Simon Munzert
simonsaysnothin.bsky.social
Simon Munzert
@simonsaysnothin.bsky.social

Professor of Data Science and Public Policy | Hertie School Data Science Lab | Elections, Public Opinion, Data

Political science 35%
Communication & Media Studies 16%

Putting out evidence isn’t enough. Public engagement is critical to drive climate–health progress. Breaking misinformation silos and rebuilding trust in science has become a public health priority. 4/4

Yet there’s hope: the Lancet Countdown shows that clean energy growth already boosts jobs, GDP, and health. A just, health-centered transition can still prevent millions of deaths. The evidence is clear—climate policy is health policy. 3/4

Overall, it's a grim read: 2024 saw global temps exceed 1.5 °C for the first time, heat deaths, food insecurity, and disease spread. Political backsliding and fossil fuel expansion are putting millions at risk. Climate inaction is a health crisis. 2/4

This week, the 2025 edition of the Lancet Countdown Report on Health and Climate Change was released — and I was able to contribute a small part again (look for indicator 5.2 in our version of the #ShowYourStripes chart, that’s me!). 1/4
We are hiring a PhD student to join us at the @hertiesecurity.bsky.social (start Sept. 2026)!

If you want to conduct research on topics related to digital authoritarianism, state repression, contentious politics or social movements online, then this job might be for you!

@medem.bsky.social be sure to check this out!

This looks very useful for comparative research on legislative elites. Also, it's great to see more projects paying attention to interoperability with existing data infrastructure. We're on a good path as a discipline!
New data for legislative scholars! Committee Membership Dataset with @bcastanho.bsky.social, @dmpullan.bsky.social and Firuze Taner:

Committee assignments for all MPs (Wikidata IDs!) in 14 countries
Harmonized roles/policy areas

Data: doi.org/10.7802/2940
Working paper: tinyurl.com/vf54r78p

⬇️
GESIS-Suche
doi.org
New data for legislative scholars! Committee Membership Dataset with @bcastanho.bsky.social, @dmpullan.bsky.social and Firuze Taner:

Committee assignments for all MPs (Wikidata IDs!) in 14 countries
Harmonized roles/policy areas

Data: doi.org/10.7802/2940
Working paper: tinyurl.com/vf54r78p

⬇️
GESIS-Suche
doi.org

Reposted by Joanna Bryson

... in which I accidentally imitate Otto Wels, while saying things far less momentous than he did back then.
@simonsaysnothin.bsky.social at #MEDem Conf: we need to integrate our efforts instead of researchers all building their own datasets and infrastructure. Couldn't agree more!

Day 1 at #MEDem Conference @gesis.org in Cologne, where I had the chance to share a personal perspective on data infrastructure projects for democracy research. Slides here: simonmunzert.com/medem25/
🚀 Kicking off day 1 of the 3rd #MEDemConference at @gesis.org! From @sldelange.bsky.social discussing radical-right normalization 🗳️ to calls to consolidate democracy data by @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social 📊 — keynotes spotlight why #MEDem matters for democracy.
🚀 Kicking off day 1 of the 3rd #MEDemConference at @gesis.org! From @sldelange.bsky.social discussing radical-right normalization 🗳️ to calls to consolidate democracy data by @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social 📊 — keynotes spotlight why #MEDem matters for democracy.
@simonsaysnothin.bsky.social at #MEDem Conf: we need to integrate our efforts instead of researchers all building their own datasets and infrastructure. Couldn't agree more!

Congrats Andreu, this is so cool!! 🎉
Deadline for the position as Full Professor at our dept is coming closer: Great position, great colleagues & very positive working atmosphere. Please contact @danbischof.bsky.social if you have any questions.

And thanks for asking - yes, the pic shows today's view from the position's office.
I have studied the targeting of journalists for many years, but the scale and public display of these killings is truly shocking: “Israel admits deliberate attack on the journalist, known for frontline coverage, in a strike on a tent outside al-Shifa hospital“

www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
Anas al-Sharif, prominent Al Jazeera correspondent, among five journalists killed in Israeli airstrike on Gaza
Israel admits deliberate attack on the journalist, known for frontline coverage, in a strike on a tent outside al-Shifa hospital
www.theguardian.com
Die AfD ist hat viele Wähler, aber noch mehr Gegner. Weil sich diese Gegner aber über viele Parteien verteilen, kann die AfD Direktmandate erringen. Würde das Wahlsystem berücksichtigen, dass viele Wähler jede Partei gegenüber der AfD bevorzugen, wäre auch im Osten die Wahlkarte weniger blau.

Reposted by Roman Senninger

If you're a researcher (or, less likely, a policymaker) reading this, you'll definitely want to read on. Featuring a dataset that may include you - and findings that make a solid case for hanging out in this space and sharing your work.
🤔 How much do politicians engage with academic researchers online?

In my latest paper, I find that politicians from 12 countries rarely engage with researchers on social media, but this can change when expertise gains salience

Preprint: osf.io/preprints/osf/wqbe4_v1

🧵👇
🤔 How much do politicians engage with academic researchers online?

In my latest paper, I find that politicians from 12 countries rarely engage with researchers on social media, but this can change when expertise gains salience

Preprint: osf.io/preprints/osf/wqbe4_v1

🧵👇
The worst happened. We were DOGE’d. Our NSF funding is gone.

So now there’s nothing stopping me from sharing Expert Voices Together, a crisis response system for US-based researchers and journalists facing harassment.

It's a true passion project. 🧵 1/

expertvoicestogether.org

A shout-out to the people who did all the hard work for this study - in particular @dawiet.bsky.social and Amin Oueslati, who paved the way in his master's thesis he wrote @hertieschool.bsky.social - super proud of him!

Finally, black-box audits are not ideal. Researchers need better access to the models behind those services. More implications, and more findings, in the paper!

Multiply that by the number of calls made to those APIs every day, and the decisions they inform. (We don't know that number, but it's probably no less than ~500k calls over the minute you've engaged with this thread.)

And what is more, those decisions probably affect those most who are not perpetrators but members of attacked groups.

But our results indicate that if your moderation pipeline largely builds on automated decisions informed by those services, you're going to produce A LOT of questionable decisions.

Hate speech moderation is hard, and we wouldn't expect any model to do a perfect job. Also, it's not straightforward to agree on what constitutes hate speech in the first place, which is why our benchmark datasets are not beyond any doubt.

Main finding #2: Group markers drive over-moderation. Words like "muslim", "gay", or "jews" make mis-classifying non-hate speech as hate speech more likely.

Some APIs seem overly sensitive (in particular Google's NL API) while others tend to under-moderate (Perspective and Microsoft).

Main finding #1: Performance varies wildly across moderation services, datasets, and metrics, but some of the failure rates are astonishing (FPR & FNR > 75% on balanced samples for some implicit and explicit speech!).