Laura Solanko
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laurasolanko.bsky.social
Laura Solanko
@laurasolanko.bsky.social

Senior Advisor at BOFIT, mostly focus on the Russian economy
www.bofit.fi
http://authors.repec.org/pro/pso253/

Economics 45%
Political science 30%

Reposted by Laura Solanko

In today’s Vatnik Soup, made together with chef invité @martinlaineolen.bsky.social , we discuss the extensive links between pedophile sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein and Russian officials and intelligence operatives, and how Western politicians reinforced these links.

1/23

Rhetoric questions aside, the fact that past 12 months have been the deadliest for Ukrainian civilians should not be forgotten.
I am a Ukrainian Nobel Peace Prize Laureate. I have a question.

Why has Trump's year of negotiations been the deadliest for civilians in Ukraine since the full-scale invasion? The number of deaths and injuries has increased by 31 percent compared to the previous year.
I am a Ukrainian Nobel Peace Prize Laureate. I have a question.

Why has Trump's year of negotiations been the deadliest for civilians in Ukraine since the full-scale invasion? The number of deaths and injuries has increased by 31 percent compared to the previous year.

Selkeä ja suoraviivainen juttu Venäjän taloudesta ja sotaisasta naapuristamme.
"Vaappuva vaara - Pakotteet runtelevat Venäjää, mutta Putinia ei boikoteilla kaadeta. "
www.hs.fi/visio/art-20...
Ukrainan sota | Venäjän heikko talous on uhka Suomelle, sanoo Suomen pankin asiantuntija
Pakotteet runtelevat Venäjää, mutta Putinia ei boikoteilla kaadeta. Sen sijaan Venäjästä on tulossa nopeasti Kiinan vasalli, varoittaa Suomen Pankin Laura Solanko.
www.hs.fi

Mitä Venäjän taloudesta pitäisi tietää juuri nyt?
Kokosin blogiin tärkeimmät
⬇️
www.eurojatalous.fi/fi/blogit/20...
Venäjän sota ja talouden rajat – neljä väitettä nykytilasta – Euro ja talous
Sotakoneiston ylläpitäminen kuluttaa työvoimaa, pääomia ja valtiontaloutta. Laajat pakotteet vahingoittavat taloutta päivittäin, ja öljytulot laskevat lisäten painetta.
www.eurojatalous.fi

Now then, we probably need to have a look at the consolidated budget deficit?

A very good insight, indeed.
Which economy is more productive - Germany or the US? It seems the answer would be clear, but it's not.

The mood in Germany is so deeply negative, even aggressively pessimistic, that I thought we had fallen behind by a lot. But here are the facts - they surprised me as well:
Which economy is more productive - Germany or the US? It seems the answer would be clear, but it's not.

The mood in Germany is so deeply negative, even aggressively pessimistic, that I thought we had fallen behind by a lot. But here are the facts - they surprised me as well:

I do think short analysis is really worth a read, especially for us in the European continent.

www.justsecurity.org/125365/ukrai...
Ukraine’s Zelenskyy Has Options in Response to Latest U.S.-Russian 'Peace Plan'
The plan is a mess, but Ukrainians are right to try to work with the draft rather than reject it out of hand.
www.justsecurity.org

Reposted by Laura Solanko

If you drill down in the Chinese customs data, you find that Chinese companies have increased their unit prices of sanctioned goods globally by about 10%. But when they sell these goods to Russia, unit prices are up by almost 90%. Risky business requires its rewards, and Russians have to pay.🇷🇺🇨🇳
4/
‼️The strike on the kindergarten on Kharkiv (48 kids aged 1,5 to 5 years) was done by the country that chairs the UN Security Council this month (Russia).

We are living in an absurd world.

Reposted by Laura Solanko

Russia's PMIs 09/25
Manufacturing 48.2 (previous 48.7)
Services 47.0 (50.0)
Composite output 46.6 (49.1)

Everything has been below 50 since June indicating how there is no growth in the Russian economy anymore.

Reposted by Laura Solanko

Danish government on Thursday chose the Franco-Italian SAMP-T long-range surface-to-air weapon system over the best-selling US Patriot alternative, and said it would choose a Norwegian, German or French medium-range option for a total of DKr58bn ($9.1bn)
Actions have consequences🇩🇰 on.ft.com/3VfGkdz
Denmark chooses European air defences over US Patriots
Copenhagen places record order as relations with Trump administration come under strain over Greenland
on.ft.com
BOFIT Weekly Review 36/2025 China
SCO summit announcements include construction of a new Russia-China gas pipeline and establishing a new development bank

Read more: www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...

#China #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview

Reposted by Laura Solanko

BOFIT Policy Brief 13/2025 by @laurasolanko.bsky.social: Macroeconomic policies in Russia 1995–2025 – from barter arrangements to an emerging war economy

Read more 🔗 publications.bof.fi/handle/10024...

#Russia #FiscalPolicy #MonetaryPolicy

En excellent analysis

Reposted by Laura Solanko

As we wait: the morning after the day before and before the day after

tldrussia.substack.com/p/tldrussia-...
TL;DRussia Special Edition
18 August 2025: The morning after the day before and before the day after
tldrussia.substack.com

Do you feel news about the real state of the Russian economy are a bit confusing? In that case, let me suggest checking latest @bofit.suomenpankki.fi Weekly for a fact-based update covering 1H2025 data.
Economic conditions continue to worsen- but the economy has not fallen into recession.
​BOFIT Weekly Review 33/2025
Economic conditions in Russia continue to weaken

Read more 🔗 www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...

#Russia #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview
​BOFIT Weekly Review 33/2025
Economic conditions in Russia continue to weaken

Read more 🔗 www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...

#Russia #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview
An entire news crew working for Al Jazeera was killed by Israel as they sought to bring the world firsthand reporting from #Gaza.

Among them was prominent journalist Anas Al-Sharif, who had been previously smeared and threatened by the IDF.

#NotATarget

Full statement: cpj.org/2025/08/isra...
Israel kills Al Jazeera journalists in targeted Gaza City airstrike - Committee to Protect Journalists
New York, August 10, 2025—The Committee to Protect Journalists is appalled to learn of the killing today of Al Jazeera journalist Anas Al-Sharif, Mohammed Qreiqeh, camera operators Ibrahim Zaher and M...
cpj.org

Reposted by Laura Solanko

New oil price cap adds to Russia’s economic distress

Read the latest blog post by @laurasolanko.bsky.social 🔗 www.bofbulletin.fi/en/blogs/202...

#sanctions #Russia #oil #pricecap #bofbulletin @suomenpankki.fi

Viime vuonna Venäjän federaatiobudjetin sotilasmenot olivat yli 7 % BKT:sta, kun vuonna 2021 osuus oli 3,6 %.
Lisäksi sotaan liittyviä menoja katetaan aluebudjettien, budjetin ulkopuolisten rahastojen ja pankkisektorin kautta. Todelliset sotaan liittyvät menot ovatkin SIPRIn lukua suuremmat.
BOFIT Viikkokatsaus 29/2025 Venäjä
Maailman sotilasmenot ovat kasvussa

Lue lisää: www.bofit.fi/fi/seuranta/...

#Venäjä #talous #BOFITViikkokatsaus

Reposted by Laura Solanko

BOFIT Viikkokatsaus 29/2025 Venäjä
Maailman sotilasmenot ovat kasvussa

Lue lisää: www.bofit.fi/fi/seuranta/...

#Venäjä #talous #BOFITViikkokatsaus

Shadow fleets create shadow ship registries

"The government of Malawi has confirmed that a newly established ship registry,... is a fraudulent operation."
www.lloydslist.com/LL1153926/Ma...
Malawi becomes latest fraudulent registry as fake fleet grows 170%
The addition of four sanctioned tankers to a fake Malawi flag has taken the number of fraudulently registered ships to nearly 300, a 170% increase in the past 24 months
www.lloydslist.com

Reposted by Laura Solanko

BOFIT Russia and China statistics on our website are updated #Russia #China #economy #statistics #PowerBI www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...

Reposted by Laura Solanko

​BOFIT Weekly Review 23/2025 Russia
Russian growth overall slows, in some branches and regions output has declined

Read more 🔗 www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...

#Russia #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview

Reposted by Laura Solanko

BOFIT Policy Brief 10/2025 by Heli Simola @suomenpankki.fi: Russia’s ever-increasing economic dependence on China

Read more 🔗 publications.bof.fi/handle/10024...

#Russia #China #trade #investment

Reposted by Laura Solanko

Reposted by Laura Solanko

BOFIT Viikkokatsaus 14/2025 Kiina
Yhdysvaltojen tullit hidastavat merkittävästi maailmantalouden kasvua

Lue lisää 🔗 www.bofit.fi/fi/seuranta/...

#Kiina #talous #BOFITViikkokatsaus

So, from now on US average effective tariff rate will be 22.5 %.
In a year or two this decision will generate valuable material for research on international trade. Honestly, I can't think about any other positive sides to this.

budgetlab.yale.edu/research/whe...
Where We Stand: The Fiscal, Economic, and Distributional Effects of All U.S. Tariffs Enacted in 2025 Through April 2
budgetlab.yale.edu