Chris Hanretty
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chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty
@chanret.bsky.social
9.2K followers 1.3K following 3.1K posts

I teach politics at a university in the UK. I'm interested in electoral systems, public opinion, and the politics of non-majoritarian institutions like courts and regulators.

ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-9405

Videos
Political science 32%
Law 25%
Posts Replies Media Videos

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 2d
Don't know how your Christmas holiday is going, but I've just completed Slay the Spire with all four characters.

(Do not tell me about the sequel, I will never have the time)

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 2d
Thank you! I don't know yet whether that's a counsel of despair or realism...

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 2d
Thank you!

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 2d
Thank you!

Reposted by Chris Hanretty, Andrew Jacobs

danrebellato.bsky.social
Dan Rebellato @danrebellato.bsky.social · 2d
Second anniversary of our Apple TV’s spectacular attempt to understand me asking for “Hercule Poirot’s Christmas”

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 2d
Already looking forward to *feeling*, not just understanding, a standardized effect bsky.app/profile/ding...
dingdingpeng.the100.ci Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 17d
I maintain that this is an excellent benchmark for d-type effect sizes:

Sleep satisfaction & duration declined with childbirth & reached a nadir during the first 3 months postpartum, with women more strongly affected (satisfaction d = -0.79, duration minus 62 min, d = -0.90)>
Long-term effects of pregnancy and childbirth on sleep satisfaction and duration of first-time and experienced mothers and fathers
AbstractStudy Objectives. To examine the changes in mothers’ and fathers’ sleep satisfaction and sleep duration across prepregnancy, pregnancy, and the pos
academic.oup.com

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 3d
I think the expected benefit seems to be positive, but it's a mixture of people who rave about it and people who report that their baby just didn't get along with it

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 3d
I'm hoping technology has made great strides forward, but at the same time babies (I hear) are fickle

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 3d
Bluesky, your help please! Thoughts on the Snoo smart bassinet? www.happiestbaby.co.uk
Happiest Baby UK | SNOO Smart Sleeper & Baby Sleep Solutions
Happiest Baby SNOO, the safest and smartest baby bed and 5-second swaddle, 5 S's and baby sleep advice, and toddler tips brought to you by Dr. Harvey Karp.
www.happiestbaby.co.uk

Reposted by Henry Farrell

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 3d
Worth it for the last line alone

Reposted by Joanna Bryson, Chris Hanretty

adamroberts.bsky.social
Adam Roberts @adamroberts.bsky.social · 3d
I cannot say I enjoyed this movie.
profadamroberts.substack.com/p/avatar-fir...
‘Avatar: Fire and Ash’ (dir. James Cameron 2025)
Ire and Fash
profadamroberts.substack.com

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 3d
One of the big struggles in assessing disproportionality is how to deal with disproportionality given ticket splitting. "% of seats" is fine, but share of which vote?

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 4d
Thoughts and prayers

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 4d
I was going to say, "and radiation is easy compared to social scientific outcomes, because dose response curves are usually monotonic", but then I remembered about radiation hormesis..

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

f2harrell.bsky.social
Frank Harrell @f2harrell.bsky.social · 4d
This can be thought of as X x Y interaction and is naturally handled in the partial proportional odds model. Put a prior probability on how different an effect is for some levels of Y than for others, and then get posterior prob for that: fharrell.com/post/yborrow @chanret.bsky.social
Borrowing Information Across Outcomes – Statistical Thinking
In randomized clinical trials, power can be greatly increased and sample size reduced by using an ordinal outcome instead of a binary one. The proportional odds model is the most popular model for ana...
fharrell.com

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 4d
Glad this is out -- used it in my final lecture of the year
bjpols.bsky.social British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 4d
NEW -

Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf

- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract of an academic article discussing how democratic institutions prioritize citizen preferences regarding economic and physical security, with a focus on varied democratic features across thirty countries.

Reposted by Svend‐Erik Skaaning, Chris Hanretty, Lucy Barnes , and 1 more

bjpols.bsky.social
British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 4d
NEW -

Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf

- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract of an academic article discussing how democratic institutions prioritize citizen preferences regarding economic and physical security, with a focus on varied democratic features across thirty countries.

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 4d
Context: bsky.app/profile/mich...
michelnivard.bsky.social Michel Nivard @michelnivard.bsky.social · 6d
This smells distinctly like collider bias and/or selection bias and/or regression to the mean... You simply can't select teen prodigies, and world class athletes rom databases, and go run regressions without serious consideration of the selection process!
mikeinouye.bsky.social Mike Inouye @mikeinouye.bsky.social · 6d
"Most top achievers (Nobel laureates and world-class musicians, athletes, chess players) demonstrated lower performance than many peers during their early years. Across the highest adult performance, peak performance is negatively correlated with early performance" www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 4d
What is the proper way to study an outcome where you believe the secret ingredient matters more/less at the top end of the range? Is this where we have to start using quantile regression? It just seems like it's going to be ridiculously underpowered if interest is in the tails

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d
Was just going to post same. Opposite to the trend in the USA, and too long standing a decline to be a sampling issue

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

amrk.bsky.social
Amrk @amrk.bsky.social · 5d
Not directly comparable I suppose but also down! Was life expectancy in the 90s 28 or something?

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d
I'd love to see comparable stats on consumption of drugs
tonytassell.bsky.social Tony Tassell @tonytassell.bsky.social · 5d
Britons are cutting back on the booze (apart from Gen-Zers which have increased a bit) - rpts @amyborrett.ft.com www.ft.com/content/0f42...

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

tonytassell.bsky.social
Tony Tassell @tonytassell.bsky.social · 5d
Britons are cutting back on the booze (apart from Gen-Zers which have increased a bit) - rpts @amyborrett.ft.com www.ft.com/content/0f42...

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d
Spotify getting a bit confused here...

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 6d
That claim might be warranted - but it's hard to use cross-sectional evidence at a single point in time to make a claim about dynamics...

Reposted by Richard McElreath, Brendan Nyhan, Chris Hanretty , and 1 more

michelnivard.bsky.social
Michel Nivard @michelnivard.bsky.social · 6d
This smells distinctly like collider bias and/or selection bias and/or regression to the mean... You simply can't select teen prodigies, and world class athletes rom databases, and go run regressions without serious consideration of the selection process!
mikeinouye.bsky.social Mike Inouye @mikeinouye.bsky.social · 6d
"Most top achievers (Nobel laureates and world-class musicians, athletes, chess players) demonstrated lower performance than many peers during their early years. Across the highest adult performance, peak performance is negatively correlated with early performance" www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Recent discoveries on the acquisition of the highest levels of human performance
Scientists have long debated the origins of exceptional human achievements. This literature review summarizes recent evidence from multiple domains on the acquisition of world-class performance. We re...
www.science.org

chanret.bsky.social
Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 6d
My (UK) university applies the same rules wrt work from abroad, but we viewed this as a Brexit consequence. I'm surprised that any institution within Schengen restricts you from working in this way. Isn't that a restriction on freedom of movement?

Reposted by Chris Hanretty, Maksym Polyakov, David Darmofal

darthputinkgb.bsky.social
Darth Putin @darthputinkgb.bsky.social · 6d
Noam Chomsky has spent about 60 years telling us that billionaires control the world through corporate propaganda.

Reposted by Chris Hanretty, Jill Rutter

cassiarowland.bsky.social
Cassia Rowland @cassiarowland.bsky.social · 6d
An extremely poor look for the government. As our devolution team argued about delays to mayoral elections, it looks like either “the government fundamentally misunderstood the scale of the task it had set itself, or that the decision may have been made for…partisan advantage”

Reposted by Chris Hanretty, Calvin K. Lai

johnholbein1.bsky.social
John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 7d
Newly released evidence from Portugal shows that taking exams on a computer reduces kids' scores A LOT.

Old fashioned paper and pencil exams FTW!