Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte
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turnbulldugarte.com
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte
@turnbulldugarte.com

Political scientist 🇿🇦🏳️‍🌈
he/him

http://turnbulldugarte.com/

#ihadablackdog
https://youtu.be/XiCrniLQGYc?si=q-gQTNXfScmgtl4k

Political science 71%
Psychology 8%
Pinned
You can also see a short summary & discussion of our @psrm.bsky.social paper @bbcmaryam.bsky.social’s excellent The World Today show from Monday 🦸‍♀️

doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Very happy to see this out in CPS! We study class identities and their social and political relevance over several decades in Britain, Denmark, Norway, and the US. A small thread:

journals.sagepub.com/eprint/SIRW4...
📈 Our key finding: the rural–urban divide didn’t grow gradually. It *jumped* in 2016. Support for Republicans became much more strongly associated with living in rural areas in 2016—and this pattern then remained stable in 2020.
Register to our upcoming seminar series, where speakers will explore the causes and consequences of the changing debate on immigration across Europe.

📌 Online & in person (Oxford)
⏰ Thursdays, 3:45–5:00 PM (GMT)
🌍 Free & open to all
🔗 zoom.us/meeting/regi...
Delighted to share my first single-authored article, now published in Parliamentary Affairs:
“Targeting the cereal woman: Campaigns, gender & Scottish independence”

🆓 Open access: tinyurl.com/85cxsefm
@hansardsociety.bsky.social @academic.oup.com

#GenderPolitics #BritishPolitics (🧵👇)
Targeting the cereal woman: Campaigns, gender, and Scottish independence
Abstract. How do political campaigns construct and mobilize voter identities in high-stakes constitutional contests? This article examines the 2014 Scottis
tinyurl.com

Not in time for Christmas but comfortably in time for Valentine’s day?
How I rebooted my social life <— a slightly more personal essay than usual, for New Year. (Free to read.)

takes.jamesomalley.co.uk/p/this-might...
How I rebooted my social life
Some self-help for the New Year
takes.jamesomalley.co.uk
One week left to apply - join us in Hamburg @politikuhh.bsky.social for the next years 👋
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Brigitte Bardot has been fined for racism multiple times, she called muslim immigrants "filthy", she openly supported the far right like few other celebrities in Europe. She was not "controversial," she was a hateful homophobe, racist and bigot.
Every election these days seems to be between an authoritarian, corrupt, and terrible person, who runs on security issues and anti-immigration, versus a seemingly nice, but somewhat boring person lacking visions. And then it is 50:50 who wins.
DOGE was A LOT less likely to cancel contracts from companies that donated money to Republicans than companies that donated to Democrats.

It’s almost as if perceptions of Santa’s politics reflect voters’ own politics 😱

doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

🤷Does tribal thinking toward ethnic out-groups shape policy support?

➡️Using visual conjoints in Germany and the Netherlands, @bertous.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com show that nativists support policies selectively based on group cues www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
I’ve found that many academics confuse their idiosyncratic tastes about how academic work should be done with laws that everyone else must follow.

This tendency shows up again and again in their feedback and advice.
NEW -

Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf

- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
Here's a relatively recent (2024) syllabus for an MA course on #farright #voting
Far Right voting: a new reading list - kai arzheimer
I'm sharing my syllabus on the radical right vote in Europe.
www.kai-arzheimer.com

Paper hopefully of interest to those in our past work on homonationalism and ilnew work on femonationalism and other types of selective liberalism among nativists
doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Selectively (il)liberal: theory and evidence on nativist disidentification | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core
Selectively (il)liberal: theory and evidence on nativist disidentification
doi.org

More details in @bertous.bsky.social’s thread.

Notes on process: this piece was desk rejected once and accepted after one round of revisions at PSRM.

In a pre-reg visual conjoint set-up based on a fictitious public consultation, *both* nativists and nativists reject policy recommendations from muslim associations.

@simonhix.bsky.social shared some feedback from his students on our apsr piece explaining that - if our theory holds - we would expect to see respondents move away from those exposed to the Muslim out-group regardless of whether they are opponents *or* proponents of a policy.

In this paper we ask: does the theory hold regardless of the policy type (femonationalism, homonationalism, econationalism) *and* the direction of the policy

In our first paper on instrumental inclusion we showed that people update their views on LGBTQ+ rights in response to out-group threat.

Here we extend the theory to test diverse cases of selective inclusion

doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
New publication with @turnbulldugarte.com in @psrm.bsky.social! 🧵

We study whether citizens’ liberal values are selective: do people support policies based on who promotes them?

Short answer: Yes, and it's driven by ethnic out-group disidentification. (1/11) 👇

doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Our neighbours at @tcdpoliticalsci.bsky.social are hiring 3 (!) tenure-track faculty members:

– Assistant Professor in Political Economy
– Assistant Professor in International Politics
– Assistant Professor in Political Science

Deadline: 15 Jan 2026
More details: jobs.tcd.ie
@tcddublin.bsky.social
Come and join us at the CEE - Centre d'études européennes et de politique comparée: we are looking for a new assistant professor in political science working on ecological transitions.
www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...
Recruitment - Assistant Professor (tenure track) in Political Science 2026
Recruitment 2026 - Sciences Po is recruiting two Assistant Professors (tenure track) in Political Science / Politics and Policy in/of Europe and the European Union
www.sciencespo.fr
🇪🇺🇩🇪 Published Today in @bjpols.bsky.social 🇮🇹🇫🇷

How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments:

shorturl.at/2ekBj

TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14
What the Democrats can learn from the UK Labour Party's complete implosion after moving right on immigration

www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o...
📣📣📣 GREAT, time-sensitive opportunity for senior/mid-career scholars to join us in Madrid at UC3M´s social sciences department (UC3M-ATRAE Program 2026) on an attractive pay+research funds package 📣📣📣

This does NOT happen everyday.

THREAD below if this is of interest 1/n
For the historical polling nerds out there, an article about our project with @ropercenter.bsky.social that digitised ~800 surveys by Gallup poll in Britain between 1955 and 1991 has been published in JEPOP. The merged dataset contains over three-quarters of a million respondents.
Revealing long-term trajectories of public opinion and polling in Britain: a new resource of historical data from the Gallup Poll in Britain, 1955–1991
From the 1930s to early 2000s, the British affiliate and later subsidiary of the Gallup Organization conducted around three thousand surveys of public opinion in Great Britain. While the records of...
www.tandfonline.com