Emiliano Grossman
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egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman
@egrossman.bsky.social
2.4K followers 1.5K following 340 posts

Political Science: Agendas, Parties, Media. @sciencespo.bsky.social, @cdsp-sciencespo.bsky.social, @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social, CAP, formerly EJPR. Paris, Buenos Aires, Schwelm.

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egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Nov 28
Some papers are a long time in the making. This one, written with the excellent @iguinaudeau.bsky.social, took long and I am incredibly grad to see it published. 1/8 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Reposted by Vincent Tiberj, Emiliano Grossman, Chris Hanretty , and 1 more

iguinaudeau.bsky.social
Isabelle Guinaudeau @iguinaudeau.bsky.social · 15d
En France, tenir ses promesses électorales ne rapporte rien

Avec @egrossman.bsky.social, on revient pour @france.theconversation.com sur ce résultat contre-intuitif et ce qu’il dit de la représentation & de la responsabilité des gouvernants de la Ve République 👇

theconversation.com/en-france-te...
En France, tenir ses promesses électorales ne rapporte rien
Une analyse des mandats présidentiels entre 1995 et 2022 montre que le respect – ou non – des promesses de campagne n’a aucun impact mesurable sur la popularité des présidents français.
theconversation.com

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

scpo-research.bsky.social
Sciences Po Research @scpo-research.bsky.social · Jan 8
#job #IA

The Centre for Socio-Political Data is looking for a #postdoc to join @egrossman.bsky.social and @jrovny.bsky.social to study the long-term historical evolution of key political issues
in the framework of a project on the dynamics of issue evolution funded by OpenAI.
Apply👇

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Dec 18
j'avais raté ça. super article!

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

fabienescalona.bsky.social
Fabien Escalona @fabienescalona.bsky.social · Dec 17
“Le système électoral majoritaire concentre donc aujourd’hui tous ses défauts classiques sans plus offrir aucun bénéfice.” Excellent plaidoyer pour la proportionnelle d'@iguinaudeau.bsky.social et @egrossman.bsky.social laviedesidees.fr/La-proportio...
La proportionnelle : une urgence démocratique
L'adoption du mode de scrutin proportionnel apparaît aujourd'hui, selon deux politistes, comme une condition nécessaire pour redonner à la démocratie française la capacité de renouer avec des gouverne...
laviedesidees.fr

Reposted by Will Jennings, Emiliano Grossman, Marieke Louis , and 1 more

iguinaudeau.bsky.social
Isabelle Guinaudeau @iguinaudeau.bsky.social · Dec 16
👀 À lire sur @laviedesidees.bsky.social : « La proportionnelle, une urgence démocratique », une note co-écrite avec @egrossman.bsky.social qui nous tient très à cœur dans la crise politique que nous traversons. laviedesidees.fr/La-proportio...
La proportionnelle : une urgence démocratique
L'adoption du mode de scrutin proportionnel apparaît aujourd'hui, selon deux politistes, comme une condition nécessaire pour redonner à la démocratie française la capacité de renouer avec des gouverne...
laviedesidees.fr

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Sep 20
héroïques!

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Sep 20
ah, ces bleues ont faim de rosbeef...

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

cdsp-sciencespo.bsky.social
Centre for Socio-Political Data @cdsp-sciencespo.bsky.social · Sep 16
🎙️ En direct de la Rencontre annuelle ELIPSS #2 – Élections européennes & législatives 2024

🗳️Actuellement, Frédéric Gonthier (IEPG, Pacte) revient sur les apports du panel ELIPSS pour analyser les ressorts de la mobilisation électorale après la dissolution de juin 2024.

Reposted by Stefan Müller

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Sep 8
now with page numbers: Grossman & Guinaudeau (2025), "Tunnels of Attention: Reconsidering Issue Competition", Comparative Political Studies, vol. 58, no. 2, pp. 2559-2593.
egrossman.bsky.social Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Nov 28
Some papers are a long time in the making. This one, written with the excellent @iguinaudeau.bsky.social, took long and I am incredibly grad to see it published. 1/8 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27
So what's next? Macron will probably try to find a new candidate for Prime minister, but none of the presidential hopefuls will take that risk. Naming political hasbeens like Barnier or Bayrou has not worked. New elections are thus likely with no guarantee for a less fragemented parliament. end/

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27
In a nutshell, Macron's snap elections of 2024 have left French politics in an unprecedented state of fragmentation and uncertainty. Prime minister Bayrou has been struggling to get (some) things done nonetheless, but the vote of confidence is ultimately a way to admit that he failed. 7/

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27
If the government were to fall, new elections would be a real possibility, but Bayrou hopes that noone really wants that, given the current degree of electoral uncertainty. The far-right Rassemblement national appears to believe they could bring it home. 6/ www.franceinfo.fr/economie/bud...
Vote de confiance du 8 septembre : Jordan Bardella demande "une dissolution" ou la "démission" d'Emmanuel Macron pour "sortir de l'impasse"
"Il est urgent de rompre avec ces politiques. Il n'y a qu'une seule possibilité : que l'on revienne aux urnes", a estimé le président du RN sur TF1 mardi soir.
www.franceinfo.fr

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27
In this context, calling for a confidence vote is not very common but actually ressembles the use of the "guillotine" (art. 49.3), i.e. a way to force allies to stick to the coalition, as shown by Huber (1996): support my budget or make me step down... 4/ www.cambridge.org/core/books/r...
Rationalizing Parliament
Cambridge Core - European Government, Politics and Policy - Rationalizing Parliament
www.cambridge.org

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27
Over the summer the majority of 11 parliamentary groups have expressed opposition to Bayrou's budget and its auterity measures. Most importantly, Marine Le Pen's RN has listed a number of conditions which would basically make Bayrou an RN Prime minister. 4/ www.lemonde.fr/politique/ar...
Vote de confiance : François Bayrou joue son va-tout devant un échec annoncé sur le budget 2026
Le premier ministre va engager la responsabilité du gouvernement, le 8 septembre, à l’Assemblée nationale, assurant chercher une « clarification ». Mais la chute paraît quasi certaine, alors que la ga...
www.lemonde.fr

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27
Even that is not always granted: as the next presidential election lures (spring of 2027), many party leaders start looking (very) nervously at the polls, leading to hesitations, public attacks on the government etc. (for instance on local electoral system reform) 3/ www.lesechos.fr/politique-so...
www.lesechos.fr

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27
The 2024 snap elections called by Emmanuel Macron led to the most fragmented parliament of the history of the 5th Republic. Bayrou's government has really been able to count on 207 MPs (out 577) from 4 groups and the benign abstention of the far right RN. 2/ www.lemonde.fr/les-decodeur...
Assemblée nationale : qui sont les 577 députés, les 11 groupes politiques et les 8 présidents de commission ?
Les députés élus lors des législatives sont répartis en onze groupes parlementaires, dont les contours ont déjà évolué depuis le 18 juillet. Des postes stratégiques ont été réattribués après la nomina...
www.lemonde.fr

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27
France's prime minister François Bayrou has - somewhat unexpectedly - called for a vote of confidence this week, scheduled to take place on 8 September. This follows debates over the summer over harsh austerithy measures announced for the 2026 Finance Bill. A little context. 1/

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 26
der tanzstil ist der wahre hit.

egrossman.bsky.social
Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 10
it's like those people are using the handmaid's tale as their party manofesto. www.npr.org/2025/08/09/n...
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth reposts video of pastors saying women shouldn't vote
Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth reposted the video profiling Christian Nationalist Pastor Doug Wilson, who opposes same-sex marriage.
www.npr.org

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

georgemonbiot.bsky.social
George Monbiot @georgemonbiot.bsky.social · Feb 27
This week's column asks a question that should be in everyone's minds, as Trump reshapes the world's alliances:

How, given that our defence and security capacities are completely infiltrated by the US state, do we defend ourselves if the US becomes our opponent? www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
The question no one dares ask: what if Britain has to defend itself from the US? | George Monbiot
So much of our intelligence and military systems are shared or reliant on the US – if it becomes the enemy, it is already inside the gates, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

esqueer.net
Alejandra Caraballo @esqueer.net · Mar 10
Twitter is completely down and the price of Tesla is in full collapse. It's a bad day for Elon.
A screenshot of a Cloudflare error page showing a "Timeout occurred" message with error code 524. The message states that the origin web server (Twitter.com) failed to respond in time. The diagnostic icons show that the user's browser and Cloudflare's Dallas server are working correctly, but the Twitter host server has an error. The page includes explanations of what happened and possible actions to take. A screenshot of Tesla Inc.'s stock performance on March 10 at 1:08 PM EDT. The stock is priced at $227.54, showing a sharp decline of 35.13 points (13.37%) for the day. The chart illustrates a downward trend from an opening price of $252.54, with a high of $253.37 and a low of $227.54. Other financial details include a market cap of $713.52 billion and a P/E ratio of 111.63.

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

bbbayh.bsky.social
Dr Balki Begum Bayhan @bbbayh.bsky.social · Mar 22
Scenes from #Ankara on day 4 of the #Turkey protests. Thousands have gone on the streets again today despite the ban on demonstrations and harsh crackdowns.

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

cevipof.bsky.social
CEVIPOF - Sciences Po @cevipof.bsky.social · Apr 4
📊 Nouvelles données disponibles 📊
#scienceouverte
#données #elections
Après l'ENEF 2017, le Centre de données socio-politiques (CDSP) vient de diffuser sur sa Banque de données l’Enquête électorale française 2019 (ENEF) produite par le @cevipof.bsky.social.
data.sciencespo.fr/dataverse/EN...

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

catherinefletcher.info
Catherine Fletcher @catherinefletcher.info · May 9
Your Pope name is the last thing you ate and number of letters in your first name:

Pope Tiramisu IX
oliviawaite.com Olivia Waite @oliviawaite.com · May 9
Your Pope name is the last thing you ate and number of letters in your first name:

Pope Snickerdoodle VI
thebarbarienne.bsky.social The Barbarienne Snowman ☃️ @thebarbarienne.bsky.social · May 9
Your Pope name is the last thing you ate and number of letters in your first name:

Pope Saltine IX

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

thebagisyourscoach.bsky.social
Maybe:…… @thebagisyourscoach.bsky.social · May 21
What’s the worst concert you’ve been to?

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

okwonga.bsky.social
Musa Okwonga @okwonga.bsky.social · May 23
The top image:
The Guardian, July 2016
The article:

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

The bottom image:
The Guardian, May 2025
The article:

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Top half of image: July 2016 Guardian article by Simon Jenkins titled: “ignore the prophets of doom: Brexit will be good for Britain”. Bottom half of image: May 2026 Guardian article by Simon Jenkins titled “From the day Britain left the EU, this reset was inevitable. What a pointless waste of time, money and effort”

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

chrisgeidner.bsky.social
Chris Geidner @chrisgeidner.bsky.social · Jun 24
"SCOTUS allows Trump admin to deport people to random countries with no notice"

Honestly still can't believe that I wrote this headline today, let alone that the U.S. Supreme Court's majority did so.
SCOTUS allows Trump admin to deport people to random countries with no notice
Justice Sotomayor called the order a "gross ... abuse" of the court's authority. Also: Law Dork in the media.
www.lawdork.com