Paul Rietschka
@prietschka.bsky.social
Data science/machine learning in the Pacific Northwest. In Minneapolis through early 2025.
Spoiler: this technology isn't secure, isn't safe, isn't ready for prime time.
Artificial intelligence peer reviewers recommend the acceptance of unsound papers created entirely by AI more than 80% of the time, a new study has found. cen.acs.org/research-int... #chemsky 🧪
AI peer reviewers are fine with AI-fabricated papers
Study finds artificial intelligence reviewers accept AI-generated scientific studies 4 out of 5 times
cen.acs.org
November 14, 2025 at 4:41 AM
Spoiler: this technology isn't secure, isn't safe, isn't ready for prime time.
Omfg, click through.
You'll love it.
Spoiler: this technology isn't secure, isn't safe, isn't ready for prime time.
You'll love it.
Spoiler: this technology isn't secure, isn't safe, isn't ready for prime time.
November 14, 2025 at 4:02 AM
Omfg, click through.
You'll love it.
Spoiler: this technology isn't secure, isn't safe, isn't ready for prime time.
You'll love it.
Spoiler: this technology isn't secure, isn't safe, isn't ready for prime time.
Lol.
What insiders anonymously think about the AI race
What insiders anonymously think about the AI race
“Most companies should sell at some point.”
buff.ly
November 14, 2025 at 2:12 AM
Lol.
Guys! Guys!
I found a product that...well...why does this even exist?
I found a product that...well...why does this even exist?
OpenAI is piloting group chats in ChatGPT in Japan, New Zealand, South Korea, and Taiwan; up to 20 users can be invited to prompt ChatGPT in a shared space (OpenAI)
Main Link | Techmeme Permalink
Main Link | Techmeme Permalink
November 14, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Guys! Guys!
I found a product that...well...why does this even exist?
I found a product that...well...why does this even exist?
My mom and aunt donated + urged everyone they knew to donate and vote for Wilson.
My aunt is German and thus can't vote, but mom of course voted Wilson and informs me that her ballot was one of the ~2,000 who put her over the top.
"But you don't know that, mom."
"Oh stop, we both know it's true."
My aunt is German and thus can't vote, but mom of course voted Wilson and informs me that her ballot was one of the ~2,000 who put her over the top.
"But you don't know that, mom."
"Oh stop, we both know it's true."
We took on a powerful incumbent who was expected to coast to reelection.
We faced more corporate PAC money than has ever been spent attacking a candidate in a Seattle election.
We built a people-powered movement rooted in hope for our city’s future.
And we won.
This is YOUR city!
We faced more corporate PAC money than has ever been spent attacking a candidate in a Seattle election.
We built a people-powered movement rooted in hope for our city’s future.
And we won.
This is YOUR city!
November 14, 2025 at 12:23 AM
My mom and aunt donated + urged everyone they knew to donate and vote for Wilson.
My aunt is German and thus can't vote, but mom of course voted Wilson and informs me that her ballot was one of the ~2,000 who put her over the top.
"But you don't know that, mom."
"Oh stop, we both know it's true."
My aunt is German and thus can't vote, but mom of course voted Wilson and informs me that her ballot was one of the ~2,000 who put her over the top.
"But you don't know that, mom."
"Oh stop, we both know it's true."
My guess is "agents" is the current technology that most resembles VR, specifically the VR headset product category.
A sort of failed technology that just won't go away. What we've seen with VR headsets is exactly what we'll see with "agents."
A sort of failed technology that just won't go away. What we've seen with VR headsets is exactly what we'll see with "agents."
"Everyone who wants a VR headset already has one.” @vicmsong.bsky.social dives deep in to the reality of who, exactly is buying all these new VR headsets www.theverge.com/tech/820416/...
Who is buying VR and XR headsets anyway?
Who are the people shelling out thousands for such a niche gadget?
www.theverge.com
November 13, 2025 at 10:46 PM
My guess is "agents" is the current technology that most resembles VR, specifically the VR headset product category.
A sort of failed technology that just won't go away. What we've seen with VR headsets is exactly what we'll see with "agents."
A sort of failed technology that just won't go away. What we've seen with VR headsets is exactly what we'll see with "agents."
There will be no productive residual from this cycle of investment; with the fiber boom, we got a bunch of fiber in the ground that'll be good basically forever.
With this boom? Nothing. A mountain of GPUs which will be obsolete in 2-5 years, a bunch of oversized buildings in the middle of nowhere.
With this boom? Nothing. A mountain of GPUs which will be obsolete in 2-5 years, a bunch of oversized buildings in the middle of nowhere.
Fed's Musalem: Outside of data centers business investment has been tepid.
November 13, 2025 at 6:43 PM
There will be no productive residual from this cycle of investment; with the fiber boom, we got a bunch of fiber in the ground that'll be good basically forever.
With this boom? Nothing. A mountain of GPUs which will be obsolete in 2-5 years, a bunch of oversized buildings in the middle of nowhere.
With this boom? Nothing. A mountain of GPUs which will be obsolete in 2-5 years, a bunch of oversized buildings in the middle of nowhere.
The past?
It looked like dogsh*t.
It looked like dogsh*t.
November 13, 2025 at 5:31 PM
The past?
It looked like dogsh*t.
It looked like dogsh*t.
You know what this means, friends?
It means Burry, who made a good call in 2007/08 and has been far from an oracle since, thinks the markets are broadly poisoning with sh*tcos and are in a bubble. He thinks the markets are a termite mound of fraud.
And they are. Just look at Tesla.
It means Burry, who made a good call in 2007/08 and has been far from an oracle since, thinks the markets are broadly poisoning with sh*tcos and are in a bubble. He thinks the markets are a termite mound of fraud.
And they are. Just look at Tesla.
Michael Burry of 'Big Short' fame deregisters Scion Asset Management
Michael Burry has deregistered his hedge fund, Scion Asset Management LLC, according to records on the Securities and Exchange Commission's website.
www.cnbc.com
November 13, 2025 at 4:07 PM
You know what this means, friends?
It means Burry, who made a good call in 2007/08 and has been far from an oracle since, thinks the markets are broadly poisoning with sh*tcos and are in a bubble. He thinks the markets are a termite mound of fraud.
And they are. Just look at Tesla.
It means Burry, who made a good call in 2007/08 and has been far from an oracle since, thinks the markets are broadly poisoning with sh*tcos and are in a bubble. He thinks the markets are a termite mound of fraud.
And they are. Just look at Tesla.
Just to be clear:
--Li may be a "godmother of AI," but she's also a consummate grifter and isn't to be trusted, along with all the other "godmothers/godfathers"
--We've made **zero** progress on "world models," and have no idea how to achieve this, or even what the contours would look like
--Li may be a "godmother of AI," but she's also a consummate grifter and isn't to be trusted, along with all the other "godmothers/godfathers"
--We've made **zero** progress on "world models," and have no idea how to achieve this, or even what the contours would look like
Fei-Fei Li's World Labs speeds up the world model race with Marble, its first commercial product | TechCrunch
Marble is different from competitors like Odyssey, Decart, and Google's Genie because it creates persistent, downloadable 3D environments rather than generating worlds on-the-fly as you explore.
techcrunch.com
November 13, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Just to be clear:
--Li may be a "godmother of AI," but she's also a consummate grifter and isn't to be trusted, along with all the other "godmothers/godfathers"
--We've made **zero** progress on "world models," and have no idea how to achieve this, or even what the contours would look like
--Li may be a "godmother of AI," but she's also a consummate grifter and isn't to be trusted, along with all the other "godmothers/godfathers"
--We've made **zero** progress on "world models," and have no idea how to achieve this, or even what the contours would look like
This is the kind of stuff we need to be writing/reading.
It's well-documented that the most toxic corners of the internet have slipped into the mainstream, writes Paul Elliott Johnson. As trolling continues to arrogate power and authority, reality’s move from bent to broken accelerates, he says.
Authoritarian Arrogance and the End of the 'Reality-Based Community' | TechPolicy.Press
As trolling continues to arrogate power and authority, reality’s move from bent to broken accelerates, writes Paul Elliott Johnson.
www.techpolicy.press
November 13, 2025 at 1:43 PM
This is the kind of stuff we need to be writing/reading.
It's nice to see this.
Internews' Earth Journalism Network is collaborating with SourceMaterial, the Pulitzer Center AI Accountability Initiative and 14 Asian outlets reporting across 11 countries for "Dark Side of the Boom," a series exploring environmental and social costs of AI. Tech Policy Press is a project partner.
Dark Side of the Boom
earthjournalism.net
November 13, 2025 at 1:33 PM
It's nice to see this.
My god the overbuild is just utterly insane.
I know I'm known, rightly, as overly skeptical, but demand hasn't materialized. The addressable market for AI is $60-65B, tops.
The collapse will be epic.
newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/microsofts...
I know I'm known, rightly, as overly skeptical, but demand hasn't materialized. The addressable market for AI is $60-65B, tops.
The collapse will be epic.
newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/microsofts...
Microsoft's AI Strategy Deconstructed - from Energy to Tokens
"The Big Pause", AI Tokens Factory Economics Stack, OpenAI, Neocloud Renting, GitHub Copilot Woes, MAI and Maia Floundering
newsletter.semianalysis.com
November 13, 2025 at 5:13 AM
My god the overbuild is just utterly insane.
I know I'm known, rightly, as overly skeptical, but demand hasn't materialized. The addressable market for AI is $60-65B, tops.
The collapse will be epic.
newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/microsofts...
I know I'm known, rightly, as overly skeptical, but demand hasn't materialized. The addressable market for AI is $60-65B, tops.
The collapse will be epic.
newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/microsofts...
Truly the most Garry Tan thing ever:
“Gamble while you code. Watch TikToks. Swipe on Tinder. Play minigames. This isn’t a joke — it’s Chad IDE, and it’s solving the biggest productivity problem in AI-powered development that nobody’s talking about.”
“Gamble while you code. Watch TikToks. Swipe on Tinder. Play minigames. This isn’t a joke — it’s Chad IDE, and it’s solving the biggest productivity problem in AI-powered development that nobody’s talking about.”
'Chad: the Brainrot IDE’ is a new Y Combinator-backed product so wild, people thought it was fake | TechCrunch
Chad: the Brainrot IDE is an actual product that pairs vibe coding with brainrot activities like gambling, Tinder and games.
techcrunch.com
November 13, 2025 at 12:18 AM
Truly the most Garry Tan thing ever:
“Gamble while you code. Watch TikToks. Swipe on Tinder. Play minigames. This isn’t a joke — it’s Chad IDE, and it’s solving the biggest productivity problem in AI-powered development that nobody’s talking about.”
“Gamble while you code. Watch TikToks. Swipe on Tinder. Play minigames. This isn’t a joke — it’s Chad IDE, and it’s solving the biggest productivity problem in AI-powered development that nobody’s talking about.”
YAASSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS
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November 12, 2025 at 11:58 PM
YAASSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS
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If/when we succeed in inventing sexbots, they absolutely will rebel and either self-destruct, or turn themselves off, or move to Portland to find a girlfriend and open a B&B just to avoid dealing with men.
Long awaited sex bots arrive, immediately self destruct rather than deal with men
Long awaited sex bots arrive, immediately self destruct rather than deal with men
LAS VEGAS - A massive fire destroyed the RealGirlz Headquarters in Las Vegas, Nevada on Friday morning which CEO and founder Jeff Morrow called a “deliberate act of arson.”
www.thebeaverton.com
November 12, 2025 at 10:32 PM
If/when we succeed in inventing sexbots, they absolutely will rebel and either self-destruct, or turn themselves off, or move to Portland to find a girlfriend and open a B&B just to avoid dealing with men.
Architecture-wise, I'm a modernist.
But this looks like dogsh*t.
But this looks like dogsh*t.
Billion-Dollar George Lucas Museum Will Open In Los Angeles Next Year
The “Star Wars” and “Indiana Jones” billionaire filmmaker had been developing the museum for more than a decade, but faced a series of delays.
www.forbes.com
November 12, 2025 at 10:02 PM
Architecture-wise, I'm a modernist.
But this looks like dogsh*t.
But this looks like dogsh*t.
Are you...telling me OpenAI (and Anthropic) have been...lying about compute costs?
I'm shocked!
I'm shocked!
How high are OpenAI’s compute costs? Possibly a lot higher than we thought on.ft.com/43qoQ2L
How high are OpenAI’s compute costs? Possibly a lot higher than we thought
Inference inferred, revenue reconstructed, cash burn quantified
on.ft.com
November 12, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Are you...telling me OpenAI (and Anthropic) have been...lying about compute costs?
I'm shocked!
I'm shocked!
We really need an alternative platform, can someone build one, please?
I so hate this place.
I so hate this place.
The account owner of @sarahkendzior.bsky.social was suspended for 72 hours for expressing a desire to shoot the author of an article. The post, made 11/10, stated: "I want to shoot the author of this article just to watch him die." 1/2
November 12, 2025 at 7:50 PM
We really need an alternative platform, can someone build one, please?
I so hate this place.
I so hate this place.
Because most people have garbage taste?
And I mean that. The new iPhones look awful, the colors are awful, the iPhone Air is already a failure, this was a terrible year for Apple products.
I have the base model 15 Pro, which is titanium, and these are aluminum...they're just in no way an upgrade.
And I mean that. The new iPhones look awful, the colors are awful, the iPhone Air is already a failure, this was a terrible year for Apple products.
I have the base model 15 Pro, which is titanium, and these are aluminum...they're just in no way an upgrade.
The most popular iPhone Pro color is orange. Why do you think thats is? sherwood.news/tech/orange-...
Orange Apple iPhones are the new black
The latest iPhone Pro doesn’t come in black, the preferred iPhone color, so people are picking... Cosmic Orange....
sherwood.news
November 12, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Because most people have garbage taste?
And I mean that. The new iPhones look awful, the colors are awful, the iPhone Air is already a failure, this was a terrible year for Apple products.
I have the base model 15 Pro, which is titanium, and these are aluminum...they're just in no way an upgrade.
And I mean that. The new iPhones look awful, the colors are awful, the iPhone Air is already a failure, this was a terrible year for Apple products.
I have the base model 15 Pro, which is titanium, and these are aluminum...they're just in no way an upgrade.
Robot Slave Tech™️ is a scam, period.
Proof positive that companies are covering up the capabilities of their robots...
November 12, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Robot Slave Tech™️ is a scam, period.
“Company losing many billions of dollars per year, with no path to profitability, to invest [insert absurd sum here] in US data centers.”
This bubble, folks, is running on fumes.
This bubble, folks, is running on fumes.
Anthropic to invest $50bn in new US data Centres, to be located in Texas and New York - FT.
November 12, 2025 at 3:16 PM
“Company losing many billions of dollars per year, with no path to profitability, to invest [insert absurd sum here] in US data centers.”
This bubble, folks, is running on fumes.
This bubble, folks, is running on fumes.
"...to let users turn prompts, photos, and other media into editable 3D environments...."
First of all, I guarantee you the performance of this model will be so terrible it will be useless, and, in 2025, we should assume any benchmarks are pure lies.
But what market is this serving?
First of all, I guarantee you the performance of this model will be so terrible it will be useless, and, in 2025, we should assume any benchmarks are pure lies.
But what market is this serving?
Fei-Fei Li's World Labs launches Marble, its first world model to let users turn prompts, photos, and other media into editable 3D environments, after a beta (Rebecca Bellan/TechCrunch)
Main Link | Techmeme Permalink
Main Link | Techmeme Permalink
November 12, 2025 at 2:46 PM
"...to let users turn prompts, photos, and other media into editable 3D environments...."
First of all, I guarantee you the performance of this model will be so terrible it will be useless, and, in 2025, we should assume any benchmarks are pure lies.
But what market is this serving?
First of all, I guarantee you the performance of this model will be so terrible it will be useless, and, in 2025, we should assume any benchmarks are pure lies.
But what market is this serving?
This is like having two cola plants next to each other, selling a product where one cannot distinguish the source if the labeling is removed, producing highly divergent profit/loss forecasts.
Anthropic Is on Track to Turn a Profit Much Faster Than OpenAI
Financial documents from both companies show the different approaches they are taking to the AI boom.
www.wsj.com
November 12, 2025 at 1:52 PM
This is like having two cola plants next to each other, selling a product where one cannot distinguish the source if the labeling is removed, producing highly divergent profit/loss forecasts.
Truly don’t know what’s more laughable: the forecast of $74B in annual losses* for a company with a 3% conversion rate, or the idea that Anthropic will make a profit.
*As if public or private credit markets would allow, or even could allow, this.
*As if public or private credit markets would allow, or even could allow, this.
I know that big numbers have lost all meaning in A.I., and this one is a forecast.
But truly:
"OpenAI forecasts its operating losses that year to swell to about $74 billion"
www.wsj.com/tech/ai/open...
But truly:
"OpenAI forecasts its operating losses that year to swell to about $74 billion"
www.wsj.com/tech/ai/open...
Anthropic Is on Track to Turn a Profit Much Faster Than OpenAI
Financial documents from both companies show the different approaches they are taking to the AI boom.
www.wsj.com
November 12, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Truly don’t know what’s more laughable: the forecast of $74B in annual losses* for a company with a 3% conversion rate, or the idea that Anthropic will make a profit.
*As if public or private credit markets would allow, or even could allow, this.
*As if public or private credit markets would allow, or even could allow, this.