Greg Linden
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glinden.bsky.social
Greg Linden
@glinden.bsky.social

an internet relic, linkedin.com/in/glinden

Business 56%
Economics 33%

My understanding of Wikipedia is content mostly controlled by a group of ~50k frequent editors, with infrequent or anonymous contributions reviewed and often reversed? Bigger but not too different than open source software projects or academic journals? AI slop is going to be a pain for all though.

Reposted by Greg Linden

“Russia’s economy hasn’t collapsed. It has entered the “death zone”—surviving by consuming its own future. Growth at 1%. Budget deficit rising. Military sector expands while civilian industry shrinks. Interest payments > education + healthcare. No climber survives this altitude forever.”
Russia’s economy has entered the death zone
Alexandra Prokopenko wonders how much longer it can go on metabolising its own muscle tissue
www.economist.com

Reposted by Greg Linden

Dow 50,000 seems like an extraordinary headline, until... you add some context.

The aggregate stock market return during the second Trump presidency ranks as 21st out of 23 developed countries.

Here's my youtube-splaination.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=QYL5...
"Dow 50,000" Sound Nice. Until Justin Wolfers Shows You That U.S. Markets Are Coming 21st Out of 23.
What does “Dow 50,000” actually tell you—anything about the economy, or just that a number got bigger? Dow 50,000 is a milestone, not a measurement. The level of the Dow is basically arbitrary: it’s…
www.youtube.com

Reposted by Greg Linden

pretty stunning chart

Reposted by Greg Linden

"You have agency. Things don't have to suck." is basically the thesis of my entire career & life.

I explain what I mean -- politically, socially, emotionally -- in this convo about our year of hosting weekly dinners. forevers.substack.com/p/friendship...
Feds now personalist and extortionate all the way down: FDA suggests “Moderna might have more luck with a second, narrower request for approval if the company showed some ‘humility’ when it made the submission.”
Today as always, @citizencohn.bsky.social is a must read. Here he is on the massive danger to public health of the latest anti-vax actions by Trump’s and RFK’s FDA.

open.substack.com/pub/thebulwa...
This Is What Destroying the Vaccine Market Looks Like
A shocking move by RFK Jr.’s team has the industry spooked—for good reason.
open.substack.com
New post about tariffs. Last week two reports found that foreigners have borne very little of the cost. But the CPI came in somewhat soft. Is there a contradiction? As I explain, no.

paulkrugman.substack.com/p/who-is-pay...
Who Is Paying the Trump Tariffs?
A wonkish guide for the confused
paulkrugman.substack.com
How many times, in how many contexts, in how many ways am I going to have to say that this is what "AI" does— what it fundamentally *is*— before it sinks in? That all Bullshit engines do is statistically correlate training data & inputs via their weights to produce outputs you are likely to accept…
The President, two of his current Cabinet secretaries, his former strategist, his biggest donor, and his pending Fed Chair nominee are all in the files of a pedophile who ran a sex trafficking ring, while the attorney general and a former Cabinet secretary let him get away with it.

Seems kinda bad?
At least half a dozen top Trump administration officials appear in the Jeffrey Epstein files
The degree to which each individual was connected to Epstein varies significantly, from a single email to years of communications.
www.nbcnews.com
Been thinking about how the government that follows Trump's must constantly demonstrate to both Americans and the world that Trumpism is over. The rule of law is nothing more than a series of expectations and as such, strong and obvious signals must be sent that this shit does not fly any longer.
Utterly unacceptable in a democracy. In a sane world, House Republicans would be drafting impeachment articles today and Senate Republicans would be preparing for a trial to convict and remove him from office

Reposted by Greg Linden

The CIA World Factbook has been a great source of data over the years. As of 10 days ago it is just gone with a bland announcement. And the archives, e.g., the-world-factbook/about/archives/2021 @ www cia gov have vanished. Wayback machine has them. The announcement: www.cia.gov/stories/stor...
Spotlighting The World Factbook as We Bid a Fond Farewell - CIA
www.cia.gov
Utterly unacceptable in a democracy. In a sane world, House Republicans would be drafting impeachment articles today and Senate Republicans would be preparing for a trial to convict and remove him from office

Reposted by Greg Linden

A deep dive into a global money-laundering ecosystem powered by crypto and messaging apps like WeChat and Telegram, used by drug cartels and criminal groups (Jessica Brice/Bloomberg)

Main Link | Techmeme Permalink
The one thing that has absolutely consistently shocked me about Trump 2.0 is how weak PhRMA (Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America), which has a dozen offices and a team of lobbyists most orgs would kill for, actually is.

Reposted by Greg Linden

I would take these forecasts more seriously if a) anybody ever followed up on them or b) if the prognosticators made it interesting. Is he prepared to put some metrics on that and stake a large amount of his money on this forecast?
The commander in chief telling troops who they have to vote for is itself a presidency ending impeachable scandal.
"You have to vote for us.”
Trump tells soldiers to vote GOP in campaign-style rally at Fort Bragg
Army policy prohibits partisan displays, and most service members refrained from cheering.
www.washingtonpost.com

Reposted by Greg Linden

Nice write up of @zachweinersmith.bsky.social ‘s delightful Bea Wolf in today’s NYT book review. “Technically a children’s book…” is a great way to describe it.
Just a reminder that the UC system was not a party in this litigation. Faculty, staff and the @aaup.org fought on their own. UCLA, and the entire UC system, should be ashamed of themselves, and their leaders should be reminded of their submissives every day.

Reposted by Greg Linden

There is so much fretting about trust in news these days. Maybe there shouldn’t be. My latest, on how Bezos won my misplaced trust the same way the media often did: by telling me what I wanted to hear. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/14/o...
Opinion | Why Did I Trust Jeff Bezos?
www.nytimes.com
And this injunction has an unusual character. It is forward-looking as well as backward-looking. It says the Trump administration agrees, first, not to suspend or block or "refuse to grant" any type of grants to the UCs based on allegations of supposed violations of Title VI, unless...
This is a genuinely huge, sweeping victory today for the University of California—or rather, for us, its faculty, acting through our faculty associations, while the UC itself maintained a strict policy of deer-in-headlights silence.

The Trump admin has given up its appeal of a powerful injunction:
Trump administration drops appeal of court order blocking $1.2-billion UCLA settlement
The Trump administration dropped its appeal of a major higher education case in which a federal judge blocked its $1.2-billion settlement proposal to UCLA over alleged civil rights violations. It will...
www.latimes.com
New economic research: "We estimate that by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time."
The Economic Costs of Brexit on the UK | Econofact
Brexit has had a substantial economic impact on the United Kingdom, with adverse effects on investment, productivity, employment, and growth.
econofact.org
New story up on the Homeland Security Department’s new tactic: flood social media companies with subpoenas to unmask anonymous accounts that criticize ICE or monitor the movements of ICE agents.

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/13/t...
Homeland Security Wants Social Media Sites to Expose Anti-ICE Accounts
www.nytimes.com
Bluesky is the new science Twitter, new study by @whysharksmatter.bsky.social and Julia Wester concludes!

"Results show that for every reported professional benefit that scientists once gained from Twitter, scientists can now gain that benefit more effectively on Bluesky than on Twitter."
Scientists no Longer Find Twitter Professionally Useful, and have Switched to Bluesky
Synopsis. Social media has become widely used by the scientific community for a variety of professional uses, including networking and public outreach. For
academic.oup.com

Reposted by Greg Linden

Premium Newsletter: AI data centers are low-margin, high-capex time bombs with low gross margins possible only in perfect circumstances, fueled by junk-grade debt. Without $100bn+ in new, non-hyperscaler demand by 2028, the majority of these loans go unpaid.
www.wheresyoured.at/data-center-...
Premium: The AI Data Center Financial Crisis
Since the beginning of 2023, big tech has spent over $814 billion in capital expenditures, with a large portion of that going towards meeting the demands of AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic.  B...
www.wheresyoured.at
i think this is what drives me nuts. people talk about how, say, the UN was founded by "starry eyed idealists" who didn't understand "reality." the truth is that the UN was founded by those who had just fought and *won* the bloodiest war in human history.