Jason Reifler
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jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler
@jasonreifler.bsky.social
7.5K followers 3.7K following 830 posts

Political Science Prof at University of Southampton. I study misperceptions, fact-checking, and foreign policy attitudes. American in the UK. he/his (y'all whenever possible). Spurs #COYS.

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Political science 45%
Sociology 25%
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jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · Jun 12
The most popular thing I did on the old site was telling people about my rejections. Failure and rejection is a big part of academic life. It happens to all of us -- well, at least everyone I know. This thread lists mine and is founded on the hope it helps other people cope better with their own.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 5d
I always prefer a Spurs win, and the high comedy of the full scenario is too good.

If only this match were game-week 19, it could well be another El Sackico.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 6d
Maybe being a tech executive is genuinely hard, but as a casual doom scroller so much seems to be “don’t shoot yourself in the d**k challenge (impossible).”

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Nina Jankowicz, Jason Reifler , and 1 more

moreperfectunion.bsky.social
More Perfect Union @moreperfectunion.bsky.social · 6d
Facebook is testing a monthly $14.99 subscription, and telling users they need to subscribe if they want to post more than 2 links a month.

techcrunch.com/2025/12/17/f...
Facebook is testing a link-posting limit for professional accounts and pages | TechCrunch
Meta said that the test impacts professional accounts and pages on Facebook.
techcrunch.com

Reposted by David M. Farrell, Dave O’Brien, Kai Arzheimer , and 7 more

stefanmueller.bsky.social
Stefan Müller @stefanmueller.bsky.social · 7d
Our neighbours at @tcdpoliticalsci.bsky.social are hiring 3 (!) tenure-track faculty members:

– Assistant Professor in Political Economy
– Assistant Professor in International Politics
– Assistant Professor in Political Science

Deadline: 15 Jan 2026
More details: jobs.tcd.ie
@tcddublin.bsky.social
Photo of Trinity College Dublin taken by Stefan Müller

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 7d
When Trump turns to renaming DC streets after himself, which street(s) will be targeted?

My guess is Pennsylvania Avenue, and he’ll also ask to renumber so that the White House is at 1 Trump.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 8d
As an angsty teenager, of course I liked Depeche Mode. I feel like the song “Personal Jesus” should get a new lease on life as a critique of LLM chatbots.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 9d
This is a weird list because it represents (at least) four transfer windows (including three January windows as Deki, Porro, and Radu all arrived in different Januarys).

272 for six regular PL regular first 11 players is actually reasonably decent return.

Reposted by Cas Mudde, Mark J. Brandt, Robert Huber , and 8 more

garritzmannj.bsky.social
Julian Garritzmann @garritzmannj.bsky.social · 9d
we have 5 positions open at @goetheuni.bsky.social in Frankfurt
- a 4,5 year postdoc in my @erc.europa.eu project on the educational cleavage
- 2 postdoc & 2 PhD positions, 4 years, in a research group on Reconfiguration & Internalization of Social Structure

www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794784/FB0...
Goethe-Universität — FB03 - Gesellschaftswissenschaften
Die Goethe-Universität ist eine forschungsstarke Hochschule in der europäischen Finanzmetropole Frankfurt. Lebendig, urban und weltoffen besitzt sie als Stiftungsuniversität ein einzigartiges Maß an E...
www.uni-frankfurt.de

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 9d
Look, if monetizing dysfunctional relationships with your children on social media is wrong, who even wants to be right?

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 9d
Whatever the Puskas award for best post is, this is a strong contender.
carnage4life.bsky.social Dare Obasanjo @carnage4life.bsky.social · 10d
I can’t believe someone who won the FIFA Peace Prize would act like this.

Reposted by Lisa W. Fazio, Gordon Hodson, Mark J. Brandt , and 4 more

lilymasonphd.bsky.social
Lily Mason @lilymasonphd.bsky.social · 9d
New post-doc position working with me in a new lab at @snfagora.bsky.social ! It's one year appointment, renewable for up to 5 years. The position includes data analysis and independent research, mentorship of lab members, and participation in SNF Agora Institute life.

apply.interfolio.com/178796
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
apply.interfolio.com

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 9d
Did you know that from tomorrow, Qualtrics is keen to light its brand on fire?
sabrinanorwood.bsky.social Sabrina Norwood @sabrinanorwood.bsky.social · 9d
Did you know that from tomorrow, Qualtrics is offering synthetic panels (AI-generated participants)?

Follow me down a rabbit hole I'm calling "doing science is tough and I'm so busy, can't we just make up participants?"
Text reads: About synthetic panels Recruiting the right participants for a study can be difficult. You may not get the exact demographics you need, and the shorter the deadline, the less sure you can be that everyone will answer on time. One possible solution can be to use synthetic panels. Synthetic panels are powered by a first party proprietary AI model developed here at Qualtrics. Our synthetic panel is trained on thousands of responses from a variety of demographic backgrounds in order to more accurately predict how certain populations would respond to a survey. Our synthetic panel is based on the United States General Population, and is only available in English. This panel comes with ready-made quotas and target breakouts in order to represent your chosen population and make it easy to launch your survey right away. Text reads: Question-writing best practices To get the most reliable and actionable results from synthetic audiences, consider these question-writing best practices: Ask forward-looking and attitudinal questions. Synthetic panels perform best with perceptions, preferences, and intent-based questions. For example, “How likely are you to try…?” Synthetic panels are less applicable for studies on past behaviors, detailed recall, brand recall, or awareness questions. For example, “When did you last visit…?” Text reads: Discussion The current study aimed to conduct a meta-analysis of the TPB when applied to health behaviours which addressed the limitations of previous reviews by including only prospective tests of behaviour, applying RE meta-analytic procedures, correcting correlations for sampling and measurement error, and hierarchically analysing the effect of behaviour type and sample and methodological moderators. Some 237 tests were identified which examined relations amongst model components. Overall the analysis indicated that the TPB could explain 19.3% of the variance in behaviour and 44.3% of the variance in intention across studies. This level of prediction of behaviour is slightly lower than that of previous meta-analytic reviews which have found between 27% (Armitage & Conner, 2001; Hagger et al., 2002) and 36% (Trafimow et al., 2002) of the variance in behaviour to be explained by intention and PBC.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 9d
Those tweets are quite the journey!

Reposted by Robert Böhm, Brady T. West, Brendan Nyhan , and 43 more

sabrinanorwood.bsky.social
Sabrina Norwood @sabrinanorwood.bsky.social · 9d
Did you know that from tomorrow, Qualtrics is offering synthetic panels (AI-generated participants)?

Follow me down a rabbit hole I'm calling "doing science is tough and I'm so busy, can't we just make up participants?"
Text reads: About synthetic panels Recruiting the right participants for a study can be difficult. You may not get the exact demographics you need, and the shorter the deadline, the less sure you can be that everyone will answer on time. One possible solution can be to use synthetic panels. Synthetic panels are powered by a first party proprietary AI model developed here at Qualtrics. Our synthetic panel is trained on thousands of responses from a variety of demographic backgrounds in order to more accurately predict how certain populations would respond to a survey. Our synthetic panel is based on the United States General Population, and is only available in English. This panel comes with ready-made quotas and target breakouts in order to represent your chosen population and make it easy to launch your survey right away. Text reads: Question-writing best practices To get the most reliable and actionable results from synthetic audiences, consider these question-writing best practices: Ask forward-looking and attitudinal questions. Synthetic panels perform best with perceptions, preferences, and intent-based questions. For example, “How likely are you to try…?” Synthetic panels are less applicable for studies on past behaviors, detailed recall, brand recall, or awareness questions. For example, “When did you last visit…?” Text reads: Discussion The current study aimed to conduct a meta-analysis of the TPB when applied to health behaviours which addressed the limitations of previous reviews by including only prospective tests of behaviour, applying RE meta-analytic procedures, correcting correlations for sampling and measurement error, and hierarchically analysing the effect of behaviour type and sample and methodological moderators. Some 237 tests were identified which examined relations amongst model components. Overall the analysis indicated that the TPB could explain 19.3% of the variance in behaviour and 44.3% of the variance in intention across studies. This level of prediction of behaviour is slightly lower than that of previous meta-analytic reviews which have found between 27% (Armitage & Conner, 2001; Hagger et al., 2002) and 36% (Trafimow et al., 2002) of the variance in behaviour to be explained by intention and PBC.

Reposted by Jason Reifler

carnage4life.bsky.social
Dare Obasanjo @carnage4life.bsky.social · 10d
I can’t believe someone who won the FIFA Peace Prize would act like this.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 10d
A tactically different coach *might* be more fun or pleasant to watch, but a big jump in success in the near term is about players coming back from injury, January transfers, and one or more young players making a big leap.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 10d
With the ironic exception of CB/RB, position by position, Spurs simply don’t have enough current PL top 4 players.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 10d
Of last year’s top attacking players, 1 has left, four have played a total of I think 18 minutes (DS, DK, JM, and I’m prob unreasonably putting YB here). The top goal scorer has basically been replaced by MK.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 10d
At this point in PL, Spurs are in remarkably similar position to last year. I humbly submit that the Spurs underlying talent — when fully fit — is somewhere between 4th and 9th, and that given current long term injuries (JM, DS, DK, and also now DU) the available talent level is more 7th to 13th.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 11d
Between Spurs losing one match 3-0 and winning another match 3-0, I strongly prefer the latter.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 11d
(And Spurs 3-1)

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 11d
Porro inside of 10 minutes with a 35 yard screamer that probably was meant as a pass.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 14d
The question should be “At what price would you sign [loan player] permanently?” RKM is a good player, and Spurs are better with him playing at the moment.

I don’t have a pricing model, but would seem a solid piece of business at say £30m but not especially great business at £60m.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 14d
Get your flu jab folks! This “mutant super flu” is no joke. Hit me like a freight train Saturday night, and have been basically incapacitated since.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 16d
Andy is a great scholar and even better person. Highly recommend.
andyguess.com andyguess @andyguess.com · 16d
The Center for Information Technology Policy at Princeton invites applications for a Postdoctoral Fellow to work with an interdisciplinary team (me, @bstewart.bsky.social, and @manoelhortaribeiro.bsky.social).

Link: puwebp.princeton.edu/AcadHire/app...

Please apply by THIS SUNDAY, Dec. 14!
We are seeking a Fellow to lead cutting-edge research on short-form video content and its societal implications. Bridging the gap between computer vision, causal inference, and computational social science, the Fellow will focus on the large-scale analysis of TikTok data (using an existing, massive dataset). The position involves developing novel multimodal methods to understand how short-form algorithmic content shapes public opinion, political polarization, and online culture. This is a unique opportunity to work at the forefront of the field, combining rigorous social science research designs with state-of-the-art computational techniques.

Reposted by Lisa W. Fazio, Brendan Nyhan, Hugo Mercier , and 3 more

andyguess.com
andyguess @andyguess.com · 16d
The Center for Information Technology Policy at Princeton invites applications for a Postdoctoral Fellow to work with an interdisciplinary team (me, @bstewart.bsky.social, and @manoelhortaribeiro.bsky.social).

Link: puwebp.princeton.edu/AcadHire/app...

Please apply by THIS SUNDAY, Dec. 14!
We are seeking a Fellow to lead cutting-edge research on short-form video content and its societal implications. Bridging the gap between computer vision, causal inference, and computational social science, the Fellow will focus on the large-scale analysis of TikTok data (using an existing, massive dataset). The position involves developing novel multimodal methods to understand how short-form algorithmic content shapes public opinion, political polarization, and online culture. This is a unique opportunity to work at the forefront of the field, combining rigorous social science research designs with state-of-the-art computational techniques.

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 16d
“LLM politics in state and nation”

Reposted by Laia Balcells, Erica Chenoweth, Florence Faucher , and 5 more

gcapoccia.bsky.social
Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 16d
PhD opportunity at the University of Oxford. The Morelli scholarship funds a doctoral student to work with me on on democratic backsliding, strategies of democratic defense and regeneration, or the rise of illiberalism. Deadline Jan 9. More information at users.ox.ac.uk/~ssfc0073/

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 17d
Woo-hoo! Well done! Looking forward to hearing about your project over the coming years!

Reposted by Timothy D. McBride

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 17d
I think I have this flu, and it really really sucks! Be careful out there. I procrastinated getting my flu shot — I strongly encourage you to learn from my dumb mistake and get yours if you haven’t yet.