Bruce Bradbury
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brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury
@brucebradbury.bsky.social
610 followers 540 following 160 posts

An Australian economist writing on social and economic policy and outcomes.
https://www.unsw.edu.au/staff/bruce-bradbury

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Education 20%
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brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · 2d
Note: The submission website is just setup for single paper submissions. If you want to submit a symposium, submit the individual papers to the system and email the organisers directly about the symposium suggestion.

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · 10d
Or could it be that criminals get worse at committing crime after having cancer, are more likely to get caught, and thus recorded in the crime statistics? This would also be associated with severity of cancer/survival probability.

Reposted by Linda J. Skitka, Jon Green, Amy W. Ando , and 1 more

johnholbein1.bsky.social
John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 10d
Look at how being diagnosed with cancer impacts people's involvement in crime!

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · 13d
(Actually 'baby boomers' is too broad. Probably only those born between 1953 and 1960)

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · 13d
This will mean something to baby boomers from Sydney.

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · 13d
At Selina's on 7 Feb. But which year?
Street poster advertising The Angels, Dragon and Mi-Sex on at Selina's 7 February

Reposted by Bruce Bradbury

janetgornick.bsky.social
Janet Gornick @janetgornick.bsky.social · 21d
New GC-CUNY Stone Center Working Paper by Max Longmuir. "Overall, this study highlights the critical interaction between financial wealth, investment behavior, and inequality dynamics."
👇👇👇
stone-lis.bsky.social Stone Center on Socio-Economic Inequality @stone-lis.bsky.social · 24d
A WP by Maximilian Longmuir @smaexie.bsky.social provides new evidence on the relationship between household investment decisions and wealth inequality, and examines the role of policies that support broader risky financial market engagement.

stonecenter.gc.cuny.edu/publications...
Text of paper abstract

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · 24d
"Burning down the house"
David Byrne and band performing Burning Down the House in Sydney, 21 January 2026. (In strong red light with Byrne and two others spotlighted in white)

Reposted by Bruce Bradbury

lseinequalities.bsky.social
LSE Inequalities @lseinequalities.bsky.social · 26d
At our next Inequalities Seminar, we are joined by Markus Jäntti 💡

He explores the welfare implications of both inter- and intragenerational mobility and, once family incomes are introduced, assortative mating.

🎟️ Attend in-person: buff.ly/5rtmc94
💻 Attend online: buff.ly/cCavMly

Reposted by Louis Moresi, Euan G. Ritchie, Ariadne Vromen , and 2 more

andrewstafford.bsky.social
Andrew Stafford @andrewstafford.bsky.social · 26d
I wrote this some time ago - with all of us knowing this day would come, and Rob, of course, fighting like the bloody-minded bastard he was to the very end. He irrevocably changed my life - and how our country saw itself. www.theguardian.com/music/2026/j...
Rob Hirst was a force of nature, a born showman who led Midnight Oil from the back
Phenomenal drummer and percussionist was an equally accomplished songwriter who embodied the band’s bloody-minded spirit
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Bruce Bradbury

aaronsojourner.org
Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 27d
"... the standard monopsony model does not provide a full, realistic account of the labor market."
#EconSky
www.nber.org/papers/w34699
Monopsony, Markdowns, and Minimum Wages Ester Faia, Benjamin Lochner, Benjamin Schoefer #34699 Abstract: This paper presents the first direct test of two interlinked predictions at the core of the monopsony theory of the labor market: (i) that firms exploit wage-setting power by marking down wages below the marginal revenue product of labor, and (ii) that exogenous wage constraints, if binding, eliminate markdowns. Our research design revisits the 2015 introduction of a high minimum wage in Germany. Drawing on a monopsony model, we derive an empirically tractable difference-in-differences specification that provides a quantitative benchmark for the firm-level markdown response. Our main result is that empirical markdowns respond only 0–25% as much as the monopsony model would have predicted. Hence, at least for the labor market segment we study, (i) markdowns largely reflect other distortions than monopsony, (ii) markdowns are mismeasured, (iii) minimum wages induce widespread labor shortages, or (iv) the standard monopsony model does not provide a full, realistic account of ! the labor market.

Reposted by Chris Hanretty, Bruce Bradbury, Evan Roberts

economeager.bsky.social
Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 27d
if i could make you read ONE (1) single post to improve your understanding of the challenges of social science in general it would be this one from @markfabian.bsky.social about wellbeing science specifically

profmarkfabian.substack.com/p/airing-my-...
Airing my grievances with wellbeing science
We have a streetlight problem
profmarkfabian.substack.com

Reposted by Bruce Bradbury

aspc2026.bsky.social
Australian Social Policy Conference 2026 @aspc2026.bsky.social · 27d
Abstract submissions are now open for Aus Social Policy Conference 2026, to be hosted at University of Queensland (Brisbane)!

Abstract submissions due by 5pm Friday 27 February 2026.

Call for papers and submission link here: www.aspc2026.com/callforpapers
Call for papers — Australian Social Policy Conference 2026
www.aspc2026.com

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · Jan 16
Would his PhD have passed its 'ethics' review?

Reposted by Aaron Sojourner, Bruce Bradbury

arindube.bsky.social
Arin Dube @arindube.bsky.social · Jan 15
New Substack post: The wage compression that persisted.

arindube.substack.com/p/the-wage-c...
The Wage Compression that Persisted
A few of years back, my coauthors David Autor and Annie McGrew discovered something out of character for the modern U.S.
arindube.substack.com

Reposted by Bruce Bradbury

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · Jan 14
Jonas Radl and colleagues show that is actually the case based on a large experiment of 5th graders in two different counties. Moreover, they demonstrate the role of incentives and how incentives have different effects depending on social background ground.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
The Social Origins of Effort: How Incentives Reduce Socioeconomic Disparities among Children - Jonas Radl, William Foley, Lea Katharina Kröger, Patricia Lorente, Alberto Palacios-Abad, Heike Solga, Ja...
Cognitive effort (i.e., the mobilization of mental resources for task performance) is essential to equality of opportunity and meritocracy because it epitomizes...
journals.sagepub.com

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · Jan 6
Still at the beach in Australia...
Blue green water, red rocks and snorkeler at Currarong, NSW, Australia

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · Dec 29
How can social protection policies help? One partial answer is to provide greater support for people with moderate impairments. In Australia, increasing JobSeeker allowance, relaxing income tests, relaxing job search requirements - in other words moving towards a UBI.

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · Dec 29
AI might not take our manual jobs. But can our ageing bodies handle it? www.nytimes.com/2025/12/28/o...
Opinion | When A.I. Took My Job, I Bought a Chain Saw
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Diane Coyle, Lesley A. Hall, Christian E. Weller , and 4 more

sjblakemore.bsky.social
Prof Sarah-Jayne Blakemore @sjblakemore.bsky.social · Dec 18
New job at Cambridge!

Professorship of Public Policy

www.cam.ac.uk/jobs/profess...
Professorship of Public Policy
The Board of Electors to the Professorship of Public Policy invite applications from candidates whose work falls within the field of public policy. We are looking for a successful and dynamic leader
www.cam.ac.uk

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · Dec 17
Males get more free time. (The hours add up to over 24, because it restricts to those who participate in the activity. But the gender gap persists when averaged over all). www.abs.gov.au/statistics/p... #ABS
Time spent per day. Men have 5.8 hours and women 5.4 hours of 'free time'.

Reposted by Jérôme Denis, McKenzie Wark, Bruce Bradbury , and 2 more

josie.zone
🏳️‍⚧️ The Milkmaid of Human Kindness @josie.zone · Dec 16
I try to avoid linking to Substacks but this essay is FASCINATING
I'm Kenyan. I Don't Write Like ChatGPT. ChatGPT Writes Like Me.
I'm calm. I'm calm. I promise.
marcusolang.substack.com

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · Dec 16
Going to be one of the most downloaded papers ever!

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · Dec 15
"parallel trends in the log of an outcome variable precludes parallel trends in levels. The paper closes with an examination of a valiant recent attempt to wriggle out of this troubling functional-form constraint" Looking forward to reading.
johnholbein1.bsky.social John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · Dec 15
This looks like a must-read for diff-in-diffs folks.

www.nber.org/papers/w34550

Reposted by Kris Inwood, Bruce Bradbury

johnholbein1.bsky.social
John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · Dec 15
This looks like a must-read for diff-in-diffs folks.

www.nber.org/papers/w34550

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · Dec 11
As one of the substack responders said, this introduces questions about moral behaviour which researchers are nervous about. Also, are some people with CD very economically successful? Even so, I agree with your implied conclusion that we shouldn't be ignoring this.

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · Dec 11
"AI is the asbestos in the walls of our technological society, stuffed there with wild abandon by a finance sector and tech monopolists run amok. We will be excavating it for a generation or more."
pluralistic.net/2025/12/05/p...
Pluralistic: The Reverse-Centaur’s Guide to Criticizing AI (05 Dec 2025) – Pluralistic: Daily links from Cory Doctorow
pluralistic.net

Reposted by Dorothy Bishop, John Kennedy, James P. Collins , and 27 more

scientificdiscovery.dev
Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · Dec 9
Big new blogpost!

My guide to data visualization, which includes a very long table of contents, tons of charts, and more.

--> Why data visualization matters and how to make charts more effective, clear, transparent, and sometimes, beautiful.
www.scientificdiscovery.dev/p/salonis-gu...
screenshot of my post

brucebradbury.bsky.social
Bruce Bradbury @brucebradbury.bsky.social · Dec 4
"We show that, in finite samples, first-differencing and novel rolling estimators can offer researchers a practical alternative to the fixed effects estimator"

Reposted by Richard S.J. Tol, Daniel L. Millimet, Bruce Bradbury

climent.bsky.social
Climent Quintana-Domeque @climent.bsky.social · Dec 4
"On the (Mis) Use of the Fixed Effects Estimator"

(by @dlmillimet.bsky.social and Marc F. Bellemare)

published in the Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
On the (Mis) Use of the Fixed Effects Estimator
Data that span multiple units and time periods allow controlling for time-invariant heterogeneity correlated with the covariates. While researchers can do this in different ways, the fixed effects es....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com