zweitstimme.org
@zweitstimme.bsky.social
Die wissenschaftliche Vorhersage | Berlin, Mannheim, Witten | http://zweitstimme.org | Team: @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social @lstoetze.bsky.social @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social @eliaskoch.bsky.social @hannahrajski.bsky.social & Thomas Gschwend
Reposted by zweitstimme.org
At the recent Zweitstimme.org Workshop on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour at the Hertie School, researchers from across Europe shared new insights on elites, participation and polling, highlighting how data, methodology and communication are reshaping the study of democratic politics.
December 10, 2025 at 12:29 PM
At the recent Zweitstimme.org Workshop on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour at the Hertie School, researchers from across Europe shared new insights on elites, participation and polling, highlighting how data, methodology and communication are reshaping the study of democratic politics.
Reposted by zweitstimme.org
Had a great time at the @zweitstimme.bsky.social Workshop on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behavior.
I presented my work on why minority groups vote, and how these motivations relate to turnout among LGB and ethnic minorities.
Amazing conversations and a very inspiring group!
I presented my work on why minority groups vote, and how these motivations relate to turnout among LGB and ethnic minorities.
Amazing conversations and a very inspiring group!
🎉 Kicking off the Zweitstimme.org Workshop!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
November 24, 2025 at 9:36 AM
Had a great time at the @zweitstimme.bsky.social Workshop on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behavior.
I presented my work on why minority groups vote, and how these motivations relate to turnout among LGB and ethnic minorities.
Amazing conversations and a very inspiring group!
I presented my work on why minority groups vote, and how these motivations relate to turnout among LGB and ethnic minorities.
Amazing conversations and a very inspiring group!
Reposted by zweitstimme.org
Had an absolutely amazing time! Great presentations + discussions, incl. impressive data collections from 160 treatments to 30,000 respondents
Thank you for the immaculate organization @eliaskoch.bsky.social @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social @hannahrajski.bsky.social @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social
Thank you for the immaculate organization @eliaskoch.bsky.social @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social @hannahrajski.bsky.social @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social
🎉 Kicking off the Zweitstimme.org Workshop!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
November 21, 2025 at 2:15 PM
Had an absolutely amazing time! Great presentations + discussions, incl. impressive data collections from 160 treatments to 30,000 respondents
Thank you for the immaculate organization @eliaskoch.bsky.social @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social @hannahrajski.bsky.social @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social
Thank you for the immaculate organization @eliaskoch.bsky.social @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social @hannahrajski.bsky.social @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social
Reposted by zweitstimme.org
So great to be in Berlin for this fantastic @zweitstimme.bsky.social workshop!
I presented joint work with @bjarneck.bsky.social and @bramwauters.bsky.social on the limited effects of mobilizing measures following the abolition of compulsory voting in Flanders.
I presented joint work with @bjarneck.bsky.social and @bramwauters.bsky.social on the limited effects of mobilizing measures following the abolition of compulsory voting in Flanders.
🎉 Kicking off the Zweitstimme.org Workshop!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
November 21, 2025 at 7:49 AM
So great to be in Berlin for this fantastic @zweitstimme.bsky.social workshop!
I presented joint work with @bjarneck.bsky.social and @bramwauters.bsky.social on the limited effects of mobilizing measures following the abolition of compulsory voting in Flanders.
I presented joint work with @bjarneck.bsky.social and @bramwauters.bsky.social on the limited effects of mobilizing measures following the abolition of compulsory voting in Flanders.
Reposted by zweitstimme.org
Day 1 wrapped up, excited for tomorrow 🤗
🎉 Kicking off the Zweitstimme.org Workshop!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
November 20, 2025 at 8:31 PM
Day 1 wrapped up, excited for tomorrow 🤗
🎉 Kicking off the Zweitstimme.org Workshop!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
November 20, 2025 at 3:24 PM
🎉 Kicking off the Zweitstimme.org Workshop!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
Reposted by zweitstimme.org
I‘m excited to take part in the
@zweitstimme.bsky.social Workshop on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behavior at the @hertieschool.bsky.social this week! I'll be presenting first results from a project with @klingelt.bsky.social on the Geography of Electioneering in Multi-Party Systems.
@zweitstimme.bsky.social Workshop on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behavior at the @hertieschool.bsky.social this week! I'll be presenting first results from a project with @klingelt.bsky.social on the Geography of Electioneering in Multi-Party Systems.
November 20, 2025 at 10:39 AM
I‘m excited to take part in the
@zweitstimme.bsky.social Workshop on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behavior at the @hertieschool.bsky.social this week! I'll be presenting first results from a project with @klingelt.bsky.social on the Geography of Electioneering in Multi-Party Systems.
@zweitstimme.bsky.social Workshop on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behavior at the @hertieschool.bsky.social this week! I'll be presenting first results from a project with @klingelt.bsky.social on the Geography of Electioneering in Multi-Party Systems.
Reposted by zweitstimme.org
🚨 Upcoming: "What Shapes Voter Perceptions of Election Polls? The Impact of Partisanship and Visual Design"
👤 @eliaskoch.bsky.social (Hertie School)
🗓️ Wed, November 5, 13:45-15:15 CET
📺 Register for the live stream: us02web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
👤 @eliaskoch.bsky.social (Hertie School)
🗓️ Wed, November 5, 13:45-15:15 CET
📺 Register for the live stream: us02web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
![What Shapes Voter Perceptions of Election Polls? The Impact of Partisanship and Visual Design
Hybrid event [A5, 6, Room A231 + Zoom]
November 05, 2025, 13:45-15:15
Abstract
Election polls are a central feature of modern electoral campaigns, providing voters with information that can guide their decisions. Yet, voters are often confronted with many polls showing volatile or conflicting outcomes, and media outlets present these polls in very different ways. This raises two key questions: (1) How do voters judge the trustworthiness of a poll’s results? and (2) How does the way a poll is presented affect these perceptions? I present experimental evidence from two large-scale studies in Germany. Together, they show that both the content of a poll and the way it is presented influence voter perceptions, offering new insights into how individuals navigate modern campaigns environments.
Presenter(s)
Elias Koch is a Doctoral Researcher at the Research Training Group DYNAMICS (HU Berlin/Hertie School) and a Research Associate at the Hertie School in Berlin. His research explores party competition and political behaviour in established democracies, with a particular focus on shifting public opinion landscapes.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:oizrkjzyr6vekl76tjctghcl/bafkreiea2wek2lsf5fbeqvhbk7bxgtzh6nvd6oodcuvj42nsza6uztkrma@jpeg)
October 29, 2025 at 10:40 AM
🚨 Upcoming: "What Shapes Voter Perceptions of Election Polls? The Impact of Partisanship and Visual Design"
👤 @eliaskoch.bsky.social (Hertie School)
🗓️ Wed, November 5, 13:45-15:15 CET
📺 Register for the live stream: us02web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
👤 @eliaskoch.bsky.social (Hertie School)
🗓️ Wed, November 5, 13:45-15:15 CET
📺 Register for the live stream: us02web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
Reposted by zweitstimme.org
🕑 Join us *today* at 13:45 CEST for the talk 'Forecasting the German Federal Election 2025 - Different Modelling Approaches' by @hannahrajski.bsky.social (University of Mannheim) & @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social (Witten/Herdecke University).
⬇️ Zoom link and details below
⬇️ Zoom link and details below
🚨 Upcoming: "Forecasting the German Federal Election 2025 - Different Modelling Approaches"
👤 @hannahrajski.bsky.social (Uni Mannheim) & @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social (Witten/Herdecke Uni)
🗓️ Wed, May 21, 13:45-15:15 CET
📺 Register for the live stream: us02web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
👤 @hannahrajski.bsky.social (Uni Mannheim) & @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social (Witten/Herdecke Uni)
🗓️ Wed, May 21, 13:45-15:15 CET
📺 Register for the live stream: us02web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
May 21, 2025 at 5:34 AM
🕑 Join us *today* at 13:45 CEST for the talk 'Forecasting the German Federal Election 2025 - Different Modelling Approaches' by @hannahrajski.bsky.social (University of Mannheim) & @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social (Witten/Herdecke University).
⬇️ Zoom link and details below
⬇️ Zoom link and details below