David Brady
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davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady
@davebrady72.bsky.social
5.1K followers 2K following 1.1K posts

Public policy professor, Price School USC @priceschool.usc.edu, father, poverty/social policy/racial inequality/immigration/policymakers, posts do not speak for employer, https://bradydave.wordpress.com

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Sociology 13%
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davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · Oct 26
More than 1 million refugees migrated to Germany in 2015-2016.

How did this affect Germans’ exclusionary beliefs & behaviors?

New at American Journal of Sociology w/Giesselmann & @tabeanaujoks.bsky.social

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
The Increase in Refugees to Germany and Exclusionary Beliefs and Behaviors1 | American Journal of Sociology: Vol 130, No 3
In 2015–16, Germany experienced a rapid and controversial increase in refugees that varied substantially across German districts. This increase provides unique leverage for analyzing how fractionaliza...
www.journals.uchicago.edu

Reposted by David Brady, Aaron Sojourner

arindube.bsky.social
Arin Dube @arindube.bsky.social · 22h
When states like Colorado passed policies requiring employers to disclose salary information in job postings, what happened?

It increased competition, and raised wages, without harming employment or changing skill requirements.

Improved functioning of markets, helped workers.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 1d
Agreed - thanks for posting.

Reposted by David Brady, Miles Corak, Bruce Buchan

jlynch13.bsky.social
Julia Lynch @jlynch13.bsky.social · 1d
This may be the best thing ive read yet on AI in higher ed, and its written by a Yale undergrad. Highly recommend.
Inside Yale’s Quiet Reckoning with AI | The New Journal
Amid ChatGPT's rising popularity and a computer science cheating scandal, Yale students, professors, and administrators wrestle privately with the proper role of AI in education. What happens when eve...
thenewjournalatyale.com

Reposted by Cas Mudde, Daniela Gabor, Lisa W. Fazio , and 34 more

econmarshall.bsky.social
Marshall Steinbaum @econmarshall.bsky.social · 2d
The emails have Summers reporting to Epstein about his attempts to date a Harvard economics student & to hit on her during a seminar she was giving.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 5d
Only real apples to apples comparison is net of arrest and trial. Otherwise you’re comparing apples and oranges. Read more than the abstract - it’s great work and worth it.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 5d
Someone thought it was a good idea to make this guy president of one of the world’s best universities.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 5d
That compelling figure shows most of the Colorado River goes to agriculture. And most of that goes to alfalfa to feed cows.

While cities have done a remarkable job on water conservation, the biggest problem is basically beef.

www.latimes.com/environment/...
Hay grown for cattle consumes nearly half the water drawn from Colorado River, study finds
Much of the Colorado River's water is used for agriculture. A new study shows 46% of the water that is diverted is used to grow hay to feed cattle.
www.latimes.com

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 5d
That the Colorado River negotiations have grown urgent is clear, as @ianjames.bsky.social reports: www.latimes.com/environment/...

But I always feel best way to think about this issue is the figure James reported on in 2024.

Reposted by David Brady, Amir Attaran, Mark Rice , and 5 more

johnbrownstan.bsky.social
JB stan account @johnbrownstan.bsky.social · 5d
Stay classy Larry

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 5d
Compelling new article in Econometrica shows near zero long term effects of incarceration on earnings.

Notable given sociology’s strong emphasis on incarceration.

Better to understand this population as severely disadvantaged for many reasons beyond prisons.

ekrose.github.io/files/incar_...
ekrose.github.io

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 7d
I don’t actually know how much UCLA college football spends. But I bet it is surely more than ~$9 million. And I’d bet it spends similar amounts to peer college football programs.

I also would bet many college football programs spend more than the revenue they bring in.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 7d
In @latimes.com: “For the fiscal year 2024…UCLA reported $8.35 million in football ticket sales…and just $738,373 in revenue from game programs, novelties, parking and food and concessions.”

College football OFTEN does NOT making nearly as much $ as it spends.

www.latimes.com/sports/ucla/...
UCLA Unlocked: See you at SoFi? A stadium switch could come as soon as 2026
It's not a done deal yet, but the Bruins could abandon the Rose Bowl for SoFi Stadium as soon as next season.
www.latimes.com

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 10d
Interesting discussion on causality by @tvanheuvelen.bsky.social including our paper joint necessity of external, internal and construct validity:

substack.com/@asocial/not...
Inequality Readers. Generally, My Best Guess
IBE, in y.
substack.com

Reposted by David Brady, David L. Anderson

citizencohn.bsky.social
Citizen Cohn / Jonathan Cohn @citizencohn.bsky.social · 12d
So much to say about Nancy Pelosi, now retiring

Plausibly the most effective House leader of modern times

A telling episode, from early 2010 when Democrats were *this* close to giving up on what eventually became the ACA

us.macmillan.com/books/978125...
Excerpt from book, The Ten Year War meeting after the Massachusetts election, junior and vulnerable members lined up at the microphones, decrying reform as a “suicide mission.” Pelosi, with Hoyer at her side, heard out every one—and then made a speech of her own, declaring her determination to go forward because they had come so far. Chris Murphy, who in 2010 was finishing his second term representing a suburban House district outside Hartford, Connecticut, said later, “I just felt like the momentum was heading in the direction of surrender. Pelosi just did not allow it to happen. By sheer will, she turned that room around. People like me, I still wanted to do it but I don’t know that I had the confidence to stand up to this tidal wave. She breathed confidence into everybody in that room who wanted to stay the course.”

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 14d
This new trick in Economics of pretending almost everything everyone defines as the welfare state is not the welfare state…and then declaring PRE-distribution not redistribution drives inequality is not intellectually serious.

www.peoplespolicyproject.org/2025/10/26/d...
Do Predistribution People Know How to Read?
How many times will they fall for the same exact measurement tricks?
www.peoplespolicyproject.org

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d
Russ Roberts’ “Econ Talk” is one of the most interesting podcasts.

This episode with @davidbessis.bsky.social is truly fascinating.

It got me thinking we should train students to think of research as “a dialogue between intuition and evidence.”

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...
A Mind-Blowing Way of Looking at Math (with David Bessis)
Podcast Episode · EconTalk · 10/27/2025 · 1h 22m
podcasts.apple.com

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d
I feel this: “The reason I have no hope for my own team is that the man who owns the franchise will never try hard enough to reach the World Series. But after what happened to the Blue Jays, I see a silver lining: There are worse things than hopelessness.”

slate.com/culture/2025...
The World Series Outcome Was Astonishing—and, Frankly, Obscene
The Los Angeles Dodgers had so many dumb things go right at the exact right moment.
slate.com

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d
Plenty of lively nature-nurture debates could be had about this. Are the Irish just genetically superior and talented writers? Or is it culture at work that makes such high per capita writing skill?

-signed a proudly 3/8 Irish American….a fraction held by seemingly all Americans

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d
This Colin Sheridan is one helluva writer.
hrryan.bsky.social HR Ryan @hrryan.bsky.social · 15d
Here's the whole thing - I paid:

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d
Interesting episode in politics of data sharing in state welfare programs. Efforts to reduce administrative burdens & increase access led to unanticipated challenges.

www.latimes.com/california/s...
The feds want to know more about the people on food stamps. How Newsom responded
Gov. Gavin Newsom signed Assembly Bill 593 by Assemblymember Buffy Wicks, a Democrat from Oakland, that forbids state and local departments from sharing sensitive personal data to increase food stamp ...
www.latimes.com

Reposted by David Brady

hrryan.bsky.social
HR Ryan @hrryan.bsky.social · 15d
Here's the whole thing - I paid:

Reposted by David Brady, Julie L. Lockwood, Kevin Carey , and 5 more

docrevan.bsky.social
Doc Revan @docrevan.bsky.social · 16d
Did not expect one of the best paragraphs I’d read about baseball would come from an Irish newspaper

www.irishexaminer.com/sport-column...
And in that pause between pitch and contact - longer than logic, shorter than hope - we remembered why baseball existed long before we judged a sport's value by viral moments and betting apps. It is the romance of failure. The mortal beauty of trying and missing seven times out of 10 and still being considered great. It is the only sport where patience is a weapon, and panic the surest death. You cannot simply run out the clock in baseball; you must face it, pitch by terrifying pitch, until it finally releases you.

Reposted by Elizabeth Saunders, Will Jennings, David Brady , and 8 more

dandrezner.bsky.social
Daniel Drezner @dandrezner.bsky.social · 16d
just catching up on Bill Belichick’s disastrous year as UNC coach and discovering the exact mechanics of how he secured the job. www.theringer.com/2025/10/31/c...

Reposted by David Brady, Mary Feeney, David Darmofal

mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 17d
Studying social sciences & humanities makes students more left-leaning, controlling for initial views & major preference, driven by cultural views. Implies that if all students majored in business, college–noncollege ideological gap would shrink by 1/3
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Reposted by David Brady, Kate Starbird

billkristolbulwark.bsky.social
Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 19d
Another step in the de-professionalization and politicization of DOD.

"The head of an office that helps organize technical research and disburse billions of dollars for the Navy is being replaced by a 33-year-old former DOGEr with no apparent naval experience."

www.thebulwark.com/p/scoop-trum...
SCOOP: Trump Swaps Decorated Admiral With 33-Year-Old DOGEr
The highly unorthodox personnel change affects a critical government research role.
www.thebulwark.com

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 22d
And more concretely, compared to ten years ago, one would be pretty surprised if some sociologist tried to withhold replication materials.

Compared to 20 years ago, sociologists would get laughed out of the room for some of the crazy responses (eg by Abbott) Jeremy originally got.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 22d
We couldn’t have done this: bradydave.wordpress.com/wp-content/u... or this: bradydave.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...

Ten years ago. Demography is a big part of Soc too and has mainstreamed it.
bradydave.wordpress.com

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 22d
It’s subjective perception. But 10 years ago, it’d be very rare to see replication materials on sociologists’ and Soc journal websites. These days it feels more common. Plus, it’s raised in reviews more often. And one sees comments on original papers that were able to get replication materials.

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Mark A. Lemley, David Brady , and 21 more

anthonymkreis.bsky.social
Anthony Michael Kreis @anthonymkreis.bsky.social · 22d
May I present a former clerk to Justice Gorsuch.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 22d
I think it’s gotten somewhat better in past 10 years - even though I agree with your central point that sociology remains very behind. My sense is it was European sociologists that really were ahead of US sociologists. And US sociologists (esp at elite schools) were distinct laggards.