Chris Hanretty | Lightnews

Light up
your news

About Privacy Terms Help

Chris Hanretty

Chris Hanretty

@chanret.bsky.social

9.4K followers 1.3K following 3.1K posts

I teach politics at a university in the UK. I'm interested in electoral systems, public opinion, and the politics of non-majoritarian institutions like courts and regulators.

ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-9405

Political science 32%

Law 25%

more

Posts Replies Media Videos

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman, Chris Hanretty

Isabelle Guinaudeau @iguinaudeau.bsky.social · 3h

En France, tenir ses promesses électorales ne rapporte rien

Avec @egrossman.bsky.social, on revient pour @france.theconversation.com sur ce résultat contre-intuitif et ce qu’il dit de la représentation & de la responsabilité des gouvernants de la Ve République 👇

theconversation.com/en-france-te...

En France, tenir ses promesses électorales ne rapporte rien

Une analyse des mandats présidentiels entre 1995 et 2022 montre que le respect – ou non – des promesses de campagne n’a aucun impact mesurable sur la popularité des présidents français.

theconversation.com

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

Jonathan Hopkin @jonathanhopkin.bsky.social · 21h

Oh boy

Nicholas Whithorn @nickwhithorn.bsky.social · 1d

Look who Italian Deputy PM Salvini has been hosting in his Ministerial office.

Reposted by Ben H. Ansell, Charles West, Chris Hanretty

Duncan Robinson @duncanrobinson.bsky.social · 2d

What are we doing here

Ed tech is profitable. It is also mostly useless
economist.com/united-state...
from The Economist

Reposted by Will Jennings, Chris Hanretty, Juan Cole , and 2 more Will Jennings, Chris Hanretty, Juan Cole, Jonathan Hopkin, Daniel Huppmann

David Leavitt @davidleavitt.bsky.social · 2d

#TikTok has begun censoring anti-Trump and anti-Ice content

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

Joel Morris @gralefrit.bsky.social · 3d

The character Claudia and the production team / writers have developed is so lovely. It just *reads*. It’s related to her Strictly persona, but not the same at all. She manages to be in charge of the shenanigans, while being outside it, commenting drily. Really hard to balance, but it sings.

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

Danielle Blake @abradacabla.bsky.social · 5d

One thing’s quite clear: Mark Rutte might well be the worst ever SG of NATO

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

Nathan Kalmoe (he/him) @nathankalmoe.bsky.social · 5d

Authoritarianism -- attempting to suppress public dissent through government coercion 👇

Minnesota Star Tribune @startribune.com · 5d

Mischief Toy Store in St. Paul has until Wednesday to turn over employment records to the Department of Homeland Security as part of a surprise audit launched Friday, just hours after one of the shop's owners criticized ICE agents during a television interview. bit.ly/4r5AFol

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

I agree that this is a relevant difference in general, but maybe not so relevant given OP was picking Carney as an example

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

I think it is, yes

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

What we all want to know is: could Michael Ignatieff have given that speech?

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

Mario Draghi would be my pick, but same ballpark

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

But one that explains why the Canadian system should have selected a Carney?

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

Eligibility as defined by party rulebooks is definitely structural, so I will agree vigorously with you on all parts

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

I think of these the difference in media systems has the strongest connection to leadership selection. If the Charter is connected to leadership, it might only be through someone making a "notwithstanding" argument like Danielle Smith has

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

Any time someone reaches for cultural explanations I get shouty... 🤬

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

The first, certainly; on the second I think the two are functionally equivalent, insofar as you have a separate Quebecois/ Scottish party system. (Would that makes Wales Alberta?)

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

What are the systemic features present in the UK not also present in Canada? To this political scientist, the two systems look quite similar, with the main difference being size (which I think affects valuation of international experience)

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

You may not like it, but this is what peak efficiency looks like

Minnesota Star Tribune @startribune.com · 5d

Mischief Toy Store in St. Paul has until Wednesday to turn over employment records to the Department of Homeland Security as part of a surprise audit launched Friday, just hours after one of the shop's owners criticized ICE agents during a television interview. bit.ly/4r5AFol

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

There are many rich and powerful stories in this world - but the one about the man waiting in the endoscopy department with a six pack of Dr. Pepper is not one I need to hear right now.

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 6d

We have assumptions about the response distribution, which can have consequences for the distribution of treatment effects. But estimating different treatment effects is very data intensive, and we often don't have good enough theory

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 6d

Cases where we have distributional expectations about treatment effects are pretty rare in polisci. We have some examples in theories of attention / budgeting www.researchgate.net/profile/Mich... but not much beyond that

www.researchgate.net

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 7d

This essay is really very good indeed. It does however make me wonder what use (if any) has been made of anchoring vignettes in well-being studies

Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 7d

if i could make you read ONE (1) single post to improve your understanding of the challenges of social science in general it would be this one from @markfabian.bsky.social about wellbeing science specifically

profmarkfabian.substack.com/p/airing-my-...

Airing my grievances with wellbeing science

We have a streetlight problem

profmarkfabian.substack.com

Reposted by Chris Hanretty, Bruce Bradbury, Evan Roberts

Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 7d

if i could make you read ONE (1) single post to improve your understanding of the challenges of social science in general it would be this one from @markfabian.bsky.social about wellbeing science specifically

profmarkfabian.substack.com/p/airing-my-...

Airing my grievances with wellbeing science

We have a streetlight problem

profmarkfabian.substack.com

Reposted by Chris Hanretty, Michelle Everson, Jonathan Hopkin

James Austin @jamesdaustin.bsky.social · 7d

I genuinely think Trump is a Outside Context Problem for other nations: a problem which they just dont have the intellectusl framework to understand, let alone properly respond to.

He'd make more sense to a 14thC mind than a modern one: and even then there were far more mechanisms to restrain him

darcyswickham.bsky.social @darcyswickham.bsky.social · 7d

James is exactly right on Trump and European leaders (finally) waking up to him. But it’s the same problem as we have in our commentariat and elites. Trump doing terrible and dangerous this is how he works. We’ve known this for over a decade. Why has it taken so long for our leaders to wake up?

James Austin @jamesdaustin.bsky.social · 7d

The mix of it and Venuzela I think - it shows he's willing to do mental shit and theyve increasingly realised he's serious.

I suspect initally they thought it waa a wind up - like the Canada stuff - and have realised its not

Reposted by Chris Hanretty, Jonathan Hopkin

darcyswickham.bsky.social @darcyswickham.bsky.social · 7d

James is exactly right on Trump and European leaders (finally) waking up to him. But it’s the same problem as we have in our commentariat and elites. Trump doing terrible and dangerous this is how he works. We’ve known this for over a decade. Why has it taken so long for our leaders to wake up?

James Austin @jamesdaustin.bsky.social · 7d

The mix of it and Venuzela I think - it shows he's willing to do mental shit and theyve increasingly realised he's serious.

I suspect initally they thought it waa a wind up - like the Canada stuff - and have realised its not

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 7d

Nice to see applications of conformal prediction in polisci

Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 7d

#OpenAccess from the latest issue of @polanalysis.bsky.social -

Bin-Conditional Conformal Prediction of Fatalities from Armed Conflict - https://cup.org/3NMdSzl

- David Randahl, Jonathan P. Williams & Håvard Hegre

Banner reading "POLITICAL ANALYSIS" in white capital letters on a red background, with a yellow strip bearing the hashtag "OpenAccess" below.

Reposted by Chris Hanretty, David Darmofal

Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 7d

#OpenAccess from the latest issue of @polanalysis.bsky.social -

Bin-Conditional Conformal Prediction of Fatalities from Armed Conflict - https://cup.org/3NMdSzl

- David Randahl, Jonathan P. Williams & Håvard Hegre

Banner reading "POLITICAL ANALYSIS" in white capital letters on a red background, with a yellow strip bearing the hashtag "OpenAccess" below.

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 8d

Is the UK electorate more or less chegista compared to 🇵🇹 overall?

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 9d

Second breakfast or elevenses?