John Kennedy
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micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis.bsky.social
3.3K followers 3.3K following 1.9K posts

Occasional climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian, science anti-communicator. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it’s a disclaimer. He/him. https://www.jkclimate.fr/ .. more

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Environmental science 43%
Geography 15%
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micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 20h
Internal monologorrhoea

Reposted by John Kennedy

ironicaccount.bsky.social
Tim Dawson @ironicaccount.bsky.social · 1d
for anyone new to bluesky or just struggling to make their timeline better, here’s my tip:

follow a bunch of artists that you like and whenever they repost cool art, follow that artist too

soon your timeline will be a steady stream of wonderful art interspersed with news updates on the horrors

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 2d
Using UK-average Tmean data from the Met Office

www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/wea...
www.metoffice.gov.uk

Reposted by Gavin L. Foster

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 2d
Look at it this way

Or this way, or this way. Graphing UK temperature data a bunch of different ways and failing to decide which is best or even what best means.

diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2025/12/24/l...
Look at it this way
I saw an interesting discussion about this graph from the BBC on bluesky. I don’t like the graph for a few reasons. The first is that it uses two different elements to show the same thing: th…
diagrammonkey.wordpress.com

Reposted by John Kennedy

paarsec.com
Mare Pan @paarsec.com · 2d
You can't tell me that 3D art isn't at least a lil bit magical #Blender

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 2d
We used to do team code reviews and the author got chocolate for each critical thing they said about their own code. It can be an interesting perspective reviewing your own stuff.

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 2d
Merry Christmas!

Reposted by John Kennedy, Elena Litchman

thirstygecko.bsky.social
Kevin Anchukaitis @thirstygecko.bsky.social · 2d
It finally happened. Got asked to review my own paper.

Reposted by John Kennedy, Adam H. Sobel

ccivanovich.bsky.social
Casey Ivanovich @ccivanovich.bsky.social · 3d
Our paper exploring the drivers of the November 2023 “Taylor Swift” heatwave in Rio de Janeiro is officially out in WCD! Take a read to learn more about the causes of this record-breaking heatwave and Rio’s emerging risk for extreme heat:

wcd.copernicus.org/articles/6/1...
Physical drivers of the November 2023 heatwave in Rio de Janeiro
Abstract. Because extreme heat has not historically been a major hazard for the city of Rio de Janeiro, the November 2023 Heatwave magnitude and timing were staggering. Here we conduct a case study of...
wcd.copernicus.org

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 3d
Nice essay! I agree that GMST gets more attention than it perhaps merits and there's lots of loose talk around the concept.

For all that though, if we can't predict GMST a year a head, we might need to consider whether we can predict anything that far ahead.

Reposted by John Kennedy

sarava.net
R. Saravanan @sarava.net · 4d
We should predict indices that are not just statistical constructs but affect people's lives. GMST doesn't affect us, regional T does. Regional T patterns differ for AGW vs El Niño. Why fuss about annual predictions for an index that conflates them?
My take from 2023:
metamodel.blog/posts/big-ba...
Who's afraid of the Big Bad El Niño?
El Niño is not Global Warming (except in Global-average Land). They have different physical causes and different spatial impacts, even though, arithmetically, they both raise global-average temperatur...
metamodel.blog

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 4d
We were all thinking it

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 4d
It's been a while since I last updated my excessive notes on a minor anomaly. However, the recent spate of global temperature forecasts was a good excuse.

diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2025/07/04/a...
An egregious encomium or execration of the evanescent, ephemeral, and effervescent made eternal and enduring through the excretions of an eejit
Part VI of my alliterative and rambling notes on a minor anomaly. Part I – A multitude of possibly unsatisfying answers Part II – A panoply of trifling dissatisfactions Part III –&nb…
diagrammonkey.wordpress.com

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 4d
Would that deal with the fact that the lag between temperature and ENSO might vary from year to year?

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 4d
It's a tricky theory to turn into a usable prediction.

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 4d
That's interesting, thanks.

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 4d
That is interesting.

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 4d
Expect a few room changes

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 5d
That was auto-correct and sleep deprivation combining to invent a completely new language.

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 5d
That should be "Nice post on"

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 5d
Almost all the annual GMST forecasts for 2023 were way too cold but I don't think it amounts to a *thing* necessarily. e.g. the Met Office forecast best estimate was 1.20°C, the upper limit was 1.32°C but 2023 ended up at 1.45°C.

www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/new...
2023 set to be tenth consecutive year at 1°C or above
The Met Office annual global temperature forecast for 2023 suggests that next year will be one of the Earth’s hottest years on record.
www.metoffice.gov.uk

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 5d
Does 2023 remain an outlier?

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 5d
Ni Va ce post on the climate brink by @hausfath.bsky.social about global mean temperature predictions for the next couple of years, but what I want to know is whether anyone changed their method since the 2023 forecast bust. Did we learn from it?

www.theclimatebrink.com/p/my-2026-an...
My 2026 and 2027 global temperature forecasts
The best thing about predicting the near future is you don't need to wait long to be wrong
www.theclimatebrink.com

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 5d
Thanks. I enjoyed that too. (And what a paper!)

I hope you have a tranquil new year.

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 6d
Quelle annee

Another year of blogging without any particular aim or purpose

diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2025/12/20/q...
Quelle annee
Another year of blogging without any particular aim or purpose, amounting to 72 posts that amassed 20,000 views from over 10,000 visitors… and 147 likes. How many of those views were people a…
diagrammonkey.wordpress.com

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 6d
On the internet nobody knows you’re a dog.
mongabay.com Mongabay @mongabay.com · 8d
After a three-year hiatus, Project ICARUS has resumed operations. The satellite-based system aims to create an “internet of animals,” using advanced trackers to monitor wildlife movements, behavior and interactions with ecosystems worldwide.
‘Internet of Animals,’ a unified wildlife tracker, set to resume after hiatus
A global system dubbed the “internet of animals,” which tracks wildlife via satellite, is one step closer to becoming a reality. Project ICARUS, an initiative that taps into advances in wireless…
news.mongabay.com

Reposted by John Kennedy, Ed Hawkins

nickdunstone.bsky.social
Nick Dunstone @nickdunstone.bsky.social · 8d
Met Office 2026 global temperature forecast released today: very likely a fourth consecutive year above 1.4 C and >1.5 C possible again. Highlights the vanishingly small headroom we have to stay below 1.5 C to avoid the most severe impacts of climate change.

www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/new...
2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industrial levels.
www.metoffice.gov.uk

Reposted by John Kennedy

mongabay.com
Mongabay @mongabay.com · 8d
After a three-year hiatus, Project ICARUS has resumed operations. The satellite-based system aims to create an “internet of animals,” using advanced trackers to monitor wildlife movements, behavior and interactions with ecosystems worldwide.
‘Internet of Animals,’ a unified wildlife tracker, set to resume after hiatus
A global system dubbed the “internet of animals,” which tracks wildlife via satellite, is one step closer to becoming a reality. Project ICARUS, an initiative that taps into advances in wireless…
news.mongabay.com

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 9d
then reading an eleventh, deleting the whole thing and wandering off for a little cry.

micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 9d
Our felines are non-fungible.