Guy Grossman
guygrossman.bsky.social
Guy Grossman
@guygrossman.bsky.social

Political science professor at UPenn, studying migration and forced displacement, human trafficking, and poor governance. Co-director of the Penn Development Research Initiative (PDRI-DevLab). Website: https://guygrossman.com .. more

Political science 41%
Sociology 23%
Pinned
Rob Blair (@robertblair.bsky.social), Anna Wilke (@awilke.bsky.social), and I have a new draft of our paper "Can Community Policing Improve Police-Community Relations in a Low-Income Country Setting?"

Comments are welcome:
osf.io/preprints/os...
OSF
osf.io

New national representative survey from Israel. When asked about their preferred option for the future of the West Bank, Jewish respondents:

- 41% support annexing
- 27% signing an agreement with the PA
- 17% "keeping things as they are"
= 15% don't know

www.idi.org.il/articles/62060
סקר אוקטובר 2025: רוב גדול בציבור סבורים שמרבית העקרונות לסיום המלחמה שעליהם הכריז נתניהו טרם מומשו
44% מהישראלים סבורים שהממשל האמריקני הוא הגורם המשפיע יותר על החלטות ביטחוניות הנוגעות לישראל, כמעט כפול משיעור הסבורים שזו ממשלת ישראל (23%). 41% בציבור היהודי תומכים בסיפוח יהודה ושומרון/הגדה המערבי...
www.idi.org.il

There’s an asymmetry between the GOP and the democrtic party that complicates shutdown politics: one party is *much* more indifferent to inflicting real pain on people.

yes, help me to subvert democracy, and I'll make sure there will be no legal consequences for you.

though - this will not apply to the 2028 elections.

it's shameful even if symbolic. part of revisionist history.

shameful.
NEW: Donald Trump has pardoned a long list of allies in his bid to subvert the 2020 election including:

-Rudy Giuliani
-John Eastman
-Mark Meadows
-Sidney Powell
-Ken Chesebro
-Christina Bobb
-Kelli Ward
-Jenna Ellis

www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
NEW: Donald Trump has pardoned a long list of allies in his bid to subvert the 2020 election including:

-Rudy Giuliani
-John Eastman
-Mark Meadows
-Sidney Powell
-Ken Chesebro
-Christina Bobb
-Kelli Ward
-Jenna Ellis

www.politico.com/news/2025/11...

To cover for others. The 8 are either retiring , up only in 2030, or ones who know they are not running again (like Fetterman)

That the MSM didn’t report about the pending premium hikes until the democrats made it core to their decision to shut down the government. They made the issue salient.

Ben - thanks for engaging and for your service! Btw - I didn’t write that I support ending the shutdown; only that I see the logic. I think the choice was harder than some people here seem to acknowledge.

In that case, democrats will have the upper had shutting down the gov again in 6 months.

Mmm. Sorry , that’s not what I wrote. Two things can be true: (1h the Media is not doing a good job covering Trump and (2). it still reports critically on his bad unpopular policies such as tariffs and BBB. Also - why the need to curse those you disagree with?

Well; we seem to agree on that. But- if the GOP insist to kill the ACA and would not negotiate on extending the subsidies, at what point do democrats agree to open the government? Never?

Well, we agree on that. 100%. All I wrote is that they are more likely to report now on the rising premiums and tie it to BBB and the shutdown.

I disagree with the premise that the mainstream media is not reporting critically on Trump’s failed policies. Do I get mad at the NYT, NPR and WSJ every day? Sure. But it doesn’t mean thy don’t report critically on Trump’s policies. They do. More than people here see to assume.

Nope. The evidence that the media is covering now the health insurance hikes is strong. But sure, nice to engage in civil exchange of ideas on hard choices.

Thanks, Ryan. I’m not saying that ending the shutdown is the correct move; only that I see the logic. But yeah - I expect to be cursed and ridiculed.

Fair enough. Though it’s hard to predict how the blame game plays out in the longer term. Thanks for engaging!

I understand he anger of the base, but I also understand why some senators want to end the shutdown.

Dems could not keep the government shut forever, because what goes around comes around, and we don't want republicans to keep a Prizker (or whoever) dem administration shutdown forever. This was never going to last forever.

Just as important, Trump and the GOP showed disgusting cruelty, for example, fighting tooth and nail in the courts to take away SNAP benefits from some of the most marginalized members of society. While MAGA loyalists don't care -- normie independents do.

Democrats made the rising health insurance premiums politically salient. When these premium hikes hit, the media will be more likely to cover it now, and remind voters that this is because of the BBB and Trump's refusal to spend on extending the ACA subsidies (38b) less than he sent to Argentina

Reposted by Steven S. Taylor

I will probably get excommunicated from Bsky for saying that, but I can see a case for ending the shutdown now.

- Millions of civil servants did not get a salary for over a month, and millions are losing SNAP going into the holiday season.

- But, just as important...

And it will super dumb politically to primary Ossoff who is popular in purple GA.

If you shrug off Nick Fuentes as nothingburger, it's hard to take you seriously when you slam universities for not fighting antisemitism hard enough.

This stance would at least make some political sense if republicans put forward a workable plan to replace the AcA. (Rather than a concept of a plan).

She’s national treasure. Also more principled than most politicians: did not run away from the HIV epidemic, voted against the Iraq war, etc.

“Democrats are good at policy but republicans are better at politics” is an old mantra. The politically disastrous way the GOP is handling the shutdown may require us to update.

Good to see Shapiro angry about SNAP tearing into Vance.

youtu.be/EuF42zkIYeE
Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro rips JD Vance over SNAP legal battle | Calls his politics BS
YouTube video by wgaltv
youtu.be

The whole white farmer genocide is just not a thing. It’s just made up shit.

Reposted by Guy Grossman

President Trump says that U.S. government officials will not be attending the Group of 20 summit this year in South Africa, citing the country’s treatment of white farmers.
Trump says US to boycott G20 in South Africa, repeating allegations about treatment of white farmers
President Donald Trump says no U.S. government officials will be attending the Group of 20 summit this year in South Africa, citing the country’s treatment of white farmers.
bit.ly