Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte
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turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte
@turnbulldugarte.com
5.4K followers 1.3K following 790 posts

Political scientist 🇿🇦🏳️‍🌈
Associate Editor POQ, EJPG, and R&P
he/him

Far-right, social identities, & electoral behaviour

Writing a book on LGBTQ voters for PUP 🏳️‍🌈🗳️

http://turnbulldugarte.com/

#ihadablackdog
https://youtu.be/XiCrniLQGYc?si=q-gQTNXfScmgtl4k .. more

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Political science 71%
Psychology 8%
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turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · Sep 5
Radical right accommodation really does not work.

New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk

doi.org/10.31235/osf...

Reposted by Will Jennings, Tim Bale, Ben Worthy , and 3 more

jaclarner.bsky.social
Jac Larner @jaclarner.bsky.social · 2h
🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇
Boris Johnson toasting one of the gatherings in Downing Street which breached Covid lockdown rules

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 14h
🫶🏽

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

johnholbein1.bsky.social
John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 15h
The current housing market is the ultimate form of birth control.

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 2d
Ha! I can proudly say I have never been an owner of such a watch but I believe it was the #1 Christmas present for young women a few years ago

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 2d
bsky.app/profile/turn...

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte, Tarik Abou‐Chadi

theguardian.com
The Guardian @theguardian.com · 2d
UK to announce plans to emulate stringent Danish immigration system
UK to announce plans to emulate stringent Danish immigration system
Proposals draw scorn from some Labour MPs who say it is a ‘dangerous path’ to take, while others want the government to go further Shabana Mahmood is to announce changes to the UK’s immigration rules modelled on the Danish system, largely seen as among the most stringent in Europe, the Guardian understands. Last month, the home secretary dispatched officials to Denmark to study its border control and asylum policies. The country’s tighter rules on family reunions and restricting some refugees to a temporary stay are among the policies being looked at. Continue reading...
www.theguardian.com

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 3d
We need to study the turn in public support for VOX (plurality pref. among spanish young) from normal to something ‘cool’ & ‘edgy’. Support for VOX is worn, often *literally* on wrists, as a badge of honour that signals, like a Michael Kors watch, as a symbol of being part of the trendy club
kikollan.llaneras.es Kiko Llaneras @kikollan.llaneras.es · 3d
El giro es también visible con los partidos que van a votar los jóvenes 18-29 años:

• Vox primera fuerza (27%)
• La derecha ganaría 52% a 37%
• PP + Vox >>> PP + Cs

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

kikollan.llaneras.es
Kiko Llaneras @kikollan.llaneras.es · 3d
El giro es también visible con los partidos que van a votar los jóvenes 18-29 años:

• Vox primera fuerza (27%)
• La derecha ganaría 52% a 37%
• PP + Vox >>> PP + Cs

Reposted by Will Jennings, Nazita Lajevardi, Eric Hehman , and 1 more

joenoonan.se
Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 4d
Immigration raids during Trump II have increased daily student absences by 22 percent in the California Central Valley, with largest increases among the youngest students.

Reposted by Diane Coyle, Joanna Bryson, Ben H. Ansell , and 19 more

tabouchadi.bsky.social
Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 4d
We have just published the call for the Nuffield Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics. These are 3-year fully-funded postdocs that will allow you to focus on your research in a great academic environment. (And with excellent food)

www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics - Nuffield College Oxford University
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

queerseminar.bsky.social
Queer Politics Webinar @queerseminar.bsky.social · 5d
Curious about LGBTQ+ politics and protest movements? 🌈✊

Join us today!

Francesca Ammaturo will be talking about her brilliant new book exploring Pride events between local fights and global dynamics. See you there!

Reposted by Tim Bale, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

bjpols.bsky.social
British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 5d
NEW -

A Rainbow Ceiling? Sexual Orientation and Party Leader Evaluations - https://cup.org/47G8q7r

- Joseph Francesco Cozza, @gdilandro.bsky.social, Andrea Aldrich & @zeynsom.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract focused on how citizens evaluate lesbian and gay leaders, particularly in political contexts, and its impact on leadership evaluations compared to straight counterparts.

Reposted by Sabine Pahl, Naazneen H. Barma, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte , and 2 more

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

lidiannz.bsky.social
Lidia Núñez Alañón @lidiannz.bsky.social · 6d
🗳️ Extremadura se convierte en el primer laboratorio electoral de un gobierno PP–Vox.

En mi artículo semanal de Simple Política analizo el adelanto electoral como una prueba sobre los efectos políticos de la normalización de la extrema derecha.

www.simplepolitica.com/adelanto-ele...
Adelanto electoral en Extremadura: midiendo el efecto PP-Vox - Simple Política
Las elecciones extremeñas medirán por primera vez en las urnas el efecto político de las coaliciones entre el Partido Popular y Vox.
www.simplepolitica.com

Reposted by Lucas Leemann, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte, Tarik Abou‐Chadi

bjpols.bsky.social
British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 7d
NEW -

Anti-Immigrant Bias in the Choice Between Punitive and Rehabilitative Justice - https://cup.org/49vUfVa

- @riazsascha.bsky.social & @mhamjediers.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract of a study on bias in judicial decisions affecting juvenile criminal offenders, emphasizing the impact on immigrant offenders and suggesting reforms for a more equitable justice system.

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7d
Congrats and best of luck on a great project!

Reposted by Jan W. Mueller, Max Weber, Will Jennings , and 4 more

hudde.bsky.social
Ansgar Hudde @hudde.bsky.social · 7d
📊 now in English @fesonline.bsky.social:
Gender gap in voting behavior in Germany📊

It's about the “big picture” since 1953 & current trends 2021-2025.

The gender gap keeps growing, especially among the young.

-> Longer trends are continuing & partly accelerating.

library.fes.de/pdf-files/a-...

Reposted by Dani Rodrik, Mary Bosworth, Justin H. Kirkland , and 5 more

benansell.bsky.social
Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 7d
Delighted to announce we are advertising our first academic post in the Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods (CASSM). The position is Associate Professor in Politics, Technology and Computational Social Science and is joint with Politics, the Oxford Internet Institute, and Reuben College 1/n
Job Details
my.corehr.com

Reposted by Stephen P. Jenkins, Robert Huber, Neil Lee , and 1 more

simonhix.bsky.social
Simon Hix @simonhix.bsky.social · 9d
Please spread the word word 👇

Reposted by John Drury, Margot C. Finn, Molly Scott Cato , and 1 more

timbale.bsky.social
Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 10d
An inconvenient truth. @turnbulldugarte.com and @emiliabelknap.bsky.social puncture a pervasive myth. ‬ "Among young respondents aged 18-25, a very comfortable majority of women reject Reform UK (75%), and a similarly large majority of men in the same age group share the same view (71%)."
Most British young men reject the far right - UK in a changing Europe
Emilia Belknap and Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte explain their analysis on the demographics of Reform UK voters in the UK. They argue that while the dominant narrative is that young men are the most likely ...
ukandeu.ac.uk

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

jangromadzki.bsky.social
Jan Gromadzki @jangromadzki.bsky.social · 10d
Anti-LGBTQ resolutions aka "LGBT-free zones" in Poland have increased residents’ intentions to migrate, both within the country and abroad. Together with @paweladrjan.bsky.social, we use unique data on all clicks on the global job site Indeed.
Link: docs.iza.org/dp18217.pdf
Main findings ⬇️
1/7

Reposted by Will Jennings, Ruth Dassonneville, Stefan Müller , and 11 more

sarahobolt.bsky.social
Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 10d
🚨 EPSS Belfast 2026 Call for Papers - One week to go! 🚨

Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
epssnet.org

Reposted by Ruth Dassonneville, Markus Wagner, Tom van der Meer , and 5 more

laurenzennser.bsky.social
Laurenz Ennser-Jedenastik @laurenzennser.bsky.social · 11d
❗️Please share widely:

TT position in migration/citizenship/identity at IPW @univie.ac.at: jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Tenure-T...

Deadline: 10 Dec 2025
Tenure-Track Professorship in Migration, Citizenship, Identity
Tenure-Track Professorship in Migration, Citizenship, Identity
jobs.univie.ac.at

Reposted by Daphne Halikiopoulou

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 12d
A post inspired, in part, by conversations among peers in our dept. as well as great work from folks like @gefjonoff.bsky.social @indubioproreto.bsky.social on the gender-youth gap and ideas from Tim Vlandas & @dafnoukos.bsky.social on atomistic fallacy in PolSci.

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 12d
(simply) code here: osf.io/8rpwf/overview
OSF
osf.io

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 12d
The take-home message.
Screen grab of highlighted text: "Through our ambition to understand and explain electoral preferences for distinct political alternatives, we often place a premium on identifying and signalling the differences between different social strata. When it comes to support for the far right in Britain, the gender story is much more one of similarity."

Reposted by Caterina Froio

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 12d
Most young men in Britain, despite popular commentary, are *not* flocking to Reform UK.

Just under 1/3 women would vote for Reform
Just over 1/3 would vote for Reform.

We *cannot* reject the null of gender gap homogeneity across cohorts.

Reposted by Will Jennings, Vincent Tiberj, Daphne Halikiopoulou

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 12d
Happy, alongside @emiliabelknap.bsky.social, to make my debut contribution with the fantastic folks at @ukandeu.bsky.social

Emilia & I use data from @britishelectionstudy.com to correct the atomistic fallacy in people's understanding the Reform UK gender gap

ukandeu.ac.uk/most-british...
Most British young men reject the far right - UK in a changing Europe
Emilia Belknap and Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte explain their analysis on the demographics of Reform UK voters in the UK. They argue that while the dominant narrative is that young men are the most likely ...
ukandeu.ac.uk

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

amuitz.bsky.social
Amuitz Garmendia Madariaga @amuitz.bsky.social · 17d
So proud and happy of our #MESS2025 — growing in size, diversity, quality, and good vibes every year!

See you all tomorrow! 😎

#SocialScience #Conference #Madrid

@amaliaab.bsky.social @emmylindstam.bsky.social @sergio-galazgarcia.bsky.social