Andrew Watt
andrewwatteu.bsky.social
Andrew Watt
@andrewwatteu.bsky.social

General Director, European Trade Union Institute
@etui.bsky.social

Formerly www.imk-boeckler.de

EU economic governance, comparative political economy, European integration, socio-ecological transition, wage bargaining
Deutschland-Versteher
Vietnam .. more

Economics 58%
Political science 32%

I do get your point. But history suggests that, once due process is abandoned, even if the original impulse is emancipatory, n the end the supposed cure proves to be worse than the disease.

One doesn't have to be a raving neoliberal to realise that there would, in fact, be negative knock-on effects. It's not just an abstract legal principle.
But I understand the sentiment too. The rules of the game need to be changed to limit their power and redistribute resources.

Buy European clauses in public procurement and state subsidy regines certainly raise issues. But I agree with Sandor. Their blanket rejection from first principles is naive and misguided in a world characterised by strategic players and discrepancies between short and long run interests.
Some Europeans have still not caught up to a world profoundly shaped by Chinas industrial policy.

A lot of hard pushback on targeted buy-European because it would reduce European competitiveness and product quality.

Reality, created by China, would disagree.

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Reposted by Andrew Watt

Some Europeans have still not caught up to a world profoundly shaped by Chinas industrial policy.

A lot of hard pushback on targeted buy-European because it would reduce European competitiveness and product quality.

Reality, created by China, would disagree.

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Boots on the ground on the day is only one of a range of techniques.
And boots only need to be deployed where suppressing, say, 10% of the vote for Democrats can tip the result.
A couple of ostentatious ICE people/vehicles (or impersonators) outside a polling station is cheap and likely effective.

What is the basis for your view that "Trump hasn't got the resources to undermine the mid-term elections in themselves"? I sincerely hope you are right, alas I am not so sure. He will certainly try because, unless there is a major turnaround, he is headed for a defeat.

The Epstein revelations are shocking and this shameful past requires proper investigation. But let that not distract us from crimes being committed today and the harm and suffering they will cause in the near future! These are of a whole different order of magnitude and could still be prevented.
As cuts in international aid continue worldwide, a new study projects 22.6 million people will die by 2030, including 5.4 million children under the age of five.
➡️ https://l.euronews.com/saqz

Reposted by Andrew Watt

As cuts in international aid continue worldwide, a new study projects 22.6 million people will die by 2030, including 5.4 million children under the age of five.
➡️ https://l.euronews.com/saqz

A welcome and important development in Portugal 👇.
More broadly, in EU countries and at EU level, the democratic forces need to engage with each other pragmatically to craft policy solutions that deliver for citizens. Gridlock (France) and delay (EP vote on Mercosur) just benefit the far-right.
🚨🚨Striking but welcome development in Portugese politics: To stop the explosive growth of the ultranationalist #Chega party, Portugal’s leading conservatives are doing the previously unthinkable: endorsing the center-left candidate for president. 🧵
www.politico.eu/article/port...
Portugal’s conservatives back left-wing candidate to avoid a far-right president
Center-right leaders are taking pains to publicly reject the ultranationalist contender ahead of the country’s Feb. 8 vote.
www.politico.eu
🚨🚨Striking but welcome development in Portugese politics: To stop the explosive growth of the ultranationalist #Chega party, Portugal’s leading conservatives are doing the previously unthinkable: endorsing the center-left candidate for president. 🧵
www.politico.eu/article/port...
Portugal’s conservatives back left-wing candidate to avoid a far-right president
Center-right leaders are taking pains to publicly reject the ultranationalist contender ahead of the country’s Feb. 8 vote.
www.politico.eu

Indeed, what is welcome is that reality is being faced. For sure there will be distributional EU-political consequences which need to be handled carefully - and one can rightly fear that they will not be.

Equally, for many Europeans it is a welcome development that a naive faith held by European policymakers in special relationships, manifest destinies and the like has met the cold light of day.

He's a pilot with real flying exoerience. Where he may clash with orthodoxy is on taking off and, more troublingly, landing.
Kevin Warsh may be chameleonic but is not an unknown species and has real Federal Reserve experience. Where he may clash with orthodoxy is on interest rates and, more troublingly, independence
What will Kevin Warsh’s Federal Reserve look like?
Donald Trump’s nominee was an inflation hawk—until he wasn’t
econ.st

Reposted by Andrew Watt

Kevin Warsh may be chameleonic but is not an unknown species and has real Federal Reserve experience. Where he may clash with orthodoxy is on interest rates and, more troublingly, independence
What will Kevin Warsh’s Federal Reserve look like?
Donald Trump’s nominee was an inflation hawk—until he wasn’t
econ.st

Reposted by Helmut Reisen

We'll take our stand for this land
And the stranger in our midst.
We'll remember the names of those who died
On the streets of Minneapolis

The Boss on 🎯& on 🔥
I wrote this song on Saturday, recorded it yesterday and released it to you today in response to the state terror being visited on the city of Minneapolis. It’s dedicated to the people of Minneapolis, our innocent immigrant neighbors and in memory of Alex Pretti and Renee Good.

Stay free
Bruce Springsteen - Streets Of Minneapolis (Official Audio)
YouTube video by Bruce Springsteen
youtu.be

giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
Good work @financialtimes.com shows Trump's ICE attacks on migrants are not just racist and murderous, they are also very costly to taxpayers & so profitable for contractors. $22bn works out at $64 for every US man, woman & child, just for contracted services.
Companies reap $22bn from Trump’s immigration crackdown
Palantir and Deloitte among beneficiaries of spending by government agencies
giftarticle.ft.com

Die Nordhalbener Erklärung für strukturschwache Kommunen im Neuen Kämmerer ....

Gut, dass wenigstens einer unbeirrbar gegen den Strom reisserischen, polarisierenden, populistischen Polit-Marketings schwimmt.
😜

Reposted by Anne Applebaum, Mariana Mazzucato, Stephen M. Walt , and 181 more

I wrote this song on Saturday, recorded it yesterday and released it to you today in response to the state terror being visited on the city of Minneapolis. It’s dedicated to the people of Minneapolis, our innocent immigrant neighbors and in memory of Alex Pretti and Renee Good.

Stay free
Bruce Springsteen - Streets Of Minneapolis (Official Audio)
YouTube video by Bruce Springsteen
youtu.be

Notably, Poland, while clearly an important MS and critical for some initiatives, is not in the €, which for many issues is a natural core group. OTOH France and Germany are opposed on many important questions.
In short, we need "variable geometry", which brings with it its own problems.
2/2
If Trump and his henchmen's disparaging comments about Europe have done something useful, it is to focus European minds on the need to speed up EU decision-making. This is an old debate. It cannot be a simple 2-speed Europe, with two separate country blocks.
1/2
A real change in how Germany approaches the EU is happening. Berlin used to prioritise the unity of the 27 and now seems much more open towards coalitions of the willing.

Next step is initiative by Finance minister Klingenbeil to build an avant-garde with 🇫🇷🇵🇱🇮🇹🇳🇱🇪🇸:
Six EU countries hold call in push for 'two‑speed' Europe
Ministers from six leading European economies, including Germany and France, will discuss on Wednesday plans to push ahead with joint projects without the rest of the EU, to facilitate agile decision-...
www.reuters.com
A real change in how Germany approaches the EU is happening. Berlin used to prioritise the unity of the 27 and now seems much more open towards coalitions of the willing.

Next step is initiative by Finance minister Klingenbeil to build an avant-garde with 🇫🇷🇵🇱🇮🇹🇳🇱🇪🇸:
Six EU countries hold call in push for 'two‑speed' Europe
Ministers from six leading European economies, including Germany and France, will discuss on Wednesday plans to push ahead with joint projects without the rest of the EU, to facilitate agile decision-...
www.reuters.com

Update
The BEV news at the European level last year was slightly more upbeat: BEVs just outsold (pure) petrol cars. The question is how sustainable this is, though. Helped by tariff protection, EU manufacturers are holding their own against Chinese competition.
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
European EV sales overtake petrol for first time in December
Sales reached record high last year despite fall at Tesla and pressure to soften EU targets
giftarticle.ft.com

An article that will doubtless repay detailed study. The authors provide empirical evidence for the intuitive view that support for the EU depends in part on whether, at a given point in time, the EU is pursuing policies closer or further from voters' (left-right) political preferences.
NEW PAPER ALERT! My paper, with @bjornhoyland.bsky.social , on how “policy loss” shapes support for the EU has just been published in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Check it out!
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NEW PAPER ALERT! My paper, with @bjornhoyland.bsky.social , on how “policy loss” shapes support for the EU has just been published in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Check it out!
1/

More evidence that the pro-worker talk of right-wing governments is just that, talk.

How one year of ‘America First’ left workers behind - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

Update
As a follow-up I recommend this analysis of the implications of Davis by Laszlo Andor
substack.com/@laszloandor...
László Andor (@laszloandoreu)
Davos 2026: scenes from a divorce 🔸During the first presidency of Donald Trump, Angela Merkel was often referred to as the true leader of the free world. Now in Davos, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Ca...
substack.com
❗#JobAlert: upcoming deadline

The ETUI is looking for a Database Administrator to play a central role in managing the Institute’s #data-related activities.

Don't miss the opportunity to be part of a dynamic research environment!

🔗 Apply by 31 January: etui.org/4Z5
@andrewwatteu.bsky.social

Swapping EU standards (in which Britain had a voice) for US standards (in which it does not) is not what Brexiters and Lexiters meant by "taking back control", I warrant.
This has always been the Brexitist goal - to put the UK under US standards, and Washington recognises, after years of having its standards shunned for Europe's, an opportunity:

An insinkable low-standards aircraft carrier on Europe's doorstep.

#AirstripOne

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Sie feierten ja schon den Atomausstieg. Insofern war man vorgewarnt.

I just wish the camera would pan to the audience occasionally. What must Davos Man and Davos Woman be thinking?