Ted Loch-Temzelides
tedloch.bsky.social
Ted Loch-Temzelides
@tedloch.bsky.social

Mitchell Professor in Sustainable Development, Baker Institute for Public Policy, Rice University. Game theory & mathematical modeling in economics, ecology, and epidemiology. Science-based policy. Erdős #4
https://sites.google.com/view/ted-loch-temzelides .. more

Economics 70%
Energy 12%
New @nberpubs: "The Economic Impact of Brexit" www.nber.org/papers/w34459
"by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time." 😲

Reposted by Ted Temzelides

David Gale’s work was diverse and impactful in math and econ
#econsky
David Gale (1921-2008) remembered, with a (belated) 100th birthday volume
marketdesigner.blogspot.com

After 13 years in the US, I’ve made the difficult decision to leave. Having packed up everything and rethought about priorities, rather painstakingly, while I’m sad to leave the life I’ve made here, I’m also relieved that I won’t have to plan my life around immigration policies anymore.

Reposted by Ted Temzelides

The five biggest meat and dairy producers are generating more methane than the largest oil and gas firms, according to a new report.
Biggest Meat Producers Unleashing More Methane Than Biggest Oil Firms
e360.yale.edu
Ah! Good morning, reality. And welcome. We’ve been expecting you…

Reposted by Ted Temzelides

More measles in South Carolina as US nears 1,600 confirmed cases

South Carolina officials said all new case-patients were in quarantine before they contracted the disease.

www.cidrap.umn.edu/m...

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Paper for next weeks Biodiversity COP in AbuDhabi. Special issue of IUCN Parks. We need a UN Global Convention on Freshwater for humanity and biodiversity.
Parksjournal.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/5.-DOBSON.PDF
Parksjournal.com
Today my @nytimes.com colleagues and I are launching a new series called Lost Science. We interview US scientists who can no longer discover something new about our world, thanks to this year‘s cuts. Here is my first interview with a scientist who studied bees and fires. Gift link: nyti.ms/3IWXbiE
nyti.ms

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CIDRAP is hiring a Deputy Director, who, in addition to other duties, will serve as a liaison between CIDRAP and other areas of UMN, so must either live in the Twin Cities area or have the ability to relocate upon accepting the position. Apply today!

hr.myu.umn.edu/jobs/...

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Kidney exchange has given rise to work not only in medicine but in economics, computer science and operations research.
#econsky #operations
marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2025/09/kidn...
Kidney exchange in Operations Research (and elsewhere)
marketdesigner.blogspot.com
Awesome faculty position alert! Tenure-track assistant professor position in Evolutionary Biology, with a focus on organismal responses to environmental change.

Please help spread the word!
apply.interfolio.com/173889
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
apply.interfolio.com

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🚨 JOB ALERT! Our group is recruiting a postdoc to develop novel methodologies for early outbreak detection and inference using AI/ML, modeling, and data science. This is a multi-year position providing stable research support. Welcome to apply and share with others!

👉 apply.interfolio.com/173722
RFK Jr. went on Fox News today to claim that HHS has had “no successes” in the past 40 years.

I beg to differ.

Figure from Lei et al., NEJM 2020. Link below.
Trump’s reelection was the tipping point. In April, Matthias Doepke sold his house and permanently moved his family to England to teach at the London School of Economics and Political Science.
This Northwestern professor fled the US under Trump. He hasn’t looked back.
Trump’s reelection was the tipping point. In April, Matthias Doepke sold his house and permanently moved his family to England to teach at the London School of Economics and Political Science.
www.chicagotribune.com
9 CDC Directors going back to 1977 speak out. What RFK Jr has done to our nation’s public health system "should alarm every American."

It "is unlike anything we have ever seen at the agency, and unlike anything our country has ever experienced." www.nytimes.com/2025/09/01/o...
Opinion | We Ran the C.D.C.: Kennedy Is Endangering Every American’s Health
www.nytimes.com
This firefighter arrived in the US at age 4, has been here for 19 years, was on track to legal status, and was on a crew trying to contain a major blaze (in Washington state, vs Oregon, fwiw.)

h/t @joshuajfriedman.com

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Firefighter arrested by US border agents was on track for legal status, lawyers say
Lawyers say arrest of man fighting Bear Gulch fire in Oregon was illegal and demand immediate release from detention
www.theguardian.com

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I have an unusual problem with the elimination of the "de minimis" tariff exemption. When I give talks abroad, the host often offers a lovely but awkward gift — say, a 20 lb coffee table book on the history of their city. So I ask them to mail it. No more. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Postal services around the world suspend deliveries to US: how will it affect you?
Suspensions including from Australia and Europe come after Donald Trump removed a rule exempting parcels worth less than US$800 from his tariffs
www.theguardian.com

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An op-ed from the world’s most distinguished active mathematician
I’m an award-winning mathematician. Trump just cut my funding.
The “Mozart of Math” tried to stay out of politics. Then it came for his research.
newsletter.ofthebrave.org

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JAMA reports on the latest estimates of COVID vaccine effectiveness
“COVID-19 vaccinations averted 2.5 million deaths during 2020-2024… but this benefit was mostly limited to a minority of the population of older individuals."
#vaccine #covid #medicine
marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2025/08/covi...
Covid vaccines saved millions of lives, mostly of older people
marketdesigner.blogspot.com
1. "'Trusting the experts is not a feature of either a science or democracy," Kennedy said."

It's literally a vital feature of both science and of representative democracy.

I've written a fair bit about trust in expertise as a vital mechanism in the collective epistemology of science.
RFK Jr. in interview with Scripps News: ‘Trusting the experts is not science’
HHS Secretary RFK Jr. sat down with Scripps News for a wide-ranging interview, discussing mRNA vaccine funding policy changes and a recent shooting at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
www.scrippsnews.com
Let's focus on qualifications: Antoni finished grad school 5 years ago at Northern Illinois with no distinction. Dissertation: No focus on labor or data collection. Zero publications. One lifetime citation (by a former colleague).

This record would not earn you a job as junior economist at BLS.
Trump's nominee for BLS commissioner, EJ Antoni, is disastrously terrible. He's a 1200%, 1300% maybe 1400% in-the-tank Trumper, with few credentials beyond a history of misrepresenting or misunderstanding economic statistics. He has shown no commitment to truth
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
www.washingtonpost.com
Trump's nominee for BLS commissioner, EJ Antoni, is disastrously terrible. He's a 1200%, 1300% maybe 1400% in-the-tank Trumper, with few credentials beyond a history of misrepresenting or misunderstanding economic statistics. He has shown no commitment to truth
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
www.washingtonpost.com

Congrats, Noah!
1. Federal funding for research promotes tech, biomedical, and scientific discovery in the US, and provides training for the sci/tech workforce that has brought immeasurable wealth to the US over the past 75 years.

Today's executive order includes a provision that will obliterate both functions.
Improving Oversight of Federal Grantmaking
By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, and to improve the process of Federal
www.whitehouse.gov
RFK Jr and his GOP enablers are determined to undermine safe, effective mRNA vaccine technology that offers our best defense against future pandemics.
RFK Jr. pulls $500 million in funding for vaccine development
The Department of Health and Human Services plans to cancel contracts and pull funding for some vaccines being developed to fight respiratory viruses like COVID-19 and the flu.
apnews.com
Every reputable expert I know considers mRNA vaccine technology to be one of the most revolutionary advances in medicine in our lifetimes. Its inventors won the Nobel Prize in 2023. Shutting it down now is pointless self-harm to humanity.
Release from HHS: HHS will wind down its development of the mRNA vaccine development activities under the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA).

US universities missed a great chance to effectively fight all this when they chose to go for individual deals as opposed to hold a single unified line. Any university (or country for that matter) alone is bound to be in a weak bargaining position against a hostile US government.