Chris Hanretty
@chanret.bsky.social
I teach politics at a university in the UK. I'm interested in electoral systems, public opinion, and the politics of non-majoritarian institutions like courts and regulators.
ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-9405
ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-9405
Really not sure what OECD tests this refers to though
November 9, 2025 at 11:01 AM
Really not sure what OECD tests this refers to though
Niche question: can anyone who understands Turkish politics explain to me how, in the 1991 general election, the DYP was able to win all seven seats in Balıkesir on < 35% of the vote?
October 22, 2025 at 9:41 AM
Niche question: can anyone who understands Turkish politics explain to me how, in the 1991 general election, the DYP was able to win all seven seats in Balıkesir on < 35% of the vote?
Didn't have to wait that long
October 21, 2025 at 6:39 AM
Didn't have to wait that long
*NYT voice* On a list of stupid things, one thing stands out for being stupider than the rest
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methods...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methods...
October 17, 2025 at 7:13 AM
*NYT voice* On a list of stupid things, one thing stands out for being stupider than the rest
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methods...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methods...
Country/region is a numeric variable which has Scotland as being six times greater than Northern England. Whilst I agree with the sentiment, the fact that a lecturer in quantitative methods has just dumped this variable in a regression without thinking... smdh
October 7, 2025 at 8:36 AM
Country/region is a numeric variable which has Scotland as being six times greater than Northern England. Whilst I agree with the sentiment, the fact that a lecturer in quantitative methods has just dumped this variable in a regression without thinking... smdh
Yeah, sure, you're a peer of the realm but you've been stitched up by the "Establishment", great, it's words-have-no-meaning Wednesday www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
October 1, 2025 at 4:48 PM
Yeah, sure, you're a peer of the realm but you've been stitched up by the "Establishment", great, it's words-have-no-meaning Wednesday www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
We can't rule out negligible increases in risk of autism as a result of acetaminophen; but we also can't rule out negligible *decreases* in risk of autism
September 24, 2025 at 12:30 PM
We can't rule out negligible increases in risk of autism as a result of acetaminophen; but we also can't rule out negligible *decreases* in risk of autism
I'm looking at the CLEA dataset, trying to check some data validity and trying not to get hung up on the validity of some variables I don't really need. But now I want to know which month the Icelandic election of 1874 was held!
September 19, 2025 at 1:49 PM
I'm looking at the CLEA dataset, trying to check some data validity and trying not to get hung up on the validity of some variables I don't really need. But now I want to know which month the Icelandic election of 1874 was held!
Failure modes of AI are often entertaining. Here's ChatGPT trying to draw me the outline of a star and giving me something that looks like jagged dog poop
September 2, 2025 at 9:37 PM
Failure modes of AI are often entertaining. Here's ChatGPT trying to draw me the outline of a star and giving me something that looks like jagged dog poop
For odd reasons, I have a framed NYT front page with this article.
September 1, 2025 at 1:41 PM
For odd reasons, I have a framed NYT front page with this article.
New book Saturday ...
August 16, 2025 at 12:55 PM
New book Saturday ...
That's it, I've found the internet's worst person.
Who is now aged 36.
Who is now aged 36.
August 5, 2025 at 4:02 PM
That's it, I've found the internet's worst person.
Who is now aged 36.
Who is now aged 36.
Looks like Hari Sheldon is Bayesian
July 22, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Looks like Hari Sheldon is Bayesian
This, from the Cunliffe report, really is a repudiation of the basis for having independent regulatory authorities. The rationale for these was that companies wouldn't invest if they thought the government would turn around and prevent price rises/impose caps, and so an insulating layer was needed
July 21, 2025 at 7:42 AM
This, from the Cunliffe report, really is a repudiation of the basis for having independent regulatory authorities. The rationale for these was that companies wouldn't invest if they thought the government would turn around and prevent price rises/impose caps, and so an insulating layer was needed
My most prescriptivist belief is that damage to property is not violence; the legislation lists violence and property damage separately
July 20, 2025 at 8:51 AM
My most prescriptivist belief is that damage to property is not violence; the legislation lists violence and property damage separately
Just been playing around with this dataset.
Anyone know why there were so many new parties in Switzerland in 2015 and 2019?
Or so many new parties in Sweden in 2002?
Anyone know why there were so many new parties in Switzerland in 2015 and 2019?
Or so many new parties in Sweden in 2002?
July 16, 2025 at 10:27 AM
Just been playing around with this dataset.
Anyone know why there were so many new parties in Switzerland in 2015 and 2019?
Or so many new parties in Sweden in 2002?
Anyone know why there were so many new parties in Switzerland in 2015 and 2019?
Or so many new parties in Sweden in 2002?
I've skimmed Mr Justice Chamberlain's judgement in the superinjunction case. The last two para.s are particularly interesting in the light of recent MI5 cases. It seems like judges are less and less likely to take public authorities on trust
July 16, 2025 at 8:41 AM
I've skimmed Mr Justice Chamberlain's judgement in the superinjunction case. The last two para.s are particularly interesting in the light of recent MI5 cases. It seems like judges are less and less likely to take public authorities on trust
Finally, left-wing MPs are *a lot* more likely to be on here (4/n)
June 26, 2025 at 9:07 AM
Finally, left-wing MPs are *a lot* more likely to be on here (4/n)
Right-wing MPs are more active in Twitter, where active means "(re)posted or commented in the last week", by around ten percentage points (3/n)
June 26, 2025 at 9:05 AM
Right-wing MPs are more active in Twitter, where active means "(re)posted or commented in the last week", by around ten percentage points (3/n)
Roughly five in every six MPs are on Twitter, and there aren't any differences between left and right (except that there are more left MPs) (2/n)
June 26, 2025 at 9:03 AM
Roughly five in every six MPs are on Twitter, and there aren't any differences between left and right (except that there are more left MPs) (2/n)
Temperature check: cooler today, but still too hot to run Bayesian models on my laptop
!["This is fine!" meme [fire all around], but with Reverend Thomas Bayes replacing the dog.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:fgb7yhrcolsvgta5m2k5ketm/bafkreigaigbmvah7dbjikyfgee34kh2og64vgroubrran2csfcqwyknoku@jpeg)
June 23, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Temperature check: cooler today, but still too hot to run Bayesian models on my laptop
Publish replication materials, they said, it'll always be available unlike a personal webpage, they said
June 13, 2025 at 8:43 AM
Publish replication materials, they said, it'll always be available unlike a personal webpage, they said
Here's Taagepera writing on "conserved quantities" in the social sciences (doi.org/10.1177/1354...). Can anyone explain to me why the conserved quantity is the median rather than the mean outcome?
June 11, 2025 at 9:40 AM
Here's Taagepera writing on "conserved quantities" in the social sciences (doi.org/10.1177/1354...). Can anyone explain to me why the conserved quantity is the median rather than the mean outcome?
There is growth in its use in books, though from a low level compared to "far-*"
June 4, 2025 at 7:29 AM
There is growth in its use in books, though from a low level compared to "far-*"
Just checking in with this genius electoral strategy. Any ideas on how that worked out?
May 30, 2025 at 12:17 PM
Just checking in with this genius electoral strategy. Any ideas on how that worked out?