David C. Kimball | Lightnews

David Kimball

@kimballdc.bsky.social

310 followers 320 following 17 posts

Professor of Political Science at the University of Missouri-St. Louis

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Political science 51%

Business 13%

Posts Replies Media Videos

Reposted by Bruce D. Baker, R. M. Wilson, James Goodwin , and 3 more Bruce D. Baker, R. M. Wilson, James Goodwin, David C. Kimball, Brooke Harrington, Nicole Guenther Discenza

CNN @cnn.com · 2d

The USPS faces a tight squeeze. With fewer people using the mail, it’s lost more and more money: $9 billion in the 12 months ending in September alone.
https://cnn.it/4qkeNoF

Reposted by Rosemary A. Joyce, Daniel W. Drezner, Robert C. Richards , and 1 more Rosemary A. Joyce, Daniel W. Drezner, Robert C. Richards, David C. Kimball

Joe Sudbay @joesudbay.bsky.social · 3d

"A Miami Herald reporter witnessed the agents forcefully removing Dayana — who is 4-feet, 11-inches tall and weighs 85 pounds — from her white Toyota Corolla. The footage shows Dayana yelling at the reporter to help her and that she was a United States citizen"

Josh Marshall @joshtpm.bsky.social · 3d

only a bit above the paywall but you get the horrible gist www.miamiherald.com/news/local/i...

Body cam footage shows feds threatening U.S. citizen detained in Key Largo

The woman, dressed in medical scrubs, was on her way to work when she was forcibly removed from her car and cuffed before being let go.

www.miamiherald.com

Reposted by Meredith Broussard, Shawn Graham, Alan Richardson , and 10 more Meredith Broussard, Shawn Graham, Alan Richardson, Serge Egelman, Scott A. Imberman, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, David C. Kimball, Sarah Roberts, W Grant, Seth Masket, Debora Weber-Wulff, Colin Woodard, David Darmofal

Jon Keegan @jonkeegan.com · 7d

Here's a quilt of Volume 4 of the Epstein document dump. Gives you a 10,000 foot view of the redactions. that's 2,704 docs.

Reposted by David C. Kimball

Ana Marie Cox @anamariecox.bsky.social · 8d

Brooke: "Count me in, actually."

Never forget: www.yahoo.com/entertainmen...

Also, never forget: David Brooks left his wife of 28 years to marry his research assistant (on a book about "character").

Reposted by Lisa W. Fazio, Richard S.J. Tol, Dorothy Bishop , and 35 more Lisa W. Fazio, Richard S.J. Tol, Dorothy Bishop, Colin F. Camerer, Arthur Geßler, Gavin A. Schmidt, Joshua S. Weitz, Scott L. Greer, Steve Peers, Simon Chapman, Caroline Krafft, Philip N. Cohen, Rita Rubin, Lesley A. Hall, Efrén O. Pérez, David W. Kerstetter, Kevin Carey, Raffaella Ravinetto, Devon Greyson, Smith, Karen Benjamin Guzzo, Janet Murray, Alan Richardson, Patrick S. Forscher, Ben Tonra, Julia Lynch, Caroline Fohlin, Sebastian Karcher, David C. Kimball, Lisa Diedrich, Catherine J. Frieman, Christina Ho, Larry W. Hunter, Richard M. Carpiano, Julie Rovner, Nicole Guenther Discenza, Dana Howard, Clark Gray

Reposted by Valerie M. Delmotte, Alan Richardson, Michael Zimmer , and 6 more Valerie M. Delmotte, Alan Richardson, Michael Zimmer, Stephen D. Murphy, Brian Keegan, David C. Kimball, Kate Starbird, David Darmofal, Jesse R. Lasky

Alondra Nelson @alondra.bsky.social · 11d

🧵 NSF is reducing external review requirements and eliminating routine expert panels, citing staff shortages that this administration implemented. This change expands program officer authority. But the solution to flawed accountability isn't less public accountability.

Jeffrey Mervis @policyhound.bsky.social · 11d

NSF plans to streamline merit review to heal self-inflicted staffing wound www.science.org/content/arti...

NSF pares down grant-review process, reducing influence of outside scientists

Memo cites overburdened staff, but some say move also aims to elevate White House priorities

www.science.org

Reposted by Rosemary A. Joyce, David C. Kimball

Tressie McMillan Cottom @tressiemcphd.bsky.social · 11d

Also from our agenda:

www.republicreport.org/2025/billion...

Billionaire Behind Trump Pressure Campaign on Colleges Owns Predatory University of Phoenix - Republic Report

Private equity billionaire Marc Rowan was revealed last week to be the driving force behind a Trump administration campaign pressuring nine major U.S. universities, including Brown, MIT, and the Unive...

www.republicreport.org

Reposted by David C. Kimball

Ian Carrillo @iansociologo.bsky.social · 16d

In the last 50 years, return migration was at its peak when there was no militarized border.

(Massey, Pren and Duran 2016)

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

In order to assess the degree to which rising border enforcement accounts
for this downward trend, we used a logistic model to regress returning
within 12 monthsð1 if yes, 0 otherwiseÞ on the variables in table 1 defined for
the year in which the trip was initiated. The results of this operation are
presented in columns 3 and 4 in table 3. The coefficient on the instrumental
variable for the log of the border budget is negative and significant, con-
firming that rising enforcement did indeed cause a drop in the likelihood of
return migration back to Mexico. Each point increase in the log of the
Border Patrol budget lowered the likelihood of return by 41%.

Reposted by Brian Keegan, David C. Kimball

Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 17d

The estimated median net worth of who’s running the country:

House: $1.0M – $1.5M
Senate: $1.7M – $2.5M
Supreme Court: $4M – $6M
White House Cabinet: $15M – $50M
President: $5.1B – $7.1B

Polling USA @usapolling.bsky.social · 17d

"Do the rich have too much political power?"

Yes: 80%
No: 8%

YouGov / Dec 8, 2025

Reposted by David C. Kimball

Perspectives on Politics @poppublicsphere.bsky.social · 17d

NOW OUT ON FIRSTVIEW!!

Administrative Burden’s Mass Political Effects: How the #Administration of #Medicaid & #Elections Shapes #Mass #Voter #Turnout

By Meredith Dost

doi.org/10.1017/S153...

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Nandita Sharma, Norbert Schwarz , and 22 more Anna O. Law, Nandita Sharma, Norbert Schwarz, Brendan Nyhan, Scott L. Greer, John Horgan, Anders Nilsson, Karen Benjamin Guzzo, Melanie C. Green, David R. Miller, Sebastiaan Faber, Stacy D. VanDeveer, Christine Kooi, Michael D. McDonald, Anne Norton, David C. Kimball, Jason Lyall, Raúl Pacheco-Vega, Gerardo Martí, Aviel Roshwald, Jae-Young Son, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, Nathan P. Kalmoe, Brian Jm Quinn, Colin Woodard

Sarah Betancourt @sweetadelinevt.bsky.social · 21d

“She showed up as scheduled, and when she arrived, officers were asking everyone what country they were from, and if they said a certain country, they were told to step out of line and that their oath ceremonies were canceled.”

www.wgbh.org/news/local/2... @gbhnews.bsky.social

Immigrants kept from Faneuil Hall citizenship ceremony as feds crackdown nationwide

Trump administration is pausing naturalizations for immigrants from 19 countries.

www.wgbh.org

Reposted by Smith, David C. Kimball

Brian Wasik @brianrwasik.bsky.social · 21d

The effects of the ACIP poisoned recommendations may not be seen clearly at scale for years.

But every child that unnecessarily develops HepB-associated chronic liver disease and cancer is the fault of those on that committee, the HHS Secretary, and those that capitulated to put him in power.

Reposted by Rosemary A. Joyce, David C. Kimball, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 21d

Trump’s remarks about Somalis being “garbage” reflects the bigoted logic of an administration whose policies are designed to maintain an aristocracy of race and class www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...

Why Doesn’t Trump Pay a Political Price for His Racism?

Immigration isn’t breaking our society. We are.

www.theatlantic.com

Reposted by Archon Fung, Richard S.J. Tol, Nicholas A. Christakis , and 22 more Archon Fung, Richard S.J. Tol, Nicholas A. Christakis, David Lazer, Will Jennings, Gordon Pennycook, Brendan Nyhan, Ken Caldeira, Stacie B. Dusetzina, Alistair Munro, Caroline Krafft, Jacob Montgomery, Benjamin Braun, Adam Bonica, Gerry Canavan, Daniel S. Goldberg, Karen Benjamin Guzzo, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Brian Keegan, David C. Kimball, Andy Reisinger, Sam Kamin, Pepper D. Culpepper, Achim Kemmerling, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 23d

After becoming a congressional leader, a politician’s stock portfolio beats out those of peers by 47 (!!!) percentage points a year through trades timed around bills and firms that later get government contracts

www.nber.org/papers/w34524

via @florianederer.bsky.social

"Captain Gains" on Capitol Hill
Shang-Jin Wei & Yifan Zhou
WORKING PAPER 34524
DOI 10.3386/w34524
ISSUE DATE November 2025
Using transaction-level data on US congressional stock trades, we find that lawmakers who later ascend to leadership positions perform similarly to matched peers beforehand but outperform them by 47 percentage points annually after ascension. Leaders' superior performance arises through two mechanisms. The political influence channel is reflected in higher returns when their party controls the chamber, sales of stocks preceding regulatory actions, and purchase of stocks whose firms receiving more government contracts and favorable party support on bills. The corporate access channel is reflected in stock trades that predict subsequent corporate news and greater returns on donor-owned or home-state firms.

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Figure 2: Estimated dynamic quasi-difference-in-differences coefficient, di, of equation(3), with vertical dashed lines representing 90 percent confidence intervals. The point estimate of the year in which the lawmaker became a congressional leader (Year 0) is normalized to zero. BHAR over the 250 days following each trade is the dependent variable and calculated using the Fama-French five-factor plus momentum as the benchmark model.

Reposted by Anne Applebaum, Scott L. Greer, Steve Peers , and 9 more Anne Applebaum, Scott L. Greer, Steve Peers, Bryan D. Jones, Éric Verdeil, Smith, David C. Kimball, Susan Strasser, Sean P. Corcoran, Eric J. Segall, Stella M. Rouse, David Darmofal

Kristen Chapman @kristenchapman.bsky.social · 24d

If you ever wondered what GOP gerrymandering looks like in red states with blue cities, I present:

Reposted by Stuart Soroka, Scott L. Greer, Efrén O. Pérez , and 4 more Stuart Soroka, Scott L. Greer, Efrén O. Pérez, David C. Kimball, Michael Jones‐Correa, Josh Pasek, David Darmofal

Fabian Guy Neuner @fabianneuner.bsky.social · 25d

Our paper on how cross-cutting group memberships predict warmer out-party affect and analyses suggesting this is why Latinos in the US have warmer feelings toward the out-party is now fully published in the most recent @polbehavior.bsky.social issue.

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

David Kimball @kimballdc.bsky.social · 25d

I hope they make public the list of districts they are pursuing. A good teaching tool

Reposted by Sander van der Linden, Peter Thorne, Scott L. Greer , and 34 more Sander van der Linden, Peter Thorne, Scott L. Greer, Rosemary A. Joyce, David Rothschild, Philip N. Cohen, Jonathan M. Gilligan, Juan Cole, Rebecca Tushnet, David R. Miller, Silvia Secchi, Adrian Daub, Caroline T. Schroeder, Andrew Jacobs, Stacy D. VanDeveer, Margot C. Finn, Rebecca M. Bratspies, Brian Keegan, William Myers, David C. Kimball, Sarah Roberts, Aurélien Mondon, Mark Rice, Lisa Diedrich, Ann Bartow, Nelson Flores, Alessandro Rigolon, Seth Masket, Raúl Pacheco-Vega, Andrew Rudalevige, Brooke Harrington, Daxton R. Stewart, Manisha Sinha, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, Nathan P. Kalmoe, Clark Gray, Paul Franco

gwen howerton @kissphoria.bsky.social · 26d

OU has put the professor here on administrative leave:

The University of Oklahoma takes seriously concerns involving First Amendment rights, certainly including religious freedoms. Upon receiving notice from the student on the grading of an assignment, the University immediately began a full review of the situation and has acted swiftly to address the matter.
First, the college acted immediately to address the academic issue raised by the student. College leaders contacted her on the day her letter was received and have maintained regular communication throughout the process. As previously stated, a formal grade appeals process was conducted. The process resulted in steps to ensure no academic harm to the student from the graded assignments.
Second, the student reported filing a claim of illegal discrimination based on religious beliefs to the appropriate university office. OU has a clear process for reviewing such claims and it has been activated.
The graduate student instructor has been placed on administrative leave pending the finalization of this process. To ensure fairness in the process, a full-time professor is serving as the course instructor for the remainder of the semester.
OU remains firmly committed to fairness, respect and protecting every student's right to express sincerely held religious beliefs.
The UNIVERSITY of OKLAHOMA

Reposted by Anna O. Law, David Dunning, Scott L. Greer , and 9 more Anna O. Law, David Dunning, Scott L. Greer, Michael W. Kraus, Brian Keegan, David C. Kimball, Mark Rice, Ann Bartow, Kathleen Kennedy, Manisha Sinha, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, François Guesnet

Gravel Influencer @gravelinfluencer.bsky.social · 27d

The Boston Globe identified the companies in Massachusetts that employ the most SNAP recipients. A key stat: "In Massachusetts, 74% of working-age recipients of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program are employed, half of them full-time."

Full article: www.bostonglobe.com/2025/11/28/m...

Number of SNAP recipients
Amazon 2,456
Walmart 2,318
Uber 1,799
DoorDash 1,462
Tempus Unlimited 1,425
Stop & Shop 989
Mass General Brigham 956
Dollar Tree 952
Albertsons Companies, Inc. 896
Bayada Home Health 887

Reposted by Ben H. Ansell, Michael D. McDonald, David C. Kimball , and 1 more Ben H. Ansell, Michael D. McDonald, David C. Kimball, David Darmofal

Poll Tracker 📊 @polltracker.bsky.social · 28d

Gallup poll | 11/3-11/25

President Trump approval
Disapprove 60% (+6)
Approve 36% (-5)

news.gallup.com/poll/699221/...

Reposted by David C. Kimball

Nathan Kalmoe (he/him) @nathankalmoe.bsky.social · Nov 26

New from Thompson & McCabe: "The importance of local racial demographic changes in democratic erosion in the mass American public"
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

White Americans in counties with white decline/Black growth are more violent/antidemocratic when primed to think of US racial demo change.

PNAS

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...

www.pnas.org

Reposted by Lisa W. Fazio, Will Jennings, Mark J. Brandt , and 3 more Lisa W. Fazio, Will Jennings, Mark J. Brandt, Robert C. Richards, David C. Kimball, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Christina Wolbrecht @cwolbrecht.bsky.social · Nov 25

Today is a good day to remind you that none of the classic vote studies thought very highly of women's political competence.

Reposted by Sarah E. Gollust, Efrén O. Pérez, David R. Miller , and 2 more Sarah E. Gollust, Efrén O. Pérez, David R. Miller, David C. Kimball, Nathan P. Kalmoe

🦃 Seth Masket 🦃 @smotus.bsky.social · Nov 21

It's always hard to pick a worst day politically, but today the president called for the death of members of the opposition party, and the administration decided that people were being too hard on the swastika

Reposted by David C. Kimball

Steve Brewer @sjbrewer.bsky.social · Nov 18

Scotland [4] - 2 Denmark - K. McLean 90+8'

It's done! No Playoff! Straight through! And WHAT A GOAL TO FINISH IT OFF!!!!

David Kimball @kimballdc.bsky.social · Nov 17

From my UMSL colleague, Jim Craig: The GWOT Memorial must be purpose-built to evolve www.militarytimes.com/opinion/2025...

The GWOT Memorial must be purpose-built to evolve

Opinion: While laudable, if the Global War on Terrorism Memorial is to have lasting meaning, it cannot be built as a static shrine, the author of this op-ed argues.

www.militarytimes.com

Reposted by David C. Kimball

Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · Nov 17

My thoughts this week, for obvious reasons, are with the brave, heroic women who went through hell the last time Harvard let this same problem fester for years on end.

She Left Harvard. He Got to Stay.

Did the university’s handling of one professor’s sexual-harassment complaint keep other women from coming forward for decades?

www.chronicle.com

Reposted by Kori Schake, Anna O. Law, David C. Kimball , and 2 more Kori Schake, Anna O. Law, David C. Kimball, Nathan P. Kalmoe, Dan Immergluck

Steve Vladeck @stevevladeck.bsky.social · Nov 17

There have been at least 154 cases in which federal district courts have issued preliminary relief against a Trump administration policy.

Those rulings have come from 121 *different* judges appointed by seven presidents (including 15 appointed by Trump) sitting in 29 district courts in 10 circuits: