Jason Reifler
@jasonreifler.bsky.social
Political Science Prof at University of Southampton. I study misperceptions, fact-checking, and foreign policy attitudes. American in the UK. he/his (y'all whenever possible). Spurs #COYS.
Very bad. Also, does last sentence mean you can be hired without a college degree or that you can’t be hired with a college degree? Typical usage clearly is former, but so much is atypical these days.
August 7, 2025 at 10:49 AM
Very bad. Also, does last sentence mean you can be hired without a college degree or that you can’t be hired with a college degree? Typical usage clearly is former, but so much is atypical these days.
Our “most flavorless cheese” is a weird flex, but people like what they like.
July 11, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Our “most flavorless cheese” is a weird flex, but people like what they like.
Here's pretty much the same thing in regression table form (adding dummy variables for whether the team Spurs played was in the top 6 or bottom 6 of the expected points table)
Again, more minutes for Spurs best players dramatically improves outcomes.
Again, more minutes for Spurs best players dramatically improves outcomes.
July 3, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Here's pretty much the same thing in regression table form (adding dummy variables for whether the team Spurs played was in the top 6 or bottom 6 of the expected points table)
Again, more minutes for Spurs best players dramatically improves outcomes.
Again, more minutes for Spurs best players dramatically improves outcomes.
Here's a scatterplot of the percentage of minutes played by best XI (Xipct) and the expected points (xp) for Spurs last season (PL matches only). You will be shocked to learn there is a very strong correlation -- the more minutes played by their best players, the better they do in xP.
July 3, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Here's a scatterplot of the percentage of minutes played by best XI (Xipct) and the expected points (xp) for Spurs last season (PL matches only). You will be shocked to learn there is a very strong correlation -- the more minutes played by their best players, the better they do in xP.
Is this a good use of generative AI? No. But also, yes.
June 25, 2025 at 9:52 AM
Is this a good use of generative AI? No. But also, yes.
Fixed term post available at Southampton based in the National Centre for Research Methods. I don't know the details, but can connect interested with people who do. Screen shot/alt text from ad. Application closing date Tuesday, June 24. jobs.soton.ac.uk/Vacancy.aspx...
June 20, 2025 at 12:07 PM
Fixed term post available at Southampton based in the National Centre for Research Methods. I don't know the details, but can connect interested with people who do. Screen shot/alt text from ad. Application closing date Tuesday, June 24. jobs.soton.ac.uk/Vacancy.aspx...
From acknowledgements of @polpsychjoe.bsky.social and @florianstoeckel.bsky.social's recent piece at Political Psychology. doi.org/10.1111/pops...
Genuinely touched by such a lovely statement.
How’d it get so dusty in here all of sudden, whoa my eyes sure are watering from all the dust.
Genuinely touched by such a lovely statement.
How’d it get so dusty in here all of sudden, whoa my eyes sure are watering from all the dust.
May 13, 2025 at 1:21 PM
From acknowledgements of @polpsychjoe.bsky.social and @florianstoeckel.bsky.social's recent piece at Political Psychology. doi.org/10.1111/pops...
Genuinely touched by such a lovely statement.
How’d it get so dusty in here all of sudden, whoa my eyes sure are watering from all the dust.
Genuinely touched by such a lovely statement.
How’d it get so dusty in here all of sudden, whoa my eyes sure are watering from all the dust.
Here's another screenshot for the call document:
May 13, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Here's another screenshot for the call document:
Funded workshop at Southampton on the topic of "Public Opinion, Identity, and Security in Europe"!
Workshop will be held on June 16. Please submit your proposals/abstract by May 21. (Please help circulate widely!)
Kamil Zwolski, John Denham, and I are the coordinators of this event.
Workshop will be held on June 16. Please submit your proposals/abstract by May 21. (Please help circulate widely!)
Kamil Zwolski, John Denham, and I are the coordinators of this event.
May 13, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Funded workshop at Southampton on the topic of "Public Opinion, Identity, and Security in Europe"!
Workshop will be held on June 16. Please submit your proposals/abstract by May 21. (Please help circulate widely!)
Kamil Zwolski, John Denham, and I are the coordinators of this event.
Workshop will be held on June 16. Please submit your proposals/abstract by May 21. (Please help circulate widely!)
Kamil Zwolski, John Denham, and I are the coordinators of this event.
If I'm doing this right, the "tariff" imposed on the UK by the US (which was a goods trade surplus), is ~14.8% (UK trade deficit of $11,856M divided by US goods imports $79,941).
Following US policy guidance (half the "tariff"), the appropriate UK retaliatory "reciprocal tariff" would be ~7.4%.
Following US policy guidance (half the "tariff"), the appropriate UK retaliatory "reciprocal tariff" would be ~7.4%.
April 3, 2025 at 12:49 PM
If I'm doing this right, the "tariff" imposed on the UK by the US (which was a goods trade surplus), is ~14.8% (UK trade deficit of $11,856M divided by US goods imports $79,941).
Following US policy guidance (half the "tariff"), the appropriate UK retaliatory "reciprocal tariff" would be ~7.4%.
Following US policy guidance (half the "tariff"), the appropriate UK retaliatory "reciprocal tariff" would be ~7.4%.
For anybody who keeps track of tactical/strategic voting communications to voters, here’s from a Labour leaflet dropped through my mail slot in Exeter.
March 11, 2025 at 2:23 PM
For anybody who keeps track of tactical/strategic voting communications to voters, here’s from a Labour leaflet dropped through my mail slot in Exeter.
Gosh, do I look goofy when I present. But getting a chance to speak before an engaged audience at the EU is pretty cool. Other pictures clearly show my (as my daughter puts it "signature look") pink shoes.
October 14, 2024 at 11:57 AM
Gosh, do I look goofy when I present. But getting a chance to speak before an engaged audience at the EU is pretty cool. Other pictures clearly show my (as my daughter puts it "signature look") pink shoes.
Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #138,593!
September 17, 2024 at 9:34 AM
Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #138,593!
“Can you believe somebody let Elon Musk — ELON MUSK!!! — implant a microchip in their brain? I mean, WTAF.”
media.glamour.com/photos/65b7b...
media.glamour.com/photos/65b7b...
January 30, 2024 at 8:02 AM
“Can you believe somebody let Elon Musk — ELON MUSK!!! — implant a microchip in their brain? I mean, WTAF.”
media.glamour.com/photos/65b7b...
media.glamour.com/photos/65b7b...
Co-authors and I were wondering how to discuss the persistence of treatment effects across survey waves. This was my suggestion. (Though co-author came up with prompt that created better image than what I managed.)
December 20, 2023 at 12:48 PM
Co-authors and I were wondering how to discuss the persistence of treatment effects across survey waves. This was my suggestion. (Though co-author came up with prompt that created better image than what I managed.)