Filipe Campante
@filipecampante.bsky.social
Bloomberg Distinguished Professor (SAIS & Carey Business School), Johns Hopkins University. Political economy, Brazil, and a little bit of futebol.
I won't comment on the shutdown shenanigans, except to restate that the probability that the Democratic candidate for president in 2028 will not be a current/recent office holder is high. The party's ripe for a hostile takeover by an outsider, akin to what Trump pulled off in the GOP in 2016.
November 10, 2025 at 5:02 PM
I won't comment on the shutdown shenanigans, except to restate that the probability that the Democratic candidate for president in 2028 will not be a current/recent office holder is high. The party's ripe for a hostile takeover by an outsider, akin to what Trump pulled off in the GOP in 2016.
The evidence keeps accumulating that Brexit was an astonishing self-inflicted economic policy disaster. The fact that it is a slow-moving one bodes ill for those who think that populist economic mismanagement will translate into voters punishing populists. www.nber.org/system/files...
November 10, 2025 at 4:26 PM
The evidence keeps accumulating that Brexit was an astonishing self-inflicted economic policy disaster. The fact that it is a slow-moving one bodes ill for those who think that populist economic mismanagement will translate into voters punishing populists. www.nber.org/system/files...
Palmeiras contra o top 6 da Serie A: 6 pontos (1V, 3E, 6D)
Flamengo contra o top 6: 17 pontos (5V, 2E, 2D)
Contra o resto: Palmeiras 62 pontos (20V, 2E, 0D), Flamengo 51 pontos (15V, 6E, 2D)
Palmeiras bate nos fracos e apanha dos fortes, Flamengo faz distribuição de renda… :(
Flamengo contra o top 6: 17 pontos (5V, 2E, 2D)
Contra o resto: Palmeiras 62 pontos (20V, 2E, 0D), Flamengo 51 pontos (15V, 6E, 2D)
Palmeiras bate nos fracos e apanha dos fortes, Flamengo faz distribuição de renda… :(
November 10, 2025 at 1:46 AM
Palmeiras contra o top 6 da Serie A: 6 pontos (1V, 3E, 6D)
Flamengo contra o top 6: 17 pontos (5V, 2E, 2D)
Contra o resto: Palmeiras 62 pontos (20V, 2E, 0D), Flamengo 51 pontos (15V, 6E, 2D)
Palmeiras bate nos fracos e apanha dos fortes, Flamengo faz distribuição de renda… :(
Flamengo contra o top 6: 17 pontos (5V, 2E, 2D)
Contra o resto: Palmeiras 62 pontos (20V, 2E, 0D), Flamengo 51 pontos (15V, 6E, 2D)
Palmeiras bate nos fracos e apanha dos fortes, Flamengo faz distribuição de renda… :(
Remarkable.
BREAKING: Mark Wolf, appointed to the federal bench by Ronald Reagan, writes that he is resigning as a judge to have the freedom to speak out against the president's assault on the rule of law.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
November 9, 2025 at 3:34 PM
Remarkable.
Whenever I see claims like this, I feel like the economics is completely missing. Even if you can theoretically replace all human tasks, *why* would it make economic sense to deploy the immense resources to do it, when humans are plentiful out there?
November 6, 2025 at 10:15 PM
Whenever I see claims like this, I feel like the economics is completely missing. Even if you can theoretically replace all human tasks, *why* would it make economic sense to deploy the immense resources to do it, when humans are plentiful out there?
I'm not joking when I say that this week is starting to feel like it could be an inflection point...
"Jurors found Sean Dunn not guilty of one misdemeanor assault charge on Thursday in federal court in D.C."
I do not regret to inform you that we are going to win.
www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/d...
I do not regret to inform you that we are going to win.
www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/d...
DC ‘sandwich guy' found not guilty of assault after throwing sub at federal agent
A man charged with assault for throwing a sandwich at a federal agent calls it an act of protest. Prosecutors are trying to prove that it was a federal crime. Jurors heard attorneys’ opening statement...
www.nbcwashington.com
November 6, 2025 at 8:02 PM
I'm not joking when I say that this week is starting to feel like it could be an inflection point...
Reposted by Filipe Campante
I read this whole thing & learned what anyone who understands how absolute, arbitrary power works would expect:
The prince asked for the impossible, was told by toadies it was in fact possible if expensive, then wasted billions as no one could tell him it wouldn't work (while many cashed checks)
The prince asked for the impossible, was told by toadies it was in fact possible if expensive, then wasted billions as no one could tell him it wouldn't work (while many cashed checks)
NEW: The End of the Line: the centrepiece of Saudi Arabia’s Neom gigaproject - a 500m tall, 170km long wall-like building intended ultimately to house 9 million people - can’t get out of the ground, say more than 20 former Neom architects, engineers and senior executives.
ig.ft.com/saudi-neom-l...
ig.ft.com/saudi-neom-l...
End of The Line: how Saudi Arabia’s Neom dream unravelled
Mohammed bin Salman’s utopian city was undone by the laws of physics and finance
ig.ft.com
November 6, 2025 at 5:26 PM
I read this whole thing & learned what anyone who understands how absolute, arbitrary power works would expect:
The prince asked for the impossible, was told by toadies it was in fact possible if expensive, then wasted billions as no one could tell him it wouldn't work (while many cashed checks)
The prince asked for the impossible, was told by toadies it was in fact possible if expensive, then wasted billions as no one could tell him it wouldn't work (while many cashed checks)
In fairness: from Mussolini to Videla to Putin, FIFA has almost a century of experience in sucking up to authoritarian regimes…
this is actually impressive, making up a brand new nobel peace prize replacement is a genuine innovation in bribery
absolutely nobody does corruption like FIFA
absolutely nobody does corruption like FIFA
the first what now
November 6, 2025 at 2:39 AM
In fairness: from Mussolini to Videla to Putin, FIFA has almost a century of experience in sucking up to authoritarian regimes…
Reposted by Filipe Campante
this is actually impressive, making up a brand new nobel peace prize replacement is a genuine innovation in bribery
absolutely nobody does corruption like FIFA
absolutely nobody does corruption like FIFA
November 6, 2025 at 1:16 AM
this is actually impressive, making up a brand new nobel peace prize replacement is a genuine innovation in bribery
absolutely nobody does corruption like FIFA
absolutely nobody does corruption like FIFA
Amazing how upfront and unfiltered he is about his ongoing authoritarian project. The goal is to make sure the opposition can never win, and he flat-out says it.
Trump: "They're gonna make DC a state and they're gonna make Puerto Rico a state. So now they pick up two states, four senators. They're gonna pick up electoral votes. It's gonna be a very, very bad situation. Now, if we do what I'm saying, they'll most likely never obtain power."
November 5, 2025 at 2:47 PM
Amazing how upfront and unfiltered he is about his ongoing authoritarian project. The goal is to make sure the opposition can never win, and he flat-out says it.
The magnitude of the Democrats’ win yesterday shows the rhythms of US democracy are still very much alive. The race against authoritarianism is clearly not lost yet.
November 5, 2025 at 11:21 AM
The magnitude of the Democrats’ win yesterday shows the rhythms of US democracy are still very much alive. The race against authoritarianism is clearly not lost yet.
When I say my name is not very common, I mean that we are 86 Campantes in all of Brazil.
November 4, 2025 at 7:37 PM
When I say my name is not very common, I mean that we are 86 Campantes in all of Brazil.
Quem diria, rapaz...
November 4, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Quem diria, rapaz...
Let's wait for the verdict on whether this qualifies as a Constitutional Crisis.
Trump announces he will refuse to follow the court order to provide SNAP benefits to needy families.
November 4, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Let's wait for the verdict on whether this qualifies as a Constitutional Crisis.
Maybe it’s an amazing jujitsu move where they hope to get New Yorkers to vote for Cuomo by convincing them that they want Zohran to win, because otherwise why would they go out and endorse Cuomo?
Just the face you want to see endorsing your campaign on the eve of the election
November 4, 2025 at 3:16 AM
Maybe it’s an amazing jujitsu move where they hope to get New Yorkers to vote for Cuomo by convincing them that they want Zohran to win, because otherwise why would they go out and endorse Cuomo?
Reposted by Filipe Campante
In a way, I find the authoritarian takeover of our media system even more disturbing than the authoritarian takeover of our political system.
Our political system has been failing basically my entire adult life. But, the media system provided accountability and sort of worked. Now it’s collapsing.
Our political system has been failing basically my entire adult life. But, the media system provided accountability and sort of worked. Now it’s collapsing.
November 3, 2025 at 4:18 PM
In a way, I find the authoritarian takeover of our media system even more disturbing than the authoritarian takeover of our political system.
Our political system has been failing basically my entire adult life. But, the media system provided accountability and sort of worked. Now it’s collapsing.
Our political system has been failing basically my entire adult life. But, the media system provided accountability and sort of worked. Now it’s collapsing.
Reposted by Filipe Campante
Cool new working paper on why and how cable news threw gasoline on the culture war fire. The culture war isn't optimal for electoral candidates, but it's optimal for cable news companies.
ungated: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/27v4x...
ungated: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/27v4x...
November 3, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Cool new working paper on why and how cable news threw gasoline on the culture war fire. The culture war isn't optimal for electoral candidates, but it's optimal for cable news companies.
ungated: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/27v4x...
ungated: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/27v4x...
Americans will literally learn everything about the “complex mathematics of gerrymandering” instead of going to proportional representation therapy. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/03/s...
Moon Duchin on the ‘Mathematical Quagmire’ of Gerrymandering
www.nytimes.com
November 3, 2025 at 12:18 PM
Americans will literally learn everything about the “complex mathematics of gerrymandering” instead of going to proportional representation therapy. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/03/s...
Reposted by Filipe Campante
Academics in Assyria in the 7th c BC complain that admin is preventing them from doing research and teaching
November 3, 2025 at 10:04 AM
Academics in Assyria in the 7th c BC complain that admin is preventing them from doing research and teaching
Reposted by Filipe Campante
Crazy how much some media has normalized the idea that voters are taking a risk if they elect governors/mayors who will defy Trump. That he’ll threaten their funding, etc.
Try to imagine, say. Greg Abbott being asked if he’s worried that Biden will punish Texas over his lawsuits.
Try to imagine, say. Greg Abbott being asked if he’s worried that Biden will punish Texas over his lawsuits.
November 3, 2025 at 11:54 AM
Crazy how much some media has normalized the idea that voters are taking a risk if they elect governors/mayors who will defy Trump. That he’ll threaten their funding, etc.
Try to imagine, say. Greg Abbott being asked if he’s worried that Biden will punish Texas over his lawsuits.
Try to imagine, say. Greg Abbott being asked if he’s worried that Biden will punish Texas over his lawsuits.
This resonates with this new paper by Assaf Razin, on democratic backsliding pushing emigration, even from people not directly persecuted by the regime. People don’t want to live in a country where these things happen, and those with options often choose to leave. www.nber.org/papers/w3443...
November 3, 2025 at 11:48 AM
This resonates with this new paper by Assaf Razin, on democratic backsliding pushing emigration, even from people not directly persecuted by the regime. People don’t want to live in a country where these things happen, and those with options often choose to leave. www.nber.org/papers/w3443...
Here, in a nutshell, is what makes the US legal infrastructure so vulnerable to authoritarianism: it was built for a high-trust environment in which everyone was supposed to exercise forbearance. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/03/u...
November 3, 2025 at 11:39 AM
Here, in a nutshell, is what makes the US legal infrastructure so vulnerable to authoritarianism: it was built for a high-trust environment in which everyone was supposed to exercise forbearance. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/03/u...
Reposted by Filipe Campante
Dropping a beta version of this page while everyone is up and processing baseball!
This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
Economics Literature Search
Full-text search across 15,000+ papers from top economics journals and NBER working papers. Track how empirical methods have evolved over time.
paulgp.com
November 2, 2025 at 4:43 AM
Dropping a beta version of this page while everyone is up and processing baseball!
This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
Immigrants are awesome.
November 2, 2025 at 10:37 AM
Immigrants are awesome.
Flamengo heroico, digno da torcida que ecoou no Cilindro. Noite histórica pra todos os rubro-negros, orgulho máximo.
October 30, 2025 at 3:01 AM
Flamengo heroico, digno da torcida que ecoou no Cilindro. Noite histórica pra todos os rubro-negros, orgulho máximo.