Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
Co-founder, Survey 160. Loves survey and voter participation. Researcher. Democrat. YIMBY. Husband and Dad. Opinion haver and measurer. Outdoors and cooking enthusiast. He/Him
Pinned
Some day, your kids or grand kids will ask you what you did in 2026. Make sure you have a story you are proud to tell them, and that that the story has a good ending.
Why won’t @mayorbowser.dc.gov and DC Government say clearly if the snow emergency was ended? It was extended until 9:30 am this morning but despite looking a LOT of places I can’t tell if it actually ended or was extended again
January 31, 2026 at 1:23 AM
Why won’t @mayorbowser.dc.gov and DC Government say clearly if the snow emergency was ended? It was extended until 9:30 am this morning but despite looking a LOT of places I can’t tell if it actually ended or was extended again
Few things in life are more gratifying than fixing a broken appliance that you thought you might have to call a technician for (and when your wife was sure the technician was needed)
January 31, 2026 at 12:44 AM
Few things in life are more gratifying than fixing a broken appliance that you thought you might have to call a technician for (and when your wife was sure the technician was needed)
A Conference Filled With Stars (p<0.001)
AAPOR members! Enter our annual slogan contest and get your words on AAPOR conference swag: www.cognitoforms.com/AmericanAsso...
2026 AAPOR Annual Slogan Contest
www.cognitoforms.com
January 30, 2026 at 6:59 PM
A Conference Filled With Stars (p<0.001)
Why do survey researchers always shop at Costco?
For the free samples
For the free samples
January 30, 2026 at 6:56 PM
Why do survey researchers always shop at Costco?
For the free samples
For the free samples
Reposted by Kevin Collins
AAPOR members! Enter our annual slogan contest and get your words on AAPOR conference swag: www.cognitoforms.com/AmericanAsso...
2026 AAPOR Annual Slogan Contest
www.cognitoforms.com
January 30, 2026 at 6:29 PM
AAPOR members! Enter our annual slogan contest and get your words on AAPOR conference swag: www.cognitoforms.com/AmericanAsso...
I mean, I’m not really qualified but since that hasn’t stopped any of his other appointments sure why not
January 30, 2026 at 6:51 PM
I mean, I’m not really qualified but since that hasn’t stopped any of his other appointments sure why not
Reposted by Kevin Collins
Note that these data *predate* killings of protesters in Minneapolis. They're from the Partnership for Public Service’s proprietary Public Service Viewpoint Survey, which was made available to all federal employees Nov. 10 to Dec. 19, 2025.
New Partnership for Public Service survey data points to profound loss of confidence among CBP, ICE employees in agency leadership
A nonprofit, nonpartisan organization working towards effective government for the American people.
ourpublicservice.org
January 29, 2026 at 10:10 PM
Note that these data *predate* killings of protesters in Minneapolis. They're from the Partnership for Public Service’s proprietary Public Service Viewpoint Survey, which was made available to all federal employees Nov. 10 to Dec. 19, 2025.
Evidence on the effect of protest on public opinion from South Africa
"Fighting for a Better Life: Protests and Public Opinion in South Africa" journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
"Fighting for a Better Life: Protests and Public Opinion in South Africa" journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
January 30, 2026 at 1:20 PM
Evidence on the effect of protest on public opinion from South Africa
"Fighting for a Better Life: Protests and Public Opinion in South Africa" journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
"Fighting for a Better Life: Protests and Public Opinion in South Africa" journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Kevin Collins
A Minnesota woman observing ICE agents in her car was cornered on one-way streets. An agent approached, called her by name—citing facial recognition. Days later, her Global Entry and TSA privileges were revoked, with no explanation.
How ICE Already Knows Who Minneapolis Protesters Are
www.nytimes.com
January 30, 2026 at 11:55 AM
A Minnesota woman observing ICE agents in her car was cornered on one-way streets. An agent approached, called her by name—citing facial recognition. Days later, her Global Entry and TSA privileges were revoked, with no explanation.
There needs to be an effort to monitor for cases where lawful, 1A protected speech gets punished through even small administrative actions like denying enrollment in Global Entry or TSA Pre-Check. We already know that they have publicly slandered peaceful protesters as "domestic terrorists"
There was, in MN, a palpable, constant sense of fear that could even feel like paranoia from people engaged in civil resistance. Here’s why:
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/30/t...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/30/t...
How ICE Already Knows Who Minneapolis Protesters Are
www.nytimes.com
January 30, 2026 at 1:15 PM
There needs to be an effort to monitor for cases where lawful, 1A protected speech gets punished through even small administrative actions like denying enrollment in Global Entry or TSA Pre-Check. We already know that they have publicly slandered peaceful protesters as "domestic terrorists"
This article, new in Comparative Political Studies, seems relevant
The Way Back After Backsliding: Public Opinion and the Restoration of Democracy
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
The Way Back After Backsliding: Public Opinion and the Restoration of Democracy
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
January 30, 2026 at 1:13 PM
This article, new in Comparative Political Studies, seems relevant
The Way Back After Backsliding: Public Opinion and the Restoration of Democracy
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
The Way Back After Backsliding: Public Opinion and the Restoration of Democracy
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
The public is primed to accept a corruption narrative, to a degree that is even greater than it was during the 2024 election
(source: www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...)
(source: www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...)
January 30, 2026 at 1:12 PM
The public is primed to accept a corruption narrative, to a degree that is even greater than it was during the 2024 election
(source: www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...)
(source: www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...)
He is clearly so mad that no one will respond to his international provocations with force that will generate a rally-around-the-flag effect
Breaking News: President Trump is said to be weighing new military options for Iran, including raids inside the country.
Trump Weighs New Military Options Against Iran
The plans being weighed by the president go beyond those he considered weeks ago amid widespread protests against Iran’s government.
nyti.ms
January 30, 2026 at 2:01 AM
He is clearly so mad that no one will respond to his international provocations with force that will generate a rally-around-the-flag effect
Reposted by Kevin Collins
"We don't need Canadian products. We don't need anything from Canada"
At the moment these are all the CRJ, CR7 and CR9 Canadian made aircraft airborne in North America
January 30, 2026 at 1:39 AM
"We don't need Canadian products. We don't need anything from Canada"
Corruption watch
President Trump has filed a lawsuit against the IRS, in which he demands that the IRS, which he as president controls, pay him $10 billion.
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
January 30, 2026 at 1:14 AM
Corruption watch
Reposted by Kevin Collins
Hello super friends.
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
Talking Politics With People Who Don't Want to, with Kabir Khanna of CBS News
Podcast Episode · Cross Tabs · 01/29/2026 · 53m
podcasts.apple.com
January 30, 2026 at 1:12 AM
Hello super friends.
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
Reposted by Kevin Collins
yet another data point for "the standard case for pragmatic electoral moderation would be more compelling if people stopped insisting that transgender issues are an electoral problem for Democrats"
Fox News Poll: The Republican Party is seen as better able to handle border security, national security, and immigration. The Democratic Party is favored on transgender issues, healthcare, vaccines, helping the middle class, and affordability.
www.foxnews.com/politics/fox...
www.foxnews.com/politics/fox...
January 30, 2026 at 12:05 AM
yet another data point for "the standard case for pragmatic electoral moderation would be more compelling if people stopped insisting that transgender issues are an electoral problem for Democrats"
Only ones that come to minds are the law enforcement officers who also sometimes wore white hoods
Also, yet again, we have 250 years of history, much of it pretty turbulent, during which law enforcement were not afraid to show their faces.
Finally got around to a bit of research I'd been meaning to explore, and: There is no documented instance of an ICE officer being identified and assaulted while off duty because he wasn't masked. www.pbump.net/o/ices-excus...
January 29, 2026 at 6:17 PM
Only ones that come to minds are the law enforcement officers who also sometimes wore white hoods
Reposted by Kevin Collins
It’s not going to be a health care election but it will partly be a health cost election.
Our new poll: on.kff.org/3LGVtUh
Our new poll: on.kff.org/3LGVtUh
January 29, 2026 at 5:47 PM
It’s not going to be a health care election but it will partly be a health cost election.
Our new poll: on.kff.org/3LGVtUh
Our new poll: on.kff.org/3LGVtUh
Reposted by Kevin Collins
ICE is upset that ICE isn't welcome in restaurants after ICE ordered food at a restaurant, ate it, then arrested restaurant employees, and ICE believes this is someone else's fault, do I have that right?
January 29, 2026 at 4:45 PM
ICE is upset that ICE isn't welcome in restaurants after ICE ordered food at a restaurant, ate it, then arrested restaurant employees, and ICE believes this is someone else's fault, do I have that right?
"John Barron" ?
Trump: "My friend, who is very successful, seriously overweight person, he takes the fat shot ... crude individual but smart as hell, made a lot of money ... I told him it wasn't working ... very well-known business person."
January 29, 2026 at 5:16 PM
"John Barron" ?
Reposted by Kevin Collins
KFF poll | 1/13-1/20 RV
Generic congressional ballot
🟦Democratic 49%
🟥Republican 42%
files.kff.org/attachment/t...
Generic congressional ballot
🟦Democratic 49%
🟥Republican 42%
files.kff.org/attachment/t...
files.kff.org
January 29, 2026 at 4:12 PM
KFF poll | 1/13-1/20 RV
Generic congressional ballot
🟦Democratic 49%
🟥Republican 42%
files.kff.org/attachment/t...
Generic congressional ballot
🟦Democratic 49%
🟥Republican 42%
files.kff.org/attachment/t...
Reposted by Kevin Collins
"Who's city is it Chief?
Bovino: "It's our fucking city."
And that, in a nutshell, is the problem. It is not a democracy when men with guns and uniforms believe they have more control over a city than its residents.
Bovino: "It's our fucking city."
And that, in a nutshell, is the problem. It is not a democracy when men with guns and uniforms believe they have more control over a city than its residents.
January 29, 2026 at 2:41 PM
"Who's city is it Chief?
Bovino: "It's our fucking city."
And that, in a nutshell, is the problem. It is not a democracy when men with guns and uniforms believe they have more control over a city than its residents.
Bovino: "It's our fucking city."
And that, in a nutshell, is the problem. It is not a democracy when men with guns and uniforms believe they have more control over a city than its residents.
How soon until these show up as profile photos on Hinge?
Why is the scaredest and most innocent teen in the entire world flanked by not one but two HSI people too embarrassed to show their faces?
January 29, 2026 at 1:50 PM
How soon until these show up as profile photos on Hinge?
Reposted by Kevin Collins
_Strength In Numbers_ gains more strength as it gains more numbers. Spitting distance from being a top-50 publication on Substack. Join us! (a free sub gets you at least two articles a week — a pretty good deal for time invested, IMO) gelliottmorris.com/subscribe
January 29, 2026 at 1:01 PM
_Strength In Numbers_ gains more strength as it gains more numbers. Spitting distance from being a top-50 publication on Substack. Join us! (a free sub gets you at least two articles a week — a pretty good deal for time invested, IMO) gelliottmorris.com/subscribe