Senior Fellow at Peterson Institute. Sustainability, security, and political economy. Heart masquerading as head since 1977.
You may not believe in climate change, but your insurance company does.
If US allies and trading partners start pricing US political risk alongside Chinese leverage, Western minerals coordination will get much harder to sustain.
My latest at @piie.com.
www.piie.com/blogs/realti...
Both provide strong incentives to step up as advanced economies retreat from food aid.
Reposted by Cullen S. Hendrix
![…
25. This Cibola jail was horrible. It was cramped. I was chained up again.
The officers mocked
me and called me their enemy. They laughed at me. I was kept at the jail for what felt like around three hours. I wasn't given an explanation for why I was there.
26. Security
guards then put me on a bus. I think it was around January 27.
No one said
anything about where I was going. I was handcuffed. It felt like the middle of the night. It was freezing cold in the bus because the driver had the AC on. We had no jackets. The bus eventually took me back to El Paso in the carly morning of Tuesday, January 27th.
27. I was put in a cold cell where I had to sleep on the bare cement floor. Around 10 in the morning my cellmate asked to speak to an ICE officer. Three officers came into the cell so I had a chance to speak to them too. One officer told me that I "had no chance of returning to Minnesota" and that "the best thing for (me] is self-deportation." She told me that if I fought my case, I would spend two to three more months here in El Paso. She offered me $2600 to self-deport. I refused. I wanted to talk to my attorney. They didn't tell me the judge had already ordered my release and return to Minnesota. If I hadn't managed to talk to my attorney who told me a while back that I was ordered released. I might have given up at this point and signed the self-deportation forms because the conditions were so unbearable.
…
30. When I was taken back to the detention center from the airport, after missing the flight, I overheard an ICE officer saying in English, "the judge in Minnesota wants this one back." I was put in a cold jail cell again until early next morning (January 28). But again no one had told me directly that a judge had ordered my release
…
32. When I arrived in Minneapolis, I was handed off to ICE
… I had to sign lots of papers saying that I wasn't going to be a part of any "groups." I didn't know what they meant by "groups." They never told me why I was detained](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:5cn3kbi4g5blrtahon34xbu4/bafkreiccqxmfncofjqinoveiqscwale2ox5xpiqt46veqjdh3jmimkrxhq@jpeg)
She offered me $2600 to self-deport.
I refused.
I wanted to talk to my attorney.
They didn't tell me the judge had already ordered my release and return to Minnesota.’
Reposted by Stephan Lewandowsky, Joe R. Feagin, Brendan Nyhan , and 27 more Stephan Lewandowsky, Joe R. Feagin, Brendan Nyhan, Linda J. Skitka, John Horgan, Bill Bowring, John Foot, Daniel W. Drezner, Trevon D. Logan, Janet Murray, David R. Miller, Gerald Friedman, Rebecca M. Bratspies, Michael D. McDonald, Erol Akçay, Henry Jones, Sharon Erickson Nepstad, Greg Linden, Andrew Rudalevige, Cullen S. Hendrix, Christina Pagel, Olivier Mannoni, Nicole Guenther Discenza, Jim Cohen, Nathan P. Kalmoe, Jaap Kooijman, Virginia Sapiro, Ernesto Castañeda, David Darmofal, Jesse R. Lasky
Stepping up on food security would let them show they can provide real global public goods — and reshape how the Global South sees leadership in a moment of geoeconomic fragmentation and competition.
www.piie.com/publications...
5/5
Regulation, public trust, and geopolitics will determine whether these tools actually reach the people who need them most: producers of orphaned crops, subsistence farmers facing increasing drought and water insecurity, etc.
4/5
3/5
That role is shrinking: the US is in retreat, other AEs increasing spending on defense.
Meanwhile, hunger risks are rising with climate shocks, conflict, and population growth.
Who will step in? And how?
2/5
Our new @piie.com brief looks at a transformative possibility: the gap may be filled not by traditional donors — but by BRICS+ countries and biotechnology.
www.piie.com/publications...
1/5
Reposted by David R. Miller, Cullen S. Hendrix
Oh, wait.
“Cocaine sold in the U.S. is cheaper and as pure as ever for retail buyers,” reports the WSJ.
It's whack-a-mole at best.
Reposted by Cullen S. Hendrix
insideevs.com/news/785904/...
Reposted by Cullen S. Hendrix
insideevs.com/news/785904/...
Reposted by Paul Krugman, Cullen S. Hendrix, Simon Lester
Also confirming for family record-keeping purposes: this is indeed my “talking to a Nobel Laureate” face.
Climate shocks and conflict are driving up hunger while food aid from advanced economies — especially the US — has pulled back.
Can BRICS+ countries and biotech innovation step in to fill it?
My latest for @piie.com.
This is likely to be the big detention story of 2026 — literal warehousing of people.
www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Linda J. Skitka, Peter Holmes , and 17 more Brendan Nyhan, Linda J. Skitka, Peter Holmes, Juan Cole, Robert C. Richards, Melanie C. Green, Aaron Sojourner, Robert B. Reich, Stephen Ryan, James Goodwin, Michael Jones‐Correa, Glen O’Hara, Katherine Brickell, Cullen S. Hendrix, Karen O’Leary, Christina Pagel, Kate Jackson, David Waldstreicher, Nathan P. Kalmoe, Ernesto Castañeda
This is likely to be the big detention story of 2026 — literal warehousing of people.
www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
Reposted by Cullen S. Hendrix
theconversation.com/anti-ice-pro...
But seriously, this seems like it could work (assuming you can isolate the effect of other "first of the month" benefits/and or policy interventions that might have similar effects that don't flow through you specific mechanism).
Reposted by Anne Applebaum, Mariana Mazzucato, Stephen M. Walt , and 181 more Anne Applebaum, Mariana Mazzucato, Stephen M. Walt, Michael E. Mann, Joanna Bryson, Anna O. Law, Marc Lynch, Kim L. Scheppele, Elizabeth Saunders, Rebecca Solnit, Archon Fung, Nandita Sharma, Matthew Bunn, Nancy Kanwisher, Yadvinder Malhi, Michael Wagner, John T. Jost, Stephan Lewandowsky, Robbert Sanderman, David M. Schultz, Simon Burgess, Marco Festa‐Bianchet, David M. Farrell, Will Jennings, Ashish Arora, Peter Thorne, Martin J. Attrill, Jesse M. Shapiro, Christina C. Hicks, Richard Betts, Richard J. Butler, Mattias Hallquist, Patrick A. Jansen, Jonathan A. Foley, Michael T. Meyer, Joshua S. Weitz, John R. Hutchinson, Mieke Van Houtte, Steve Peers, John McLaren, Andrew Watt, Andreas Ortmann, Tim Bale, Tom Shakespeare, Valerie P. Hans, Mark D. White, Victor Asal, Steven S. Smith, Jill Marshall, Rosemary A. Joyce, Caroline Krafft, Jürgen Maier, Leigh Sparks, Marina Jirotka, David Rothschild, Martin Gaynor, Elizabeth Stokoe, Melissa Johnson, Vincent Tiberj, Michael J. Allen, Rupert Read, Christian E. Weller, Ian M. Kinchin, Dawn J. Wright, Joseph Schafer, Hester Blum, Markus Jäntti, Anders Nilsson, Alison Phipps, Dominik Wiedenhofer, Ramón López Facal, Gerard H. Kuper, Libby Robin, David S. Cohen, Joni Lovenduski, Alan Stewart, Patrick Walsh, Sanford F. Schram, Kevin Carey, Shelly Lundberg, Inderjeet Parmar, Göran Bolin, Jussi T. Eronen, Marta Mìrazón Lahr, Raffaella Ravinetto, Smith, Peter Schöttler, Andrew Leyshon, Melanie C. Green, Janet Murray, Steven High, Jo Barraket, David R. Miller, Robert Wolfe, Duncan Bell, Jesús Rodríguez Pomeda, Patrick Svensson, Wilson McLeod, Stephen D. Murphy, Gerald Friedman, Stacy D. VanDeveer, Fabio Giglietto, Beatriz Gallardo Paúls, Lyndsey Stonebridge, Juan Moreno‐Cruz, Todd Pugatch, Howard Stevenson, Stephen Ryan, Elizabeth Stevenson, Michael D. McDonald, Anne Norton, Josef Früchtl, Manuel Puppis, Graeme Warren, Talia Schaffer, Graham Dutfield, Marco Haan, Antoine Bernard de Raymond, Fredrik Albritton Jonsson, Paul Fisher, Michelle Williams, Alberto Corsín Jiménez, Christian Fisch, Lisa Diedrich, Nicola Carr, Enrique Fatás, Philipp Sarasin, Jessica Silbey, Feargal Cochrane, Stuart White, Mary Jane Curry, Susan Strasser, Marko Lindroos, Claire L. Adida, Sharon Erickson Nepstad, Caterina Froio, Andrew Guthrie Ferguson, Patrick Meier, Vaughan S. Roberts, Raúl Pacheco-Vega, Ryan K. Brook, Florian Keusch, Andrew Rudalevige, James Connelly, Olivier Jourdan, Hisham Zerriffi, Sean P. Corcoran, Patrick Stokes, Cullen S. Hendrix, Jon Dean, Eric J. Sundquist, Guillaume Allègre, Eric J. Segall, Melanie O’Brien, Jason A. Heppler, Karen O’Leary, Uwe M. Martens, Almut Schulze, Alexander Woywodt, Thomas D. Carroll, David S. Tanenhaus, Kate Jackson, Pam Jarvis, Suzanne Conklin Akbari, Mary McAuliffe, Aviel Roshwald, Pepper D. Culpepper, Émilien Ruiz, Nathan P. Kalmoe, Ryan Calo, Jaap Kooijman, Aidan O’Sullivan, Dan Immergluck, Jeannette Sutton, Fiona Armstrong, Beth Tellman, Lorna Hughes, Fabian Holt, Ernesto Castañeda, David Spurrett, Dunlap, Stuart Shapiro, David Darmofal, Lars Gamfeldt
Stay free
This was a much more dangerous situation than the one leading to Alex Pretti's shooting, and security managed to get the guy on the ground and reestablish order without killing anyone.