Jason Doctor
banner
jasndoc.bsky.social
Jason Doctor
@jasndoc.bsky.social
Economics 33%
Public Health 24%

fire, mid and weak sauce career awards

Reposted by Jason N. Doctor

People who have more complex social identities view political identity as a less reliable source of information about others. Therefore they rely less on group-based stereotypes when judging outgroup members.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022103125000915

Irreversible?

Amazing news!

Great for the abs.

Love these.

Clicked "See All" on Concur but sadly did not become omniscient.
The Vice Dean who gets FOMO from approving travel reimbursements.

$2,300 for that Barcelona conference...sigh

The Vice Dean who gets FOMO from approving travel reimbursements.

“Assuming no difference our results are anticipated.”

Both 2FA and accepting cookies all day. I predict in 2035 there will be a third thing.

Sure QJE has a fabricated data scandal. But once again, they claim this is somehow new, when a few psychologists had been doing this for years.

LLMs seem like the human experience of reading aloud when it is going extremely well, as if, to the listener, you could look away from the book and continue reading all the same. Musicians call this "reading ahead". It is predicting the next letter, word, tone, mood from what came before.

Especially a recording by some one blind to the purpose of the study.

seems like it could be mitigated with a computerized voice or recording.

Reading aloud improves comprehension. In this case, that means reduced confusion and differential response to risk vs mirrors.

files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/EJ8...

Reposted by Jason N. Doctor

💡 Open science: A team of researchers at Shandong University has attempted to replicate Oprea (2024 AER). The results do not replicate.

Oprea 2024 reported an online lab experiment, and found that prospect theory anomalies occur not only for lotteries, but also for deterministic 'mirrors'.

Sigmund and Sinfjotli in Saga of the Volsungs were the first to become wolves after donning wolf skins. ~200 AD

“Have more kids”. But no one in the community will help you and grandma wants to travel in Europe.

Many women wore bonnets to hide favus in the 19th century and not because they liked bonnets.

Sending my accountant a long philosophical stream-of-consciousness email a few days before the tax deadline.

People have done worse.

Soon iPhones and computers will become so expensive that ChatGPT will no longer be an option

My entire life course revealed by how I relate to marshmallows.

Live picture of Trump showing his cross-modality matching tariff results where he was asked to adjust the brightness of a light and loudness of a pure tone to generate power functions that would set the tariffs.

Reposted by Jason N. Doctor

While markets plunge and retirement accounts reel from Trump’s tariffs:

Elon and DOGE are taking a blowtorch to Social Security

They shut down local offices
They shut down phone services
They shut down website services
And now they’re proposing another round of mass layoffs
I know it's a rough time to be talking science, but in case anyone wants some distraction, I wrote about the Tan et al (2024) analysis of heritability and polygenic indices for complex human behavior. Title: Is Tan et al The End of Social Science Genomics?
Is Tan et al. The End of Social Science Genomics?
What happens when everything is unconfounded?
open.substack.com

Sure it's a 1/1000 chance. But, the real question is "What’s the probability of such a bad trading day, given that the economy is actively being destroyed by someone.”

Then it is more like 9/10.

#ForeverBayesian
The past two days have been nothing short of historically bad. They have been worse than 99.9% of other trading days since 1929. This was the 5th worst 2-day window for stocks since 1945.

It is arguably the singular major drawdown resulting from a policy choice by the President.
The past two days have been nothing short of historically bad. They have been worse than 99.9% of other trading days since 1929. This was the 5th worst 2-day window for stocks since 1945.

It is arguably the singular major drawdown resulting from a policy choice by the President.

"I am joining the FP because you all are lazy and are likely also dumber."