Konstantin Bogatyrev
@bogatyrev.bsky.social
- LSE Fellow in political behaviour at @lsegovernment.bsky.social
- PhD from Bocconi (2025)
- working on electoral accountability for illiberals & authoritarians + quant methods
- 🏳️🌈 he/they
https://sites.google.com/view/konstantin-bogatyrev/
- PhD from Bocconi (2025)
- working on electoral accountability for illiberals & authoritarians + quant methods
- 🏳️🌈 he/they
https://sites.google.com/view/konstantin-bogatyrev/
Pinned
New working paper! In this research note, @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social, and I present the first systematic test that causally identifies the electoral consequences of state-sponsored homophobia:
osf.io/preprints/os...
🧵Thread
osf.io/preprints/os...
🧵Thread
🚨Working paper alert🚨 This was the first project I started in my PhD, blessed with amazing co-authors! Glad to finally share our findings. Long story short: even largely symbolic and declarative state-sponsored homophobia can translate into real political behavior 👇
Not hard to make profit margins over 30% if you don't pay people who produce the content you sell, and their employers pay you for access
What is the most profitable industry in the world, this side of the law? Not oil, not IT, not pharma.
It's *scientific publishing*.
We call this the Drain of Scientific Publishing.
Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820
Background: doi.org/10.1162/qss_...
Thread @markhanson.fediscience.org.ap.brid.gy 👇
It's *scientific publishing*.
We call this the Drain of Scientific Publishing.
Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820
Background: doi.org/10.1162/qss_...
Thread @markhanson.fediscience.org.ap.brid.gy 👇
November 13, 2025 at 9:37 PM
Not hard to make profit margins over 30% if you don't pay people who produce the content you sell, and their employers pay you for access
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
This plot is from a different, evil world.
Oh, wait a minute: this is reality. Publishers making like 38% profit margins.
Oh, wait a minute: this is reality. Publishers making like 38% profit margins.
What is the most profitable industry in the world, this side of the law? Not oil, not IT, not pharma.
It's *scientific publishing*.
We call this the Drain of Scientific Publishing.
Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820
Background: doi.org/10.1162/qss_...
Thread @markhanson.fediscience.org.ap.brid.gy 👇
It's *scientific publishing*.
We call this the Drain of Scientific Publishing.
Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820
Background: doi.org/10.1162/qss_...
Thread @markhanson.fediscience.org.ap.brid.gy 👇
November 13, 2025 at 2:37 PM
This plot is from a different, evil world.
Oh, wait a minute: this is reality. Publishers making like 38% profit margins.
Oh, wait a minute: this is reality. Publishers making like 38% profit margins.
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
🚨New working paper: Compositional Effects, Internal Migration and Electoral Outcomes
osf.io/preprints/so...
#polisciresearch
osf.io/preprints/so...
#polisciresearch
November 13, 2025 at 1:13 PM
🚨New working paper: Compositional Effects, Internal Migration and Electoral Outcomes
osf.io/preprints/so...
#polisciresearch
osf.io/preprints/so...
#polisciresearch
If you sign up for Refine to proofread your papers, please use my referral link to create an account: www.refine.ink?ref=ay5ib2dh... That way we both can receive one free technical review!
November 11, 2025 at 1:56 PM
If you sign up for Refine to proofread your papers, please use my referral link to create an account: www.refine.ink?ref=ay5ib2dh... That way we both can receive one free technical review!
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
2500 paper submissions - what a huge success for @epssnet.bsky.social already. Big congratulations to @sarahobolt.bsky.social @simonhix.bsky.social @kenbenoit.bsky.social @macartan.bsky.social & everyone else involved in getting EPSS off the ground.
November 10, 2025 at 9:18 PM
2500 paper submissions - what a huge success for @epssnet.bsky.social already. Big congratulations to @sarahobolt.bsky.social @simonhix.bsky.social @kenbenoit.bsky.social @macartan.bsky.social & everyone else involved in getting EPSS off the ground.
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
🚨 New Version 🚨
The new and extended version of our paper on dealing with spatial unit roots in regressions, now
*forthcoming at the Stata Journal* under a new title!
w/ @essobecker.bsky.social @jvoth.bsky.social
Relevant to anyone who uses spatial data !
Link and more information in🧵(1/n)
The new and extended version of our paper on dealing with spatial unit roots in regressions, now
*forthcoming at the Stata Journal* under a new title!
w/ @essobecker.bsky.social @jvoth.bsky.social
Relevant to anyone who uses spatial data !
Link and more information in🧵(1/n)
November 5, 2025 at 8:35 PM
🚨 New Version 🚨
The new and extended version of our paper on dealing with spatial unit roots in regressions, now
*forthcoming at the Stata Journal* under a new title!
w/ @essobecker.bsky.social @jvoth.bsky.social
Relevant to anyone who uses spatial data !
Link and more information in🧵(1/n)
The new and extended version of our paper on dealing with spatial unit roots in regressions, now
*forthcoming at the Stata Journal* under a new title!
w/ @essobecker.bsky.social @jvoth.bsky.social
Relevant to anyone who uses spatial data !
Link and more information in🧵(1/n)
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
Book workshops are *fantastic.* Whether or not resources are an issue, the Zoom version (2-3 hours) works incredibly well and makes it much easier for participants to attend.
Other book workshop tips 🧵:
Other book workshop tips 🧵:
I wish more schools had money to organize book workshops. I have attended one today that was intellectually so stimulating. As any good book workshop, it will not only make the manuscript that was being discussed better, but it will make the future work of all the participants better.
November 7, 2025 at 10:39 PM
Book workshops are *fantastic.* Whether or not resources are an issue, the Zoom version (2-3 hours) works incredibly well and makes it much easier for participants to attend.
Other book workshop tips 🧵:
Other book workshop tips 🧵:
Maybe we could all “quarantine the morning to read and write” and send non-urgent emails only after lunch? :)
"He protects what he calls his “first-thing” hours: the stretch of morning when thought still moves unfiltered. No meetings before eleven if he can help it, and ideally, no email either."
"He protects what he calls his “first-thing” hours: the stretch of morning when thought still moves unfiltered. No meetings before eleven if he can help it, and ideally, no email either."
Daniel Ziblatt writes the way he studies democracy: with discipline, patience, and a refusal to look away from complexity.
He writes with the conviction that democracy depends on the continuous work of understanding.
🧵
New on Etched in Marble: catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/etched-in-...
He writes with the conviction that democracy depends on the continuous work of understanding.
🧵
New on Etched in Marble: catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/etched-in-...
Etched in Marble: Daniel Ziblatt on Writing, Struggle, and How Democracy Depends on Both
Writers on the Forces That Shape Us and the Writing That Endures
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com
November 6, 2025 at 8:48 AM
Maybe we could all “quarantine the morning to read and write” and send non-urgent emails only after lunch? :)
"He protects what he calls his “first-thing” hours: the stretch of morning when thought still moves unfiltered. No meetings before eleven if he can help it, and ideally, no email either."
"He protects what he calls his “first-thing” hours: the stretch of morning when thought still moves unfiltered. No meetings before eleven if he can help it, and ideally, no email either."
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
Dropping a beta version of this page while everyone is up and processing baseball!
This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
Economics Literature Search
Full-text search across 15,000+ papers from top economics journals and NBER working papers. Track how empirical methods have evolved over time.
paulgp.com
November 2, 2025 at 4:43 AM
Dropping a beta version of this page while everyone is up and processing baseball!
This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
🚨 Important quote: "We put a constraint of max ONE presentation per person. This does not prevent you from being a coauthor on papers that others are presenting".
Please share!: Last week to apply for @epssnet.bsky.social Belfast 2026
really good news is that there's been an amazing response to the call for papers already; now very excited for this meeting
⬇️ We put together a quick FAQ on Qs that have come up on submitting: epssnet.org/conferences/...
really good news is that there's been an amazing response to the call for papers already; now very excited for this meeting
⬇️ We put together a quick FAQ on Qs that have come up on submitting: epssnet.org/conferences/...
EPSS 2026 submissions FAQ - EPSS
Submissions are coming in fast for Belfast 2026 and so are your questions about submissions. Here are answers to the most common questions: Where do I go to submit? For panel submission: https://app.oxfordabstracts.com/events/75765/symposia/create For paper submission: https://app.oxfordabstracts.com/stages/79266/submissions/new? How many papers can I submit? We put a constraint of max one presentation per person. This does …
epssnet.org
November 3, 2025 at 11:53 AM
🚨 Important quote: "We put a constraint of max ONE presentation per person. This does not prevent you from being a coauthor on papers that others are presenting".
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
ANES Data Release! electionstudies.org/data-center/...
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
2016-2020-2024-panel-merged-study - ANES | American National Election Studies
electionstudies.org
November 1, 2025 at 8:47 PM
ANES Data Release! electionstudies.org/data-center/...
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
Can't underscore it more! The deadline is November 7, please apply 👇 epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
November 1, 2025 at 5:08 PM
Can't underscore it more! The deadline is November 7, please apply 👇 epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
Better get your paper submissions in for the @epssnet.bsky.social conference in June 2026, as the deadline is 7 November, and we have no intention of extended that (given the submission numbers)!
epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
epssnet.org
November 1, 2025 at 11:45 AM
Better get your paper submissions in for the @epssnet.bsky.social conference in June 2026, as the deadline is 7 November, and we have no intention of extended that (given the submission numbers)!
epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
New IZA paper by @jangromadzki.bsky.social and @paweladrjan.bsky.social shows anti-LGBTQ resolutions in Poland increased migration intentions. Their findings nicely echo our own (osf.io/preprints/os...) from the same case: even symbolic exclusionary politics can shape people’s choices on the ground.
October 31, 2025 at 6:29 PM
New IZA paper by @jangromadzki.bsky.social and @paweladrjan.bsky.social shows anti-LGBTQ resolutions in Poland increased migration intentions. Their findings nicely echo our own (osf.io/preprints/os...) from the same case: even symbolic exclusionary politics can shape people’s choices on the ground.
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
Dutch election coverage focuses on Wilders' (PVV) loss of parliamentary seats. Fair enough. But if we zoom out, the combined far-right vote share is down just 1.2 percentage points since last time. I plotted some data below:
October 30, 2025 at 10:36 AM
Dutch election coverage focuses on Wilders' (PVV) loss of parliamentary seats. Fair enough. But if we zoom out, the combined far-right vote share is down just 1.2 percentage points since last time. I plotted some data below:
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
The School of Public Policy at the LSE is hiring in political science! Associate or Full.
I was the first political scientist hired by the SPP, come be the second!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
I was the first political scientist hired by the SPP, come be the second!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Full or Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy
Full or Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy,
,
<p style="text-align: center;"><em><span>LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university</span></...
jobs.lse.ac.uk
October 23, 2025 at 1:21 PM
The School of Public Policy at the LSE is hiring in political science! Associate or Full.
I was the first political scientist hired by the SPP, come be the second!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
I was the first political scientist hired by the SPP, come be the second!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
Many studies attribute the success of right-wing parties to sexism.
What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections?
My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
1/7
What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections?
My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
1/7
October 27, 2025 at 7:42 AM
Many studies attribute the success of right-wing parties to sexism.
What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections?
My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
1/7
What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections?
My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
1/7
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
Last week, I successfully defended my PhD in Politics at the University of Oxford.
My dissertation explores how politics permeates the modern workplace, shaping collaboration, corporate communications, and civic engagement.
More about my research here: www.luiscornagobonal.com/research
My dissertation explores how politics permeates the modern workplace, shaping collaboration, corporate communications, and civic engagement.
More about my research here: www.luiscornagobonal.com/research
Luis Cornago Bonal - Research
Working Papers
Do Political Identities Matter at Work? The Politics of Workplace Cooperation (with Francesco Raffaelli) (working paper) Under review
Abstract
Do political identities influence workers'...
www.luiscornagobonal.com
October 28, 2025 at 10:45 AM
Last week, I successfully defended my PhD in Politics at the University of Oxford.
My dissertation explores how politics permeates the modern workplace, shaping collaboration, corporate communications, and civic engagement.
More about my research here: www.luiscornagobonal.com/research
My dissertation explores how politics permeates the modern workplace, shaping collaboration, corporate communications, and civic engagement.
More about my research here: www.luiscornagobonal.com/research
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
Missing here is another way unis are managing costs: a de facto hiring freeze across much of the sector (judging by how few jobs are being advertised)
I’m old enough to remember when everybody agreed that higher education was a “market” and offering “choice” was how the universities were meant to grow
on.ft.com/3WTwBue
on.ft.com/3WTwBue
October 27, 2025 at 8:33 AM
Missing here is another way unis are managing costs: a de facto hiring freeze across much of the sector (judging by how few jobs are being advertised)
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
Very cool experiment on how different fact-checking labels on social media affect on-platform behaviours amongst a sample prone to encounter political misinformation, with important results by @lsegovernment.bsky.social PhD candidate @isoldehegemann.bsky.social 👇
I ran a simulated social media experiment with 1450 Republicans to test different fact-checking interventions.
AI produced the largest decrease in engagement with Trump misinformation, outperforming independent fact-checkers and doing so far more consistently than Community Notes.
AI produced the largest decrease in engagement with Trump misinformation, outperforming independent fact-checkers and doing so far more consistently than Community Notes.
AI fact-checks may be the best way to reduce Republicans’ engagement with online political misinformation finds Isolde Hegemann of @lsegovernment.bsky.social
blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/20...
blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/20...
October 27, 2025 at 10:06 AM
Very cool experiment on how different fact-checking labels on social media affect on-platform behaviours amongst a sample prone to encounter political misinformation, with important results by @lsegovernment.bsky.social PhD candidate @isoldehegemann.bsky.social 👇
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
Very happy to see "The Green Transition and Political Polarization Along Occupational Lines" out in the
@apsrjournal.bsky.social. w/ @erikvoeten.bsky.social and @hannohilbig.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
@apsrjournal.bsky.social. w/ @erikvoeten.bsky.social and @hannohilbig.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
The Green Transition and Political Polarization Along Occupational Lines | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
The Green Transition and Political Polarization Along Occupational Lines
doi.org
October 24, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Very happy to see "The Green Transition and Political Polarization Along Occupational Lines" out in the
@apsrjournal.bsky.social. w/ @erikvoeten.bsky.social and @hannohilbig.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
@apsrjournal.bsky.social. w/ @erikvoeten.bsky.social and @hannohilbig.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
In our new piece at @urbanaffairsreview.bsky.social, @aloysiusod.bsky.social and I try to understand what factors led some municipalities in Poland to implement openly discriminatory policies against LGBTQ+ residents while other, similar municipalities did not. (1/n)
ONLINE FIRST! “When do local governments discriminate?” by @matthewstenberg.bsky.social @aloysiusod.bsky.social
www.urbanaffairsreview.com/uar-archive/...
www.urbanaffairsreview.com/uar-archive/...
When do Local Governments Discriminate? Lessons from the Diffusion of “LGBT Free Zones” in Poland — Urban Affairs Review
There is a long history of municipal governments worldwide passing resolutions, laws, and regulations governing discrimination and anti-discrimination. These cities are increasingly stylized as “human...
www.urbanaffairsreview.com
October 23, 2025 at 8:03 PM
In our new piece at @urbanaffairsreview.bsky.social, @aloysiusod.bsky.social and I try to understand what factors led some municipalities in Poland to implement openly discriminatory policies against LGBTQ+ residents while other, similar municipalities did not. (1/n)
Today at @lsegovernment.bsky.social we are welcoming
@aalrababah.bsky.social to the Political Behaviour Seminar, run by our team with @sarahobolt.bsky.social, @florianfoos.bsky.social & @mathiaspoertner.bsky.social. Ala is presenting new research on the political consequences of the Tour de France👇
@aalrababah.bsky.social to the Political Behaviour Seminar, run by our team with @sarahobolt.bsky.social, @florianfoos.bsky.social & @mathiaspoertner.bsky.social. Ala is presenting new research on the political consequences of the Tour de France👇
🚨 New working paper alert 🚨
Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴♂️🚴♂️🚴♂️
In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...
Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴♂️🚴♂️🚴♂️
In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...
October 23, 2025 at 9:33 AM
Today at @lsegovernment.bsky.social we are welcoming
@aalrababah.bsky.social to the Political Behaviour Seminar, run by our team with @sarahobolt.bsky.social, @florianfoos.bsky.social & @mathiaspoertner.bsky.social. Ala is presenting new research on the political consequences of the Tour de France👇
@aalrababah.bsky.social to the Political Behaviour Seminar, run by our team with @sarahobolt.bsky.social, @florianfoos.bsky.social & @mathiaspoertner.bsky.social. Ala is presenting new research on the political consequences of the Tour de France👇
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
🚨 New LSE job in political science 🚨
We're looking for a *Full or Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy* to join the LSE School of Public Policy
Please share!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
We're looking for a *Full or Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy* to join the LSE School of Public Policy
Please share!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Full or Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy
Full or Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy,
,
<p style="text-align: center;"><em><span>LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university</span></...
jobs.lse.ac.uk
October 22, 2025 at 4:08 PM
🚨 New LSE job in political science 🚨
We're looking for a *Full or Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy* to join the LSE School of Public Policy
Please share!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
We're looking for a *Full or Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy* to join the LSE School of Public Policy
Please share!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Reposted by Konstantin Bogatyrev
New paper: LLMs are increasingly used to label data in political science. But how reliable are these annotations, and what are the consequences for scientific findings? What are best practices? Some new findings from a large empirical evaluation.
Paper: eddieyang.net/research/llm_annotation.pdf
Paper: eddieyang.net/research/llm_annotation.pdf
October 20, 2025 at 1:57 PM
New paper: LLMs are increasingly used to label data in political science. But how reliable are these annotations, and what are the consequences for scientific findings? What are best practices? Some new findings from a large empirical evaluation.
Paper: eddieyang.net/research/llm_annotation.pdf
Paper: eddieyang.net/research/llm_annotation.pdf