Werner Krause
krausewe.bsky.social
Werner Krause
@krausewe.bsky.social

Political Scientist @unipotsdam.bsky.social

- Comparative Politics, Political Parties & Voting Behavior
- Quantitative Methods & R

Prev. Uni Vienna, Humboldt Uni & WZB Berlin

https://krausewe.github.io

Political science 48%
Neuroscience 19%
Pinned
New publication @wepsocial.bsky.social w/ Timothy Hellwig and Lawrence Ezrow!

We argue and show that non-centrist/extreme governments prioritize their core supporters over the median voter when making policy.

However, this strategy is likely to backfire at the next election.

tinyurl.com/ynexbzwh
NEW -

Regional Labor Markets, Residential Mobility, and Anti-Immigration Sentiment - https://cup.org/3XiB6yD

- @denis-cohen.bsky.social & @sergipardos.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
📄 New WP version out - full overhaul!

The Politics of Evidence Selection (w/ @jesperasring.bsky.social )

Comments welcome!

🔗 osf.io/preprints/so...
We have just published the call for the Nuffield Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics. These are 3-year fully-funded postdocs that will allow you to focus on your research in a great academic environment. (And with excellent food)

www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics - Nuffield College Oxford University
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk

@spiegel.de berichtet über den Streit um das Lieferkettengesetz in der EU, bei dem die EVP eine mögliche Abstimmungsmehrheit mit den Rechtsaußen-Fraktionen nicht ausschließt.

U.a. mit einer Einschätzung von mir zu den Gefahren einer fehlenden Einigung im Mitte-Lager.

www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...
(S+) CDU/CSU und SPD im Streit: Zusammenarbeit mit AfD und Le Pen spaltet EU
Das EU-Mitte-Bündnis aus Konservativen, Liberalen und Sozialdemokraten scheint an einer Richtlinie zu zerbrechen. Ist die Europäische Union bald nicht mehr handlungsfähig?
www.spiegel.de

Reposted by Werner Krause

Haben Menschen früher rechter gedacht, als sie gewählt haben? Der Forscher Vicente Valentim sagt, dass wir eine Ursache für den Erfolg extrem rechter Parteien übersehen.
Vicente Valentim: "Angela Merkel lag richtig"
Haben Menschen früher rechter gedacht, als sie gewählt haben? Der Forscher Vicente Valentim sagt, dass wir eine Ursache für den Erfolg extrem rechter Parteien übersehen.
www.zeit.de
With the official prognosis giving one additional seat to PVV and one to FvD compared to the ext poll, the narrative should really not be that the Netherlands/Jetten has beaten the radical right. The far right bloc remains remarkably stable.
🚨New paper out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1080/1350...

@manuelwagner.bsky.social & I re-conceptualize class representation to take into account social mobility between classes and variation in how individuals enter politics.
As a scholar I rarely offer electoral guidance. But today I do:

DO NOT USE AI CHATBOTS AS YOUR VOTE ADVICE APPLICATION AHEAD OF (THE DUTCH) ELECTIONS

Full of errors, bias and lack of transparency.

@ernesto-deleon.com @favstats.eu @theoaraujo.bsky.social and🙋unpack why

algosoc.org/results/1-in...
1 in 10 Dutch citizens are likely to ask AI for election advice. This is why they shouldn't | AlgoSoc
algosoc.org

Reposted by Werner Krause

NEW -

Policlim: A Dataset of Climate Change Discourse in the Political Manifestos of Forty-Five Countries from 1990 to 2022 - https://cup.org/43zzLHc

- @marysanford.bsky.social, Silvia Pianta, @nicolasschmid.bsky.social & Giorgio Musto

#OpenAccess
🚨 New article out!

“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social

👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...

We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.

Short summary thread below 👇

Very excited to spend four weeks as an academic visitor @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social, @ox.ac.uk, continuing research on political parties, voters, and elections.

Drop me a message if you wanna meet for a coffee!
Awards, awards, awards! 🏆✨

At the 11th Annual @oegpw.bsky.social Conference, three members of the Department of Government @univie.ac.at were among the awardees:

🎓 Best PhD – @christinagahn.bsky.social
📘 Best MA – Benjamin Riesch
📗 Best BA – Luca Conte

👏 Huge congrats to all! 🎉

#PoliSky 🧪
New publication with @kgattermann.bsky.social :
“Does media framing of election results affect whether voters perceive parties as election winners or losers?”
@polstudies.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1177/0032...

A short 🧵:
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
doi.org
Now out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. In our new article, @denis-cohen.bsky.social @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that where local rent prices increase more, residents with lower incomes become more likely to support the radical right AfD.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Reposted by Werner Krause

Economic crises tend to help the right because voters assign greater importance to issues owned by the right. When center-right parties preside over a crisis, voters often drift further rightward to nationalist parties rather than defect to the left
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library
How do voters respond to economic crises: Do they turn against the incumbent, reward a certain political camp, polarize to the extremes, or perhaps continue to vote much like before? Analyzing extens...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Congrats, Diane! So well deserved!

Reposted by Werner Krause

Spannendes neues Heft vom @idz-jena.bsky.social zum Thema “Uncivil Society”.

@hajogu.bsky.social und ich schreiben darin über Teilergebnisse unserer aktuellen Forschung:

“Konflikt oder Kooperation? Extrem rechte Einflussnahme in der Zivilgesellschaft”: www.idz-jena.de/wsddet/wsd17...
@deeesharp.bsky.social & I are looking for a collaborator on a project w/ @offenegesellschaft.bsky.social on empathy-based interventions against affective polarization @uni-hamburg.de
j0b.de/veca

75% PhD position, 1st yr project funded & can be converted to a position w/ teaching afterwards
📆31/08
Ausschreibung
www.uni-hamburg.de
NEW -

Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL

"exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population"

- @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
Please share this thread. It is important that political scientists, in Europe and across the world, understand why EPSS exists and why we are encouraging people to attend our inaugural conference, in Belfast next June.
EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.

😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.

👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.

A short 🧵
The European Political Science Society is now accepting paper & panel proposals for its annual conference!

📢 Call for Papers: EPSS 2026 – Belfast

🗓️ June 18–20, 2026

📍 ICC Belfast

📬 Deadline: Nov 7, 2025

🧵

Reposted by Werner Krause

Niet alleen in Oostenrijk, in heel Europa brokkelt de ‘brandmuur’ tegen radicaal-rechts af
Niet alleen in Oostenrijk, in heel Europa brokkelt de ‘brandmuur’ tegen radicaal-rechts af
In Oostenrijk wankelen de dranghekken die radicaal-rechts weg moeten houden bij de macht, net als in de rest van Europa. Dat komt niet alleen door de radicale politici zelf. Rechtse middenpartijen, die tegen uiterst rechts aanschurken, spelen een doorslaggevende rol.
www.volkskrant.nl

Reposted by Werner Krause

EL PAÍS @elpais.com · Jul 13
Hasta siete expertos en inmigración y extrema derecha de distintos campos coinciden en detectar un crescendo de la beligerancia xenófoba de la extrema derecha en España, especial pero no únicamente de Vox. “Estamos en un punto de inflexión. No es un cambio gradual, es súbito"
La brutalidad xenófoba ultra pulveriza sus límites
La crueldad, el insulto, la amenaza y las teorías racistas se adueñan del discurso de Vox. Siete especialistas analizan una escalada inédita
elpais.com
We are looking for a lecturer in Comparative European Politics at Oxford. Join an incredibly stimulating intellectual environment. It is a 5-year position that should be great for early career researchers. Please get in touch if you have any questions.
📢APPLY NOW!: DPIR seeks a Departmental Lecturer in Comparative European Politics to provide teaching and supervision at the undergraduate and graduate level and contribute to the Departmental examining and graduate admissions processes.🗓️ CLOSES: 12pm, 5 Aug: ow.ly/brXi50WpZav

Reposted by Werner Krause

But newly released survey data shows that this is not the case.

Most of growth in far right support came from previous abstentionists, followed by previous center-right voters.

www.rtp.pt/noticias/pol...
Sondagem da Católica. Reforço de votos no Chega veio sobretudo da abstenção
Uma sondagem do CESOP - Universidade Católica Portuguesa para a RTP concluiu que o reforço de votos no Chega nas eleições de 18 de maio veio de anteriores eleitores que se abstiveram e de votantes da ...
www.rtp.pt
📢APPLY NOW!: DPIR seeks a Departmental Lecturer in Comparative European Politics to provide teaching and supervision at the undergraduate and graduate level and contribute to the Departmental examining and graduate admissions processes.🗓️ CLOSES: 12pm, 5 Aug: ow.ly/brXi50WpZav

For @elpais.com, I talked with @angelmunarriz.bsky.social about the increasing radicalization of the far right in Spain and Europe.
Hasta siete expertos en inmigración y extrema derecha de distintos campos coinciden en detectar un crescendo de la beligerancia xenófoba de la extrema derecha en España, especial pero no únicamente de Vox. “Estamos en un punto de inflexión. No es un cambio gradual, es súbito"
La brutalidad xenófoba ultra pulveriza sus límites
La crueldad, el insulto, la amenaza y las teorías racistas se adueñan del discurso de Vox. Siete especialistas analizan una escalada inédita
elpais.com
#tidyverse purrr 1.1.0 is out - now with parallel processing!

Scale your #rstats map operations reliably and efficiently across multiple cores and even distributed systems.

Powered by the mirai framework, this unlocks new levels of performance.

Read more at:
www.tidyverse.org/blog/2025/07...
Parallel processing in purrr 1.1.0
The functional programming toolkit for R gains new capabilities for parallel processing and distributed computing using mirai.
www.tidyverse.org
📣 Call for Applications 📣

3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀

Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social

Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us!

🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025