Shelly Lundberg
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shellyjlundberg.bsky.social
Shelly Lundberg
@shellyjlundberg.bsky.social
3.8K followers 340 following 230 posts

Professor of Economics and Demography at University of California Santa Barbara.

sjlundberg.weebly.com

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Shelly J. Lundberg is an economist and currently holds the positions of Leonard Broom Professor of Demography at the University of California, Santa Barbara, where she serves as associate director of the Broom Center for Demography. Lundberg is one of the world's leading population economists. .. more

Economics 33%
Political science 24%
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shellyjlundberg.bsky.social
Shelly Lundberg @shellyjlundberg.bsky.social · Mar 30
My UCSB Faculty Research Lecture on "How Economics Discovered Women."

Warning but not apology: There are a lot of opinions.
Sorry about the cough--pollen season arrived early this year.

tinyurl.com/2vj7rexn
Faculty Research Lecture clipped HD (from Bobcat).mp4
tinyurl.com

Reposted by Shelly Lundberg

washingtonpost.com
The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 4d
Review: “Ruth Asawa: A Retrospective” at the Museum of Modern Art only scratches the surface of Asawa’s contribution.

Artists who need inspiration or who need reassurance that what they do matters should visit this show.
Review | MoMA honors one of this country’s greatest artists: Ruth Asawa
A large retrospective only scratches the surface of Asawa’s contribution.
www.washingtonpost.com

Reposted by Shannon Vallor, Peter Thorne, Tuomas Mattila , and 3 more

thoughtrise.bsky.social
.chantal//RYAN @thoughtrise.bsky.social · 11d
this field biologist does a great job highlighting the insidiousness of AI editing

these one-click AI edit buttons are incredibly appealing to many photographers, amateurs and professionals alike, and are framed as innocuous

this is worth sharing and educating people about
screenshot of a post on facebook from Alex Lamoreaux, depicting two versions of the "same" photograph of a bobcat in front of a pine plantation, one labeled original game cam photo, one labeling AI processed the markings have been altered on the AI photo, and the head changed and resized text says: Oh! A neat goose hybrid posted to ‘What’s this Bird?’ but when you zoom in on the photos the bill details have been too manipulated by AI photo editing to be accurately assessed for which species may be involved. Scroll on… A cool-looking Red-tailed Hawk that someone is wondering which subspecies it might be - right up my alley! But when you zoom in on the photos literally every feather group has been so heavily manipulated and altered by AI editing that it’s impossible to determine subspecies because the photo is essentially fake now; just a mashup of whatever AI thinks parts of a Red-tail should look like. Scroll on… WOW! That’s a remarkable trail cam photo of a Bobcat! It almost looks like a painting!… but the head looks oddly small…. hmmmm. After some prodding the original photo is produced and sure enough it had been so heavily altered by AI ‘post processing’ that the photo posted was essentially a digital mock-up with totally different proportions and fur markings. No longer the photo off the trail cam; it may as well have just been ‘created’ by AI from scratch. This stuff is killing me. My days on social media are becoming very limited. We can’t even trust simple, everyday photos of animals to be real. The wildlife community needs to quit editing with AI, and we need to start calling out photographers that are using it. Our reality is being destroyed all around us.

Reposted by Rosemary A. Joyce, David S. Cohen, Shelly Lundberg , and 1 more

atrupar.com
Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 16d
I hope people understand that if Trump gets his way America will soon be part of the global axis of evil if we aren't already. You see it in the Caribbean, you see it in Ukraine, and you see it with Trump trying to buddy up to Xi. We are a malevolent force.

shellyjlundberg.bsky.social
Shelly Lundberg @shellyjlundberg.bsky.social · 23d
Sold them in the vending machine in the waiting room of the YMCA in New Westminster about 65 years ago (may have experienced a rebrand).

shellyjlundberg.bsky.social
Shelly Lundberg @shellyjlundberg.bsky.social · 23d
Damn!

shellyjlundberg.bsky.social
Shelly Lundberg @shellyjlundberg.bsky.social · 23d
Looks perfectly normal to me. Do you have a source?

Reposted by Shelly Lundberg, Alan Richardson, James Goodwin

marisakabas.bsky.social
Marisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 23d
i think this is the first time i’ve seen the “even though they lost they actually won” headline construction used for democrats
Despite loss, Democrats overperformed in bright red Tennessee House race
Aftyn Behn is on pace to significantly outperform Vice President Kamala Harris in the Nashville area district Tuesday night.
www.politico.com

Reposted by Lisa W. Fazio, Shelly Lundberg, Alan Richardson , and 3 more

dynarski.bsky.social
Prof Dynarski @dynarski.bsky.social · 24d
Larry Summers banned from the American Economics Association conferences and journals. Can't referee or be an editor for AEA journals.

National Bureau of Economic Research, your turn.

shellyjlundberg.bsky.social
Shelly Lundberg @shellyjlundberg.bsky.social · 27d
Five animals I’ve seen in my yard

Bobcat (and kittens)
Coyote
Gray fox
Red-tailed hawk
Roadrunner

Reposted by Nandita Sharma, Jacob Montgomery, Shelly Lundberg , and 2 more

crampell.bsky.social
Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 27d
Who’s gonna tell ‘em

Reposted by Aaron Sojourner

shellyjlundberg.bsky.social
Shelly Lundberg @shellyjlundberg.bsky.social · Nov 20
Important work. The impact of mass incarceration is under-studied.
aaronsojourner.org Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · Nov 3
How does employer access to prisoners’ labor through work release impact the well-being of those workers & of free workers?

New working paper by Sue Helper, Suresh Naidu, Akseli Palomaki, Adam Reich, + me provides evidence, focus on auto manufacturing in AL
#EconSky
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Coercion and Monopsony in Modern American Manufacturing: Evidence from Alabama Prison Labor Susan Helper Suresh Naidu Akseli Palomaki Adam Reich Aaron Sojourner We study coercion and monopsony in contemporary U.S. manufacturing labor markets. We combine administrative data from the Alabama Department of Corrections work release program with a unique survey of workers in the Alabama auto supply chain where workers report their work-release status. We first present descriptive patterns of work-release labor, finding that the use of incarcerated (i.e., work-release) labor is concentrated in the auto supply industry, especially in the Montgomery area, where Hyundai’s assembly plant is located. In the survey, the share of plant-level workers who are incarcerated is negatively correlated with non-incarcerated wages. The survey also enables estimation of hypothetical quit elasticities separately among incarcerated and non-incarcerated workers. Incarcerated workers are estimated to have quit elasticities less than half that of non-incarcerated workers. Because Alabama law requires employers to pay the same wage to incarcerated and non-incarcerated workers in the same jobs, the additional monopsony power introduced by employer access to incarcerated workers creates an incentive and ability for employers to reduce plant-level wages to, and employment of, non-incarcerated workers. We build a quantitative model of firm-specific labor supply that, for incarcerated workers, distinguishes the roles of coercion (the risk of physical harm in prison from not working), wage garnishment that blunts the consumption effect of higher wages, and monopsony (limited mobility across employers). Using it, we estimate effects on free and incarcerated workers’ welfare from i) reforming prison conditions to eliminate violence, ii) eliminating prison labor wage garnishment, iii) imposing a $15 minimum wage, &iv) abolishing prison labor. Free worker welfare goes up in all scenarios...

Reposted by Shelly Lundberg, Stacy D. VanDeveer, David A. Jaeger

justinwolfers.bsky.social
Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · Nov 16
To my students: Lean into skills AI amplifies, not ones it bulldozes. Frame good questions, scope problems, interpret messy data, apply judgment, explain clearly. The bot can autocomplete; you bring curiosity, context, and ethics.

Reposted by Dani Rodrik, Cas Mudde, Ben H. Ansell , and 20 more

durlauf.bsky.social
Steven Durlauf @durlauf.bsky.social · Nov 15
1/ Egalitarianism should begin at home. I link to this article by @bencasselman.bsky.social in light of the communications between Larry Summers and Jeffrey Epstein that have just been released. The released emails and the fact of friendship are vile.

www.nytimes.com/2021/02/23/b...
For Women in Economics, the Hostility Is Out in the Open (Published 2021)
www.nytimes.com

shellyjlundberg.bsky.social
Shelly Lundberg @shellyjlundberg.bsky.social · Nov 15
Funny...this wouldn't have been my conclusion. It would be that academics are successful in hiring exactly the people they want to hire--applicants just like themselves.

Reposted by Shelly Lundberg, Michael Kevane

gabrielmalor.bsky.social
Gabriel Malor @gabrielmalor.bsky.social · Nov 15
Fed. judge holds that the Trump administration engaged in coercive and retaliatory conduct in violation of the First and Tenth Amendments in its pretextual attacks on the University of California system.

PI granted.

storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
Defendants do not deny any of this. Instead, their principal argument is that the UC might not agree to the proposed conditions for restoring funding, so Plaintiffs’ present case is too speculative to be heard. But Plaintiffs’ harm is already very real. With every day that passes, UCLA continues to be denied the chance to win new grants, ratchetting up Defendants’ pressure campaign. And numerous UC faculty and staff have submitted declarations describing how Defendants’ actions have already chilled speech throughout the UC system. They describe how they have stopped teaching or researching topics they are afraid are too “left” or “woke,” in order to avoid triggering further funding cancellations by Defendants. They also give examples of projects the UC has stopped due to fear of the same reprisals. These are classic, predictable First Amendment harms, and exactly what Defendants publicly said that they intended. The undisputed record demonstrates that Defendants have engaged in coercive and Case 3:25-cv-07864-RFL Document 90 Filed 11/14/25 Page 2 of 76 3 retaliatory conduct in violation of the First Amendment and Tenth Amendment. It also shows that they have flouted the requirements of Title VI and IX and cancelled funding in an arbitrary and capricious manner while ignoring required procedural safeguards. None of the jurisdictional

shellyjlundberg.bsky.social
Shelly Lundberg @shellyjlundberg.bsky.social · Nov 14
Essential reading for anyone interested in university governance, the power of politically-appointed, obscurely-motivated external boards, and the integrity of academic institutions. Also, a very strange tale.
joefore.bsky.social Joe Fore @joefore.bsky.social · Nov 14
Former UVA president Jim Ryan, who resigned over the summer due to pressure from the Trump Administration, just shared this 12-page letter with the Faculty Senate, detailing his experience with the Board of Visitors and DOJ.

It's a surreal--and troubling--read.

drive.google.com/file/d/1Is6x...

Reposted by Anne Applebaum, Jan W. Mueller, Roger A. Pielke , and 32 more

joefore.bsky.social
Joe Fore @joefore.bsky.social · Nov 14
Former UVA president Jim Ryan, who resigned over the summer due to pressure from the Trump Administration, just shared this 12-page letter with the Faculty Senate, detailing his experience with the Board of Visitors and DOJ.

It's a surreal--and troubling--read.

drive.google.com/file/d/1Is6x...

Reposted by Shelly Lundberg

simonrosenberg.bsky.social
Simon Rosenberg @simonrosenberg.bsky.social · Nov 14
“Until we have real data, people making policy haven't got a clue what to rely on”- Prof. Daniel Hamermesh.

And as @marisakabas.bsky.social sets out, the Trump regime's economic 'data' ranges from cherry-picked figures to blatant lies.
www.thehandbasket.co/p/wh-inflati...
WH claims 'inflation tamed,' per DoorDash stats. Company says that's not in its report.
It comes the same week we learned the WH would likely not release key economic reports for October.
www.thehandbasket.co

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Lesley A. Hall, Kris Inwood , and 7 more

bdhuey.bsky.social
Elizabeth (Beth) Dhuey @bdhuey.bsky.social · Nov 13
I know that the job market is rough this year for Econ PhDs. @utoronto.ca has expanded its postdoc funding. If you are on the market and work on school finance or early childhood education and are interested in a PostDoc, let me know! #econsky #educsky postdoc.sgs.utoronto.ca/current-post...
Postdoctoral Talent Initiative – School of Graduate Studies Postdoctoral Fellows
postdoc.sgs.utoronto.ca

Reposted by Shannon Vallor, Anna O. Law, Lisa W. Fazio , and 31 more

phillewis.bsky.social
Phil Lewis @phillewis.bsky.social · Nov 13
COLLEGE STATION, Texas (AP) — Texas A&M adopts policy requiring professors to get OK from school president to discuss certain race and gender issues.
A photo of Texas A&M University’s logo

Reposted by Shelly Lundberg, Juan Rocha, David L. Anderson

erikangner.com
Erik Angner @erikangner.com · Nov 13
FWIW Americans can go to college in Sweden, studying in English, while enjoying things like safety, gender equality, quality of life, and constitutional rights – and without breaking the bank: utbildning.su.se/english/educ...

Reposted by Jonathan A. Eisen, Mark A. Lemley, Steve Peers , and 25 more

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · Nov 13
For folks (and journalists) who want to search the Oversight Committee email texts, I made a database for searching the 20k text files:

splendorous-chaja-f79791.netlify.app
Epstein Document Search
splendorous-chaja-f79791.netlify.app

Reposted by Dani Rodrik, Klaus F. Zimmermann, Dan Goldhaber , and 9 more

aaronsojourner.org
Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · Nov 3
How does employer access to prisoners’ labor through work release impact the well-being of those workers & of free workers?

New working paper by Sue Helper, Suresh Naidu, Akseli Palomaki, Adam Reich, + me provides evidence, focus on auto manufacturing in AL
#EconSky
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Coercion and Monopsony in Modern American Manufacturing: Evidence from Alabama Prison Labor Susan Helper Suresh Naidu Akseli Palomaki Adam Reich Aaron Sojourner We study coercion and monopsony in contemporary U.S. manufacturing labor markets. We combine administrative data from the Alabama Department of Corrections work release program with a unique survey of workers in the Alabama auto supply chain where workers report their work-release status. We first present descriptive patterns of work-release labor, finding that the use of incarcerated (i.e., work-release) labor is concentrated in the auto supply industry, especially in the Montgomery area, where Hyundai’s assembly plant is located. In the survey, the share of plant-level workers who are incarcerated is negatively correlated with non-incarcerated wages. The survey also enables estimation of hypothetical quit elasticities separately among incarcerated and non-incarcerated workers. Incarcerated workers are estimated to have quit elasticities less than half that of non-incarcerated workers. Because Alabama law requires employers to pay the same wage to incarcerated and non-incarcerated workers in the same jobs, the additional monopsony power introduced by employer access to incarcerated workers creates an incentive and ability for employers to reduce plant-level wages to, and employment of, non-incarcerated workers. We build a quantitative model of firm-specific labor supply that, for incarcerated workers, distinguishes the roles of coercion (the risk of physical harm in prison from not working), wage garnishment that blunts the consumption effect of higher wages, and monopsony (limited mobility across employers). Using it, we estimate effects on free and incarcerated workers’ welfare from i) reforming prison conditions to eliminate violence, ii) eliminating prison labor wage garnishment, iii) imposing a $15 minimum wage, &iv) abolishing prison labor. Free worker welfare goes up in all scenarios...

Reposted by Shelly Lundberg, Benoît Ladoux

mclem.org
Michael Clemens @mclem.org · Nov 1
The United States was the leading destination for top scientists from all over the world.

That is ending. Politicians ended it. It will cripple our future competitiveness.

And it’s such a bitter tragedy. Almost no Americans, Conservative or Liberal, grasp what is now being stolen from them.
Top researchers consider leaving U.S. amid funding cuts: 'The science world is ending'
YouTube video by PBS NewsHour
youtu.be

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Shelly Lundberg, Daniel S. Goldberg , and 4 more

pamherd.bsky.social
Pam Herd @pamherd.bsky.social · Nov 1
The US is the purple line bottoming out. Our economy may still roar, but we’re killing ourselves. Hoarding wealth, refusing to even ensure our kids have enough to eat. That line is an indictment. It reflects our warped values.
rebeccasear.bsky.social Rebecca Sear @rebeccasear.bsky.social · Oct 31
This graph never fails to be shocking: "The US has experienced the earliest and greatest slowdown in life expectancy improvements among higher-income countries, reported Eileen Crimmins. “We have horrible life expectancy—and it’s getting worse and worse”"

www.prb.org/resources/se...
Graph showing life expectancy trends in 23 higher income countries between 1980 and 2024. Life expectancy increased over time in all countries. In 1980, the US is in the middle of the pack, but their life expectancy gains were slower than that of other countries, and by around 2002, the US had the lowest life expectancy of all countries. Over the next 20 years, US life expectancy increasingly tracks away from the trajectories of other countries, as their life expectancy stalls while other countries life expectancy continues to climb

Reposted by Richard S.J. Tol, Will Jennings, Mel Bartley , and 10 more

rebeccasear.bsky.social
Rebecca Sear @rebeccasear.bsky.social · Oct 31
This graph never fails to be shocking: "The US has experienced the earliest and greatest slowdown in life expectancy improvements among higher-income countries, reported Eileen Crimmins. “We have horrible life expectancy—and it’s getting worse and worse”"

www.prb.org/resources/se...
Graph showing life expectancy trends in 23 higher income countries between 1980 and 2024. Life expectancy increased over time in all countries. In 1980, the US is in the middle of the pack, but their life expectancy gains were slower than that of other countries, and by around 2002, the US had the lowest life expectancy of all countries. Over the next 20 years, US life expectancy increasingly tracks away from the trajectories of other countries, as their life expectancy stalls while other countries life expectancy continues to climb

Reposted by Shelly Lundberg

ctvnewskitchener.bsky.social
CTV News Kitchener @ctvnewskitchener.bsky.social · Oct 31
GO train service changes ahead of World Series home games
GO train service changes ahead of World Series home games
Metrolinx has added new trips to multiple lines including the Kitchener GO line, ahead of the Game 6 and possibly Game 7 of the World Series.
bit.ly

shellyjlundberg.bsky.social
Shelly Lundberg @shellyjlundberg.bsky.social · Oct 30
What a pleasure.
donmoyn.bsky.social Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · Oct 30
New from me: Everything is awful, so treat yourself to a timeline cleanse by hopping on the best train ride in the world, the Bernina Express.
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/all-aboard...
All aboard the best train ride in the world
No timeline cleanse like a Swiss timeline cleanse
donmoynihan.substack.com

shellyjlundberg.bsky.social
Shelly Lundberg @shellyjlundberg.bsky.social · Oct 30
Dear U.S. media and commentators: Referring to the lovely Reagan/tariff ad produced by Doug Ford's Conservative government of Ontario as an ad posted by "The Canadian government" is like referring to Gavin Newsom's administration as "The U.S. government." Please up your info-processing game.

Reposted by Shelly Lundberg

donmoyn.bsky.social
Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · Oct 30
New from me: Everything is awful, so treat yourself to a timeline cleanse by hopping on the best train ride in the world, the Bernina Express.
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/all-aboard...
All aboard the best train ride in the world
No timeline cleanse like a Swiss timeline cleanse
donmoynihan.substack.com