John Kennedy
@micefearboggis.bsky.social
Occasional climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian, science anti-communicator. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it’s a disclaimer. He/him. https://www.jkclimate.fr/
In a sense, yes, it's just taxonomy but taxonomies reflect some kind of underlying order and two things (or at least two things) underlie a taxonomy of fallacies: logic and human brains.
November 10, 2025 at 10:02 AM
In a sense, yes, it's just taxonomy but taxonomies reflect some kind of underlying order and two things (or at least two things) underlie a taxonomy of fallacies: logic and human brains.
Thanks. I daresay my thinking wasn't very clear on this matter. I was thinking of named "fallacies" - e.g. the base rate "fallacy" - and what it means to be one of those rather than just a common or garden failure of logic, reasoning or factualityness...
November 8, 2025 at 12:08 PM
Thanks. I daresay my thinking wasn't very clear on this matter. I was thinking of named "fallacies" - e.g. the base rate "fallacy" - and what it means to be one of those rather than just a common or garden failure of logic, reasoning or factualityness...
I shall add it to my reading list. I was wondering, I suppose, how systematic or common an error needed to be to establish itself as a fallacy. I feel like I see new fallacies all the time, but they don't all seem very systematic.
November 8, 2025 at 12:06 PM
I shall add it to my reading list. I was wondering, I suppose, how systematic or common an error needed to be to establish itself as a fallacy. I feel like I see new fallacies all the time, but they don't all seem very systematic.
That's the sense in which I'm familiar with them. I wondered at what point a distinct pattern forms from the many ways wrongness can manifest itself.
November 8, 2025 at 12:03 PM
That's the sense in which I'm familiar with them. I wondered at what point a distinct pattern forms from the many ways wrongness can manifest itself.
What a strange graph. Remind me what happens to something "per capita" when the capitas are all extinct and therefore tend rapidly to zero?
November 8, 2025 at 11:19 AM
What a strange graph. Remind me what happens to something "per capita" when the capitas are all extinct and therefore tend rapidly to zero?
I feel like with one small change this is perfectly true (though less amusing). It will make a life changing difference that nobody notices. A skill of the artist lies in seeing what needs to be done and then doing it, but the result will be something almost everyone can appreciate.
November 8, 2025 at 9:51 AM
I feel like with one small change this is perfectly true (though less amusing). It will make a life changing difference that nobody notices. A skill of the artist lies in seeing what needs to be done and then doing it, but the result will be something almost everyone can appreciate.
OK. Some (mostly negative) thoughts on Bill Gates.
With special shoutout to @timinclimate.bsky.social & @drkatemarvel.bsky.social for their wise words.
youtu.be/9MmqKEkOtwo
With special shoutout to @timinclimate.bsky.social & @drkatemarvel.bsky.social for their wise words.
youtu.be/9MmqKEkOtwo
Climate Scientist Responds to Bill Gates
YouTube video by ClimateAdam
youtu.be
November 8, 2025 at 9:38 AM
“Why Bill Gates’ climate memo is being celebrated by skeptics while frustrating scientists" | Article by Ryan M. Katz-Rosene for @us.theconversation.com:
theconversation.com/why-bill-gat...
theconversation.com/why-bill-gat...
Why Bill Gates’ climate memo is being celebrated by skeptics while frustrating scientists
Gates recently called for a ‘strategic pivot’ in climate strategy. That appears to have hit a nerve.
theconversation.com
November 8, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Some datasets - like NOAAGlobalTemp - can't currently be updated due to the US government shutdown.
End of thread
End of thread
November 7, 2025 at 12:03 PM
Some datasets - like NOAAGlobalTemp - can't currently be updated due to the US government shutdown.
End of thread
End of thread
Antarctic sea ice extent remains low after the maximum of the seasonal cycle in September (3rd lowest on record).
Slow growth of Arctic sea ice in the past few days has left Arctic sea ice extent at a near-record low for the time of year.
Slow growth of Arctic sea ice in the past few days has left Arctic sea ice extent at a near-record low for the time of year.
November 7, 2025 at 12:03 PM
Antarctic sea ice extent remains low after the maximum of the seasonal cycle in September (3rd lowest on record).
Slow growth of Arctic sea ice in the past few days has left Arctic sea ice extent at a near-record low for the time of year.
Slow growth of Arctic sea ice in the past few days has left Arctic sea ice extent at a near-record low for the time of year.
September and October were warm enough to nudge the year-to-date average global temp up after a slow fall from the record warm January. 2025 remains on course to be the second or third warmest year on record though given how close it is, it might end up a split decision.
November 7, 2025 at 12:03 PM
September and October were warm enough to nudge the year-to-date average global temp up after a slow fall from the record warm January. 2025 remains on course to be the second or third warmest year on record though given how close it is, it might end up a split decision.
October continues the run of months that exceed anything seen in the observed record before June 2023. The only exception was February 2025. The warmest, second warmest, and now third warmest Octobers were 2023, 2024 and 2025.
November 7, 2025 at 12:03 PM
October continues the run of months that exceed anything seen in the observed record before June 2023. The only exception was February 2025. The warmest, second warmest, and now third warmest Octobers were 2023, 2024 and 2025.