Ian Hall

@drianhall.bsky.social

1.6K followers 1.2K following 1.3K posts

Professor of International Relations at Griffith University, India’s foreign policy, Indo-Pacific stuff, snakes when I find one. Usual caveats.

Videos

Political science 68%

Economics 10%

Posts Replies Media Videos

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · 15h

I mean, why not? At least we might get more than two days of cricket.

Iceland Cricket @icelandcricket.bsky.social · 15h

One day, this could be true. We can still make days 3, 4 and 5 when the game will be over.

Reposted by Ian Hall

Iceland Cricket @icelandcricket.bsky.social · 15h

One day, this could be true. We can still make days 3, 4 and 5 when the game will be over.

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · 2d

By Herod Antipas

NY Times Pitchbot @nytpitchbot.bsky.social · 2d

If the Romans had simply deported woke baby Jesus to South Sudan, a lot of trouble could have been avoided

Reposted by Ian Hall

NY Times Pitchbot @nytpitchbot.bsky.social · 2d

If the Romans had simply deported woke baby Jesus to South Sudan, a lot of trouble could have been avoided

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · 2d

About time, some might say.

Financial Times @financialtimes.com · 3d

Modi turns his focus to reforming India’s economy ft.trib.al/b1Tu6TQ

Modi turns his focus to reforming India’s economy

Emboldened by political victories at home and facing high US tariffs, PM is preparing to embark on ‘big bang’ overhaul

ft.trib.al

Reposted by Ian Hall

Financial Times @financialtimes.com · 3d

Modi turns his focus to reforming India’s economy ft.trib.al/b1Tu6TQ

Modi turns his focus to reforming India’s economy

Emboldened by political victories at home and facing high US tariffs, PM is preparing to embark on ‘big bang’ overhaul

ft.trib.al

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · 3d

Xi Jinping cannot believe his luck.

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 4d

Q: In terms of the mission, do you see these ships as a counter to China?

TRUMP: It's a counter to everybody. It's not China. We get along great with China.

Reposted by Ian Hall

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 4d

Q: In terms of the mission, do you see these ships as a counter to China?

TRUMP: It's a counter to everybody. It's not China. We get along great with China.

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · 4d

If I could turn back time
If I could find a way
I'd take back those words that have hurt you and you'd stay
If I could reach the stars, I'd give 'em all to you
Then you'd love me, love me like you used to do, ohh...

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · 4d

America is so hot right now. Apparently. www.bbc.com/news/article...

Bourbon maker Jim Beam halts production at main distillery for a year

US distillers face uncertainty after President Trump imposed tariffs on countries around the world.

www.bbc.com

Reposted by Ian Hall

Reuters @reuters.com · 4d

New Zealand concludes a free trade agreement with India reut.rs/4qrF3Od

New Zealand concludes a free trade agreement with India

New Zealand and India struck a free trade agreement, both governments said on Monday, making it easier for New Zealand's exporters to reach the world's biggest population and an economy forecast to be worth NZ$12 trillion ($7 trillion) by 2030.

reut.rs

Reposted by Ian Hall, Charles West, Juan Cole , and 3 more Ian Hall, Charles West, Juan Cole, Adrian Vickers, Klaus Oschema, Aviel Roshwald

Daniel Bellingradt @dbellingradt.bsky.social · 5d

If this is already the normal procedure everywhere, i.e. a google scholar import, universities’ library catalogues will be useless tomorrow.

Arya Zandvakili @aryazandvakili.bsky.social · 5d

When viewing the fake article in Google scholar on my university network, there is a link to access the article via my uni's library. That link sends me to a library page that makes fake article appear real... Turns out library page is made programmatically from info on Google scholar 🤦

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · 6d

A response to the murders of US troops and a translator, yes, but also the wider context…. www.bbc.com/news/article...

US carries out 'massive' strike against IS in Syria

The US says it struck dozens of targets across Syria in response to last week's deadly Islamic State attack on US forces there.

www.bbc.com

Reposted by Ian Hall

The Diplomat @thediplomat.com · 7d

India has detailed systems for measuring poverty. But when it comes to wealth, the data goes dark.

Why We Still Don’t Know Who the Rich Are in India

India has detailed systems for measuring poverty. But when it comes to wealth, the data goes dark.

buff.ly

Reposted by Ian Hall, James Goodwin, Sebastian Karcher , and 1 more Ian Hall, James Goodwin, Sebastian Karcher, Greg Linden

Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 7d

Takeaway from that "What Do Gen Z Republicans Think?" piece is not what participants said, but how the publication behind it—City Journal from the Manhattan Institute, the think tank that employs Chris Rufo—summarizes them: Economically comfortable, driven by boredom, see politics as entertainment.

"The general thrust of our discussion was different from what you see online. They were not, for the most part, crushed by economic conditions. Their concerns about housing costs and the economy sounded more like talking points than lived traumas."

From: https://www.city-journal.org/article/manhattan-institute-focus-group-gen-z-republicans

"Psychologically, this group was marked by desensitization, shaped less by fear than by boredom. They were not especially anxious about their own futures. They worried more about what AI and automation might do to other people than to themselves. Politics is entertainment: a stage for mockery, transgression, and performance, not moral seriousness or policy discipline."

From: https://www.city-journal.org/article/manhattan-institute-focus-group-gen-z-republicans

Reposted by Richard S.J. Tol, John L. Provis, Peter Thorne , and 12 more Richard S.J. Tol, John L. Provis, Peter Thorne, Rosemary A. Joyce, Ian Hall, Shawn Graham, Christine Kooi, Dolly Jørgensen, Erin O’Donnell, Aurélien Mondon, Catherine J. Frieman, Nancy Foasberg, Farah Mendlesohn, Evan Roberts, Esther Peeren

Ryan Cordell @ryancordell.org · 7d

I think this post nails the actual problem, for researchers at least—AI hallucinations would simply not be a problem in academic work if we’d not normalized citation-as-signaling rather than actual engagement—you can only cite a fake paper if you’re not in the habit of reading the papers you cite

Josh Shepperd @joshshepperd.bsky.social · 7d

Do not cite an academic paper unless you’ve read it

AI Is Inventing Academic Papers That Don't Exist -- And They're Being Cited in Real Journals

Academic articles from authors using large language model are creating an ecosystem of fake research that threatens human knowledge itself.

www.rollingstone.com

Reposted by Reece Jones, Guntram B. Wolff, Richard S.J. Tol , and 58 more Reece Jones, Guntram B. Wolff, Richard S.J. Tol, Dorothy Bishop, Peter Thorne, Mor Naaman, Suzana J. Camargo, Steve Peers, Brad R. Humphreys, Evelyne de Leeuw, Jonathan Wolff, Mary Feeney, Olivier Corneille, Kai Arzheimer, Ian Hall, Henning Melber, Julian Webb, Patricia Aufderheide, Lesley A. Hall, Juan Cole, John Mullahy, Valerie Mueller, James Grimmelmann, Smith, Silvia Secchi, Robert Wolfe, Ariadne Vromen, Trevor A. Branch, Aileen McHarg, Margot C. Finn, Marina Costa Lobo, Howard Stevenson, Michael H. Whitworth, Melanie Simms, Stephen Jones, Miranda J. Lubbers, Maria Abreu, Jen Schneider, Anders Sundnes Løvlie, Michael Jones‐Correa, Aurélien Mondon, Kevin Manaugh, David Bartram, Yue Qian, Helen Schwenken, Henrik Skaug Sætra, Urška Demšar, Jeremy J. Schmidt, Judith Freedman, Hisham Zerriffi, Klaus Oschema, Daxton R. Stewart, Pádua Fernandes, Annette Yoshiko Reed, Lisa A. Kramer, Aidan O’Sullivan, Karin Wulf, Giulio Mattioli, Catherine Spooner, Clark Gray, David Spurrett

Ben Williamson @benpatrickwill.bsky.social · 7d

Closing out my year with a journal editor shocker 🧵

Checking new manuscripts today I reviewed a paper attributing 2 papers to me I did not write. A daft thing for an author to do of course. But intrigued I web searched up one of the titles and that's when it got real weird...

Reposted by Ian Hall

The Wall Street Journal @wsj.com · 8d

The Trump family business empire is booming. We map out 268 pieces of it, from crypto to Bibles to golf courses.

The Trump Family Business Empire Is Growing. We Mapped Out 268 Pieces of It.

A second-term boom in crypto and other areas has created billions in new wealth for the first family.

on.wsj.com

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · 9d

And being assisted by the leaders of public institutions that depend on that inheritance for their existence.

Reposted by Elizabeth Saunders, Richard Price, Michael A. Clemens , and 12 more Elizabeth Saunders, Richard Price, Michael A. Clemens, Rosemary A. Joyce, Ian Hall, Johan P. Olsen, Robert C. Richards, David R. Miller, Scott A. Imberman, Mary L. Dudziak, Rory O’Connell, Mark Rice, Simon Lester, Kate Jackson, Brian Jm Quinn

Ryan Goodman @rgoodlaw.bsky.social · 9d

It is international law 101 that a military blockade is not just a violation of the UN Charter, but a crime of aggression.

Unless that blockade is in response to an 'armed attack.'

None of President's Trump's list of complaints come close to an armed attack.

1/

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · 10d

A IS-driven transnational terror plot, in other words, not some kind of spontaneous hate crime. The international reporting more accurate than the local.

CNN @cnn.com · 10d

The father and son duo suspected of carrying out a massacre at Sydney’s famed Bondi Beach on Sunday were “driven by Islamic state ideology,” police say, as Philippines authorities confirmed the two recently traveled to a part of the country long known as a hotbed of extremism. https://cnn.it/3YBRn2d

Reposted by Ian Hall

CNN @cnn.com · 10d

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · 10d

I guess it is good to see a minister call it pollution, instead of pretending it is just normal winter fog. www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/i...

'I apologise': Delhi minister as pollution chokes capital, admits it's 'impossible' to fix

Delhi environment minister Sirsa said the current government had inherited a “disease of pollution” and was working daily to address it.

www.hindustantimes.com

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · 10d

Tourists, businesspeople, diplomats. It is impossible to have a conversation about India these days without someone bringing up the everyday pollution and horrific winter smog. economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/ser...

Poor air quality may keep many tourists out of Delhi

Several countries including Singapore, UK and Canada have issued advisories for their citizens in India. Rising pollution levels in North India are causing concern among international travellers. Trav...

economictimes.indiatimes.com

Reposted by Robert Böhm, Brady T. West, Brendan Nyhan , and 43 more Robert Böhm, Brady T. West, Brendan Nyhan, Gordon Hodson, Carl T. Bergstrom, Richard Price, Steven Van de Walle, Mary Feeney, Jamie Morgan, Ian Hall, Fabián Muniesa, Jason Reifler, Kelly Smith, Ingo Rohlfing, Ian Hussey, James Grimmelmann, Smith, Rebecca Tushnet, David R. Miller, Patrick S. Forscher, Michelle L. Mazurek, Margot C. Finn, Michael D. McDonald, Sebastian Karcher, Martin Kreidl, Maria Abreu, Eric Hehman, Zen Faulkes, Joanna Tai, Madeleine Pownall, Damian Trilling, David Murakami Wood, Sofia Stathi, Johannes Breuer, Woodrow Hartzog, Greg Linden, Jack Stilgoe, Richard M. Carpiano, Aleksandra Urman, Juan Ramón, Gemma C. Sharp, Terry Gaasterland, Maksym Polyakov, Jake Anders, Jeannette Sutton, Béatrice Cointe

Sabrina Norwood @sabrinanorwood.bsky.social · 10d

Did you know that from tomorrow, Qualtrics is offering synthetic panels (AI-generated participants)?

Follow me down a rabbit hole I'm calling "doing science is tough and I'm so busy, can't we just make up participants?"

Text reads: About synthetic panels
Recruiting the right participants for a study can be difficult. You may not get the exact demographics you need, and the shorter the deadline, the less sure you can be that everyone will answer on time. One possible solution can be to use synthetic panels.

Synthetic panels are powered by a first party proprietary AI model developed here at Qualtrics. Our synthetic panel is trained on thousands of responses from a variety of demographic backgrounds in order to more accurately predict how certain populations would respond to a survey.

Our synthetic panel is based on the United States General Population, and is only available in English. This panel comes with ready-made quotas and target breakouts in order to represent your chosen population and make it easy to launch your survey right away.

Text reads:
Discussion
The current study aimed to conduct a meta-analysis of the TPB when applied to health behaviours which addressed the limitations of previous reviews by including only prospective tests of behaviour, applying RE meta-analytic procedures, correcting correlations for sampling and measurement error, and hierarchically analysing the effect of behaviour type and sample and methodological moderators. Some 237 tests were identified which examined relations amongst model components. Overall the analysis indicated that the TPB could explain 19.3% of the variance in behaviour and 44.3% of the variance in intention across studies. This level of prediction of behaviour is slightly lower than that of previous meta-analytic reviews which have found between 27% (Armitage & Conner, 2001; Hagger et al., 2002) and 36% (Trafimow et al., 2002)
of the variance in behaviour to be explained by intention and PBC.

Reposted by Richard S.J. Tol, Dorothy Bishop, Ian Hall , and 1 more Richard S.J. Tol, Dorothy Bishop, Ian Hall, Christina Pagel

Arthur Snell @snellarthur.bsky.social · 10d

MI6 Chief gives speech. Speech may contain words that are interesting. But because MI6 Chief is a woman @telegraph.co.uk prints an article about her appearance, with no mention of the speech’s content.

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · 11d

"...it's not making much money from its AI products. That's because no one is buying them, and that is because very few people actually find them useful..."
"tests from earlier this year found that AI agents failed to complete tasks up to 70% of the time..."
www.extremetech.com/computing/mi...