Tarik Abou-Chadi
tabouchadi.bsky.social
Tarik Abou-Chadi
@tabouchadi.bsky.social

Professor of European Politics at Nuffield College, University of Oxford. Elections, parties, social democracy & the radical right. he/him. 🏳️‍🌈

Political science 85%
Business 5%
Pinned
New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...

2500 paper submissions - what a huge success for @epssnet.bsky.social already. Big congratulations to @sarahobolt.bsky.social @simonhix.bsky.social @kenbenoit.bsky.social @macartan.bsky.social & everyone else involved in getting EPSS off the ground.
Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD
Time to reshare this piece on the pitfalls of following the road Denmark has taken on immigration: ukandeu.ac.uk/denmarks-mig...
It's "Let's copy Denmark" season again. With politicians and journalists making claims about a country they very clearly know absolutely nothing about. Did you know the Danish People's Party isn't the only radical right party in Denmark? No? Maybe you should not use the country as a reference point

The scientific evidence on it is here:

bsky.app/profile/turn...
A Tinder Test of Democratic Norms💋

New paper in @thejop.bsky.social with @bertous.bsky.social

We rely on a visual conjoint experiment, cross-sectional data, & panel data to show that affective polarization drives the normalisation of the far right among the centre-right 🇬🇧🇪🇸
doi.org/10.1086/736698

They polled Brits who their president is. They had no idea.

Don't tempt us, Will
We polled Dems on who their leader is. They had no idea.
We polled Dems on who their leader is. They had no idea.
Only one person hit double digits.
dlvr.it

Last day to submit a paper or panel for the EPSS conference in Belfast 2026. It's where you will meet the best and nicest people in European political science next year.
Deadline for application to @epssnet.bsky.social Belfast 2026 conference is this Friday 7th of November.

There's been an amazing response to the call for papers so far, we hope for even more great proposals this week.

Here is the call for papers: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
epssnet.org

There are posts that convince me that we definitely have to bring “okay boomer” back…
We have just published the call for the Nuffield Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics. These are 3-year fully-funded postdocs that will allow you to focus on your research in a great academic environment. (And with excellent food)

www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics - Nuffield College Oxford University
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk
Deadline for application to @epssnet.bsky.social Belfast 2026 conference is this Friday 7th of November.

There's been an amazing response to the call for papers so far, we hope for even more great proposals this week.

Here is the call for papers: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
epssnet.org

It's really pundit brain on steroids when people claim that Mamdani's win does not have more news or informational value than oder Democrat wins last night. The centrist narrative must live on no matter what.

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

Pundits are trying to minimize Mamdani’s victory, pointing to bigger victory margins for Democratic governors in NJ and VA. What they ignore is:

MAMDANI RAN AGAINST A DEMOCRAT!
New paper with @mhamjediers.bsky.social

German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
NEW -

Anti-Immigrant Bias in the Choice Between Punitive and Rehabilitative Justice - https://cup.org/49vUfVa

- @riazsascha.bsky.social & @mhamjediers.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
NEW -

Anti-Immigrant Bias in the Choice Between Punitive and Rehabilitative Justice - https://cup.org/49vUfVa

- @riazsascha.bsky.social & @mhamjediers.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

In German morning news it‘s “Mario Cuomo” running for mayor today. At 93, he‘d of course been at prime age for a US politician…
We are hiring an Associate Professor in Politics, Technology and Computational Social Science. The post will be part of our new Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods (CASSM) and is a joint hire with the Oxford Internet Institute. All details in the job ad below.
my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...
Please share!: Last week to apply for @epssnet.bsky.social Belfast 2026

really good news is that there's been an amazing response to the call for papers already; now very excited for this meeting

⬇️ We put together a quick FAQ on Qs that have come up on submitting: epssnet.org/conferences/...
EPSS 2026 submissions FAQ - EPSS
Submissions are coming in fast for Belfast 2026 and so are your questions about submissions. Here are answers to the most common questions: Where do I go to submit? For panel submission: https://app.oxfordabstracts.com/events/75765/symposia/create For paper submission: https://app.oxfordabstracts.com/stages/79266/submissions/new? How many papers can I submit? We put a constraint of max one presentation per person. This does …
epssnet.org

Wir haben uns die Frage der Effekte von unterschiedlichen programmatischen Ausrichtungen sozialdemorkatischer Parteien auch nochmal genauer angeschaut hier:

bsky.app/profile/tabo...
New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
Immer, wenn jemand schreibt, der SPD helfe keine linkere Politik, denke ich an diese Studie, in der das Gegenteil steht und die quasi vorausgesagt hat, dass insb. junge Wähler*innen bei der nächsten BTW die Linke wählen würden.

library.fes.de/pdf-files/a-...

I am staying out of this. I am going to Amsterdam in two weeks and I want to feel safe... 😅
🚨 EPSS Belfast 2026 Call for Papers - One week to go! 🚨

Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
epssnet.org

D66 really illustrates how fragmentation shapes the transformation of European party politics. In 1994, D66 received a similar vote share as this year (15.5% vs 16.9%). In 1994, they joined the first Kok government as only the third strongest party. This time they will probably lead the government
Netherlands, National parliament election:

Electoral history of liberal D66 (RE)

1967: 4.4%
1971: 6.7%
1972: 4.1%
1977: 5.4%
1981: 11.0%
1982: 4.3%
1986: 6.1%
1989: 7.9%
1994: 15.5%
1998: 9.0%
2002: 5.1%
2003: 4.0%
2006: 2.0%
2010: 6.9%
2012: 8.0%
2017: 12.2%
...

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

Netherlands, National parliament election:

Electoral history of liberal D66 (RE)

1967: 4.4%
1971: 6.7%
1972: 4.1%
1977: 5.4%
1981: 11.0%
1982: 4.3%
1986: 6.1%
1989: 7.9%
1994: 15.5%
1998: 9.0%
2002: 5.1%
2003: 4.0%
2006: 2.0%
2010: 6.9%
2012: 8.0%
2017: 12.2%
...

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands

Wenn @valentimvicente.bsky.social im Deutschlandfunk ist, dann sollte man sich das natürlich auf jeden Fall anhören
Krisen, Frust oder Angst vor dem sozialen Abstieg, das sind einige Ansätze, um das zu erklären: Warum so schnell viel mehr Menschen radikal rechte Parteien unterstützen, nicht nur in D. Seltener wird geschaut, inwiefern die Einstellungen schon da waren. share.deutschlandradio.de/dlf-audiothe... 1/
Rechtsextremismus - Warum die radikale Rechte so stark wird
Rechtsradikale Parteien profitieren von nachlassender Stigmatisierung. Forschung zum politischen Verhalten zeigt, dass extreme Positionen offener gelebt werden.
share.deutschlandradio.de

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

Krisen, Frust oder Angst vor dem sozialen Abstieg, das sind einige Ansätze, um das zu erklären: Warum so schnell viel mehr Menschen radikal rechte Parteien unterstützen, nicht nur in D. Seltener wird geschaut, inwiefern die Einstellungen schon da waren. share.deutschlandradio.de/dlf-audiothe... 1/
Rechtsextremismus - Warum die radikale Rechte so stark wird
Rechtsradikale Parteien profitieren von nachlassender Stigmatisierung. Forschung zum politischen Verhalten zeigt, dass extreme Positionen offener gelebt werden.
share.deutschlandradio.de

Mit dem SRF Echo der Zeit habe ich heute über die Wahl in den Niederlanden gesprochen, darüber warum Einbindung in die Regierung die radikale Rechte nicht schwächt und warum „Anstand“ auch falsch verstandene Normalisierung sein kann.

www.srf.ch/audio/echo-d...
Niederlande: Zurück zum politischen Anstand?
In den Niederlanden hat die rechtspopulistische Partei des Islamkritikers Geert Wilders einen herben Wahlverlust eingefahren. Generell war der Tonfall im Wahlkampf respektvoller als auch schon. Lohnt ...
www.srf.ch
On the “defeat” of the far right in the Netherlands 🇳🇱

The total number of far-right seats in the Tweede Kamer:

2021: 28
2023: 41
2025: 42 👈

And I don’t even count BBB here, which has radicalized significantly in the last year.