Simon Hix
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simonhix.bsky.social
Simon Hix
@simonhix.bsky.social

Stein Rokkan Chair in Comparative Politics, EUI. President-Elect, @epssnet.bsky.social. FBA, FRSA. Democracy, parties, elections, electoral systems etc. Live music. COYI

Simon Hix is a British political scientist, holder of the Stein Rokkan chair in comparative politics at the European University Institute in Florence. His main areas of research are voting in parliaments, democratic institutions, and EU politics. .. more

Political science 79%
Economics 10%

Shame! I guess turkeys don’t vote for Christmas!
A parliamentary majority of 84 out of 150 seats (i.e. all 13 parties not in the minority coalition) adopted a resolution against the coalition's intention to investigate (again) the introduction of an election threshold (@simonhix.bsky.social @catherinedevries.bsky.social @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social)
Oppositie stemt kiesdrempelvoorstel minderheidscoalitie weg
D66, VVD en CDA willen laten onderzoeken of partijen meer dan één zetel moeten halen.
nos.nl

😢
@simonhix.bsky.social Forgive me a small gloat about my own prediction, but: the entire joint opposition just pre-emptively voted down minority coalition's electoral threshold proposal.

Perhaps the proposal will return, but I wouldn't bet on it.

nos.nl/artikel/2601...
Oppositie stemt kiesdrempelvoorstel minderheidscoalitie weg
D66, VVD en CDA willen laten onderzoeken of partijen meer dan één zetel moeten halen.
nos.nl

So many elite institutions in the US are corrupt. And you wonder why so many people are angry …
Despicable. “When Jeffrey Epstein’s girlfriend, Karyna Shuliak, wanted to attend Columbia University’s dental school in 2012, she was rejected initially. Then, Mr. Epstein pulled some strings, & some of the school’s most important people helped her get in, files from the Department of Justice show”
Epstein Used Cash to Wield His Influence at Columbia and N.Y.U.
www.nytimes.com
Despicable. “When Jeffrey Epstein’s girlfriend, Karyna Shuliak, wanted to attend Columbia University’s dental school in 2012, she was rejected initially. Then, Mr. Epstein pulled some strings, & some of the school’s most important people helped her get in, files from the Department of Justice show”
Epstein Used Cash to Wield His Influence at Columbia and N.Y.U.
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Simon Hix

@simonhix.bsky.social Forgive me a small gloat about my own prediction, but: the entire joint opposition just pre-emptively voted down minority coalition's electoral threshold proposal.

Perhaps the proposal will return, but I wouldn't bet on it.

nos.nl/artikel/2601...
Oppositie stemt kiesdrempelvoorstel minderheidscoalitie weg
D66, VVD en CDA willen laten onderzoeken of partijen meer dan één zetel moeten halen.
nos.nl

Reposted by Simon Hix

A parliamentary majority of 84 out of 150 seats (i.e. all 13 parties not in the minority coalition) adopted a resolution against the coalition's intention to investigate (again) the introduction of an election threshold (@simonhix.bsky.social @catherinedevries.bsky.social @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social)
Oppositie stemt kiesdrempelvoorstel minderheidscoalitie weg
D66, VVD en CDA willen laten onderzoeken of partijen meer dan één zetel moeten halen.
nos.nl

Hi Nils. Send me an email and I can check this out.

Post hoc ergo propter hoc 😉
I hear the new Dutch coalition agreement includes this (translation):

“We are also investigating the introduction of an electoral threshold and a new electoral system for the House of Representatives, in which preferential votes are given more weight.”

Fascinating to see how this plays out.

A president extorts $75m from a film production company to make a documentary about his wife.

A classic tin pot dictator move.
🌍🇺🇸 Published Today in PNAS Nexus 🌍🇺🇸

How can we foster collective climate action?

- led by @dgoldwert.bsky.social, @smconstantino.bsky.social & @madalina.bsky.social
- 17 behavioral interventions, designed by 50 experts
- tested on >30000 US participants

academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/ar... 🧵 1/11

Yep! As a (now deeply embarrassed) co-author with this guy, I hold my hands up. Mea culpa.
Instead of reading even more about Matt Goodwin, I would like to read about a system that over years has enabled, defended, and empowered him. A system that discredited his critics and enjoyed him as an enfant terrible. A system that only listened when senior, white, male professors criticized him.
Instead of reading even more about Matt Goodwin, I would like to read about a system that over years has enabled, defended, and empowered him. A system that discredited his critics and enjoyed him as an enfant terrible. A system that only listened when senior, white, male professors criticized him.

And here’s the link to the paper! 🤦‍♂️ doi.org/10.1177/0010...

We also find an interesting mechanism: the effect of policy loss is stronger for people who are more highly educated (who are more likely to have more information about what the EU does)
9/

This effect is robust across our 6 measures of EU policy outputs as well as with 2 different ways of conceptualising “policy loss”: immediate (the distance to policies in the same year), or cumulative (distance to all policies prior to a given year).
8/

At the individual level, pooling <1.1 million respondents in the Eurobarometer surveys, the further EU policies are from an individual’s preferences, the less they like it
7/

At the aggregate level, the EU was most popular when it delivered policies that were more centrist (so minimised the "policy loss" for most EU citizens) and became less popular when average policy loss was higher
6/

Across all of our measures of EU policies, what the EU has delivered has moved “leftwards” over time, although some measures suggest a move back towards the centre in recent years
5/

To test this explanation we measure EU citizens (from almost 50 years of Eurobarometer surveys) and annual EU policy outputs (using 6 different methods) on the same scale
4/

Our explanation for this pattern is that, at the individual level, citizens support the EU more (less) if it delivers policies closer to (further from) their left-right preferences.
3/

What we do in the paper is try to explain why the relationship between political preferences and support for the EU has changed over time, e.g. why people on the right supported European integration most in the 1970s, and why the left support the EU most today.
2/
NEW PAPER ALERT! My paper, with @bjornhoyland.bsky.social , on how “policy loss” shapes support for the EU has just been published in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Check it out!
1/

Eek! Tragic to see this in my old home town

Reposted by Simon Hix

Berlin’s political fragmentation is, of course, nothing new. Rising fragmentation has been evident since the emergence of the Greens in the 1980s and the Left Party in the 1990s. Compared to the 2016 and 2021 state elections, Berlin’s party system would actually be even a bit less fragmented.

A key European ally of the United States is preparing, together with European allies, for the possibility of invasion by the United States

This is a sentence I thought I would never write!
BREAKING: A full-scale airlift is running around the clock, transporting troops and military equipment to Greenland.
The operation is extensive, “beyond anything we’ve tried before,” a source tells DR. Danish F-35 fighter planes and warships from European allies involved.

www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...
Stor operation i gang: Fly strømmer til Grønland med europæiske soldater
I flere døgn har militære transportfly fløjet i pendulfart mellem Danmark og Grønland. Fredag aften landede et stort antal soldater i Nuuk.
www.dr.dk
BREAKING: A full-scale airlift is running around the clock, transporting troops and military equipment to Greenland.
The operation is extensive, “beyond anything we’ve tried before,” a source tells DR. Danish F-35 fighter planes and warships from European allies involved.

www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...
Stor operation i gang: Fly strømmer til Grønland med europæiske soldater
I flere døgn har militære transportfly fløjet i pendulfart mellem Danmark og Grønland. Fredag aften landede et stort antal soldater i Nuuk.
www.dr.dk