David Brady

@davebrady72.bsky.social

5.1K followers 2K following 1.1K posts

Public policy professor, Price School USC @priceschool.usc.edu, father, poverty/social policy/racial inequality/immigration/policymakers, posts do not speak for employer, https://bradydave.wordpress.com

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Political science 63%

Sociology 13%

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David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · Oct 26

More than 1 million refugees migrated to Germany in 2015-2016.

How did this affect Germans’ exclusionary beliefs & behaviors?

New at American Journal of Sociology w/Giesselmann & @tabeanaujoks.bsky.social

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

The Increase in Refugees to Germany and Exclusionary Beliefs and Behaviors1 | American Journal of Sociology: Vol 130, No 3

In 2015–16, Germany experienced a rapid and controversial increase in refugees that varied substantially across German districts. This increase provides unique leverage for analyzing how fractionaliza...

www.journals.uchicago.edu

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 14h

I don’t actually know how much UCLA college football spends. But I bet it is surely more than ~$9 million. And I’d bet it spends similar amounts to peer college football programs.

I also would bet many college football programs spend more than the revenue they bring in.

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 14h

In @latimes.com: “For the fiscal year 2024…UCLA reported $8.35 million in football ticket sales…and just $738,373 in revenue from game programs, novelties, parking and food and concessions.”

College football OFTEN does NOT making nearly as much $ as it spends.

www.latimes.com/sports/ucla/...

UCLA Unlocked: See you at SoFi? A stadium switch could come as soon as 2026

It's not a done deal yet, but the Bruins could abandon the Rose Bowl for SoFi Stadium as soon as next season.

www.latimes.com

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 3d

Interesting discussion on causality by @tvanheuvelen.bsky.social including our paper joint necessity of external, internal and construct validity:

substack.com/@asocial/not...

Inequality Readers. Generally, My Best Guess

IBE, in y.

substack.com

Reposted by David Brady, David L. Anderson

Citizen Cohn / Jonathan Cohn @citizencohn.bsky.social · 4d

So much to say about Nancy Pelosi, now retiring

Plausibly the most effective House leader of modern times

A telling episode, from early 2010 when Democrats were *this* close to giving up on what eventually became the ACA

us.macmillan.com/books/978125...

Excerpt from book, The Ten Year War

meeting after the Massachusetts election, junior and vulnerable members
lined up at the microphones, decrying reform as a “suicide mission.” Pelosi, with Hoyer at her side, heard out every one—and then made a speech
of her own, declaring her determination to go forward because they had
come so far.
Chris Murphy, who in 2010 was finishing his second term representing a
suburban House district outside Hartford, Connecticut, said later, “I just felt
like the momentum was heading in the direction of surrender. Pelosi just
did not allow it to happen. By sheer will, she turned that room around. People like me, I still wanted to do it but I don’t know that I had the confidence
to stand up to this tidal wave. She breathed confidence into everybody in
that room who wanted to stay the course.”

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 7d

This new trick in Economics of pretending almost everything everyone defines as the welfare state is not the welfare state…and then declaring PRE-distribution not redistribution drives inequality is not intellectually serious.

www.peoplespolicyproject.org/2025/10/26/d...

Do Predistribution People Know How to Read?

How many times will they fall for the same exact measurement tricks?

www.peoplespolicyproject.org

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 8d

Russ Roberts’ “Econ Talk” is one of the most interesting podcasts.

This episode with @davidbessis.bsky.social is truly fascinating.

It got me thinking we should train students to think of research as “a dialogue between intuition and evidence.”

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...

A Mind-Blowing Way of Looking at Math (with David Bessis)

Podcast Episode · EconTalk · 10/27/2025 · 1h 22m

podcasts.apple.com

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 8d

I feel this: “The reason I have no hope for my own team is that the man who owns the franchise will never try hard enough to reach the World Series. But after what happened to the Blue Jays, I see a silver lining: There are worse things than hopelessness.”

slate.com/culture/2025...

The World Series Outcome Was Astonishing—and, Frankly, Obscene

The Los Angeles Dodgers had so many dumb things go right at the exact right moment.

slate.com

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 8d

Plenty of lively nature-nurture debates could be had about this. Are the Irish just genetically superior and talented writers? Or is it culture at work that makes such high per capita writing skill?

-signed a proudly 3/8 Irish American….a fraction held by seemingly all Americans

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 8d

This Colin Sheridan is one helluva writer.

HR Ryan @hrryan.bsky.social · 8d

Here's the whole thing - I paid:

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 8d

Interesting episode in politics of data sharing in state welfare programs. Efforts to reduce administrative burdens & increase access led to unanticipated challenges.

www.latimes.com/california/s...

The feds want to know more about the people on food stamps. How Newsom responded

Gov. Gavin Newsom signed Assembly Bill 593 by Assemblymember Buffy Wicks, a Democrat from Oakland, that forbids state and local departments from sharing sensitive personal data to increase food stamp ...

www.latimes.com

Reposted by David Brady

HR Ryan @hrryan.bsky.social · 8d

Here's the whole thing - I paid:

Reposted by David Brady, Julie L. Lockwood, Kevin Carey , and 5 more David Brady, Julie L. Lockwood, Kevin Carey, Elizabeth Stevenson, Brian Doucet, Brooke Harrington, Daxton R. Stewart, David S. Tanenhaus

Doc Revan @docrevan.bsky.social · 8d

Did not expect one of the best paragraphs I’d read about baseball would come from an Irish newspaper

www.irishexaminer.com/sport-column...

And in that pause between pitch and contact - longer than logic, shorter than hope - we remembered why baseball existed long before we judged a sport's value by viral moments and betting apps. It is the romance of failure. The mortal beauty of trying and missing seven times out of 10 and still being considered great. It is the only sport where patience is a weapon, and panic the surest death. You cannot simply run out the clock in baseball; you must face it, pitch by terrifying pitch, until it finally releases you.

Reposted by Elizabeth Saunders, Will Jennings, David Brady , and 8 more Elizabeth Saunders, Will Jennings, David Brady, Brendan Nyhan, Karen Benjamin Guzzo, David R. Miller, Aaron Sojourner, Scott A. Imberman, Ann Bartow, Kevin Grant, Clark Gray

Daniel Drezner @dandrezner.bsky.social · 8d

just catching up on Bill Belichick’s disastrous year as UNC coach and discovering the exact mechanics of how he secured the job. www.theringer.com/2025/10/31/c...

Reposted by David Brady, Mary Feeney, David Darmofal

Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 9d

Studying social sciences & humanities makes students more left-leaning, controlling for initial views & major preference, driven by cultural views. Implies that if all students majored in business, college–noncollege ideological gap would shrink by 1/3
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Reposted by David Brady, Kate Starbird

Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 11d

Another step in the de-professionalization and politicization of DOD.

"The head of an office that helps organize technical research and disburse billions of dollars for the Navy is being replaced by a 33-year-old former DOGEr with no apparent naval experience."

www.thebulwark.com/p/scoop-trum...

SCOOP: Trump Swaps Decorated Admiral With 33-Year-Old DOGEr

The highly unorthodox personnel change affects a critical government research role.

www.thebulwark.com

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d

And more concretely, compared to ten years ago, one would be pretty surprised if some sociologist tried to withhold replication materials.

Compared to 20 years ago, sociologists would get laughed out of the room for some of the crazy responses (eg by Abbott) Jeremy originally got.

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d

We couldn’t have done this: bradydave.wordpress.com/wp-content/u... or this: bradydave.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...

Ten years ago. Demography is a big part of Soc too and has mainstreamed it.

bradydave.wordpress.com

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d

It’s subjective perception. But 10 years ago, it’d be very rare to see replication materials on sociologists’ and Soc journal websites. These days it feels more common. Plus, it’s raised in reviews more often. And one sees comments on original papers that were able to get replication materials.

Anthony Michael Kreis @anthonymkreis.bsky.social · 15d

May I present a former clerk to Justice Gorsuch.

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d

I think it’s gotten somewhat better in past 10 years - even though I agree with your central point that sociology remains very behind. My sense is it was European sociologists that really were ahead of US sociologists. And US sociologists (esp at elite schools) were distinct laggards.

Reposted by David Brady, David Darmofal

Conrad Hackett @conradhackett.bsky.social · 15d

Sociologists are far behind economists and political scientists when it comes to sharing data and code, as @jeremyfreese.bsky.social wrote nearly 20 years ago. Alas, there has been little change since then, especially in flagship @asanews.bsky.social journals.
boydetective.net/docs/freese-...

boydetective.net

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d

Clarifying and useful explainer on theories of egalitarianism. And why that equality vs equity meme is lame:

substack.com/@josephheath...

Why philosophers hate that ‘equity’ meme

If you want to annoy your favorite philosopher, one of the best ways to do it these days is to mention the “kids standing on boxes equity meme.” To call it the bane of our existence would be something...

substack.com

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d

It’s not often I agree with Reagan.

substack.com/@joealter/no...

joe alter (@joealter)

substack.com

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d

substack.com/@brankomilan...

Degrowth: solving the impasse by magical thinking

A critique of degrowth

substack.com

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 16d

Those super long term giant contracts always … ALWAYS turn bad eventually. See Albert Pujols.

So hard to believe the early years make it worth it.

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 16d

Am I the only Indiana University alumnus that finds it very unusual that IU football has become this power house? They’re steamrolling UCLA and going to be 8-0. It’s wild.

Reposted by David Brady, Brian D. Galle, Henry Jones , and 1 more David Brady, Brian D. Galle, Henry Jones, Nathan P. Kalmoe

David Dayen @ddayen.bsky.social · 18d

California is readying a one-time 5% tax on billionaires for the 2026 ballot that would go toward compensating for Trump's Medicaid cuts. The architects see it as a national model.
It will be announced today.

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 19d

Follow @jtommueller.bsky.social for more.

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 19d

Really excited to see Tom Mueller’s new book _The Case for Rural America_.

uncpress.org/978146969151...

uncpress-us-new.imgix.net/covers/97814...

David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 19d

It’s hard to imagine how this doesn’t have serious negative consequences for US economy. In some ways, it reflects the economic consequences of not having a well designed welfare state that provides health care. The inefficiencies that result ramify across businesses and households.

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