Caroline Krafft | Lightnews

Light up
your news

About Privacy Terms Help

Caroline Krafft

Caroline Krafft

@ckrafftc.bsky.social

10K followers 7.5K following 240 posts

Economist, Associate Prof. @ Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota Development/Labor/Education/Gender/ECD/Inequality in the Middle East and North Africa.

Economics 22%

Political science 22%

more

Posts Replies Media Videos

Pinned

Caroline Krafft @ckrafftc.bsky.social · Mar 10

📣 New paper "Do employers discriminate against married women? Evidence from a field experiment in Egypt" published in the Journal of Development Economics! #EconSky #menasky

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

ABSTRACT
This research submitted fictitious resumes to online job postings in Egypt, randomizing gender and marital status. More job postings explicitly required men (14 per cent) than women (4 per cent). Despite the gender discrimination in postings, women were only slightly less likely to receive callbacks than men, with only a small difference between single and married women. Differences in callbacks by sex and marital status were not statistically significant. Women and especially married women were, however, particularly likely to be asked for more information rather than scheduled for an interview.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Wedge LIVE!™ @wedge.live · 1h

Minneapolis had three of these within 17 days, so you'll need to be more specific with your headline.

"ICE Tried to Justify a Minneapolis Shooting. Its Story Unraveled."
www.nytimes.com/2026/02/14/u...

ICE Tried to Justify a Minneapolis Shooting. Its Story Unraveled.

www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Dan Froomkin/Press Watch/Heads Up News @froomkin.bsky.social · 14h

NYT: ICE Agents Menaced Minnesota Protesters at Their Homes, Filings Say www.nytimes.com/2026/02/13/u...

ICE Agents Menaced Minnesota Protesters at Their Homes, Filings Say

www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Jonathan A. Eisen, Axel Bruns, A. E. Dessler , and 27 more Jonathan A. Eisen, Axel Bruns, A. E. Dessler, Jon Pierre, Luc Int Panis, Gordon Hodson, Louis Moresi, Gavin A. Schmidt, Anders Levermann, Nancy Knowlton, Joshua S. Weitz, Scott L. Greer, Michael A. Clemens, Megan L. Ranney, Caroline Krafft, Martin Paul Eve, Christian E. Weller, Richard Waite, Iikka Korhonen, Aaron Sojourner, Margot C. Finn, Rasmus K. Storm, David J. Berri, Fredrik Albritton Jonsson, Johannes Breuer, Greg Linden, Ryan K. Brook, James Connelly, Karen O’Leary, Kristina McElheran

Katharine Hayhoe @katharinehayhoe.com · 18h

Bluesky is the new science Twitter, new study by @whysharksmatter.bsky.social and Julia Wester concludes!

"Results show that for every reported professional benefit that scientists once gained from Twitter, scientists can now gain that benefit more effectively on Bluesky than on Twitter."

Scientists no Longer Find Twitter Professionally Useful, and have Switched to Bluesky

Synopsis. Social media has become widely used by the scientific community for a variety of professional uses, including networking and public outreach. For

academic.oup.com

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Nate Pentz @natepentz.bsky.social · 19h

This visualization of daily activity of ICE is unreal.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Adam Pollack @crispapoll.bsky.social · 21h

I am hiring a postdoc @ Univ of Iowa. Potential project focuses include flood-risk infrastructure planning, disaster recovery processes and outcomes, insurance program externalities, or uncertainty in climate damage attribution. Please consider applying/sharing! jobs.uiowa.edu/postdoc/view...

Postdoctoral Requisition Details - Jobs@UIOWA: Search and Apply for Jobs at The University of Iowa

Jobs@UIOWA: The official place to search and apply for jobs at The University of Iowa.

Reposted by Ben Barr, Caroline Krafft, Patrick Präg

Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 23h

New Pub 🚨📝🎓:

"Stratification of Post-Birth Labour Supply in a High- and Low- Maternal Employment Regime"

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Short version: Germany has much bigger motherhood penalties than France, but they are not more socially stratified.

That wasn’t what we expected.

🧵⬇️

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Jon Collins @jcollins.bsky.social · 1d

“It was time to speak up,” Stenvik said in an interview with MPR News. “I'm glad that we did, because I think that there's some disbelief, because it's so shocking and so aggressive and violent and harmful to children.” via @shockmanwrites.bsky.social
www.mprnews.org/story/2026/0...

Reposted by Linda J. Skitka, Caroline Krafft, Iikka Korhonen , and 1 more Linda J. Skitka, Caroline Krafft, Iikka Korhonen, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò

Scott Horton @robertscotthorton.bsky.social · 1d

“Moderna’s CEO announced the company will no longer invest in new Phase 3 vaccine trials for infectious diseases: ‘You cannot make a return on investment if you don’t have access to the U.S. market.’ Vaccines for Epstein-Barr virus, herpes, and shingles have been shelved.”

Moderna chief: Company won’t invest in new late-stage vaccine trials

Moderna has already been facing declines in sales after a boom during the COVID-19 pandemic.

www.cidrap.umn.edu

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Bernardo Lanza Queiroz

AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · 1d

Forthcoming in the AER: "The Gender Pay Gap: Micro Sources and Macro Consequences" by Iacopo Morchio and Christian Moser.

The Gender Pay Gap: Micro Sources and Macro Consequences

(Forthcoming Article) - Using linked employer-employee data from Brazil, we document a significant gender pay gap, which is largely attributed to women working at lower-paying employers. To interpret this fact, we develop an equilibrium search model with endogenous firm pay, amenities, and hiring. We provide a constructive proof of identification of all model parameters. The estimated model suggests that amenities are important for both men and women, and that compensating differentials account for half of the gender pay gap. Equal-treatment policies partly close gender gaps but are not outputor welfare-improving.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Ben Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 1d

Overall consumer prices were up 2.4 percent in January from a year earlier, the slowest year-on-year rate of inflation since last May. Core inflation was the slowest it's been since 2021.

Reposted by Richard Price, Tom Clark, Rosemary A. Joyce , and 10 more Richard Price, Tom Clark, Rosemary A. Joyce, Caroline Krafft, Ameet Sarpatwari, Daniel W. Drezner, David R. Miller, Aaron Sojourner, Robert B. Reich, Michael D. McDonald, Nicole Guenther Discenza, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 1d

“.. using millions of dollars from the former U.S. foreign aid agency to pay for the security detail of Russell Vought ..”

@reuters.com
www.reuters.com/world/us/whi...

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 1d

Do school meals really boost learning?

Drawing on evidence from 25+ countries, Biniam Bedasso shows that school feeding programmes consistently increase enrolment, attendance, and test scores – with the biggest gains for the most vulnerable children.

🔗 Link below ⤵️

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Toby Nangle @tobyn.bsky.social · 1d

But also that total amount of childcare had risen substantially over last 40yrs. Chart splits by hhld income, where Q1 is lowest and Q4 is highest.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Toby Nangle @tobyn.bsky.social · 1d

@georgebangham.bsky.social did some interesting stuff a few years back for the @resolutionfoundation.org. Showed women did more childcare than men at every point in the day. www.resolutionfoundation.org/app/uploads/...

Reposted by Joanna Bryson, Samuel L. Perry, Caroline Krafft , and 2 more Joanna Bryson, Samuel L. Perry, Caroline Krafft, Wolfgang Huber, Evan Roberts

Toby Nangle @tobyn.bsky.social · 1d

Where do parents find the time to parent? Less sleep, work and screens.

Amazing chart feat. in @alphaville.ft.com Further Reading.

homeeconomics.substack.com/p/where-do-p...

Difference in time use between working parents of small children vs working non parents. Areas above zero are activities parents do more of; areas below are what they give up.

Compiled by analyzing the Census Bureau’s American Time Use Survey.

Analysis and chart by Aziz Sunderji, https://homeeconomics.substack.com/p/where-do-parents-find-the-time

Reposted by Stacie B. Dusetzina, Caroline Krafft, Christian E. Weller

Max Boot @maxboot.bsky.social · 1d

“Research published on Thursday by economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Columbia University suggests that, through November 2025, 90 percent of the economic burden of the president’s tariffs fell on U.S. companies and consumers.” www.nytimes.com/2026/02/12/b...

Americans Are Paying the Bill for Tariffs, Despite Trump’s Claims

www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Rosemary A. Joyce, Caroline Krafft, David R. Miller , and 4 more Rosemary A. Joyce, Caroline Krafft, David R. Miller, Scott A. Imberman, James Goodwin, Juan Rocha, Sarah Roberts

Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 1d

cool, cool. so we are sort of like citizens, but not really?

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Jörg Oechssler

Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 2d

I'm super excited for my new paper with Alex Tabarrok
and Mark Whitmeyer.

tl;dr: price controls cause chaos. That chaos causes misallocation. We develop new tools to measure that misallocation, which is 1-9 the size of the Harberger triangle www.economicforces.xyz/p/price-cont...

Price controls cause chaos

Price controls are worse than you think

www.economicforces.xyz

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Valerie Mueller

VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 2d

🆕 Integrating refugees: What policies work best?

Today on VoxDevTalks, Dany Bahar (@watsonschoolbrown.bsky.social) & Giovanni Peri (@ucdavis.bsky.social) discuss the long-term gains of early, well-sequenced policies for both refugees and host economies.

🔗 Link below ⤵️

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Raúl Pacheco-Vega

Heather Randell @heatherrandell.bsky.social · 2d

Believe it or not, it’s nice here in winter too 🩵❄️🩵

Luminary Loppet on Lake of the Isles.

Ice sculptures at the Minneapolis Institute of Art

Pulling a sled through the city

Walking on a frozen Lake Harriet

Reposted by Brian A. Nosek, Dan Goldhaber, Brendan Nyhan , and 31 more Brian A. Nosek, Dan Goldhaber, Brendan Nyhan, James P. Collins, Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Ruth Dassonneville, Alistair Munro, Jörg Peters, Brian Schaffner, Caroline Krafft, Philip N. Cohen, Alexander Wuttke, John Holbein, Justin H. Kirkland, Chris Hanretty, Scott Clifford, Valerie Mueller, Michael Kevane, Flávio Azevedo, Max Nathan, Veli‐Matti Karhulahti, Philip Cowley, Julia Lynch, Juan Moreno‐Cruz, Madeleine Pownall, Patrick Präg, Marcus Credé, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte, Tom Louwerse, Aleksandra Urman, Samuel Coavoux, Jake Anders, Roman Senninger, Joan Dudney

Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 2d

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Dani Sandler @dismalscientist86.bsky.social · 3d

New Census Working Paper: "A Shock by Any Other Name? Reconsidering the Impacts of Local Demand Shocks" by Sean Bassler, Kevin Rinz, David Wasser, and Abigail Wozniak

www.census.gov/library/work...

A Shock by Any Other Name? Reconsidering the Impacts of Local Demand Shocks

Different local labor demand shocks lead to different employment and migration responses. Bartik shocks are associated with significant effects on both margins.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 3d

Evidence from Senegal shows that teenage girls spend less time on caregiving and complete more years of education after the death of an elderly household member, indicating that the burden of caring for dependent relatives affects girls’ schooling.

Read today's article to learn more:

Impact of the death shock on girls’ schooling and caregiving work by age group

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 3d

🆕 How expanding preschools transformed Argentina

Today on VoxDev w/ Samuel Berlinski (IDB), Guillermo Cruces (San Andres), Sebastian Galiani (Maryland), Paul Gertler (UC Berkeley Haas) & Fabian Gonzalez (Yale): https://ow.ly/59wC50YcHUL

How expanding preschools transformed Argentina

Investments in early education can generate strong long-run human-capital and demographic gains in middle-income countries. New evidence shows that Argentina’s large-scale expansion of pre-primary education in the 1990s substantially increased completed schooling, reduced fertility, and delivered high economic returns.

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Caroline Krafft

Claire Adida @claireadida.bsky.social · 3d

The home healthcare workforce is disproportionately comprised of immigrants, and it's certainly not because they take jobs US-born folks want. As a result, "a 25% increase in the steady state flow of immigrants to the US would result in 5,000 fewer deaths nationwide."

Is Immigration Good for Health? The Effect of Immigration on Older Adult Mortality in the United States

Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Rebecca Brückmann @historleans.bsky.social · 3d

Dear Blueskies, question: could you recommend a recent-ish, peer reviewed study on implicit/unconscious bias in faculty hiring? I know the classics, but I am wondering what new(ish) research is out there that could be used in a workshop setting. Thank you very much! #AcademicSky #EduSky 🗃️

Reposted by Elizabeth Saunders, Peter Thorne, Caroline Krafft , and 7 more Elizabeth Saunders, Peter Thorne, Caroline Krafft, Eric Goldman, Michelle Everson, Smith, Julia Lynch, Jason Lyall, Ann Bartow, David Darmofal

Chanda Prescod-Weinstein 🌌 @chanda.blacksky.app · 3d

Friends from Minneapolis reporting to me that things are at the point where folks are being hidden in other people's houses and we are in the "again" part of "never again" which the "never" was supposed to preclude

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Joanne Freeman @jbf1755.bsky.social · 4d

Kids of immigrants aren’t going to school out of fear of being grabbed.

Not only no school, but also, no free meals.

So folks in Minnesota are distributing food.

(gift article)

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/d...

Hungry Families, ICE and Secret Grocery Networks in Minneapolis

www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Aaron Sojourner

Julia Coronado @jc-econ.bsky.social · 4d

The Employment Cost Index shows continued deceleration in compensation growth in Q4. All metrics of wage growth are slowing even as inflation has gotten stuck confirming that labor demand < greatly reduced labor supply

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 4d

Digital cash transfers can be delivered even in active conflict settings like Sudan and can significantly protect vulnerable households – especially in the most insecure areas – from worsening food insecurity, though their impacts vary by context and household characteristics.

Read today's article:

The impact of digital transfers is higher among states controlled by RSF