Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte
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turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte
@turnbulldugarte.com
5.5K followers 1.3K following 800 posts

Political scientist 🇿🇦🏳️‍🌈
Associate Editor POQ, EJPG, and R&P
he/him

Far-right, social identities, & electoral behaviour

Writing a book on LGBTQ voters for PUP 🏳️‍🌈🗳️

http://turnbulldugarte.com/

#ihadablackdog
https://youtu.be/XiCrniLQGYc?si=q-gQTNXfScmgtl4k .. more

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Political science 71%
Psychology 8%
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turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · Sep 5
Radical right accommodation really does not work.

New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk

doi.org/10.31235/osf...

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 13m
Have made it into the House politics lesson series and can now happily retire

www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...

Reposted by David M. Farrell, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

stefanmueller.bsky.social
Stefan Müller @stefanmueller.bsky.social · 5h
UCD Graduate Studies and I have produced a Research Group Handbook template for supervisors and researchers.
The template outlines core topics, resources, and policies that groups can adapt to their needs.

➡️ Template and details: www.ucd.ie/graduatestud...

@ucddublin.bsky.social
1/2
Title page of Research Group Handbook Poster on building community through a reserach group handbook, presented at the 2025 All-Island Research Culture Network Conference in Belfast.

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

zachdickson.bsky.social
Zach Dickson @zachdickson.bsky.social · 1d
We actually have a paper that finds exactly that!

osf.io/preprints/so...

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 1d
Was not aware that prolific did ID validation in their recruitment which at least allow us to say that the/a real respondent did exist at some point.
phe-lim.bsky.social phelimb @phe-lim.bsky.social · 1d
I disagree. AFAIK, this was not run on Prolific, and we already have the majority of Sean's recommendations in place.
Ongoing Panelist Validation ✅
Throttling Mechanisms ✅
Panelist Professionalism ✅
Panelist Quality Checks ✅
Location Checks ✅
Identity Validation ✅
Secure Software 🟠 (partial)

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

phe-lim.bsky.social
phelimb @phe-lim.bsky.social · 1d
I disagree. AFAIK, this was not run on Prolific, and we already have the majority of Sean's recommendations in place.
Ongoing Panelist Validation ✅
Throttling Mechanisms ✅
Panelist Professionalism ✅
Panelist Quality Checks ✅
Location Checks ✅
Identity Validation ✅
Secure Software 🟠 (partial)

Reposted by Will Jennings, Sara B. Hobolt, Federica Genovese , and 1 more

zachdickson.bsky.social
Zach Dickson @zachdickson.bsky.social · 1d
🚨 New working paper 🚨

We often see populist parties like Reform UK blame higher energy bills on climate change policies. What are the political consequences of this strategy?

Very early draft; comments and criticisms are welcomed!

full draft: z-dickson.github.io/assets/dicks...

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

zdgreene.bsky.social
⭕⭕⭕ Z Greene ⭕⭕⭕ @zdgreene.bsky.social · 2d
Something is going on with this supposed AI analysis the UK EHRC undertook this summer on guidance regarding the UK Supreme Courts ruling on gender.-- It is almost certainly a purposeful manipulation or otherwise they wouldn't be so afraid of revealing it's results.
tacc.org.uk/2025/09/05/c...
Consultation in name only: EHRC blocks MPs and public from seeing the evidence - tacc.org.uk
The Equality and Human Rights Commission has quietly locked the evidence away. A Freedom of Information disclosure shows the Commission will not release its consultation report on the draft Code of Practice until after the Code has been laid before Parliament and has become statutory guidance. That means the analysis the EHRC says supports its
tacc.org.uk

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 2d
I doubt that I will ever be able to include a better footnote.
Screengrab of endnotes for a book chapter where endnote #6 "In the spirit of erasing any reasonable doubt in the readers mind, I can confirm that, yes, I am a homosexual." is highlighted.

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 6d
That’s what makes this a good empirical question.

Is positional accommodation still just about immigration, or are other ‘second dimension’ issues spilling over too? and - if so - does accommodation work? I don’t know the answer but I suspect, based on case of immigration, that it doesn’t.

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7d
I get that much of the research on mainstream parties’ positional accommodation of far-right challengers tends to focus on immigration since that is the issue where they have the strongest ownership, but perhaps climate-sceptical turns needs more attention.

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

eldiario.es
elDiario.es @eldiario.es · 7d
‼️ÚLTIMA HORA | El PP se alía en Europa con la ultraderecha a favor del negacionismo climático
El PP se alía en Europa con la ultraderecha a favor del negacionismo climático
Los conservadores europeos rompen su compromiso de no colaborar con la ultraderecha y votan a favor de reducir las exigencias medioambientales a las empresas. El Partido Popular español además ha vot...
www.eldiario.es

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7d
💯

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7d
Huge congratulations Honorata! 👏🏽

Reposted by Dorothy Bishop, Stefanie Walter, Jonathan Hopkin , and 3 more

benbraun.bsky.social
Benjamin Braun @benbraun.bsky.social · 8d
The central argument in this excellent paper & thread is that the open-access turn has neglected profit; indeed, it turbo-charged publishers’ margins. As political economists who know a thing or two about profit and power we should speak up a lot more. As it says below: What we’re doing is crazy.
hansonmark.bsky.social Mark A. Hanson @hansonmark.bsky.social · 9d
We wrote the Strain on scientific publishing to highlight the problems of time & trust. With a fantastic group of co-authors, we present The Drain of Scientific Publishing:

a 🧵 1/n

Drain: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820
Strain: direct.mit.edu/qss/article/...
Oligopoly: direct.mit.edu/qss/article/...
A table showing profit margins of major publishers. A snippet of text related to this table is below. 1. The four-fold drain 1.1 Money Currently, academic publishing is dominated by profit-oriented, multinational companies for whom scientific knowledge is a commodity to be sold back to the academic community who created it. The dominant four are Elsevier, Springer Nature, Wiley and Taylor & Francis, which collectively generated over US$7.1 billion in revenue from journal publishing in 2024 alone, and over US$12 billion in profits between 2019 and 2024 (Table 1A). Their profit margins have always been over 30% in the last five years, and for the largest publisher (Elsevier) always over 37%. Against many comparators, across many sectors, scientific publishing is one of the most consistently profitable industries (Table S1). These financial arrangements make a substantial difference to science budgets. In 2024, 46% of Elsevier revenues and 53% of Taylor & Francis revenues were generated in North America, meaning that North American researchers were charged over US$2.27 billion by just two for-profit publishers. The Canadian research councils and the US National Science Foundation were allocated US$9.3 billion in that year. A figure detailing the drain on researcher time. 1. The four-fold drain 1.2 Time The number of papers published each year is growing faster than the scientific workforce, with the number of papers per researcher almost doubling between 1996 and 2022 (Figure 1A). This reflects the fact that publishers’ commercial desire to publish (sell) more material has aligned well with the competitive prestige culture in which publications help secure jobs, grants, promotions, and awards. To the extent that this growth is driven by a pressure for profit, rather than scholarly imperatives, it distorts the way researchers spend their time. The publishing system depends on unpaid reviewer labour, estimated to be over 130 million unpaid hours annually in 2020 alone (9). Researchers have complained about the demands of peer-review for decades, but the scale of the problem is now worse, with editors reporting widespread difficulties recruiting reviewers. The growth in publications involves not only the authors’ time, but that of academic editors and reviewers who are dealing with so many review demands. Even more seriously, the imperative to produce ever more articles reshapes the nature of scientific inquiry. Evidence across multiple fields shows that more papers result in ‘ossification’, not new ideas (10). It may seem paradoxical that more papers can slow progress until one considers how it affects researchers’ time. While rewards remain tied to volume, prestige, and impact of publications, researchers will be nudged away from riskier, local, interdisciplinary, and long-term work. The result is a treadmill of constant activity with limited progress whereas core scholarly practices – such as reading, reflecting and engaging with others’ contributions – is de-prioritized. What looks like productivity often masks intellectual exhaustion built on a demoralizing, narrowing scientific vision. A table of profit margins across industries. The section of text related to this table is below: 1. The four-fold drain 1.1 Money Currently, academic publishing is dominated by profit-oriented, multinational companies for whom scientific knowledge is a commodity to be sold back to the academic community who created it. The dominant four are Elsevier, Springer Nature, Wiley and Taylor & Francis, which collectively generated over US$7.1 billion in revenue from journal publishing in 2024 alone, and over US$12 billion in profits between 2019 and 2024 (Table 1A). Their profit margins have always been over 30% in the last five years, and for the largest publisher (Elsevier) always over 37%. Against many comparators, across many sectors, scientific publishing is one of the most consistently profitable industries (Table S1). These financial arrangements make a substantial difference to science budgets. In 2024, 46% of Elsevier revenues and 53% of Taylor & Francis revenues were generated in North America, meaning that North American researchers were charged over US$2.27 billion by just two for-profit publishers. The Canadian research councils and the US National Science Foundation were allocated US$9.3 billion in that year. The costs of inaction are plain: wasted public funds, lost researcher time, compromised scientific integrity and eroded public trust. Today, the system rewards commercial publishers first, and science second. Without bold action from the funders we risk continuing to pour resources into a system that prioritizes profit over the advancement of scientific knowledge.

Reposted by Will Jennings, Tim Bale, Ben Worthy , and 4 more

jaclarner.bsky.social
Jac Larner @jaclarner.bsky.social · 9d
🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇
Boris Johnson toasting one of the gatherings in Downing Street which breached Covid lockdown rules

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 9d
🫶🏽

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

johnholbein1.bsky.social
John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 9d
The current housing market is the ultimate form of birth control.

Reposted by Matthijs Rooduijn, Claire L. Adida, Caterina Froio , and 2 more

denis-cohen.bsky.social
Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 10d
Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 11d
Ha! I can proudly say I have never been an owner of such a watch but I believe it was the #1 Christmas present for young women a few years ago

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 12d
bsky.app/profile/turn...

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte, Tarik Abou‐Chadi

theguardian.com
The Guardian @theguardian.com · 12d
UK to announce plans to emulate stringent Danish immigration system
UK to announce plans to emulate stringent Danish immigration system
Proposals draw scorn from some Labour MPs who say it is a ‘dangerous path’ to take, while others want the government to go further Shabana Mahmood is to announce changes to the UK’s immigration rules modelled on the Danish system, largely seen as among the most stringent in Europe, the Guardian understands. Last month, the home secretary dispatched officials to Denmark to study its border control and asylum policies. The country’s tighter rules on family reunions and restricting some refugees to a temporary stay are among the policies being looked at. Continue reading...
www.theguardian.com

turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 12d
We need to study the turn in public support for VOX (plurality pref. among spanish young) from normal to something ‘cool’ & ‘edgy’. Support for VOX is worn, often *literally* on wrists, as a badge of honour that signals, like a Michael Kors watch, as a symbol of being part of the trendy club
kikollan.llaneras.es Kiko Llaneras @kikollan.llaneras.es · 12d
El giro es también visible con los partidos que van a votar los jóvenes 18-29 años:

• Vox primera fuerza (27%)
• La derecha ganaría 52% a 37%
• PP + Vox >>> PP + Cs

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

kikollan.llaneras.es
Kiko Llaneras @kikollan.llaneras.es · 12d
El giro es también visible con los partidos que van a votar los jóvenes 18-29 años:

• Vox primera fuerza (27%)
• La derecha ganaría 52% a 37%
• PP + Vox >>> PP + Cs

Reposted by Will Jennings, Nazita Lajevardi, Eric Hehman , and 1 more

joenoonan.se
Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 13d
Immigration raids during Trump II have increased daily student absences by 22 percent in the California Central Valley, with largest increases among the youngest students.

Reposted by Diane Coyle, Joanna Bryson, Ben H. Ansell , and 19 more

tabouchadi.bsky.social
Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 14d
We have just published the call for the Nuffield Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics. These are 3-year fully-funded postdocs that will allow you to focus on your research in a great academic environment. (And with excellent food)

www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics - Nuffield College Oxford University
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

queerseminar.bsky.social
Queer Politics Webinar @queerseminar.bsky.social · 14d
Curious about LGBTQ+ politics and protest movements? 🌈✊

Join us today!

Francesca Ammaturo will be talking about her brilliant new book exploring Pride events between local fights and global dynamics. See you there!

Reposted by Tim Bale, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

bjpols.bsky.social
British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 14d
NEW -

A Rainbow Ceiling? Sexual Orientation and Party Leader Evaluations - https://cup.org/47G8q7r

- Joseph Francesco Cozza, @gdilandro.bsky.social, Andrea Aldrich & @zeynsom.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract focused on how citizens evaluate lesbian and gay leaders, particularly in political contexts, and its impact on leadership evaluations compared to straight counterparts.

Reposted by Sabine Pahl, Naazneen H. Barma, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte , and 2 more

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
Political Studies Association @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social · 15d
*PSA EVENT* #Political #Psychology Seminar Series - Public perceptions of politicians with mental health problems in the UK with @stefaniereher.bsky.social, Rob Johns, @lbernardi.bsky.social by @psapolpsychology.bsky.social
📆 13 November
➡️ Full details and speakers
Political Psychology - Public perceptions of politicians with mental health problems in the UK | The Political Studies Association (PSA)
‘Public perceptions of politicians with mental health problems in the UK’ with Stefanie Reher (Strathclyde), with Rob Johns and Luca Bernardi 13 November – 12:00 to 13:00 In recent years, an…
buff.ly

Reposted by Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

lidiannz.bsky.social
Lidia Núñez Alañón @lidiannz.bsky.social · 15d
🗳️ Extremadura se convierte en el primer laboratorio electoral de un gobierno PP–Vox.

En mi artículo semanal de Simple Política analizo el adelanto electoral como una prueba sobre los efectos políticos de la normalización de la extrema derecha.

www.simplepolitica.com/adelanto-ele...
Adelanto electoral en Extremadura: midiendo el efecto PP-Vox - Simple Política
Las elecciones extremeñas medirán por primera vez en las urnas el efecto político de las coaliciones entre el Partido Popular y Vox.
www.simplepolitica.com