Political Science Research and Methods
@psrm.bsky.social
Political Science Research and Methods: The journal of the European Political Science Association, edited by John Griffin, published by Cambridge University Press
🧠 Do politicians misread their constituents' preferences?
➡️Using a new method where politicians draw preference distributions, N Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social & @liorsheffer.bsky.social show that conservative overestimation is smaller than assumed www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️Using a new method where politicians draw preference distributions, N Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social & @liorsheffer.bsky.social show that conservative overestimation is smaller than assumed www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
February 9, 2026 at 9:04 AM
🧠 Do politicians misread their constituents' preferences?
➡️Using a new method where politicians draw preference distributions, N Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social & @liorsheffer.bsky.social show that conservative overestimation is smaller than assumed www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️Using a new method where politicians draw preference distributions, N Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social & @liorsheffer.bsky.social show that conservative overestimation is smaller than assumed www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🧑🤝🧑Do politicians consider the gender of leaders when selecting coalition partners?
➡️Using a conjoint on 979 Spanish mayors, @albahuidobro.bsky.social finds that mayors, especially those on the center and left, prefer coalitions with parties led by women www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️Using a conjoint on 979 Spanish mayors, @albahuidobro.bsky.social finds that mayors, especially those on the center and left, prefer coalitions with parties led by women www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
February 6, 2026 at 8:11 AM
🧑🤝🧑Do politicians consider the gender of leaders when selecting coalition partners?
➡️Using a conjoint on 979 Spanish mayors, @albahuidobro.bsky.social finds that mayors, especially those on the center and left, prefer coalitions with parties led by women www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️Using a conjoint on 979 Spanish mayors, @albahuidobro.bsky.social finds that mayors, especially those on the center and left, prefer coalitions with parties led by women www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🚺 How does femonationalism affect public opinion?
➡️Using a US survey experiment, @sophiemainz.bsky.social shows that femonationalist rhetoric boosts opposition to pluralist policies by invoking progressive gender achievements www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️Using a US survey experiment, @sophiemainz.bsky.social shows that femonationalist rhetoric boosts opposition to pluralist policies by invoking progressive gender achievements www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 29, 2026 at 9:00 AM
🚺 How does femonationalism affect public opinion?
➡️Using a US survey experiment, @sophiemainz.bsky.social shows that femonationalist rhetoric boosts opposition to pluralist policies by invoking progressive gender achievements www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️Using a US survey experiment, @sophiemainz.bsky.social shows that femonationalist rhetoric boosts opposition to pluralist policies by invoking progressive gender achievements www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
📈 How should scholars model conditional relationships in time series data?
➡️ @zachmwarner.bsky.social G N Vande Kamp & S Jordan provide guidance on interaction terms in dynamic models, showing how to flexibly model and interpret moderation over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @zachmwarner.bsky.social G N Vande Kamp & S Jordan provide guidance on interaction terms in dynamic models, showing how to flexibly model and interpret moderation over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 28, 2026 at 9:13 AM
📈 How should scholars model conditional relationships in time series data?
➡️ @zachmwarner.bsky.social G N Vande Kamp & S Jordan provide guidance on interaction terms in dynamic models, showing how to flexibly model and interpret moderation over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @zachmwarner.bsky.social G N Vande Kamp & S Jordan provide guidance on interaction terms in dynamic models, showing how to flexibly model and interpret moderation over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🗣️ Does official rhetoric predict military escalation in autocracies?
➡️ Using word embeddings on China’s rhetoric toward Taiwan, J S.H. Wong finds that harsher language predicts a higher risk of military escalation, suggesting rhetoric is not cheap talk www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ Using word embeddings on China’s rhetoric toward Taiwan, J S.H. Wong finds that harsher language predicts a higher risk of military escalation, suggesting rhetoric is not cheap talk www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 27, 2026 at 7:53 AM
🗣️ Does official rhetoric predict military escalation in autocracies?
➡️ Using word embeddings on China’s rhetoric toward Taiwan, J S.H. Wong finds that harsher language predicts a higher risk of military escalation, suggesting rhetoric is not cheap talk www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ Using word embeddings on China’s rhetoric toward Taiwan, J S.H. Wong finds that harsher language predicts a higher risk of military escalation, suggesting rhetoric is not cheap talk www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
Reposted by Political Science Research and Methods
NEW ISSUE from @psrm.bsky.social -
Political Science Research and Methods - Volume 14 - Issue 1 - January 2026 - https://cup.org/3NE1AsW
#OpenAccess
Political Science Research and Methods - Volume 14 - Issue 1 - January 2026 - https://cup.org/3NE1AsW
#OpenAccess
January 26, 2026 at 1:40 PM
NEW ISSUE from @psrm.bsky.social -
Political Science Research and Methods - Volume 14 - Issue 1 - January 2026 - https://cup.org/3NE1AsW
#OpenAccess
Political Science Research and Methods - Volume 14 - Issue 1 - January 2026 - https://cup.org/3NE1AsW
#OpenAccess
🗳️ How can we better measure party loyalty?
➡️ Using US congressional party leader speeches, @adamramey.bsky.social introduce a new model that disentangles legislator ideology from party loyalty and allows party influence to vary across members & over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ Using US congressional party leader speeches, @adamramey.bsky.social introduce a new model that disentangles legislator ideology from party loyalty and allows party influence to vary across members & over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 26, 2026 at 9:29 AM
🗳️ How can we better measure party loyalty?
➡️ Using US congressional party leader speeches, @adamramey.bsky.social introduce a new model that disentangles legislator ideology from party loyalty and allows party influence to vary across members & over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ Using US congressional party leader speeches, @adamramey.bsky.social introduce a new model that disentangles legislator ideology from party loyalty and allows party influence to vary across members & over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
📨 Whether subjects open a message is a crucial step in experiments.
➡️ T Leavitt & V Rivera-Burgos show how mismeasurement of opens biases estimates and offer practical guidance and sensitivity analyses for message-based experiments www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ T Leavitt & V Rivera-Burgos show how mismeasurement of opens biases estimates and offer practical guidance and sensitivity analyses for message-based experiments www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 23, 2026 at 7:27 AM
📨 Whether subjects open a message is a crucial step in experiments.
➡️ T Leavitt & V Rivera-Burgos show how mismeasurement of opens biases estimates and offer practical guidance and sensitivity analyses for message-based experiments www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ T Leavitt & V Rivera-Burgos show how mismeasurement of opens biases estimates and offer practical guidance and sensitivity analyses for message-based experiments www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
📋 How can we improve estimates from list experiments?
➡️X. Lu & R Traunmüller introduce a Bayesian approach that uses informative priors to increase efficiency and reshape substantive conclusions www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️X. Lu & R Traunmüller introduce a Bayesian approach that uses informative priors to increase efficiency and reshape substantive conclusions www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 22, 2026 at 7:45 AM
📋 How can we improve estimates from list experiments?
➡️X. Lu & R Traunmüller introduce a Bayesian approach that uses informative priors to increase efficiency and reshape substantive conclusions www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️X. Lu & R Traunmüller introduce a Bayesian approach that uses informative priors to increase efficiency and reshape substantive conclusions www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
📊How did partisan divides in mass behavior vary during COVID-19?
➡ Using panel data, B Canes-Wrone, J T Rothwell & C Makridis show that partisan gaps persist across apolitical behaviors, but narrow as personal costs rise and symbolism falls www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡ Using panel data, B Canes-Wrone, J T Rothwell & C Makridis show that partisan gaps persist across apolitical behaviors, but narrow as personal costs rise and symbolism falls www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 20, 2026 at 8:02 AM
📊How did partisan divides in mass behavior vary during COVID-19?
➡ Using panel data, B Canes-Wrone, J T Rothwell & C Makridis show that partisan gaps persist across apolitical behaviors, but narrow as personal costs rise and symbolism falls www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡ Using panel data, B Canes-Wrone, J T Rothwell & C Makridis show that partisan gaps persist across apolitical behaviors, but narrow as personal costs rise and symbolism falls www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🗳️ How can we identify voting blocs when individual votes are not observed?
➡ Using a Bayesian mixture model, J O’Brien recovers geographically structured voting blocs from aggregated municipal referendum data in the US (Maine 2008–2019) www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡ Using a Bayesian mixture model, J O’Brien recovers geographically structured voting blocs from aggregated municipal referendum data in the US (Maine 2008–2019) www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 19, 2026 at 8:22 AM
🗳️ How can we identify voting blocs when individual votes are not observed?
➡ Using a Bayesian mixture model, J O’Brien recovers geographically structured voting blocs from aggregated municipal referendum data in the US (Maine 2008–2019) www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡ Using a Bayesian mixture model, J O’Brien recovers geographically structured voting blocs from aggregated municipal referendum data in the US (Maine 2008–2019) www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🏛️Do party leaders influence roll call voting in the US Congress?
➡A Fowler shows that when parties switch from moderate to more extreme leaders, rank and file members cast more extreme roll call votes and are less partisan when no leader is in place www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡A Fowler shows that when parties switch from moderate to more extreme leaders, rank and file members cast more extreme roll call votes and are less partisan when no leader is in place www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 18, 2026 at 8:02 AM
🏛️Do party leaders influence roll call voting in the US Congress?
➡A Fowler shows that when parties switch from moderate to more extreme leaders, rank and file members cast more extreme roll call votes and are less partisan when no leader is in place www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡A Fowler shows that when parties switch from moderate to more extreme leaders, rank and file members cast more extreme roll call votes and are less partisan when no leader is in place www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
💰Do voters punish local politicians for raising taxes?
➡ Using close local ballot votes in California, J Courbe & @jpayson.bsky.social find little backlash after tax hikes, except for business taxes, where organized interests mobilize www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡ Using close local ballot votes in California, J Courbe & @jpayson.bsky.social find little backlash after tax hikes, except for business taxes, where organized interests mobilize www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 17, 2026 at 4:48 PM
💰Do voters punish local politicians for raising taxes?
➡ Using close local ballot votes in California, J Courbe & @jpayson.bsky.social find little backlash after tax hikes, except for business taxes, where organized interests mobilize www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡ Using close local ballot votes in California, J Courbe & @jpayson.bsky.social find little backlash after tax hikes, except for business taxes, where organized interests mobilize www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
📺Why is propaganda in autocracies often blatantly false?
➡️ @alexeizakharov.bsky.social's new model shows that even easily debunked lies can help: false reports hurt rival outlets’ credibility, especially among cynical audiences www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @alexeizakharov.bsky.social's new model shows that even easily debunked lies can help: false reports hurt rival outlets’ credibility, especially among cynical audiences www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 16, 2026 at 9:09 AM
📺Why is propaganda in autocracies often blatantly false?
➡️ @alexeizakharov.bsky.social's new model shows that even easily debunked lies can help: false reports hurt rival outlets’ credibility, especially among cynical audiences www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @alexeizakharov.bsky.social's new model shows that even easily debunked lies can help: false reports hurt rival outlets’ credibility, especially among cynical audiences www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
📝Inattentive respondents are a growing concern in online surveys.
➡S Blatte & @bfschaffner.bsky.social that 4 to 6% of respondents pass attention checks yet remain inattentive, biasing public opinion estimates for small subgroups www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡S Blatte & @bfschaffner.bsky.social that 4 to 6% of respondents pass attention checks yet remain inattentive, biasing public opinion estimates for small subgroups www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 15, 2026 at 7:34 AM
📝Inattentive respondents are a growing concern in online surveys.
➡S Blatte & @bfschaffner.bsky.social that 4 to 6% of respondents pass attention checks yet remain inattentive, biasing public opinion estimates for small subgroups www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡S Blatte & @bfschaffner.bsky.social that 4 to 6% of respondents pass attention checks yet remain inattentive, biasing public opinion estimates for small subgroups www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
📰How do scandals shape support for crypto rules?
➡️P D Culpepper, T Lee & R Shandler find that after the FTX scandal, news exposure boosted Democrats’ support for regulation, while Republicans shifted only when exposed to regulatory framing cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️P D Culpepper, T Lee & R Shandler find that after the FTX scandal, news exposure boosted Democrats’ support for regulation, while Republicans shifted only when exposed to regulatory framing cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 14, 2026 at 9:28 AM
📰How do scandals shape support for crypto rules?
➡️P D Culpepper, T Lee & R Shandler find that after the FTX scandal, news exposure boosted Democrats’ support for regulation, while Republicans shifted only when exposed to regulatory framing cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️P D Culpepper, T Lee & R Shandler find that after the FTX scandal, news exposure boosted Democrats’ support for regulation, while Republicans shifted only when exposed to regulatory framing cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🗳️How stable is issue ownership over time?
➡️ @donyhu.bsky.social J-F Baumert, @jeonghochoi.bsky.social @sebastianjblock.bsky.social & M Harmening propose a Bayesian model to estimate dynamic issue ownership, showing gradual change over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @donyhu.bsky.social J-F Baumert, @jeonghochoi.bsky.social @sebastianjblock.bsky.social & M Harmening propose a Bayesian model to estimate dynamic issue ownership, showing gradual change over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 13, 2026 at 3:58 PM
🗳️How stable is issue ownership over time?
➡️ @donyhu.bsky.social J-F Baumert, @jeonghochoi.bsky.social @sebastianjblock.bsky.social & M Harmening propose a Bayesian model to estimate dynamic issue ownership, showing gradual change over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @donyhu.bsky.social J-F Baumert, @jeonghochoi.bsky.social @sebastianjblock.bsky.social & M Harmening propose a Bayesian model to estimate dynamic issue ownership, showing gradual change over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🇪🇺How do coalition parties monitor EU policymaking without a seat at the table?
➡️Using committee & rapporteur data, @pitrieger.bsky.social finds that sidelined parties shadow coalition partners via EU Parliament committees, reducing information gaps www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️Using committee & rapporteur data, @pitrieger.bsky.social finds that sidelined parties shadow coalition partners via EU Parliament committees, reducing information gaps www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 12, 2026 at 9:29 AM
🇪🇺How do coalition parties monitor EU policymaking without a seat at the table?
➡️Using committee & rapporteur data, @pitrieger.bsky.social finds that sidelined parties shadow coalition partners via EU Parliament committees, reducing information gaps www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️Using committee & rapporteur data, @pitrieger.bsky.social finds that sidelined parties shadow coalition partners via EU Parliament committees, reducing information gaps www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🪖What shapes attitudes toward wartime negotiation? 🇺🇦
➡️ A. Getmansky et al find that in Ukraine, exposure to violence does not immediately reduce support for talks with Russia and can even increase it, though support declines over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ A. Getmansky et al find that in Ukraine, exposure to violence does not immediately reduce support for talks with Russia and can even increase it, though support declines over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 8, 2026 at 8:11 AM
🪖What shapes attitudes toward wartime negotiation? 🇺🇦
➡️ A. Getmansky et al find that in Ukraine, exposure to violence does not immediately reduce support for talks with Russia and can even increase it, though support declines over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ A. Getmansky et al find that in Ukraine, exposure to violence does not immediately reduce support for talks with Russia and can even increase it, though support declines over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
⚖️What motivates moderate candidates to run for office?
➡️ @aeggers.bsky.social A Fowler, W Howell & @mollyow.bsky.social show that higher salaries, better winning chances, and greater authority increase interest in running for office www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @aeggers.bsky.social A Fowler, W Howell & @mollyow.bsky.social show that higher salaries, better winning chances, and greater authority increase interest in running for office www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
January 7, 2026 at 7:39 AM
⚖️What motivates moderate candidates to run for office?
➡️ @aeggers.bsky.social A Fowler, W Howell & @mollyow.bsky.social show that higher salaries, better winning chances, and greater authority increase interest in running for office www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @aeggers.bsky.social A Fowler, W Howell & @mollyow.bsky.social show that higher salaries, better winning chances, and greater authority increase interest in running for office www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🧑🎓Can democracy promotion strengthen support for democracy in terrorism-affected regions?
➡️ Using a randomized experiment in Burkina Faso, S Yameogo @anjaneundorf.bsky.social & @aykutozturk.bsky.social find that democracy promotion videos boost democratic support www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
➡️ Using a randomized experiment in Burkina Faso, S Yameogo @anjaneundorf.bsky.social & @aykutozturk.bsky.social find that democracy promotion videos boost democratic support www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
December 31, 2025 at 7:38 AM
🧑🎓Can democracy promotion strengthen support for democracy in terrorism-affected regions?
➡️ Using a randomized experiment in Burkina Faso, S Yameogo @anjaneundorf.bsky.social & @aykutozturk.bsky.social find that democracy promotion videos boost democratic support www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
➡️ Using a randomized experiment in Burkina Faso, S Yameogo @anjaneundorf.bsky.social & @aykutozturk.bsky.social find that democracy promotion videos boost democratic support www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
✖️Who produces most online hate speech and how effective is counterspeech?
➡️ @gloriagennaro.bsky.social et al. find that hate speech is concentrated among a few users and that counterspeech on X mostly fails to curb prolific offenders www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @gloriagennaro.bsky.social et al. find that hate speech is concentrated among a few users and that counterspeech on X mostly fails to curb prolific offenders www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
December 30, 2025 at 8:14 AM
✖️Who produces most online hate speech and how effective is counterspeech?
➡️ @gloriagennaro.bsky.social et al. find that hate speech is concentrated among a few users and that counterspeech on X mostly fails to curb prolific offenders www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @gloriagennaro.bsky.social et al. find that hate speech is concentrated among a few users and that counterspeech on X mostly fails to curb prolific offenders www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🫡Do multiple parties help dictators survive?
➡️ Using data from Latin America, @natanski.bsky.social & @aperezli.bsky.social find that allowing multiple parties can reduce the risk of popular revolt but increases the likelihood of gradual democratization www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ Using data from Latin America, @natanski.bsky.social & @aperezli.bsky.social find that allowing multiple parties can reduce the risk of popular revolt but increases the likelihood of gradual democratization www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
December 28, 2025 at 7:18 AM
🫡Do multiple parties help dictators survive?
➡️ Using data from Latin America, @natanski.bsky.social & @aperezli.bsky.social find that allowing multiple parties can reduce the risk of popular revolt but increases the likelihood of gradual democratization www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ Using data from Latin America, @natanski.bsky.social & @aperezli.bsky.social find that allowing multiple parties can reduce the risk of popular revolt but increases the likelihood of gradual democratization www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🤷Does tribal thinking toward ethnic out-groups shape policy support?
➡️Using visual conjoints in Germany and the Netherlands, @bertous.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com show that nativists support policies selectively based on group cues www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️Using visual conjoints in Germany and the Netherlands, @bertous.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com show that nativists support policies selectively based on group cues www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
December 24, 2025 at 11:23 AM
🤷Does tribal thinking toward ethnic out-groups shape policy support?
➡️Using visual conjoints in Germany and the Netherlands, @bertous.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com show that nativists support policies selectively based on group cues www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️Using visual conjoints in Germany and the Netherlands, @bertous.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com show that nativists support policies selectively based on group cues www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🫨How do voters respond to economic shocks from abroad?
➡️ @costinciobanu.bsky.social & @joostvanspanje.bsky.social show that after the 2008 Lehman collapse, economic satisfaction fell but voters rallied behind incumbents in several European countries www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @costinciobanu.bsky.social & @joostvanspanje.bsky.social show that after the 2008 Lehman collapse, economic satisfaction fell but voters rallied behind incumbents in several European countries www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
December 23, 2025 at 11:29 AM
🫨How do voters respond to economic shocks from abroad?
➡️ @costinciobanu.bsky.social & @joostvanspanje.bsky.social show that after the 2008 Lehman collapse, economic satisfaction fell but voters rallied behind incumbents in several European countries www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @costinciobanu.bsky.social & @joostvanspanje.bsky.social show that after the 2008 Lehman collapse, economic satisfaction fell but voters rallied behind incumbents in several European countries www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView