Robert Wolfe
bobwolfe.bsky.social
Robert Wolfe
@bobwolfe.bsky.social

Professor Emeritus of Policy Studies, Queen's University, Canada. Most posts on trade policy

personal website: rdwolfe.ca

Political science 44%
Economics 32%
If Vance isn’t able to attend an Olympic event without an entourage of armored vehicles that looks like he just landed at Normandy in 1944, maybe he shouldn’t go.
two things are obvious in this clip:
a) Kennedy is trying to describe USMCA
b) Bessent has no idea how USMCA works
KENNEDY: If Canada came to the US and said, 'We're going to 0 tariffs on the US, all of them are off,' would you and the president go to 0 tariffs and let Canadian companies and American companies compete on a level playing field?

BESSENT: Absolutely not

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Please enjoy my cartoon for Friday's Toronto Star

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Just going to do the obligatory quote post to say that we have never had anything close to "unfettered free trade."

cc @toddntucker.com
The failure of these tariffs doesn’t mean a future administration should revert back to unfettered free trade.

Targeted protections can work, when paired with industrial policy, labor standards, and accountability. @toddntucker.com lays out what a progressive trade policy could be ⬇️
How Should Progressives Respond to Trump’s Tariff Threats? - Roosevelt Institute
Throughout his campaign and during his first few weeks in office, President Donald Trump has invoked the threat of tariffs on imported products more than perhaps any president in US history. And yet, ...
rooseveltinstitute.org
This is the Yale professor's explanation for why he described the physical attractiveness of a student in an email to Epstein. He explicitly says he regrets nothing about their association.

Again, I'm so happy Yale hired David Brooks to restore trust.

yaledailynews.com/articles/gel...

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Want to know what's in all of Trump's trade deals? We combed through all of them, so you don't have to. Our tracker will be updated as more texts are released.

Check it out here on @cfr.org:

www.cfr.org/articles/tra...
Tracking Trump's Trade Deals | Council on Foreign Relations
The president has set out to rewrite the rules of trade, one deal at a time.
www.cfr.org
KENNEDY: If Canada came to the US and said, 'We're going to 0 tariffs on the US, all of them are off,' would you and the president go to 0 tariffs and let Canadian companies and American companies compete on a level playing field?

BESSENT: Absolutely not
Fascinating graph based on UN General Assembly votes showing the growing distance from the EU and other Western allies to the US under Trump.

Note especially the movement of Canada and the UK. A symbol of soft power loss.
The geopolitical centre of gravity is shifting towards China, driven primarily by Europe's increased distance from the US under the Trump II era.

We analysed decades of UN voting data to create a new US-China axis, and found the US advantage is at its lowest level this century.
* US Companies Announce Most Job Cuts for Any January Since 2009

@bloomberg.com
The geopolitical centre of gravity is shifting towards China, driven primarily by Europe's increased distance from the US under the Trump II era.

We analysed decades of UN voting data to create a new US-China axis, and found the US advantage is at its lowest level this century.
Sir Ian McKellen performing a monologue from Shakespeare’s Sir Thomas More on the Stephen Colbert show. Never have I heard this monologue performed with such a keen sense of prescience. Nor have I ever been in this exact historical moment.TY Sir Ian, for reaching us once again.
#Pinks #ProudBlue

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Today's Trade Secrets. A year of Trump. A fierce tariff campaign. And yet globalisation, at least goods and services trade, is....fine? And the campaign has...probably peaked? And companies...aren't much worried any more? Medium-to-long term risks, absolutely. But we've weathered the initial storm.
There are good reasons to be cheerful about global trade
[FREE TO READ] Donald Trump’s inept tariff campaign hasn’t yet derailed globalisation
as.ft.com
The Trump administration has a lot of awful policies but I’m not sure anything is more idiotic in every possible way than punishing businesses, starving people of power, and shrinking GDP just because you’re obsessed with harming the climate faster to own the libs www.nytimes.com/2026/02/04/c...
A Trump ‘Blockade’ Is Stalling Hundreds of Wind and Solar Projects Nationwide
www.nytimes.com
I am a Ukrainian Nobel Peace Prize Laureate. I have a question.

Why has Trump's year of negotiations been the deadliest for civilians in Ukraine since the full-scale invasion? The number of deaths and injuries has increased by 31 percent compared to the previous year.

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Bank of Canada has too rosy a view of the world

The latest from the Globe's business commentary, by Don Drummond: www.theglobeandmail.com/business/com...
Opinion: Bank of Canada has too rosy a view of the world
Trade uncertainty and geopolitical risks are not reflected in the central bank’s economic projection
www.theglobeandmail.com
Yep.

"The bottom line is that acting as a predatory hegemon will weaken the networks of power and influence on which the United States has long relied and which created the leverage that Trump is now trying to exploit."

by @stephenwalt.bsky.social

www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
The Predatory Hegemon
Ever since Donald Trump first became U.S. president, in 2017, commentators have searched for an adequate label to describe his approach to U.S. foreign relations. Writing in these pages, the political...
www.foreignaffairs.com

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

If #Trump does a nuclear deal with Iran, I hope it is better than the phony peace deal he claimed to have reached in Israel-Palestine.
My 2c on the US-India ‘deal’ in the FT:

“It seems highly doubtful that India has agreed to reduce tariffs to zero, particularly on agricultural goods, given India’s long-standing approach to trade negotiations going right back to the Doha Round"

www.ft.com/content/72f1...
Trump to slash India tariffs after Modi ‘agrees’ to stop buying Russian oil
Levies will drop from 50% to 18% as US president claims New Delhi will buy more than $500bn of American goods
www.ft.com

a good analysis with a classic @alanbeattie.bsky.social quip: "If a trade deal doesn’t cause riots in France you have to wonder what the point of it is.”
My Trade Secrets today. The EU's India trade deal is a lot about geopolitics, but not in an impressive way. Brussels got it done by compromising principles and signing a weak deal.

So sure, it's sending a geopolitical signal, but not expending enough political capital to make it really credible.
EU’s geopolitical gesture is too cheap to be credible
[FREE TO READ] Brussels sacrificed its own principles when signing a trade deal with India
as.ft.com
CDC Deputy Director Ralph Abraham thinks measles outbreaks are the “cost of doing business” in a world of global travel. Because travel didn't exist during the last 20 years, when we had effectively eliminated the disease. lnk.thebulwark.com/4tv9aXt

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

"Canada is resuming beef exports to China after a years-long ban that shut down a major overseas market"
Canada resumes beef exports to China, cattle supply remains low
Canada is resuming beef exports to China after a years-long ban that shut down a major overseas market, a move some Alberta producers say comes at a critical time as national cattle supplies remain lo...
www.ctvnews.ca
My Trade Secrets today. The EU's India trade deal is a lot about geopolitics, but not in an impressive way. Brussels got it done by compromising principles and signing a weak deal.

So sure, it's sending a geopolitical signal, but not expending enough political capital to make it really credible.
EU’s geopolitical gesture is too cheap to be credible
[FREE TO READ] Brussels sacrificed its own principles when signing a trade deal with India
as.ft.com

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

“General Motors announced Thursday it will eliminate approximately 500 jobs at its Oshawa plant …GM rep Wright denied any connection to US tariffs—and the associated persistent threats by President Donald Trump against Canada.”

www.automotiveworld.com/news/gm-cuts...
GM cuts 500 Canada jobs, moves production back to US | Automotive World
GM has rejected any connection between the cuts and US trade policy, even as production gets moved back into the US. By Stewart Burnett
www.automotiveworld.com

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

I keep thinking again, in light of the latest Epstein files dump, about how MeToo “went too far.”
Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche admits that the DOJ excluded all images showing “death, physical abuse, or injury” from yesterday’s Epstein files release.

WHAT ELSE ARE THEY HIDING???

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Departing envoy to U.S. says it’s unclear whether USMCA review will conclude in 2026

www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/art...
Departing envoy to U.S. says it’s unclear whether USMCA review will conclude in 2026
Kirsten Hillman says it’s difficult to predict how the first review of the deal will go
www.theglobeandmail.com
Can we please never forget this. #ClimateCrisis #ClimateEmergency

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Ten years after the Hip's final concert, local agencies are hoping to welcome people to #YGK to “engage, reflect and celebrate the band’s deep connection to #Kingston and their profound impact on #music and culture globally.”
#TheTragicallyHip

Details: www.kingstonist.com/news/city-of...
City of Kingston asked to spend $350K on ‘months-long’ events to celebrate 10th anniversary of Hip’s final concert
(Kingston, Ontario) The City of Kingston wants to recapture a magical night in Canada’s cultural history – that night in Kingston – with a “months long” celebration.
www.kingstonist.com