Greg Linden
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glinden.bsky.social
Greg Linden
@glinden.bsky.social

an internet relic, linkedin.com/in/glinden

Business 56%
Economics 33%
BURRY won’t let up — now arguing that Oracle and Meta are overstating earnings by understating depreciation:

“.. By 2028, $ORCL will overstate earnings 26.9%, $META by 20.8%, etc.”
Breaking News: Two MLB pitchers, Emmanuel Clase and Luis Ortiz of the Cleveland Guardians, were charged with sharing inside information about their pitches with sports bettors.
2 MLB Pitchers Are Charged in Gambling Investigation
Emmanuel Clase and Luis Ortiz, pitchers for the Cleveland Guardians, were charged with sharing inside information about their pitches with bettors. Mr. Ortiz was arrested Sunday.
nyti.ms
I often think about how the government hounded Aaron Swartz to death for scraping Jstor, yet all these AI companies scraped almost literally all of human knowledge (and continue to do so even when they're told to stop) and have had no criminal consequences.
Just going to be an incredible decision if SCOTUS says they needed to make an emergency intervention because of the risk that poor people might get food they are legally entitled to
The Trump administration tells the Supreme Court it can’t be compelled to fully fund SNAP because paying out the money would “irreparably harm” the government, while SNAP beneficiaries … *won’t* be irreparably harmed by going hungry? The balance of equities here is completely upside down.
In the 2000s, just ten percent of Americans believed the government was doing a poor job on economic policy. Today, that's 64%, higher than at any point in our history, beating the oil shocks, wage and price controls, the great inflation, any major recession, financial crisis or pandemic.
ICYMI: Microsoft’s charge “implies a more than $12 billion quarterly loss at OpenAI, said Firoz Valliji, an analyst at Bernstein.”

That “would mark one of the largest single-quarter losses for a tech company in history.”

@jessefelder.bsky.social $MSFT
www.wsj.com/livecoverage...

Reposted by Greg Linden

“Democrats need charismatic young candidates who understand today’s fractured information ecosystem and know how to inspire hope in those who feel deeply disaffected. And to run candidates like that, older ones must make way.” www.nytimes.com/2025/11/07/o...
Opinion | Pelosi Is Retiring. Good.
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Greg Linden

"it's a symptom of a deep and abiding dysfunction that Republicans, despite holding the presidency, the Senate and the House, can't fund the government and can't even get themselves to get together in a room to strike a deal."
I admire his honesty in this case but I do not love it when the president's closest economic adviser fails to predict the massive negative impact of the administration's policy choices
White House economic ‌adviser Kevin Hassett tells Fox Business that the impact of the government shutdown is far ​worse than expected.
Latest consumer sentiment data are abysmal. Well abysmal for everyone except those who own a lot of stocks (so, wealthier people) www.sca.isr.umich.edu

Reposted by Greg Linden

could he "sell" robots to SpaceX for instance?

Reposted by Greg Linden

I need to dig into the precise wording of the package, but without profitability requirements for those robots, robotaxis, and even FSD subscriptions, Musk could just pump the stock, hit those goals in totally unprofitable ways, cash out, and leave the burning bag of shit in shareholders hands.

Reposted by Greg Linden

When the markets start questioning if a bubble exists that means a few things:

—the bubble does exist
—the collapse is underway
—it will happen much more quickly than you expect
US markets tumble amid Wall Street concern over job losses and AI
S&P 500 down 1.1% and Nasdaq down 1.9% as hiring freezes and layoffs sharpen fears US economy is slowing
www.theguardian.com
A fun question. In 5 years time, what looks better? The US’s enormous bet & capex on AI? Or China’s equally enormous bet and capex on renewables?
China has made cheap, clean energy available in huge quantities. The world should take the win econ.st/4oqFszB

Photo: Eyevine
China has made cheap, clean energy available in huge quantities. The world should take the win econ.st/4oqFszB

Photo: Eyevine
When fines are treated by companies as a cost of doing business, the regulatory model itself has failed. #regulatorycapture
When deception’s more profitable than honesty, users lose.

Internal documents suggest that Meta earns $3.5B(!) every 6 mo. from scam ads, revealing a deeper systemic problem: the economic incentive to tolerate “higher legal risk” content still outweighs any penalty. www.reuters.com/investigatio...
Meta is earning a fortune on a deluge of fraudulent ads, documents show
Meta projected 10% of its 2024 revenue would come from ads for scams and banned goods, and it internally estimates that its platforms show users 15 billion scam ads a day, company documents show.
www.reuters.com
There are no words for how evil this is
Combating this lie is tiresome.

But it’s worth pointing out that RBOB gasoline today hit its highest level since September. ⛽️
Trump: "I don't want to hear about the affordability, because right now we're much less. If you look at energy, we're getting close to $2 a gallon gasoline."
This goes so far beyond creepy.

“‘Rest easy, king,’ read the final message sent to his phone. ‘You did good.’”
ChatGPT encouraged college graduate to commit suicide, family claims in lawsuit against OpenAI | CNN
A 23-year-old man killed himself in Texas after ChatGPT ‘goaded’ him to commit suicide, his family says in a lawsuit.
www.cnn.com

Reposted by Greg Linden

This week was the Trump regime taking loss after loss after loss. Just a steady stream of humiliation.

I don't have anything to add, I just wanted to remind you.
Steve Bannon: If we lose the midterms and we lose 2028, some in this room are going to prison, myself included.

Reposted by Greg Linden

Also - and I'm not clear if this is what happened - if Schwab changed its vote not based on the preferences of investors in the relevant funds, but based on the preferences of other clients, that seems to be clearly a violation of fiduciary duty. The SEC once settled an enforcement action -
HAPPENING NOW: Judge McConnell is sharply rebuking the Trump administration for what he said was defying his order to make full SNAP payments by Nov. 5. He has ordered USDA to make the *full* payment to states by tomorrow.

Regulators have no idea how to regulate social media, search, or news, but they do know how to regulate ads. Very few free speech issues too, ads are easy. Even just enforcing existing ad regulations with bigger fines would fix a lot of the bad incentives that exist right now.

Yet more evidence that the best way to improve social media and the information environment is to increase the fines for scammy ads. Ads fund the scams. It's where the money is. Go after scammy ads and you'll change all incentives, fixing many of the problems we see online.
Meta earns $3.5 billion every six months from showing Faceboon and Instagram users 15 billion “higher legal risk” scam ad impressions a day, internal documents state.

That haul vastly exceeds how much the company expects regulators
To fine it for running scam ads.

www.reuters.com/investigatio...
www.reuters.com
Meet the 37 private donors for Trump’s ballroom—many of whom have ongoing governmental contracts or regulatory cases.

It sure looks like their multi-million dollar donations are a way to curry favor.
Meet all 37 White House ballroom donors funding the $300 million build, including Silicon Valley tech giants, crypto bros and the Lutnicks | Fortune
The list, reviewed by Fortune, did not mention specific dollar amounts offered by each contributor.
fortune.com

Reposted by Greg Linden

@damonberes.com wrote a real barnburner this week, on what we are permitting the AI chatbot industry to do to us all.

www.theatlantic.com/magazine/202...
The Age of Anti-Social Media Is Here
The social-media era is over. What’s coming will be much worse.
www.theatlantic.com
New: Conde Nast fired four employees who were among a group that confronted the company's head of human resources on Wednesday over the decision to fold Teen Vogue into Vogue/recent cuts. Employees who were fired included journalists from the New Yorker, Wired, and Bon Appétit.