Danbischof
@danbischof.bsky.social
danbischof.com
Political Scientist: studying democracy with experiments & data
Professor | University of Münster
Associate Professor | Aarhus University
(he/him | "Sie" als Anrede brauche ich nicht)
Political Scientist: studying democracy with experiments & data
Professor | University of Münster
Associate Professor | Aarhus University
(he/him | "Sie" als Anrede brauche ich nicht)
Reposted by Danbischof
Thrilled about our first DEMNORM paper and that it has been conditionally accepted at @thejop.bsky.social!
🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social):
We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.
Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.
w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social
URL: osf.io/preprints/os...
We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.
Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.
w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social
URL: osf.io/preprints/os...
February 12, 2026 at 1:47 PM
Thrilled about our first DEMNORM paper and that it has been conditionally accepted at @thejop.bsky.social!
🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social):
We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.
Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.
w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social
URL: osf.io/preprints/os...
We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.
Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.
w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social
URL: osf.io/preprints/os...
February 12, 2026 at 1:06 PM
🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social):
We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.
Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.
w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social
URL: osf.io/preprints/os...
We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.
Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.
w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social
URL: osf.io/preprints/os...
German referee proposed to his boyfriend in the stadium.
He was then doxxed and beaten up at his home.
www.watson.ch/leben/deutsc...
He was then doxxed and beaten up at his home.
www.watson.ch/leben/deutsc...
Er machte seinem Freund im Fussballstadion einen Heiratsantrag – dann verprügeln ihn Fans
Ein deutscher Schiedsrichter machte seinem Freund im vollen Fussballstadion einen Heiratsantrag – nach Drohungen gegen ihn wurde er nun von tätlich angegangen.
www.watson.ch
February 9, 2026 at 11:04 AM
German referee proposed to his boyfriend in the stadium.
He was then doxxed and beaten up at his home.
www.watson.ch/leben/deutsc...
He was then doxxed and beaten up at his home.
www.watson.ch/leben/deutsc...
Well, ok. Thanks Harvard dataverse.
February 4, 2026 at 9:19 PM
Well, ok. Thanks Harvard dataverse.
Reposted by Danbischof
New preprint! So, what's a multiverse analysis good for anyway?>
With @jessicahullman.bsky.social and @statmodeling.bsky.social
juliarohrer.com/wp-content/u...
With @jessicahullman.bsky.social and @statmodeling.bsky.social
juliarohrer.com/wp-content/u...
February 4, 2026 at 10:24 AM
New preprint! So, what's a multiverse analysis good for anyway?>
With @jessicahullman.bsky.social and @statmodeling.bsky.social
juliarohrer.com/wp-content/u...
With @jessicahullman.bsky.social and @statmodeling.bsky.social
juliarohrer.com/wp-content/u...
Reposted by Danbischof
February 3, 2026 at 1:21 PM
Reposted by Danbischof
@chflachsland.bsky.social and I are looking for an RA -- please share widely!
February 3, 2026 at 7:23 PM
@chflachsland.bsky.social and I are looking for an RA -- please share widely!
Reposted by Danbischof
Hive minds: I'm looking for working papers recommendations on the politics of deforestation. THANKS.
February 3, 2026 at 7:27 PM
Hive minds: I'm looking for working papers recommendations on the politics of deforestation. THANKS.
Reposted by Danbischof
🧵 New version of our paper (@bcegerod.bsky.social) is finally online: "How Many is Enough? Sample Size in Staggered Difference-in-Differences Designs"
We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large
Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6
We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large
Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6
February 3, 2026 at 2:46 PM
🧵 New version of our paper (@bcegerod.bsky.social) is finally online: "How Many is Enough? Sample Size in Staggered Difference-in-Differences Designs"
We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large
Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6
We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large
Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6
I didn't expect that the first tweet ever - including my twitter life - which I needed to restrict access to is one about how fast AI can deliver a task.
Unexpected to say the least.
Unexpected to say the least.
February 3, 2026 at 2:42 PM
I didn't expect that the first tweet ever - including my twitter life - which I needed to restrict access to is one about how fast AI can deliver a task.
Unexpected to say the least.
Unexpected to say the least.
Given the reactions to this it seems necessary to state something quite obvious: Neither is this AI promotion nor is this a call for scientists to simple "use" whatever Claude coworker provides you with.
I wanted to know what Claude coworker is able to do. This is hours of work done in 2 minutes.
I wanted to know what Claude coworker is able to do. This is hours of work done in 2 minutes.
If you haven't done yet, please try Claude Coworker just to get an idea about its capabilities.
It took 2 minutes for it to read our paper, provide perfectly running R-code to justify a case selection across 14 countries using Vdem. Produced a 10 pager underlining our case selection.
It took 2 minutes for it to read our paper, provide perfectly running R-code to justify a case selection across 14 countries using Vdem. Produced a 10 pager underlining our case selection.
February 3, 2026 at 8:40 AM
Given the reactions to this it seems necessary to state something quite obvious: Neither is this AI promotion nor is this a call for scientists to simple "use" whatever Claude coworker provides you with.
I wanted to know what Claude coworker is able to do. This is hours of work done in 2 minutes.
I wanted to know what Claude coworker is able to do. This is hours of work done in 2 minutes.
If you haven't done yet, please try Claude Coworker just to get an idea about its capabilities.
It took 2 minutes for it to read our paper, provide perfectly running R-code to justify a case selection across 14 countries using Vdem. Produced a 10 pager underlining our case selection.
It took 2 minutes for it to read our paper, provide perfectly running R-code to justify a case selection across 14 countries using Vdem. Produced a 10 pager underlining our case selection.
February 2, 2026 at 7:10 PM
If you haven't done yet, please try Claude Coworker just to get an idea about its capabilities.
It took 2 minutes for it to read our paper, provide perfectly running R-code to justify a case selection across 14 countries using Vdem. Produced a 10 pager underlining our case selection.
It took 2 minutes for it to read our paper, provide perfectly running R-code to justify a case selection across 14 countries using Vdem. Produced a 10 pager underlining our case selection.
Das Kernproblem für Merz und die Union beim "Anpacken für die Wirtschaft" ist: Wenn es nicht klappt, wer ist dann schuld? Haben die "Bürger" dann nicht hart genug angepackt?
Rein strategisch ist das ein markanter Fehler, der im Grunde nur zu noch mehr Backlash gegen „die Eliten“ führen muss.
Rein strategisch ist das ein markanter Fehler, der im Grunde nur zu noch mehr Backlash gegen „die Eliten“ führen muss.
February 2, 2026 at 4:33 PM
Das Kernproblem für Merz und die Union beim "Anpacken für die Wirtschaft" ist: Wenn es nicht klappt, wer ist dann schuld? Haben die "Bürger" dann nicht hart genug angepackt?
Rein strategisch ist das ein markanter Fehler, der im Grunde nur zu noch mehr Backlash gegen „die Eliten“ führen muss.
Rein strategisch ist das ein markanter Fehler, der im Grunde nur zu noch mehr Backlash gegen „die Eliten“ führen muss.
Nice to see this shown empirically. I suppose many colleagues had this prior. Spot on.
Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships.
osf.io/preprints/so...
1/15
osf.io/preprints/so...
1/15
February 2, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Nice to see this shown empirically. I suppose many colleagues had this prior. Spot on.
Reposted by Danbischof
Die Reformdiagnose des CDU-#Wirtschaftsrat ist richtig – seine Vorschläge sind es in weiten Teilen nicht.
Meine Einordnung:
Meine Einordnung:
February 2, 2026 at 2:14 PM
Die Reformdiagnose des CDU-#Wirtschaftsrat ist richtig – seine Vorschläge sind es in weiten Teilen nicht.
Meine Einordnung:
Meine Einordnung:
Reposted by Danbischof
🚨 Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim 🚨
7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers.
Free of charge (limited travel support).
Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org
#methodsky #polisky
7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers.
Free of charge (limited travel support).
Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org
#methodsky #polisky
February 2, 2026 at 1:13 PM
🚨 Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim 🚨
7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers.
Free of charge (limited travel support).
Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org
#methodsky #polisky
7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers.
Free of charge (limited travel support).
Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org
#methodsky #polisky
Reposted by Danbischof
Die Ächtung der AfD wirkt noch immer. Trotz der hohen Umfragewerte bekennen sich kaum Prominente zu ihr. Sie hat nur wenige kompetente oder charismatische und keine kompetenten und charismatischen Leute in ihren Reihen. Kaum ein*e Politiker*in wechselt zu ihr.
Das ist viel wert.
Also: Keep it up!
Das ist viel wert.
Also: Keep it up!
February 1, 2026 at 1:18 PM
Die Ächtung der AfD wirkt noch immer. Trotz der hohen Umfragewerte bekennen sich kaum Prominente zu ihr. Sie hat nur wenige kompetente oder charismatische und keine kompetenten und charismatischen Leute in ihren Reihen. Kaum ein*e Politiker*in wechselt zu ihr.
Das ist viel wert.
Also: Keep it up!
Das ist viel wert.
Also: Keep it up!
Reposted by Danbischof
Great to see "The Way Back After Backsliding: Public Opinion and the Restoration of Democracy" with @robbwiller.bsky.social and @m-b-petersen.bsky.social out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
The Way Back After Backsliding: Public Opinion and the Restoration of Democracy - Kristian Frederiksen, Robb Willer, Michael Bang Petersen, 2026
Abundant prior research has analyzed the mass public’s role in democratic backsliding. Comparatively little research has studied democratic restoration, the reh...
journals.sagepub.com
February 1, 2026 at 9:10 AM
Great to see "The Way Back After Backsliding: Public Opinion and the Restoration of Democracy" with @robbwiller.bsky.social and @m-b-petersen.bsky.social out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Reposted by Danbischof
🚨Job alert 🚨
I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026.
If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026.
📤 Please share widely!
www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...
I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026.
If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026.
📤 Please share widely!
www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...
Offene Stellen / Open Positions
www.ipz.uzh.ch
January 31, 2026 at 9:26 PM
🚨Job alert 🚨
I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026.
If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026.
📤 Please share widely!
www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...
I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026.
If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026.
📤 Please share widely!
www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...
Reposted by Danbischof
Going forward from today, I’ll stop publishing and just repost this meme regularly #AcademicWriting #farright #radicalright
January 27, 2026 at 7:50 AM
Going forward from today, I’ll stop publishing and just repost this meme regularly #AcademicWriting #farright #radicalright
And nobody seems to care: 39 German cinemas sold 159 tickets for the premier. Roughly 4! tickets in each cinema.
www.zeit.de/kultur/film/...
www.zeit.de/kultur/film/...
January 31, 2026 at 4:00 PM
And nobody seems to care: 39 German cinemas sold 159 tickets for the premier. Roughly 4! tickets in each cinema.
www.zeit.de/kultur/film/...
www.zeit.de/kultur/film/...
Reposted by Danbischof
This is Nathan Wolfe. Nathan is a virus hunter. Nathan has a bit of a reputation. Through the years, I've told multiple journalists stories I've heard, like "Nathan thanks Jeffrey Epstein in his book." Somehow no one ever wrote anything up. Want to see what Nathan was up to in today's Epstein files?
January 31, 2026 at 12:03 AM
This is Nathan Wolfe. Nathan is a virus hunter. Nathan has a bit of a reputation. Through the years, I've told multiple journalists stories I've heard, like "Nathan thanks Jeffrey Epstein in his book." Somehow no one ever wrote anything up. Want to see what Nathan was up to in today's Epstein files?
Good the Dems didn’t go for a shutdown. So glad for these warehouses to soon be full of illegals.
January 31, 2026 at 1:01 PM
Good the Dems didn’t go for a shutdown. So glad for these warehouses to soon be full of illegals.
Reposted by Danbischof
Matt Goodwin and the end of England: How one man's career explains our public life iandunt.substack.com/p/matt-goodw...
Matt Goodwin and the end of England
How one man's career explains our public life.
iandunt.substack.com
January 30, 2026 at 12:10 PM
Matt Goodwin and the end of England: How one man's career explains our public life iandunt.substack.com/p/matt-goodw...