Julius Kölzer
@juliusk.bsky.social
Doctoral Researcher in Political Science @dynamics.bsky.social & Research Associate @hertieschool.bsky.social | Sometimes working at Zeit Online | Interested in political geography, inequality and elections.
Pinned
The Alternative for Germany is the leading party in some German polls
Despite retaining its far-right positions
www.economist.com
Good piece on the continuing rise of the AfD in The Economist. Also cool to see some findings cited from our paper with @mbayerlein.bsky.social and Anne Metten on far-right support and industrial decline in Germany, published earlier this year.
tinyurl.com/w6v62khz
tinyurl.com/w6v62khz
I hereby formally announce that I have no elaborate takes on the US attack on Venezuela. Have a nice weekend.
January 3, 2026 at 11:49 AM
I hereby formally announce that I have no elaborate takes on the US attack on Venezuela. Have a nice weekend.
Über wachsende AfD-Zustimmung unter jungen Wählern darf sich keiner mehr wundern
January 2, 2026 at 1:08 PM
Über wachsende AfD-Zustimmung unter jungen Wählern darf sich keiner mehr wundern
You are all wrong; the best explanation for this is state-level fixed effects
December 31, 2025 at 10:40 AM
You are all wrong; the best explanation for this is state-level fixed effects
Reposted by Julius Kölzer
Just in time before the end of the year: My first dissertation paper, in which I examine whether the public response to rising income inequality is really lacking, has officially been published in the latest issue of the Socio-Economic Review #SER.
🔗 doi.org/10.1093/ser/...
🔗 doi.org/10.1093/ser/...
December 30, 2025 at 10:33 PM
Just in time before the end of the year: My first dissertation paper, in which I examine whether the public response to rising income inequality is really lacking, has officially been published in the latest issue of the Socio-Economic Review #SER.
🔗 doi.org/10.1093/ser/...
🔗 doi.org/10.1093/ser/...
Wichtig: Morgen letzte Chance einen dreiseitigen LinkedIn-Jahresrückblick über die eigenen Erfolge zu posten
December 30, 2025 at 6:50 PM
Wichtig: Morgen letzte Chance einen dreiseitigen LinkedIn-Jahresrückblick über die eigenen Erfolge zu posten
Reposted by Julius Kölzer
🚨New article🥳
➡️ The Limits of Alarm: How Climate Scenarios Fail to Increase Willingness to Act and Pay for Climate Change Policies, published at @psrjournal.bsky.social co-authored with @mguinjoan.bsky.social & @celiaestruch.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... (1/n)
➡️ The Limits of Alarm: How Climate Scenarios Fail to Increase Willingness to Act and Pay for Climate Change Policies, published at @psrjournal.bsky.social co-authored with @mguinjoan.bsky.social & @celiaestruch.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... (1/n)
December 30, 2025 at 8:52 AM
🚨New article🥳
➡️ The Limits of Alarm: How Climate Scenarios Fail to Increase Willingness to Act and Pay for Climate Change Policies, published at @psrjournal.bsky.social co-authored with @mguinjoan.bsky.social & @celiaestruch.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... (1/n)
➡️ The Limits of Alarm: How Climate Scenarios Fail to Increase Willingness to Act and Pay for Climate Change Policies, published at @psrjournal.bsky.social co-authored with @mguinjoan.bsky.social & @celiaestruch.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... (1/n)
Urban-Rural Divide in einem Land vor unserer Zeit
December 30, 2025 at 9:44 AM
Urban-Rural Divide in einem Land vor unserer Zeit
Reposted by Julius Kölzer
10/10
Scared of the boring Christmas quiet between the years? Check out cozy discussions featuring stellar researchers on cozy issues like far-right normalization & democratic backsliding in the still-topical No Problem et al podcast by @vikburgi.bsky.social and me. podcasts.apple.com/de/podcast/p...
Political Science? No problem et al.!
Podcast in Sozialwissenschaften · Zweimonatlich · Welcome to
podcasts.apple.com
December 26, 2025 at 1:22 PM
10/10
I will officially end the guns versus butter debate once and for all
December 23, 2025 at 9:32 PM
I will officially end the guns versus butter debate once and for all
Reposted by Julius Kölzer
Freue mich sehr auf die Diskussion mit Luisa Doerr und @juliusk.bsky.social -- herzlichen Dank an @econlessmann.bsky.social fuer die Einladung!
tu-dresden.de/bu/wirtschaf...
tu-dresden.de/bu/wirtschaf...
December 22, 2025 at 3:43 PM
Freue mich sehr auf die Diskussion mit Luisa Doerr und @juliusk.bsky.social -- herzlichen Dank an @econlessmann.bsky.social fuer die Einladung!
tu-dresden.de/bu/wirtschaf...
tu-dresden.de/bu/wirtschaf...
The Revenge of the Places that oink oink oink
The German “Pig Belt” is a highly specialised pig farming region in parts of Lower Saxony and North Rhine-Westphalia, accounting for around 60% of the country's pig population.
#30DayMapChallenge | Day 16 - Cell #rstats #ggplot2
#30DayMapChallenge | Day 16 - Cell #rstats #ggplot2
December 22, 2025 at 3:38 PM
The Revenge of the Places that oink oink oink
Scared of the boring Christmas quiet between the years? Check out cozy discussions featuring stellar researchers on cozy issues like far-right normalization & democratic backsliding in the still-topical No Problem et al podcast by @vikburgi.bsky.social and me. podcasts.apple.com/de/podcast/p...
Political Science? No problem et al.!
Podcast in Sozialwissenschaften · Zweimonatlich · Welcome to
podcasts.apple.com
December 22, 2025 at 10:43 AM
Scared of the boring Christmas quiet between the years? Check out cozy discussions featuring stellar researchers on cozy issues like far-right normalization & democratic backsliding in the still-topical No Problem et al podcast by @vikburgi.bsky.social and me. podcasts.apple.com/de/podcast/p...
Die sinkende Demokratiezufriedenheit hat eine klare Ursache
December 20, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Die sinkende Demokratiezufriedenheit hat eine klare Ursache
Reposted by Julius Kölzer
Vote shares are often used to compare social democratic party success and to decide who to learn from. However, SD parties operate in very different socio-structural contexts. If we e.g. compare today's vote shares with those in the 90s, the Swiss SP stands out as having lost the least votes.
December 19, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Vote shares are often used to compare social democratic party success and to decide who to learn from. However, SD parties operate in very different socio-structural contexts. If we e.g. compare today's vote shares with those in the 90s, the Swiss SP stands out as having lost the least votes.
Reposted by Julius Kölzer
Why do citizens who say they support democracy tolerate leaders who dismantle it? Delighted to share my paper “Framing Democracy: How Elite Discourse Shapes Citizens' Understandings of Democracy and Enables Backsliding” is forthcoming in World Politics...(1/5, link at the end)
December 19, 2025 at 8:11 AM
Why do citizens who say they support democracy tolerate leaders who dismantle it? Delighted to share my paper “Framing Democracy: How Elite Discourse Shapes Citizens' Understandings of Democracy and Enables Backsliding” is forthcoming in World Politics...(1/5, link at the end)
Reposted by Julius Kölzer
This is a fantastic dataset for studying the evolution of political attitudes and party preferences in Germany.
Here's a mosaic plot of vote choices in 2025 by vote choices in 2021 (as reported back then).
One striking observation is the high volatility behind the overall gains of the Left Party.
Here's a mosaic plot of vote choices in 2025 by vote choices in 2021 (as reported back then).
One striking observation is the high volatility behind the overall gains of the Left Party.
December 18, 2025 at 8:46 AM
This is a fantastic dataset for studying the evolution of political attitudes and party preferences in Germany.
Here's a mosaic plot of vote choices in 2025 by vote choices in 2021 (as reported back then).
One striking observation is the high volatility behind the overall gains of the Left Party.
Here's a mosaic plot of vote choices in 2025 by vote choices in 2021 (as reported back then).
One striking observation is the high volatility behind the overall gains of the Left Party.
Reposted by Julius Kölzer
we have 5 positions open at @goetheuni.bsky.social in Frankfurt
- a 4,5 year postdoc in my @erc.europa.eu project on the educational cleavage
- 2 postdoc & 2 PhD positions, 4 years, in a research group on Reconfiguration & Internalization of Social Structure
www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794784/FB0...
- a 4,5 year postdoc in my @erc.europa.eu project on the educational cleavage
- 2 postdoc & 2 PhD positions, 4 years, in a research group on Reconfiguration & Internalization of Social Structure
www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794784/FB0...
Goethe-Universität — FB03 - Gesellschaftswissenschaften
Die Goethe-Universität ist eine forschungsstarke Hochschule in der europäischen Finanzmetropole Frankfurt. Lebendig, urban und weltoffen besitzt sie als Stiftungsuniversität ein einzigartiges Maß an E...
www.uni-frankfurt.de
December 17, 2025 at 10:43 AM
we have 5 positions open at @goetheuni.bsky.social in Frankfurt
- a 4,5 year postdoc in my @erc.europa.eu project on the educational cleavage
- 2 postdoc & 2 PhD positions, 4 years, in a research group on Reconfiguration & Internalization of Social Structure
www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794784/FB0...
- a 4,5 year postdoc in my @erc.europa.eu project on the educational cleavage
- 2 postdoc & 2 PhD positions, 4 years, in a research group on Reconfiguration & Internalization of Social Structure
www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794784/FB0...
Reposted by Julius Kölzer
This is a really interesting paper about the role of knowledge claims in rural resentment and urban-rural divides more broadly.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... cc: @svenhegewald.bsky.social @juliusk.bsky.social @twanhuijsmans.bsky.social @pauruh.bsky.social @rgarciadelhorno.bsky.social
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... cc: @svenhegewald.bsky.social @juliusk.bsky.social @twanhuijsmans.bsky.social @pauruh.bsky.social @rgarciadelhorno.bsky.social
‘They don't know what they're doing.’ Epistemic divides and rural consciousness in Switzerland
Established frameworks of rural resentment help explain right-wing voting behavior and anti-establishment attitudes, but they struggle to account for …
www.sciencedirect.com
December 17, 2025 at 10:50 AM
This is a really interesting paper about the role of knowledge claims in rural resentment and urban-rural divides more broadly.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... cc: @svenhegewald.bsky.social @juliusk.bsky.social @twanhuijsmans.bsky.social @pauruh.bsky.social @rgarciadelhorno.bsky.social
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... cc: @svenhegewald.bsky.social @juliusk.bsky.social @twanhuijsmans.bsky.social @pauruh.bsky.social @rgarciadelhorno.bsky.social
Reposted by Julius Kölzer
In line with the 'credibility revolution', we are thinking about research designs that allow us to get closer to causal effects. Those who use surveys have often turned to survey experiments. At the same time, survey response rates have dropped considerably. Below are the figures for the ESS.
December 16, 2025 at 9:27 AM
In line with the 'credibility revolution', we are thinking about research designs that allow us to get closer to causal effects. Those who use surveys have often turned to survey experiments. At the same time, survey response rates have dropped considerably. Below are the figures for the ESS.
Korrelation ist zwar keine Kausalität – aber seit der letztmaligen Kandidatur der Deutschen Biertrinker-Union bei der sächsischen Landtagswahl 1990 ist die Wahlbeteiligung stark gesunken..
Heute gelernt: "Die Deutsche Biertrinker Union (DBU) war eine Kleinpartei in Deutschland, die sich in der Deutschen Demokratischen Republik kurz vor der Volkskammerwahl 1990 in Rostock gründete und als Spaßpartei bzw. Bierpartei gilt."
de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deutsch...
de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deutsch...
December 15, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Korrelation ist zwar keine Kausalität – aber seit der letztmaligen Kandidatur der Deutschen Biertrinker-Union bei der sächsischen Landtagswahl 1990 ist die Wahlbeteiligung stark gesunken..
Heute gelernt: "Die Deutsche Biertrinker Union (DBU) war eine Kleinpartei in Deutschland, die sich in der Deutschen Demokratischen Republik kurz vor der Volkskammerwahl 1990 in Rostock gründete und als Spaßpartei bzw. Bierpartei gilt."
de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deutsch...
de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deutsch...
December 15, 2025 at 12:35 PM
Heute gelernt: "Die Deutsche Biertrinker Union (DBU) war eine Kleinpartei in Deutschland, die sich in der Deutschen Demokratischen Republik kurz vor der Volkskammerwahl 1990 in Rostock gründete und als Spaßpartei bzw. Bierpartei gilt."
de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deutsch...
de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deutsch...
Reposted by Julius Kölzer
Germany's #farright: normalised, professionalised, and further radicalised. Excellent portrait by @tomnuttall.bsky.social
www.economist.com
December 14, 2025 at 7:20 PM
Germany's #farright: normalised, professionalised, and further radicalised. Excellent portrait by @tomnuttall.bsky.social
Seid ihr heute eher delighted to announce oder eher grateful for the insightful experience
December 13, 2025 at 9:31 AM
Seid ihr heute eher delighted to announce oder eher grateful for the insightful experience
Good piece on the continuing rise of the AfD in The Economist. Also cool to see some findings cited from our paper with @mbayerlein.bsky.social and Anne Metten on far-right support and industrial decline in Germany, published earlier this year.
tinyurl.com/w6v62khz
tinyurl.com/w6v62khz
The Alternative for Germany is the leading party in some German polls
Despite retaining its far-right positions
www.economist.com
December 12, 2025 at 7:17 AM
Good piece on the continuing rise of the AfD in The Economist. Also cool to see some findings cited from our paper with @mbayerlein.bsky.social and Anne Metten on far-right support and industrial decline in Germany, published earlier this year.
tinyurl.com/w6v62khz
tinyurl.com/w6v62khz