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climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt
@climateofgavin.bsky.social
37K followers 780 following 1.4K posts

Climate scientist, juggler. Bikes etc. Blogging at https://www.realclimate.org - data visualization, explainers, and debunking.

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Gavin A. Schmidt is a British climatologist, climate modeler and Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York, and co-founder of the climate science blog RealClimate. .. more

Environmental science 50%
Geology 21%
Posts Replies Media Videos

Reposted by Lisa W. Fazio, Gavin A. Schmidt, Joshua S. Weitz , and 6 more

peterhotezmdphd.bsky.social
Prof Peter Hotez MD PhD DSc(hon) @peterhotezmdphd.bsky.social · 7h
How awful. This is outright health disinformation, lying to the American people. Not only is there massive evidence showing no link between vaccines & autism, there’s not even a plausible mechanism based on what we’ve learned about the genetics of autism, some environmental exposures in pregnancy
sherylnyt.bsky.social Sheryl Gay Stolberg @sherylnyt.bsky.social · 8h
HEADS UP: CDC website now officially asserts that vaccines may cause autism.“Studies supporting a link have been ignored by health authorities.” Also says the “vaccines do not cause autism” header remains b/c of an agreement with Cassidy.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 10h
for some reason the original skeet was deleted, but it pointed to this CNN article:

www.msn.com/en-us/news/u...
MSN
www.msn.com

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 12h
More fundamentally, no map or line will ever be able to delineate ‘safe’ from ‘dangerous’ - risk is a continuum and we need to move to system that recognizes this instead.

Reposted by Kevin J. Anchukaitis

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 12h
The defense that this was just an adjustment based on better data is self-serving BS.

We do *not* know what the 100-yr flood level is - even if we had perfect DEMs.

Even if we had perfect historical data, non-stationarity means we don’t know what the level is *now*, let alone in the future.
“Now we have digital imagery. We have elevation to a 10th of an inch. We know what's actually in a 100-year floodplain."

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 12h
First, that the camp owners successfully petitioned to move the flood map line away from the most at risk cabins is unconscionable:
Most of the cabins had been located in FEMA's 100-year "Special Flood Hazard Area" up until 2013. That's when the camp petitioned FEMA to remove most of the cabins from floodplain maps, says the lawsuit filed by the families of five campers and two counselors. The move did nothing but spare the Eastlands costly insurance premiums and expensive renovations, the filing states.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 12h
This is heart-wrenching.

A few things about the FEMA flood maps though…

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 13h
This.

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

davidho.bsky.social
David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 14h
We're not doing a very good job of reducing CO₂ emissions from burning fossil fuels, but maybe we can do something about other greenhouse gases like CH₄ from leaky gas wells and pipes, belching cows, and rotting organic matter, N₂O from agriculture, and HFCs from refrigeration.
The fast-fix for global warming that the UN climate summit can’t ignore
Removing so-called ‘short-lived climate pollutants’ from the atmosphere could reduce global warming – fast.
theconversation.com

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt, Rebecca Tushnet, Brian Doucet , and 2 more

brian-goldstone.bsky.social
Brian Goldstone @brian-goldstone.bsky.social · 16h
Astonishing to stop and realize that, at any given moment, bands of masked men armed to the teeth are storming churches and daycares, terrorizing entire communities—and that most of the country's political establishment barely blinks.

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt, Alan Richardson

beyer.house.gov
Congressman Don Beyer @beyer.house.gov · 17h
The Trump Administration killed over 383 active clinical trials and directly harmed more than 74,000 Americans with lasting future impacts for the public at large.

Trump' s war on scientific research and public health is costing Americans lives and livelihoods.
Trump admin axed 383 active clinical trials, dumping over 74K participants
It’s a “violation of foundational ethical principles of human participant research.”…
arstechnica.com

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

baylorfk.bsky.social
Baylor Fox-Kemper @baylorfk.bsky.social · 17h
The www.wcrp-climate.org/esmo-overview is seeking a new Co-Chair of the obs4MIPs Steering Panel. Individuals with a background in observations and/or climate modelling are sought, especially:

Reference dataset preparation
Open-source code and workflows
Data policy/processing
FAIR data principles
Earth System Modelling and Observations (ESMO)
World Climate Research Programme Core Project ESMO : Earth System Modelling and Observations
www.wcrp-climate.org

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 21h
Yellow snow warning:

"Watch out where the huskies go, and don't you eat that yellow snow."
metoffice.gov.uk Met Office - weather and climate @metoffice.gov.uk · 23h
Yellow warnings for snow and ice are in place over the next couple of days ⚠️

Many places won't see much settling snow with icy roads more of a hazard. Heavier falls of snow are likely in northern Scotland and parts of northeast England ❄️

More details👉 bit.ly/WxWarning
A map of the UK showing where yellow warnings for snow and ice are in place on Wednesday 19th and Thursday 20th November 2025. The higher ground of northern Scotland and North Yorkshire could see 20cm of snow or more

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt, Patrick A. Jansen

subfossilguy.bsky.social
Melaine Le Roy @subfossilguy.bsky.social · 23h
1,019 glaciers have disappeared since 1973 in Switzerland! ✝️

1st nationwide assessment of vanished glaciers:
>40% of the glaciers inventoried in 1973
~13% (47±3 km²) of total glacier area loss! 🧊🔥

But, as it is based on the latest inventory (from 2016), the actual figures are far much higher! 📈 😰

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt, Michael D. McDonald, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò , and 1 more

propublica.org
ProPublica @propublica.org · 23h
NEW: ProPublica has found multiple cases of women with underlying health conditions who died when they couldn’t access abortions.

Tierra Walker, a 37-year-old mother, was told by doctors there was no emergency before preeclampsia killed her.
“Ticking Time Bomb”: A Pregnant Mother Kept Getting Sicker. She Died After She Couldn’t Get an Abortion in Texas.
Walker is one of several women ProPublica found with underlying health conditions who died when they couldn’t access abortions.
www.propublica.org

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

metoffice.gov.uk
Met Office - weather and climate @metoffice.gov.uk · 23h
Yellow warnings for snow and ice are in place over the next couple of days ⚠️

Many places won't see much settling snow with icy roads more of a hazard. Heavier falls of snow are likely in northern Scotland and parts of northeast England ❄️

More details👉 bit.ly/WxWarning
A map of the UK showing where yellow warnings for snow and ice are in place on Wednesday 19th and Thursday 20th November 2025. The higher ground of northern Scotland and North Yorkshire could see 20cm of snow or more

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 1d
yeah, that's wrong. I'll ping them to get a note appended or something. The paper cited is talking about constant concentration commitment, not zero emissions.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 1d
This is a bit of a nit to pick, it’s a demonstration with a single model. In and of itself it doesn’t change anything. If they’d only done 4xCO2 it would have been equally impressive & as marginal. Acting like 8.5 has cooties is a little silly.

Reposted by Joanna Bryson, Elizabeth Saunders, Nandita Sharma , and 37 more

karenattiah.bsky.social
Karen Attiah @karenattiah.bsky.social · 1d
I will never forget having to edit Jamal’s final, posthumous piece for the Washington Post, after he was murdered.

He was calling for free expression in the Arab world. You can read it here :

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/glo...
Opinion | Jamal Khashoggi: What the Arab world needs most is free expression
The Arab world needs a modern version of the old transnational media so citizens can be informed about global events.
www.washingtonpost.com

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

charlottereads.com
Charlotte Moore-Lambert @charlottereads.com · 2d
so anyway I plunked myself down, read the entirety of E.B. White's 1940 essay "Freedom" for Harper's Magazine, and put it up for free on my Patreon. enjoy (or don't, I'm not your dad).

there's an intro for context, and then the reading starts at 6:35 www.patreon.com/posts/e-b-wh...

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 2d
What you are arguing here? Are you supporting Pielke's claim that no climate change is detectable in under 30 years (because the IPCC said so)? Or are you saying that detection of some changes in some places for some variables might need 30 years? The latter claim is not disputed by anyone AFAICT.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 2d
This was all at @pioneerwork.bsky.social in this series, and I imagine the video will be up shortly.

www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...
Scientific Controversies - YouTube
Are there Many Worlds? Does Time Exist? Are We Alone? Hosted by Director of Sciences Janna Levin, the Scientific Controversies series brings creative minds t...
www.youtube.com

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 2d
The best question from the moderator, Janna Levin, was when LeCunn noted that we would be building safeguards into these AI systems to prevent bad things from happening, asked "Who is 'we' in that context?". The answer was not very satisfying.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 2d
As has been noted before, LeCunn was very pessimistic that LLMs are the way to go to get reasoning ability in AI, but Brown seemed to think the progress was huge and continuing. Nobody mentioned their inability to get citations or arithmetic correct though... 🤷

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 2d
I was at an event yesterday with Adam Brown and Yann LeCunn, and Brown claimed that the latest LLMs are doing better math (and poetry for some reason?) than human mathematicians (or poets). That seems somewhat contradicted by examples like the one here:
seanmcarroll.bsky.social Sean Carroll @seanmcarroll.bsky.social · 12d
Next up from the #NaturalPhilosophy Symposium is Emily Riehl @emilyriehl.bsky.social on A New Paradigm for Mathematical Proof? With commentary by Justin Clarke-Doane.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=fzxW...

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt, Robert C. Richards, Rebecca Tushnet , and 1 more

royalpratt.bsky.social
Gregory Pratt @royalpratt.bsky.social · 2d
US citizen Maria Greeley, a Latina who was adopted, was walking home from work downtown when masked agents zip tied her. They said she “doesn’t look like a Greeley.” This is how the government treats people under current deportation policies.
www.chicagotribune.com/2025/11/15/l...

Reposted by Cas Mudde, Anna O. Law, Kim L. Scheppele , and 48 more

aaronparnas.bsky.social
Aaron Parnas @aaronparnas.bsky.social · 3d
NEW: Epstein survivors release the most powerful PSA I have ever seen.

Make this go viral so every member of the House of Representatives sees it.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 3d
Signal's getting bigger, timescales getting shorter. 🤷

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 3d
I wasn’t wrong.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 4d
we started off with a mild La Niña and that explains most of the difference with 2024, but there is likely a systematic shift higher due to aerosol decreases.