 6 November 2025 (week 45)
www.gov.uk
November 6, 2025 at 11:34 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 confirmations on 05 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth 🧪

🐔 Small commercial poultry flock in Lincolnshire

🐦 In captive birds in Lancashire

📊 26 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds in UK from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 22
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 0
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 3
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 1
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 5, 2025 at 11:44 PM
📣 University of Liverpool Fellowship opportunities

❓ Have AI-focused research ideas in health protection data science, mathematical epidemiology and/or infectious disease modelling? #IDsky #OneHealth

💬 Please contact for further discussion!

⏰ Outline application deadline: 23:59, 01 Dec 2025.
November 5, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
1/ 🚨 Publication news!

📄 "The estimated impact of mandatory front-of-pack nutrition labelling policies on adult obesity prevalence and obesity-related mortality in England: a modelling study"

👥 Joint study between PHPS colleagues &
@livunipsyc.bsky.social.

🔗 to study👇
The estimated impact of mandatory front-of-pack nutrition labelling policies on adult obesity prevalence and obesity-related mortality in England: a modelling study
This work offers the first modelled estimation of the impact of introducing mandatory front-of-pack nutrition labels on obesity prevalence in the adult population in England. Findings suggest that man...
www.thelancet.com
November 5, 2025 at 11:53 AM
Reposted by Ed Hill
New Paper🚀! Our work analysing the Swiss national SARS-CoV-2 wastewater 🚱 monitoring data is now published in PLOS Water 💧 @plos.org journals.plos.org/water/articl... (Julien Riou, @tanjastadler.bsky.social @trj2.bsky.social Christoph Ort et al)
November 4, 2025 at 1:39 PM
📰 DEFRA avian influenza update on 04 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 HPAI H5N1 confirmed in commercial poultry premises in Norfolk

🏘️ From Thu 06 Nov, mandatory housing measures to be extended to all of England

📊 From 01 Oct 2025, 24 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds in UK
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 4, 2025 at 7:09 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
🚨 Publication news!

📄 "Exploring the contribution of risk factors on major illness: a microsimulation study in England, 2023-2043"

👥 Joint study between PHPS colleagues & @healthfoundation.bsky.social.

🛟 Small changes in diet, exercise & smoking could reduce chronic illness over the next 20 yrs.
November 4, 2025 at 12:31 PM