Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte
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turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte
@turnbulldugarte.com
5.5K followers 1.3K following 850 posts

Political scientist 🇿🇦🏳️‍🌈
he/him

Far-right, social identities, & electoral behaviour

http://turnbulldugarte.com/

#ihadablackdog
https://youtu.be/XiCrniLQGYc?si=q-gQTNXfScmgtl4k

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Political science 71%
Psychology 8%
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turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · Mar 19
You can also see a short summary & discussion of our @psrm.bsky.social paper @bbcmaryam.bsky.social’s excellent The World Today show from Monday 🦸‍♀️

doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

Reposted by Robert Huber, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

jacobnyrup.bsky.social
𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 2h
Every election these days seems to be between an authoritarian, corrupt, and terrible person, who runs on security issues and anti-immigration, versus a seemingly nice, but somewhat boring person lacking visions. And then it is 50:50 who wins.

Reposted by Colin F. Camerer, Will Jennings, Brendan Nyhan , and 19 more

johnholbein1.bsky.social
John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 20h
DOGE was A LOT less likely to cancel contracts from companies that donated money to Republicans than companies that donated to Democrats.

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 1d
It’s almost as if perceptions of Santa’s politics reflect voters’ own politics 😱

doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 2d
A very different type of white Christmas tonight in Cartagena.

Wishing you all a joyous and restful period free from Editorial Manager, talk of standard errors (robust or otherwise), and your outlook inbox.

Feliz Navidad! 🎄

Reposted by Will Jennings, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

psrm.bsky.social
Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 2d
🤷Does tribal thinking toward ethnic out-groups shape policy support?

➡️Using visual conjoints in Germany and the Netherlands, @bertous.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com show that nativists support policies selectively based on group cues www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte, David Darmofal

johnholbein1.bsky.social
John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 3d
I’ve found that many academics confuse their idiosyncratic tastes about how academic work should be done with laws that everyone else must follow.

This tendency shows up again and again in their feedback and advice.

Reposted by Svend‐Erik Skaaning, Chris Hanretty, Lucy Barnes , and 1 more

bjpols.bsky.social
British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 4d
NEW -

Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf

- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract of an academic article discussing how democratic institutions prioritize citizen preferences regarding economic and physical security, with a focus on varied democratic features across thirty countries.

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7d
Paper hopefully of interest to those in our past work on homonationalism and ilnew work on femonationalism and other types of selective liberalism among nativists
doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Selectively (il)liberal: theory and evidence on nativist disidentification | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core
Selectively (il)liberal: theory and evidence on nativist disidentification
doi.org

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7d
More details in @bertous.bsky.social’s thread.

Notes on process: this piece was desk rejected once and accepted after one round of revisions at PSRM.

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7d
In a pre-reg visual conjoint set-up based on a fictitious public consultation, *both* nativists and nativists reject policy recommendations from muslim associations.

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7d
@simonhix.bsky.social shared some feedback from his students on our apsr piece explaining that - if our theory holds - we would expect to see respondents move away from those exposed to the Muslim out-group regardless of whether they are opponents *or* proponents of a policy.

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7d
In this paper we ask: does the theory hold regardless of the policy type (femonationalism, homonationalism, econationalism) *and* the direction of the policy

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7d
In our first paper on instrumental inclusion we showed that people update their views on LGBTQ+ rights in response to out-group threat.

Here we extend the theory to test diverse cases of selective inclusion

doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Robert C. Richards, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte , and 2 more

bertous.bsky.social
Alberto López Ortega @bertous.bsky.social · 7d
New publication with @turnbulldugarte.com in @psrm.bsky.social! 🧵

We study whether citizens’ liberal values are selective: do people support policies based on who promotes them?

Short answer: Yes, and it's driven by ethnic out-group disidentification. (1/11) 👇

doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

Reposted by David M. Farrell, Dave O’Brien, Kai Arzheimer , and 7 more

stefanmueller.bsky.social
Stefan Müller @stefanmueller.bsky.social · 7d
Our neighbours at @tcdpoliticalsci.bsky.social are hiring 3 (!) tenure-track faculty members:

– Assistant Professor in Political Economy
– Assistant Professor in International Politics
– Assistant Professor in Political Science

Deadline: 15 Jan 2026
More details: jobs.tcd.ie
@tcddublin.bsky.social
Photo of Trinity College Dublin taken by Stefan Müller

Reposted by Tim Bale, Kim Oosterlinck, Benjamin Braun , and 8 more

ffaucher.bsky.social
Florence Faucher @ffaucher.bsky.social · 7d
Come and join us at the CEE - Centre d'études européennes et de politique comparée: we are looking for a new assistant professor in political science working on ecological transitions.
www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...
Recruitment - Assistant Professor (tenure track) in Political Science 2026
Recruitment 2026 - Sciences Po is recruiting two Assistant Professors (tenure track) in Political Science / Politics and Policy in/of Europe and the European Union
www.sciencespo.fr

Reposted by Simon Hix, Tim Bale, Maarten Vink , and 3 more

fresejoris.bsky.social
Joris Frese @fresejoris.bsky.social · 8d
🇪🇺🇩🇪 Published Today in @bjpols.bsky.social 🇮🇹🇫🇷

How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments:

shorturl.at/2ekBj

TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14

Reposted by Will Jennings, Rosemary A. Joyce, Jelena Subotić , and 2 more

gelliottmorris.com
G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 9d
What the Democrats can learn from the UK Labour Party's complete implosion after moving right on immigration

www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o...

Reposted by Cas Mudde, Damien Bol, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte , and 2 more

simonchauchard.bsky.social
Simon Chauchard @simonchauchard.bsky.social · 10d
📣📣📣 GREAT, time-sensitive opportunity for senior/mid-career scholars to join us in Madrid at UC3M´s social sciences department (UC3M-ATRAE Program 2026) on an attractive pay+research funds package 📣📣📣

This does NOT happen everyday.

THREAD below if this is of interest 1/n

Reposted by Diane Coyle, Dave O’Brien, Vincent Tiberj , and 4 more

drjennings.bsky.social
Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 11d
For the historical polling nerds out there, an article about our project with @ropercenter.bsky.social that digitised ~800 surveys by Gallup poll in Britain between 1955 and 1991 has been published in JEPOP. The merged dataset contains over three-quarters of a million respondents.
Revealing long-term trajectories of public opinion and polling in Britain: a new resource of historical data from the Gallup Poll in Britain, 1955–1991
From the 1930s to early 2000s, the British affiliate and later subsidiary of the Gallup Organization conducted around three thousand surveys of public opinion in Great Britain. While the records of...
www.tandfonline.com

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 15d
Al menos las encuestas siguen mostrándonos cosas que nos mantienen ocupados en la investigación🧐

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 15d
Muy bueno Pablo!

Una hipótesis alternativa: los hombres reprimen (más) su identidad bisexual porque anticipan penalización social mayor por no ser heterosexual 🤓

doi.org/10.1017/S147...

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

pablofernandezv.bsky.social
Pablo Fernandez-Vazquez @pablofernandezv.bsky.social · 15d
Hoy @piedrasdepapel.bsky.social publica un artículo mío sobre diferencias sustanciales entre la orientación sexual declarada de jóvenes y mayores.

Aparece una tendencia muy clara, sobre todo entre mujeres: Cuanto más jóvenes, mayor proporción se declara bisexual.

www.eldiario.es/piedrasdepap...
Jóvenes bisexuales, mayores hetero
La bisexualidad crece con fuerza entre las mujeres jóvenes en España, mientras se mantiene estable en hombres y generaciones mayores. Los datos del CIS revelan un cambio sin precedentes cuyo origen —c...
www.eldiario.es

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 16d
We couldn't agree more on the new bloc-logic of British voters, and here we test its consequences.

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
Far Right Normalization & Centrifugal Affect. Evidence from the Dating Market | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
www.journals.uchicago.edu

Reposted by Ruth Dassonneville, Chris Hanretty, Jean‐François Daoust , and 2 more

damienbol.bsky.social
Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 16d
Over the moon 😍. My paper "Renewing Democracy:
How Exposure to Electoral Turnovers Reinforces Citizens’ Democratic Support" is accepted in World Politics. LINK: osf.io/preprints/os....

First paper fully conceived since my second child was born 4 years ago. For those who know, big milestone.

🧵
1/
Title and abstract of the accepted paper.

Reposted by Ruth Dassonneville, Jochen Müller, Damien Bol , and 5 more

floriso.bsky.social
Florence So @floriso.bsky.social · 16d
🌟 PHD FELLOWSHIP ALERT! 🌟

I’m hiring 1 PhD fellow for my ERC project ECONENGAGE (@ Gothenburg 🇸🇪)! Starting 09/26! Great PhD community + int'l & supportive environment + FUN city. 💰for conferences + workshops! Lots of mentoring & career development opportunities! Deadline Jan 29th. Please apply!
Doctoral student in Political Science, specialization in political economy and political behavior
Doctoral position in Political Science, specialization in political economy and political behavior The Department of Political Science
web103.reachmee.com

Reposted by Hugo Mercier, Efrén O. Pérez, Ben Worthy , and 3 more

semrasevi.bsky.social
Semra Sevi @semrasevi.bsky.social · 17d
🚨Excited to share our new paper published in PNAS (joint with @yamilrvelez.bsky.social and Don Green)! AI can enhance political knowledge and provide balanced information about politics with proper guardrails and vetted sources (e.g., party platforms).

www.pnas.org/doi/full/10....

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 21d
I can now say that the incentives to do so are very high.

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 22d
Yes and - inspired by the @hotpoliticslab.bsky.social - using some physiological measurement tools during experiments! 👀

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 22d
Thanks Chris! I suspect moderately more.

I’m likely to be between the three: the land of the cinnamon bun, the land where the after-work pint is a near-obligatory social ritual, and the land where dinner before 2200 is a crime.