Jason Reifler

@jasonreifler.bsky.social

7.6K followers 3.9K following 930 posts

Political Science Prof at University of Southampton. I study misperceptions, fact-checking, and foreign policy attitudes. American in the UK. he/his (y'all whenever possible). Spurs #COYS.

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Political science 45%

Sociology 25%

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · Jun 12

The most popular thing I did on the old site was telling people about my rejections. Failure and rejection is a big part of academic life. It happens to all of us -- well, at least everyone I know. This thread lists mine and is founded on the hope it helps other people cope better with their own.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 9h

It has rained every day in Exeter (and I think all of England) since Jan 1. As today is Feb 9, I believe makes 40 days — so we’ve officially reached Biblical levels of rain.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 2d

Assuming Udogie is out and with Romero’s red today (and further assuming nobody else back), I think Spurs’ lineup Tuesday is

Vicario
Gray Dragusin VdV Souza
Gallagher Palhinha
Odobert Sarr Xavi
Solanke

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 3d

I've been listening to RATM for the last two hours straight, and I'm about five minutes from booking a flight to Minnesota.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 6d

Welcome to Europe!

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 6d

“May the vibes be ever in our favor”

Rob Ford @robfordmancs.bsky.social · 6d

I see that, in the absence of reliable polling (I doubt we will get any) parties are sharing “exclusive canvassing analysis” with friendly/credulous journalists. Such analysis invariably happens to convey exactly the message the party wants to promotes This rather illustrates why we need polling…

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 6d

“May the vibes be ever in our favor”

Reposted by Will Jennings, Steve Peers, Jason Reifler

Rob Ford @robfordmancs.bsky.social · 6d

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 8d

I know the reason Spurs are better in Europe than PL is the quality of opposition. But maybe try white shorts at home in PL just in case it’s that.

Reposted by Nicholas A. Christakis, Joshua A. Tucker, Dave O’Brien , and 9 more Nicholas A. Christakis, Joshua A. Tucker, Dave O’Brien, Stefan Müller, Nils B. Weidmann, Alexander Wuttke, Jason Reifler, Marta Kołczyńska, Isabelle Guinaudeau, Aleksandra Urman, Roman Senninger, Anita Gohdes

Karsten Donnay @karstendonnay.bsky.social · 9d

🚨Job alert 🚨

I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026.

If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026.

📤 Please share widely!

www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...

Offene Stellen / Open Positions

www.ipz.uzh.ch

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 10d

Scarlett has plays a whopping 27 minutes all season in 4 appearances. 9 minutes PL (2 appearances) and 18 minutes CL (2 appearances). He turns 22 later this season. He may yet achieve his promise, but it wasn’t going to be this season with this manager.

SpursOfNorway @spursofnorway.bsky.social · 10d

Dane Scarlett loaned out (to Hibs) for the rest of the season…

What The Actual F*ck??

I didn’t think this club could be more of a joke, but this is prime «hold my beer» BS 🤡

Good thing we have a huge squad, no injuries and a few new players incoming 🥳

#COYS #SPURS

Reposted by Jason Reifler

SpursOfNorway @spursofnorway.bsky.social · 10d

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 11d

A recent op-ed that helps illustrate the point: apple.news/AK4VEW_saTfe...

Opinion | The Bengals lease isn’t just lopsided. It’s irrational | Opinion — Cincinnati Enquirer

Opinion: Hamilton County paid hundreds of millions to guarantee a decade of tenancy, while surrendering future leverage and called it progress.

apple.news

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12d

Very happy with Spurs win and the unlikely 4th place finish in the CL league phase. I love the underdog story of Bodø/Glimt, and am very happy to see they made the knockout phase! (Just hope Spurs don’t have to go there again.)

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12d

Thanks for letting me know!

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12d

Side observation: Billionaire sports team owners are probably pricks, regardless of sport or country.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12d

U.S. sports are set up incentivize teams to threaten moving through the terrible practice of publicly financed stadiums (and where revenues/benefits accrue to the team). It’s how much fans hate losing teams that make responding to these threats to move viable.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12d

Cool! Thanks! I’ll try it out in a bit!

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12d

Yes, please!

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12d

Qualtrics conjoint folks (using Leeper code): do you have any tips/tricks for how to make it look good on mobile (or at least not look awful)? Looks fine on desktop, but mobile is a mess (and study population prob mostly mobile). Keen to not reinvent the wheel if this is already solved.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12d

It's Frankian pragmatism in action.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12d

It works both ways...

The Spurs may play boring and frustrating football that is difficult to watch, but at least they also have poor results.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 13d

That’s a cool f’in day job, imho.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 14d

Slightly different thought experiment:

Which would generate more attacking threat versus what Spurs currently offer:

“A” players (versus currently available “B” players) in same tactical setup as now

OR

“B” players in a different tactical setup?

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 14d

It can simultaneously be true that some injured players might be “better” (especially peak age players versus pre peak players) that the currently available players, but also that the currently available players are not terrible.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 15d

If Spurs win at Frankfurt on Wed, that (as I read schedule) leaves no games between Feb 7 (away at Man U) and Feb 22 (NLD derby at home). That would be an uncommonly convenient time for a midseason coaching change. Also gives TF 3 big chances to make his case case. That said, today even better.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 15d

Using the understat PL xG/xPTS table: Since Dec 27, Spurs are 5th in xPTS. (Which slightly overestimates because they are among the 10 teams who’ve played 6 PL games since, other 10 have played 5. That’s an almost apples-to-apples comparison.)

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 15d

No. All of the underlying data are bad, but not relegation bad. 12th xPTS, 14th xG, 8th xGA, and 10th goal differential.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 17d

Cannot play in league phase because can’t make changes to roster. Teams are allowed IIRC 3 changes from their league phase roster to the knockout phase roster. No cup tie restrictions in UEFA (as I understand it) — loan players can plea against parent clubs even.

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 17d

It’s a legit concern!

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 17d

Here’s my stab at lineup vs Burnley:

Vicario
Porro Danso VDV (C) Udogie
Gallagher Biss
Odobert Sarr Tel
Solanke

Romero/Xavi rest ahead of CL match. Spence on bench in case needed as sub across multiple positions. We use four subs:

DM (65)-> RKM
DU (75) -> DS
YB (75) -> JP/AG
PMS (85) -> JP/AG

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